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Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11451
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2024 Washington Commanders are frauds

Bernie Madoff. Sam Bankman-Fried. The 2020 election. The 2024 Washington Commanders. [Frauds]. Sometimes the haters are right. When the haters are right, you gotta say, great job haters.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
The Commanders lost back-to-back games to top NFC teams (Steelers and Eagles) but remained firmly in the playoff hunt, making 'frauds' a harsh comedic label.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11452
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Cliff Kingsbury's offenses inevitably decline in the second half of every season

This gets at going back to Cliff [Kingsbury]'s entire existence in the second half of seasons. So back at Texas Tech, here's his record as a head coach from 2013 to 2018, at the end of the season... lost five of six, lost four of six, lost four of six, lost six of eight, lost six of eight, lost five of five. At the Cardinals, he lost seven of his last nine, then he lost five of his last seven, then he lost five of his last six, then he lost nine of his last 10.

The stats provided accurately reflect Kingsbury's historical second-half collapses at previous coaching stops.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11453
MaxMax

Jaden Daniels will be a very good NFL quarterback, but rookies don't win Super Bowls

Jaden Daniels will be a very good quarterback in this league. Jaden Daniels is just still a rookie. And that's something that I think was very evident tonight... But Jaden Daniels I don't think is, as a rookie, a Super Bowl winning quarterback. 'Cause no rookies are Super Bowl winning quarterbacks.

It is a historical fact that no rookie starting quarterback has won a Super Bowl.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11454
HankHank

Drake Maye is going to be a superstar

Coach Gruden on the stream also was asked him about Caleb Williams or Drake Maye. And he said Drake Maye. Drake Maye is gonna be a superstar. Patriots have looked good. Commanders have basically should be on a three game losing streak.

Maye has shown significant promise, but 'superstar' status is a long-term projection that remains to be seen.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11455
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens' offense is unstoppable

I think the Ravens I believe are gonna be there no matter what because their offense feels unstoppable.

The Ravens offense was held to just 16 points by the Steelers two days after this episode aired.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11457
Big CatBig Cat

Shane Waldron was the primary issue behind the Bears' struggles

Shane Waldron is the Antichrist. Shane Waldron caused all the problems. Shane Waldron, every war tragedy, anything you can think of in history. Shane Waldron was the issue behind it... The only way I can tell myself that the Bears have a chance is that Shane Waldron was deliberately holding the Bears back in every capacity and now everything's gonna be different.

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
While Waldron was fired for poor performance, the Bears' offensive struggles continued after his departure, suggesting deeper structural or talent issues.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11459
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears' organization has ruined Caleb Williams

The organization's a fucking joke... None of it makes sense. Everything sucks. The organization is a joke. They've ruined Caleb Williams.

Williams has struggled significantly, and the Bears' history with quarterbacks supports the narrative, though it is too early to declare his career 'ruined'.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11461
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Caleb Williams just needs a comfortable system and he will still be a good quarterback

Caleb Williams is still a good quarterback. He just needs to get in a comfortable system. He needs to not be like surrounded by a hurricane of shit... Don't make him feel like he's got too big a part of that failure right off the bat. Give him easy shit to do.

This is subjective, but many analysts agree that the Bears' offensive infrastructure has failed several young quarterbacks.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11463
MemesMemes

The Jets' defense does not travel well

Defense doesn't travel... We got smoked by the Cardinals. Graveyard teams.

The Jets defense struggled significantly in road games during this stretch, giving up 30+ points to the Cardinals.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11465
Big CatBig Cat

Doug Pederson will be fired after the Lions game

This is Doug Peterson's firing game. It's a bye-week next week. Trevor Lawrence is hurt. Mac Jones is going again... If you're gonna fire Doug Peterson in season, it's going to be after playing the Lions going on a bye week. That all just kind of tracks, right?

The Jaguars lost 52-6 to the Lions, but Pederson was not fired immediately after the game. He remained the coach through the following week and was eventually fired on November 30th (after the bye).
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11467
HankHank

The Jaguars +14 against the Lions is the NFL makes no sense game of the year

I think so. This is like, this is the 'NFL makes no sense' game of maybe the year... NFL makes no sense. There's not like stats behind it. I am very close. But that, but it happens every year. There's always games where it's like, how the fuck did the Lions lose to the Jaguars when the playoffs come?

The Lions beat the Jaguars 52-6, which is the exact opposite of the NFL not making sense.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11469
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos will beat the Falcons

I think the Broncos are going to get off the mat here and respond very well. And I think the Broncos are gonna win this game.

The Broncos beat the Falcons 38-6 on November 17.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11470
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons are the perfect team to lose in Wild Card weekend

I think the Falcons, they're the perfect team that you would put into the slot of losing a Wild Card weekend playoff game.

This remains to be seen until the playoffs occur.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11474
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers' offense is the second best in the NFL even without Christian McCaffrey

The 49ers are getting better on offense. So their offense without Christian McCaffrey for most of the season, they are plus 1.4 net yards per play, which is the second best offense in the NFL.

The 49ers consistently ranked top 5 in yards per play throughout the 2024 season.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11476
Big CatBig Cat

Harrison Butker being out makes the Bills a favorite over the Chiefs

Harrison Butker's hurt. Harrison Butker is out... Oh that's actually huge. Oh I might be Bills now because that, this does feel like a field goal game here.

The Bills beat the Chiefs 30-21 on November 17.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11478
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' defense is legitimately elite

The Chargers are the fourth team in the last 40 years to hold opponents under 21 points in their first nine games of the season. Only been done four times. Defense is legit. Legit.

The stat is accurate, and the Chargers defense remained the #1 scoring defense deep into the 2024 season.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11480
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

NFL teams change coaches too quickly, which stunts quarterback development

I do [think the NFL moves on from coaches too quickly]. Every team had a coach that was there for a period of years... and now they change coaches every year or two and they change offense and defensive coordinators like they change shirts. And I think that has a lot to do with the lack of quarterback consistency and development over time.

This is a subjective organizational philosophy, but widely accepted as a reason why teams like the Steelers (high stability) stay competitive.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11481
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

The Detroit Lions win because of their pre-snap recognition and execution

What I love about Detroit is they win in the pre-snap, meaning they'll change the tight end, they'll change the receiver, they'll motion two or three times before the ball is snapped and they'll let Jared Goff pick a play... I call it RCE. You recognize the defense and when you know what defense they're in, now you communicate a play to beat that defense.

Subjective tactical analysis from an expert.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11482
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

A rookie quarterback shouldn't be blamed for sacks if they are holding the ball too long

There's too much of him. You know, there's 40 times he's carried the ball. There's 40 times he's been sacked... You can't blame the offensive line for all these sacks. I just encourage him, you know, to get rid of the ball. Sometimes the best play you can make is throwing the ball away because that's the only good play you could make.

Advanced stats like PFF's 'sacks attributed to QB' often support the view that Williams holds the ball longer than league average.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11483
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

Wide receiver bubble screens are a waste of time and personnel

When you throw a bubble screen or a quick screen, I mean, how how many times do you see Jerry Rice run a bubble screen right now? You never saw Willie Gault run a bubble screen. You got these three Corvettes [Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, Rome Odunze]... Now let him run some routes and tell the quarterback to throw him the ball or get rid of the ball, but quit taking sacks.

This is a tactical preference, but Bears fans likely agree given the offense's failure with those plays.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024
#PMT-2024-1115-11484
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

Brock Purdy is a much better quarterback in person than on television

I was at the Bucs-49ers game last week and with McCaffrey back and Jauan Jennings back... Purdy is a lot better quarterback when you see him live. This guy's strong. He's, he's loose. He's gutty, man. Gritty. Love him.

Subjective opinion from an expert based on live observation.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-141
Big CatBig Cat

Sean McVay's decision to kick a field goal on third down was wrong — he waited too long and then did it too early at the same time

If you are going to play the game of we should kick a field goal before we try to get a touchdown, do it with like a minute and a half left the minute you get into field goal range. Why would you give away a down that you could — the harder thing to do is score a touchdown. It felt like he got caught somewhere in the middle where he just didn't really make up his mind.

This is an opinion about game management strategy, but the consensus agreed McVay's timing was poor.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-142
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins are the prime spoiler team and will win one of their games against the Texans or 49ers later in the season

I think they are just the prime spoiler team. I think they have a game against the Texans and the 49ers later in the season. They're gonna win one of those two. It's not gonna mean anything for them, but it'll mean a lot for the team that loses.

The Dolphins beat the 49ers 29-17 on December 22, 2024, confirming Big Cat's prediction.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-143
Big CatBig Cat

Micah Parsons didn't say anything wrong about Mike McCarthy

Am I wrong to think that Micah Parsons didn't say anything wrong? I have no problem with it. It was honest. An NFL player has a limited time to be on an NFL roster. And he's like, yeah, the guys next to me who might be on their last year, those are the guys I feel for. You want your athletes and coaches to give honest answers. And when they give honest answers, we should be like, that was an honest answer. Not holy shit, how could he say that?

Subjective opinion about media coverage of athlete comments.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-145
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears are rotten to the core and he's never going to believe again

I think it's rotten to the core. It has nothing to do with who they're gonna hire. They're gonna hire the fourth best offensive coordinator to be the new head coach and we're gonna try to be sold on that. And I'm not gonna fall for it anymore.

The Bears hired Ben Johnson, who was widely considered the top coaching candidate available, not the 'fourth best OC.' Big Cat was wrong that they'd settle for a lesser hire.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-144
Big CatBig Cat

Patrick Mahomes would suck on the Bears because the Bears are a joke of an organization

Patrick Mahomes would suck on the Bears. 'Cause the Bears are a joke of an organization. That's just how it works. There's nothing gonna change. They don't care about winning.

This is a hypothetical that can never be tested — Mahomes will never play for the Bears.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-159
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Vrabel is the winner of the coaching carousel — he's going to get whatever he wants

Mike Vrabel, by the way, he's the winner of this whole thing because he's gonna get whatever he wants. Whatever he wants.

Mike Vrabel was hired as the Patriots head coach in January 2025, arguably the most prestigious opening available.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-158
Big CatBig Cat

The 2022 NFL coaching carousel might go down as one of the worst of all time — half the hires have already been fired

It might go down as one of the worst head coaching carousels of all time, 2022. Ten head coaching vacancies and half of them have already been fired. Brian Daboll's probably gonna get fired. Doug Pederson already fired. Josh McDaniels already fired. Matt Eberflus gonna get fired. Dennis Allen already got fired. Lovie Smith already got fired. Nathaniel Hackett already got fired.

The facts check out — of the 10 coaches hired in 2022, more than half were fired by November 2024. Eberflus was fired weeks after this episode. Daboll survived but was on thin ice.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-146
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will never hire someone who's an alpha or a football guy as head coach

The Bears will never hire someone who's an alpha or a football guy. They won't 'cause they just want to have Kevin Warren, an empty suit, be the guy who's in charge somehow. They're never gonna hire a guy who's like, this is my way or the highway. I'm running this. I'm bigger than the organization. It just won't happen.

The Bears hired Ben Johnson in January 2025, who was widely considered the #1 coaching candidate. This was definitively a strong, 'alpha' hire.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-147
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders are going to beat the Eagles this Thursday

I actually do. I think that the Commanders are gonna win this game. I think the Pittsburgh Steelers are a very, very, very good football team. And if you look at how the Commanders bounced back to their other great loss that they had, which was against the Ravens, I feel like we're in a good position. I trust Dan Quinn.

The Eagles beat the Commanders 37-20 on November 14, 2024.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-166
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders being called frauds is actually an honor — they haven't been good enough in decades for anyone to think that highly of them

It's an honor to be called a fraud. As long as I've lived, I have yearned for somebody to think highly enough of my football team to the point where they can hate my football team. Nobody thinks that a four and 13 team is a fraud. Bernie Madoff lived a long time as a fraud and he had fucking islands that he vacationed on.

Subjective take on fandom psychology, though the Commanders did prove they weren't frauds by making the NFC Championship game.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-148
HankHank

The Eagles game is the Commanders' entire season — if they lose, the fraud label sticks

I think this game is your entire season, PFT. I think if they lose this game, it's their third playoff-caliber game that they've lost. And the season's over. You guys will officially be frauded because the teams you've beat are trash.

The Commanders lost to the Eagles 37-20 but still made the playoffs at 12-5 and won a playoff game. Their season was far from over.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-150
MaxMax

The Eagles really haven't beaten anyone either — their only good wins are the Packers and maybe the Bengals

Eagles really haven't beat anyone either. Depending on who you think about, they obviously the Packers win at the beginning of the year, big win. And depending on what you think of the Bengals, those are the only two good wins.

The Eagles went 14-3 and reached the Super Bowl, proving they were not frauds despite a soft early schedule.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 13, 2024
#PMT-2024-1113-149
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jayden Daniels is going to be one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL

I'm still buying all the Jayden Daniels stuff. I think that he absolutely — I think that he is going to be one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.

Jayden Daniels won Offensive Rookie of the Year and led the Commanders to the NFC Championship game in his rookie season, validating PFT's confidence. Still early to say 'one of the best' long-term.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2583
Big CatBig Cat

I'm officially back to believing in Bryce Young

I like, maybe I'm back into believing in Bryce Young, but either way, it, it looks like he is getting better, which is something that you couldn't have said at the beginning of this season.

While Young showed improvement, his long-term viability as a franchise QB remains highly debated as the Panthers continue to struggle.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2580
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants should not play Daniel Jones another down of football this year

Daniel Jones should not play another snap. He should not play another snap because he has, he has the, remember Russell Wilson last year... if he gets injured, his money becomes guaranteed and you can cut him this year and it's, you don't have to pay him any more money and it's like a $22 million cap hit. You should not play him another down of football this year.

The Giants eventually benched Daniel Jones in November 2024, confirming this strategy to protect their cap from his injury guarantee.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2586
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Tomlin is a really good head coach and people need to stop calling him 'mediocre'

I don't ever want to hear mediocre Mike again. Mike Tomlin is a really fucking good head coach. I would kill for Mike Tomlin as my head coach. He, what he does in intangibles is insane. He gets the most outta everyone all the time.

Tomlin's track record of consistency and his ability to win with Russell Wilson supports this, though it is ultimately an opinion on his quality.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2590
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs are going to win the Super Bowl no matter how they play

Even if you want to be one of those devil's advocate and be like, oh well the Chiefs are different. They're not like, they're just barely winning these games. It doesn't fucking matter. They're gonna win the Super Bowl.

The season is ongoing, but the Chiefs are the favorites.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2594
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Chiefs go undefeated and win three in a row, they are a more impressive dynasty than the Patriots

If these Chiefs go undefeated... and they win the Super Bowl... that would pretty much seal the deal for which Dynasty is more impressive. It would, it would definitely beat one of the Patriots' dynasties.

This is a subjective comparison of dynasties that can only be judged after the season concludes.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2598
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears should fire Matt Eberflus tomorrow

The Bears are so, so, so bad. And Matt Eberflus should be fired tomorrow. And it won't fix it. Listen, Matt Eberflus and Shane Waldron deserve blame. But I'm not saying it's all on them... But you can fire the coach. And the coach stinks.

Eberflus was not fired 'tomorrow' (Monday), but the offensive coordinator Shane Waldron was fired the following day. Eberflus' future remains highly precarious.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2604
Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers are going to win the NFC South

I weirdly think we should maybe take this opportunity to bet on the Bucks to maybe win the NFC South if we can find a good line. Because the Bucks have lost four in a row... but they look competitive against 49ers today... Mike Evans is coming back. Baker is an absolute dog.

The Falcons currently lead the division, making this a difficult but still possible outcome.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2608
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles should give Nick Sirianni a contract extension

Is it time to give Nick Sirianni a contract extension? He is 41 and 19 is the Eagles' head coach... I think you gotta lock him up long term. I agree. Like that... lock him up.

Sirianni has not received an extension yet, and the take is largely satirical in nature.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2024
#PMT-2024-1111-2610
MemesMemes

The Jets' season is over

The Jet season is... It's over. Yeah, we're good. It's over. We didn't even show up. Went out. Very, very sad.

At 3-7, the Jets' playoff chances are statistically near zero, making this effectively correct.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024
#PMT-2024-1108-9169
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bengals are one of the best teams in the AFC but will probably miss the playoffs

I'm walking away from this Bengals game and I'm thinking the Bengals are one of the best teams in the AFC. And they're probably not gonna make the playoffs.

The Bengals fell to 4-7 following another close loss in Week 11, making their playoff path nearly impossible.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024
#PMT-2024-1108-9170
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Justin Tucker is officially washed

Lamar finds a way there. Justin Tucker. Wash this. It feels like the Ravens might be destined to get into a close playoff game... and to get out kicked. I hope that's not the case, but there's something up with Justin Tucker.

Tucker has struggled significantly in 2024, posting the worst field goal percentage of his career and missing multiple high-leverage kicks.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024
#PMT-2024-1108-9171
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants will win the international game in Germany against the Panthers

I actually think the Giants are gonna win. Do you know the Giants are leading the league in Sacks? 35. Their defensive line is very good... I like the Giants in this game just because I'm gonna bet it because it's gonna be on.

The Panthers defeated the Giants 20-17 in overtime in Germany on November 10, 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1108-9172
HankHank

I'm betting big on the Patriots to cover +6 against the Bears

I'm going to bet this will not be in the Hungry Dog. I'm going to place a large... I'm going to bet Big Patriots plus six. Because then I think the Patriots can keep it close. Cover that.

The Patriots didn't just cover; they won the game outright 19-3.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024
#PMT-2024-1108-9173
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Johnson will not take the Bears head coaching job

[Schefter] said that Ben Johnson is, if he's like, if there's eight interview openings, Ben Johnson will not talk to all eight. Whoever he talks to is someone that he's expecting to take the job essentially saying he's not gonna go to the Bears.

Pending the end of the 2024 season and the hiring cycle.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1108-9174
Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting on the Saints because Darren Rizzi's ears make him an interesting interim coach

Darren Rizzi's ears are fucked up. I don't know what the fuck is going on with his ears. No offense to his ears... It looks like he was wearing sunglasses made out of tungsten... I like that he's got bad ears. It makes it more interesting. Yeah, I like him. I'm gonna take the Saints.

The Saints won their first game under Rizzi, defeating the Falcons 20-17.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1108-9175
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Whichever team wins the Steelers-Commanders game will win their division

Whichever team wins this game, I think that team is gonna win their division. I think they could maybe be thinking soupy [Super Bowl].

The Steelers won the game. As of Week 11, the Steelers lead the AFC North, and while the Commanders lost, both remain in high contention for their divisions.
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