PMTPMT DB

Takes

Void
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12513
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am officially adjusting Justin Fields' stats to remove drops and Hail Mary interceptions

I would like to say and get ahead of this before the end of the season when the Justin Fields debate happens... In my personal book for Justin Fields, at the end of the season, I will be adjusting his stats to include one more touchdown and two fewer interceptions.

While PFT can adjust his personal book, the official NFL stats and the Bears' decision to move on from Fields remain unchanged.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12515
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bears cannot pass up Caleb Williams if he is as good as advertised

if you think that Caleb Williams is like as good as advertised you, you can't pass up drafting him. You can't. I'm just telling you, you're gonna regret that.

The Bears did draft Caleb Williams #1 overall in the 2024 Draft.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-20171
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Flacco was a bum for the first three quarters and then elite — you have to Men in Black yourself to forget the boneheaded mistakes

Flacco was a bum for the first three quarters and then elite. That's what makes [Flacco] so confusing. You have to almost Men in Black yourself and take the device out and make you forget all the boneheaded mistakes that he made. Because he thinks he can make every throw.

PFT's observation that Flacco oscillates between looking terrible and elite within the same game — a widely shared assessment of Flacco's career-long inconsistency.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12516
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers should just run it back with Baker Mayfield next year

If, if I'm, if I'm the Bucs, I think I might just run it back with Baker next year. Why not? Why not? You're probably gonna make the playoffs probably gonna win the division.

The Buccaneers did re-sign Baker Mayfield to a 3-year contract in March 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12518
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt LaFleur might be a coordinator killer

Do we need to talk about LaFleur as being a, a coordinator killer. You know how when you have a, a quarterback that's a coach killer? Yeah. That get slapped to that label. LaFleur might be a coordinator killer. So he's fired three coordinators in five years.

LaFleur did fire Joe Barry (DC) shortly after the season ended, furthering PFT's point.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12519
HankHank

I hope the Chiefs keep Kadarius Toney around just to watch him blow a playoff game

I also just enjoy, I'm, I hope they keep Kadarius Toney around for the playoff run. 'cause watching him blow a playoff game would be just,

The Chiefs kept him for the playoffs, but he was inactive for the Super Bowl. They won the Super Bowl despite his earlier regular-season struggles.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12520
Big CatBig Cat

Whoever loses the Dolphins vs. Cowboys game is officially a fraud

I still think that whoever loses Cowboys Dolphins I'm out on officially. The loser of this game. No one will take serious. Yeah.

The Cowboys lost the game 22-20. Both teams then went on to lose in the Wild Card round, largely confirming Big Cat's 'fraud' suspicion for that season.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12521
Big CatBig Cat

Vic Fangio is the reason I believe in the Dolphins

I stand by the fact... the whole reason that I have believed in the Dolphins in the last couple weeks is 'cause of Vic Fangio today. Their defense was awesome. Shut out. Hard to shut out a team in the NFL. It is, it is... That's why I believe in the Dolphins is Vic Fangio.

The Dolphins' defense struggled late in the season after injuries to Chubb and Phillips, and Fangio left after one season, suggesting the belief was short-lived.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12522
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Derrick Henry has likely played his last game in a Titans/Oilers uniform

Derrick Henry spoke to the media after the game... 'this sucks because I might not ever put on this uniform after the season.' 'cause he's gonna be a free agent at the end of the year... realistically I'm probably not gonna be here next year.

Derrick Henry signed with the Baltimore Ravens in March 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12523
Big CatBig Cat

Ron Rivera is intentionally not trying to win anymore

I don't think he's trying to do anything. He's fired. But he already is fired. Like I think they probably were like, Hey dude, you're a nice guy. We're not gonna fire you during the season... So he just doesn't give a fuck. He's not trying to win this game. No, he can't. There's, it's impossible for somebody to mismanage the end of the game unless they're doing it intentionally.

Rivera was fired immediately after the season ended. While 'intentional losing' is hard to prove, the outcome confirmed his lame-duck status.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1218-12524
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers are a freight train you should not bet against under any circumstances

49ers are a freight train right now and you should not get in front of them under any circumstances. Like if you're trying to bet against the 49ers right now, sit down and ask yourself like why am I doing this? They are really, really fucking good at football and every time they're healthy, they've killed everyone.

The 49ers reached the Super Bowl and were the most dominant team in the NFC for the remainder of the season.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023
#PMT-2023-1215-11059
Big CatBig Cat

Brandon Staley will be fired immediately following the Chargers' blowout loss to the Raiders

I think Brandon Staley might get fired or he is fired already. He might be fired overnight. He might be fired right after this game because we're taping the rare taping in the third quarter of Thursday Night Football. It is 42 to zero. The Las Vegas Raiders versus the Los Angeles Chargers. PFT. He's gone. He has to be gone right now.

Brandon Staley was indeed fired the following morning, December 15, 2023.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023
#PMT-2023-1215-11060
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Brandon Staley has set the analytics community back 40 years

Really you could say Brandon Staley has set the analytics community back like 40 years. Because he's known as the analytics poster boy, the Wonder kid of the analytics movement and the fact that his teams have fallen apart so terribly really makes you think like, I don't want my head coach ever look at a number again.

The impact on the analytics community is subjective and hyperbolic, but Staley's failure did become a common talking point against purely analytical decision-making.
Open
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1215-11061
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL will eventually host a Super Bowl overseas

They are trying like damn hell to get a Super Bowl overseas and we have to stop it. So let's all not watch the first quarter next year of all these games.

While international games are expanding, a Super Bowl has not yet been scheduled or played overseas.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1215-11062
Big CatBig Cat

The Vikings will beat the Bengals because Brian Flores' defense will confuse Jake Browning

I kind of like the Vikings in this game. And I like him because Brian Flores... is doing stuff that people can't even figure out with his defense zone. Blitzes just... he's doing a lot of multiples... I think that this is gonna be Jake Browning's first test. True test because the Colts and the Jaguars aren't great defenses. The Vikings have been playing like a great defense.

The Bengals beat the Vikings 27-24 in overtime.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1215-11063
Big CatBig Cat

You must bet the Steelers to bounce back against the Colts after losing to the league's worst teams

The Steelers just lost to the Cardinals and the Patriots. Two of the worst four teams in the NFL. Mitch [Trubisky] looked really bad. The Steelers have looked really bad. You have to bet the Steelers. That's the vibe. The harder they bounce back.

The Steelers lost to the Colts 30-13.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1215-11064
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers' injury is the most human thing ever, not a superhuman recovery

Aaron Rogers is not even human. I'd actually say missing the entire season because you got injured is the most human thing ever. Well, was he injured scenes? That was, I mean, he's literally showing that he's human. The fact that he hasn't been playing.

Rodgers did not return to play in the 2023 season, confirming he was, in fact, injured and unable to play.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1215-11065
HankHank

The report that the Patriots have decided to fire Bill Belichick is 'fake news'

As a Patriots fan on this podcast, I'm just gonna say that that seems like fake news to me. Seems like a fake news media report from Tom Curran. You know, the media's been out to get us since 2000... Belichick didn't do anything wrong... there's no chance. 0% chance. I don't think Belichick would leave.

Belichick and the Patriots 'mutually agreed to part ways' on January 11, 2024, essentially confirming the reports were accurate.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1215-11066
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL wants the Chiefs to play on Wild Card weekend to maximize ratings from Taylor Swift fans

I think if the NFL wanted anything, they should want the Chiefs not to get the bye. 'cause that's one extra game of ratings for the Swifties Super Wild Card weekend.

The Chiefs did not get a bye (Ravens did) and played on Wild Card weekend against the Dolphins.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1215-11068
HankHank

Dolphins fans are insufferable and it would be funny to see them lose the AFC East

Dolphins fans are annoyingly cocky and Bills fans... I feel more of a connection to... Dolphins fans are insufferable. Like they're super annoying. They're super cocky. They haven't won shit. And seeing them blow a season and somehow lose the AFC East would be funny.

The Dolphins did eventually lose the AFC East to the Bills in Week 18.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023
#PMT-2023-1215-11069
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

Derek Carr is hurting the Saints by playing at 80% while significantly injured

If you're not playing to the level that we need you to play to, you are hurting us... the game is played in the margins and there's too many good players, right? It's just too many dudes who are that good at 70, 80%. Man, you just ain't cutting it... When you're seeing guys at each other in repeated weeks, that's when you know something's really there.

The take is subjective expert analysis on team dynamics and performance impact.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023
#PMT-2023-1215-11070
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

Eric Bieniemy's absence is a major reason for the Chiefs' offensive struggles and lack of discipline

The enemy not being there, it matters. I'm not saying that Andy Reed and these guys aren't great coaches, but Bieniemy had some nastiness about him, right? He had some significant conversations with their players, whether that's Mahomes or other people. And with him not being there, it does get into a place where maybe some things have been allowed or tolerated to a different degree... I do think the enemy not being there hurts because those players in the room are ultimately the guys who have to execute it.

While the Chiefs won the Super Bowl, their regular season offense was statistically worse than in the Bieniemy years, supporting the 'struggles' part of the take.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023
#PMT-2023-1215-11071
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

The Super Bowl will be a matchup between the 49ers and the Ravens

I'm gonna go... I think it's gonna be KC in Baltimore and the AFC, I think Baltimore's gonna go... and I think San Fran... I'm taking San Fran and Philly [in the NFC Championship]... and I'm gonna take San Fran walking through it. So it'll be San Fran and Baltimore in the chip.

He correctly predicted the #1 seeds for each conference making the Super Bowl, but the Chiefs beat the Ravens in the AFC Championship to face the 49ers.
Open
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15429
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Roger Goodell will eventually implement two Monday Night Football games every single week

I'm calling it in the future, it might not be next year, might not be the year after Goodell's gonna want to try to get two Monday night football games. And the fact that these two games [Giants/Packers and Titans/Dolphins] were so good, it's gonna make him think like this was the best idea of all time.

The NFL has continued to experiment with Monday night doubleheaders (staggered or simultaneous) in 2024 and 2025, though they haven't moved to every single week yet.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15430
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears must beat the Browns to realistically consider themselves a playoff contender

They have to beat the Browns. If they don't beat the Browns, then it's just like, this is all, this is all, but if they beat the Browns, then I'm gonna start thinking about playoffs. But it has to, you have to get through that hurdle. And the Browns are really good to get to a point where I can start realistically, like I'm having fun with 'in the hunt.' I'm not actually thinking playoffs right now.

The Bears lost to the Browns 20-17 on December 17, 2023, effectively ending their realistic playoff push.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15433
Big CatBig Cat

The Philadelphia Eagles are actually frauds

Are the Eagles frauds? Are the Eagles frauds? [Max: No.] Are the Eagles frauds? [Max: Yes, like you guys like set this whole thing up.]

The Eagles, who were 10-1 at one point, lost 5 of their last 6 regular season games and were blowout losers in the Wild Card round, widely confirming the 'fraud' label.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15431
Big CatBig Cat

Tyreek Hill is the most important player on the Dolphins and should be the NFL MVP

I do consider myself part of TuAnon, but saying Tyreek Hill is the MVP does not diminish Tua. I think Tua is a very good quarterback when Tyreek Hill is on the field... He looked to me like he's the most important player on the Dolphins and he probably should be considered MVP.

Lamar Jackson won the MVP in 2023. Tyreek Hill finished 6th in voting.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15432
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills will not make the playoffs in 2023

Six and seven. Six, I'm gonna go with the Denver Broncos. And seven, I'm gonna go with the Colts. [Big Cat: So Bills out?] [PFT: Bills out.]

The Bills went on a tear to end the season, finishing 11-6 and winning the AFC East. Both the Broncos and Colts missed the playoffs.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15435
HankHank

Reports that Bill Belichick will leave the Patriots after the season are fake news

Tom Curran, who is not, he's not a fan fictionist, he's, he's real news good reporter, said that at the end of the year, the Patriots and Belichick are probably gonna part ways... I'm just gonna go with the fact that it's a report and it's not true. It might be fake news. I'm hoping it's fake. I'm in the denial stage right now.

The Patriots and Bill Belichick officially parted ways on January 11, 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15436
Stavros HalkiasStavros Halkias

The Baltimore Ravens are the best team in the AFC

I do think they're the best team in the AFC. I still believe in Lamar. I still think the defense, even though Stafford shredded us... objectively, I still feel good.

The Ravens finished 13-4, earning the #1 seed in the AFC.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15437
Stavros HalkiasStavros Halkias

All Pro Edge Rushers should wear numbers in the 90s, not single digits

Fucking edge rushers need to be wearing nineties. Or if you're really fucking cool, maybe a 50... It's fucking weird. It looks like college football and I hate that.

Jersey number preferences are entirely subjective.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1213-15438
Jayden DanielsJayden Daniels

I can throw a football over 70 yards

How far can you throw a football? [Jayden Daniels:] Honestly? Probably over 70... on a good day.

Jayden Daniels claiming he can throw a football over 70 yards is unverifiable without a formal measurement. His arm strength has been praised, but no public test confirms exactly 70+ yards.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-18670
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Puka Nacua's diving catch against the Ravens is the catch of the year so far

That one diving catch that [Puka Nacua] had. I'm putting that, that's my catch of the year so far. Wow. When you take into account everything around it with the weather and the stage and who it was against.

This is subjective, though many analysts cited Nacua's catches in 2023 as among the best.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-18671
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens are currently the best team in the AFC

I believe in the Ravens. I think the Ravens are the best team in the AFC.

The Ravens finished the regular season as the #1 seed in the AFC with a 13-4 record.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-20170
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Flacco is Baldinger's cat — both elite and not elite at the same time, and the debate always ends with 'but so did Trent Dilfer'

I call him Baldinger's cat because he's both elite and not elite at the same time. And he makes everybody furious depending on what your take on Joe Flacco is. And here's how the conversation always goes. Is Joe Flacco elite? Yes. Why? He won a Super Bowl. So did Trent Dilfer. And that's the end of that conversation.

PFT lays out the full Baldinger's cat framework and the Trent Dilfer loop — an accurate description of how the Flacco elite conversation always plays out.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-18672
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars are a smoke and mirrors team

The Jaguars feel like they're smoke and mirrors team. And it's starting to, we're starting to kind of get through the fog and we're like, 'Hey, wait a second. Why did we anoint the Jaguars?'

The Jaguars started 8-3 and finished 9-8, missing the playoffs, confirming the 'smoke and mirrors' / fraud narrative.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-18673
Big CatBig Cat

I want the Bears to draft Caleb Williams and move on from Justin Fields

I think they're gonna take Caleb Williams, which I'm all for. ... I don't think I want Justin Fields back.

The Bears did exactly this: they traded Justin Fields to the Steelers and drafted Caleb Williams with the #1 overall pick in 2024.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-18674
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott is the frontrunner for MVP with serious momentum

Dak looks really good. I think Dak, MVP. ... Dak MVP feels like it's got some momentum now.

Dak Prescott finished 2nd in MVP voting; Lamar Jackson won the award.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-18675
MemesMemes

Zach Wilson is the perfect backup quarterback but can't play a full season

I think he's not good, but I think he's just the perfect backup quarterback where a guy goes down, he goes in, gives you a spark and that's it. ... Can't play a full season.

Wilson was eventually benched again later in the season and traded in the off-season, confirming he wasn't viewed as a starter.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-18676
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers at their best are better than any team in football

I would say the 49ers at their best are better than any team in football. Yes. At their best. They can't be beat.

The 49ers made the Super Bowl but lost to the Chiefs, who proved to be 'better' in the championship game.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2023
#PMT-2023-1211-18677
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Broncos can still win the AFC West

The Broncos can still win the AFC West. If Mike Pence has the courage. They're one game out. ... There's a world where they only lose one of the remaining games.

The Chiefs won the AFC West; the Broncos finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs.
Win
#PMT-2023-1211-18678
HankHank

The Eagles will lose in the first round of the playoffs

My overly direct take of the weekend is that the Eagles are gonna lose the first round of the playoffs. ... I was watching the defense. Defense wins championships. And the Eagles defense doesn't exist.

The Eagles suffered a historic collapse and lost 32-9 to the Buccaneers in the Wild Card round.
Push
#PMT-2023-1211-18679
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Broncos, Bengals, and Bills will all make the playoffs as AFC wild card teams

My overly direct take... is that the Broncos, Bengals and Bills are all outta the playoffs right now. They're all gonna be the wild card teams in the AFC.

The Bills made the playoffs, but the Bengals and Broncos both missed.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2023
#PMT-2023-1208-10973
Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers are not a playoff team

The Steelers are bad. And I'm, listen, I don't think the Steelers are a playoff team. They shouldn't be. They're now officially outside of the playoffs, which is good for football.

The Steelers actually did make the playoffs as a Wild Card team in 2023 despite Big Cat's claim that they shouldn't/wouldn't be there.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2023
#PMT-2023-1208-10982
Big CatBig Cat

You can't win a Super Bowl if you used the 9/11 hijackers for motivation

I'm gonna say you can't win a super Bowl if, if that happened. I'm gonna agree with that. I'm gonna go, you know what? So everything we said, we we're no more glazing. We have not glazed anymore. Pardon, My, Take. We're removing the glaze.

The Bills were eliminated in the Divisional Round by the Chiefs, failing to win the Super Bowl.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2023
#PMT-2023-1208-10989
Bart ScottBart Scott

The Patriots' era of dominance was more about Tom Brady than Bill Belichick

Pretty soon Bill Belichick is entering the sift Lord type of realm where I think that fans are gonna start to hate him. They realize that the Patriot wave was more about, you know, Tom Brady than it was him.

This is a subjective historical debate, but Brady's success in Tampa vs. Belichick's struggles post-Brady fueled this narrative.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2023
#PMT-2023-1208-10975
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mark Andrews is to the Ravens what Travis Kelce is to the Chiefs

I feel like Mark Andrews is to the Ravens, what Travis Kelce is to the Chiefs. Yeah. He's not as good as Travis Kelce. He's still very, very good. One of the best. He's baby Kelce.

Subjective comparison of value to their respective offenses.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2023
#PMT-2023-1208-10977
Big CatBig Cat

The Colts will win 10 games this year

I think the Colts are gonna have 10 wins this year. You think? You think Sean Peyton ever did a bounty on a punter.

The Colts finished the 2023 season with a 9-8 record, just missing the 10-win mark.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2023
#PMT-2023-1208-10987
Rob GronkowskiRob Gronkowski

Bill Belichick will stay with the Patriots next year

I truly believe that he will be here next year. But if he does go to another team like the Washington Commanders, I mean it doesn't really, you know, ri rival with the New England Patriots... But I just don't see that happening after this year. I think he'll definitely have another year to redeem himself.

Belichick and the Patriots mutually parted ways after the season in January 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2023
#PMT-2023-1208-10978
Big CatBig Cat

The Superdome is no longer a home field advantage for the Saints

The dome is not the dome. Yeah. It's, it goes, the dome has been aging along with a lot of the roster. Right... they're 0 and 5 against the spread this year at home... five and 15 against the spread at home since 2021.

The Saints' home ATS record remained poor throughout the season, supporting the claim that the 'Dome' advantage isn't what it used to be.
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