All Takes
The Triple Crown schedule must be adjusted as trainers will no longer run horses on two weeks' rest
The Preakness is a classic... but they think it is counterproductive to bring [Sovereignty] back in just two weeks... It's gonna happen more and more frequently in the future until such time as the Triple Crown races become further apart on the calendar.
The 2025 Black-eyed Susan field is the weakest the race has seen in a long time
It's, it's not a, honestly, it's not a really good black eye, Susan. Okay. In fact, it's one of the worst black eye Susans that I've seen in a long time in terms of quality... it's a pretty weak field.
Clever Again is a strong play to beat the favorite Journalism in the Preakness
There's another horse in the race called Clever Again, trained by Steve Asmussen... he's got speed. He's coming off a really strong race. He's had plenty of rest... I think [he's] a good play to take a shot against Journalism.
Fierceness is two to three lengths better than any other horse in the Kentucky Derby field
I think [Fierceness] is two to three lengths better than any other horse right now in the field... I think if he's ridden properly, I think [Fierceness] is, you know, clearly, clearly the horse to beat.
Sovereignty is a much better workhorse at Churchill Downs than he has been in the past
One of those kind of horses... is Sovereignty trained by Bill Mott, stretch runner Godolphin second in the Florida Derby. He is always been just a very average workhorse, and he's looked a lot better in the morning here at Churchill Downs than he has in the past.
A prime Secretariat could not win a race with a 235-pound Big Cat in the saddle
No shot, Big Cat, no shot. I'm sorry to tell you that. [You would finish] probably dead last. Even if you were an accomplished equestrian, at that weight riding Secretariat? No. He'd be up the track.
I would bet against the favorite Good Cheer in the Kentucky Oaks
In the Kentucky Oaks, the big favorite is Good Cheer. I think she's worth taking a shot against just because her numbers are not all that great. There's a horse in there named Quiet Side that I think would be worth the play, despite her number 14 post position.
Castle Chaos has a great chance to win the Knicks Go at a big price
In the fourth race in the Knicks Go, there's a horse called Castle Chaos... he's 20 to one in the program. I'm telling you, he's got a hell of a chance to win the Knicks Go at a... I'm expecting more like 10 to one, 12 to one. But still, I mean, I think Castle Chaos has a big shot.
Secretariat was likely racing on anabolic steroids
I think a pretty strong possibility that Secretariat was racing on anabolic steroids. But here's the deal. So were the other horses he was running against. It doesn't really taint his legacy in any way to me because he was an incredibly dominant race horse at a time when pretty much all the horses were running on that stuff.
Mystic Dan is a bet-against in the Preakness Stakes
I think he is a bet against. He got a perfect trip [in the Derby], which he's probably not gonna get Saturday. He's coming back in two weeks. For all those reasons, from a betting standpoint, I think he's a bet against.
Tuscan Gold is the best bet to win the Preakness Stakes
To me, the bet in the Preakness is a horse called Tuscan Gold, trained by Chad Brown. On numbers, he's just as good as Mystic Dan in my opinion... and he should be a higher price.
Fierceness is the best horse in the Kentucky Derby by three or four lengths
If all the horses run their best races, Fierceness wins the race, hands down. Talent wise, Fierceness is probably three or four lengths better than any other horse in the field.
Forever Young has travel and track concerns heading into the Derby
Forever Young is the most accomplished Japanese horse that's ever come over here... but I've got two concerns... the travel bothered him... the other thing, the trainer seems to be borderline obsessive about keeping this horse out of this kickback spray in his face.
Coppi is my favorite bet of the weekend in the Distaff Turf Mile (Race 7) on Saturday
The horse I like the most in the two days for betting purposes is running on Saturday in the seventh race. It's a race called the Distaff Turf Mile and her name is Coppi... The reviews of this horse back at the barn in the mornings have been absolutely glowing.
National Treasure will win the Preakness Stakes
I'll take National Treasure. I think he's gonna control the pace... to me that gives him the edge.
Faiza is the standout favorite for the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes
I think Faiza is a standout in the Black-Eyed Susan... Peterson said no, I'm staying loyal to [Baffert]... she's undefeated.
Derma Sotogake will win the Kentucky Derby
There are two Japanese horses in the Derby this year. One of them is my pick to win the Derby... His name is Derma Sotogake.
Add Disarm to your Kentucky Derby trifecta because he is a great finisher
If you're looking for a big long shot to throw into the try other than Hit Show, I would say a horse called Disarm who's gonna be a stretcher runner who's doing really well.
Wet Paint will be very hard to beat in the Kentucky Oaks
It's gonna be hard to beat the favorite, the favorite's name is Wet Paint... She's a horse that's won, I think, three races in a row... I like a Wet Paint South Lawn Exacta.
Flightline was a better horse than American Pharoah
Secretariat was the best... The four best horses that I've seen... were Secretariat, Flightline, Spectacular Bid, and American Pharoah... I would put 'em in that order. And I know some people think it's heresy to say that Flightline was better than American Pharoah... but I just think that Flightline was better.
Early Voting has a rest advantage that could challenge Epicenter in the Preakness
I agree with you. I think that [Epicenter] stands out in the field on paper, but Early Voting would have an edge he'll he'll probably set the pace. Epicenter should be right behind him. And Early Voting does have the edge of rest having not run since the Wood Memorial. So that will help his chances.
The Preakness is historically a better race for fillies than the other Triple Crown races
I do think that the Preakness is usually a better race for fillies. We haven't had a Kentucky Derby, a Philly that's won the Kentucky Derby since winning colors in 1988... But we saw Rachel Alexandra, for example, beat the boys in the Preakness. I think that was 2009, very impressively.
Don't worry about Taiba's lack of experience in the Kentucky Derby; horse racing has changed and horses run less often now.
No horse in more than a century has won the Kentucky Derby with only two previous lifetime starts. I don't care about that. Staff times have changed and thoroughbred racing horses are running less and less often than they used to. So if you like [Taiba] to win, the Kentucky Derby don't pay any attention to his inexperience.
The Japanese horse Crown Pride is a legitimate threat in the Kentucky Derby
Every day in the last two weeks, big cat, it is looking more and more possible... He has been sensational here in Churchill Downs. And this morning he had a workout... everyone was like, holy crap, did you see that Japanese horse work this morning? I mean, the horse looks great.
The Kentucky Derby is the best litmus test of greatness of any race in America.
The Derby is probably the best litmus test of greatness of any race in America. So the 20 horses is part of that... what it takes win the Kentucky Derby: the patience, the acceleration, the ability to hit the holes when you need to hit the holes, the overall talent to beat the best horses [of] a generation.
Epicenter is my pick to win the Kentucky Derby
Epicenter is the perfect horse to take advantage of an inside post position because he has tactical speed... I think it's a great post position for Epicenter, probably why that's why I'm picking him.
Nest is an absolute standout to win the Kentucky Oaks.
I love Nest. Nest is the program favorite, which surprised me... she was the two-year-old filly champion. I think Nest is an absolute standout to win the Kentucky Oaks.
Medina Spirit will almost certainly be disqualified from the Kentucky Derby
If the split sample comes back, the second sample that Baffert is sending out to verify the presence of beta-methasone in the horse's system, if it comes back positive, the horse is going to be disqualified almost certainly from the Kentucky Derby... I feel pretty confident in saying that the horse will probably be disqualified.
The medication in Medina Spirit's system made zero difference in the Kentucky Derby outcome
The amount of beta-methasone that he had in his system absolutely positively in my opinion and according to the opinion of some of the top veterinarians that I've talked to made zero difference whatsoever in the way the horse ran in the derby. It was one one millionth of a gram... There's no way that it had any impact at all on the way he ran.
Bet against Medina Spirit in the Preakness because his Kentucky Derby victory was due to an fluke easy pace
If you're a better player, and the odds of the horse in the Preakness reflect what he did in the Kentucky Derby when he got away with such an easy, advantageous trip... then you're supposed to bet against horses like this. So that's the justification against Medina Spirit.
Jockey changes among elite riders make zero difference in major races
When you're betting and you get into a race like the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness, the jockeys involved are all so good and so competent that the difference between jockey A and jockey B, jockey B and jockey C is negligible... just ignore the rider and focus on the abilities of the horse.
Bet on a Sacred Life and Some Like It Hot Brown exacta in the Dinner Party Stakes
Chad Brown has a horse in there named Sacred Life that looks like an absolute standout... I think if you hook him up in an exacta with the number one horse, Some Like It Hot Brown... I like the 5-1 Exacta, Sacred Life and Some Like It Hot Brown in the race before the Preakness.
Essential Quality is a machine but hasn't run a fast race yet
He's just a machine so far... The one knock on him... [is] he's yet to run what most people would consider to be a fast race by Kentucky Derby favorite standards.
Bob Baffert is the most successful horse trainer of all time
When Bob retires, I think he's in his late 60s, but he's going strong. He'll be the most successful horse trainer of all time.
The #1 post position at the Kentucky Derby is not a disadvantage
There's this bs out there that's been out there for years that the number one post position is this horrible disadvantage and it's not... the advantage of saving ground being on the inside around the turns makes the horse run better than his odds would indicate.
Essential Quality will NOT win the 2021 Kentucky Derby
I can't tell you who I'm going to pick, but it's not Essential Quality.
Bet on Endorsed in the 10th race at Churchill Downs on Saturday
There is a horse running Saturday in the 10th race... His name is Endorsed and I will endorse betting on Endorsed... I think the horse is an excellent play.
Maximum Security's Florida Derby win was 'phony' because he wasn't pressured
Let's make Maximum Security into the villain... there should be kind of an asterisk by his last win in the Florida Derby because the competition in that race just basically handed him the race... Everybody else just decided to take back, and all of a sudden this horse is just cruising.
Game Winner is the best of Bob Baffert's three Kentucky Derby contenders
Game winner, trained by Bob Baffert... I think he's the logical horse. Game winner to me is the best one of the three. He's 0 for 2 this year, but he should have won both those races. I think he's coming up to the race in good fashion.
Win-Win-Win and By My Standards are the best long shots in the Kentucky Derby
Win-win-win and a horse named By My Standards, who won the Louisiana Derby... anywhere from 18 to 25 to 1. That's about the price win-win-win is going to be, too. I think [Win-win-win] is set up to run a pretty good race.
Bet against Bellafina in the Kentucky Oaks because she doesn't like the track at Churchill Downs
The favorite in the Oaks is going to be a horse named Bellafina... The only bad race Bellafina has ever had in her life was... here at Churchill Downs. She doesn't look very good [this week]... for a horse to have those negatives and to be the favorite, I think it's a good horse to bet against.
Justify may be running low on energy heading into the Belmont Stakes
In the Preakness, he wasn't quite as good as he was in the Kentucky Derby... Energy level might be getting a little bit low. He really needed that wire to come up when it did in the Preakness... How much he's got left in the tank is the big question.
Hofburg and Vino Rosso are the best horses to bet on to beat Justify
I think the two best horses to be betting on in this Belmont are Hofburg and Vino Rosso... Ten of the last 18 years, the Belmont has been won by horses that ran on Kentucky Derby weekend, skipped the Preakness, and waited for the Belmont to be rested.
Free Drop Billy is a strong longshot bet to finish in the Belmont Stakes superfecta
There's another horse in there that fits that profile that's probably going to be 20-1. His name is Free Drop Billy... I think he's got a good shot to be part of, let's say, the Superfecta at a big price.
Call to Mind is the top horse to bet in the Belmont Gold Cup
The horse's name is Call to Mind, M-I-N-D, Call to Mind, number one in the Belmont Gold Cup tomorrow. I don't know what the price is going to be... but there's another horse if you want to hook that one up in some exotics.
Gronkowski the horse does not have much of a chance in the Belmont Stakes
We talked to the trainer, and he doesn't even know what to expect... It's like he's been going up against Class A pitching, and now he's got to go against the Yankees. So you have no idea what to expect. Big, nice, good-looking horse. I don't think he has much of a chance.
The Curse of Apollo in the Kentucky Derby is absolute BS
To be honest with you, 2018, it's absolute BS. It should have gone up in flames six years ago with a horse named Bodie Meister... now this year there are two horses, Justify... and Magnum Moon... it matters not even a little bit.
Justify is the most likely winner of the Kentucky Derby
I think Justify is probably the most likely winner, although he's going to be the favorite.
Midnight Bisou will win the Kentucky Oaks
I think the winner of the Oaks is going to be a horse named Midnight Bisou... She comes from behind, makes this electrifying move from off the pace.
Mares can continue to race effectively while pregnant
Some of those horses have that special glow. That's when you know they're pregnant. No, seriously. There have been numerous situations in horse racing where Mayors that were just on the verge of retirement and were bred still continue to race and race well for a while while they were carrying a baby. That does happen.
