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NFL Week 9 Picks And Preview, TNF Sucked, Brian Baldinger Joins The Show To Talk Some Ball Plus Fyre Fest Of The Week

Friday, November 6, 202625 takes · Transcript ↓

Thursday Night Football was an absolute stinker as Joe Fagnano wasn't allowed to shine and the Jaguars absolutely dominated the Ravens. Kyler Murray is injured and Carson Wentz is back in for the Vikings (-). Week 9 Picks and Preview we talk every game including another international game, the future of Bryce Young, Jordan Love antagonizing the refs on Halloween and Glen Tape Watch. We then do our picks and fahntasy preview (-). Brian Baldinger joins the show to talk some football, who is popping off in the film, teams he loves, teams he hates and more (-). We finish with Fyre Fest of the WeekYou can find every episode of this show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or Netflix. Prime Members can listen ad-free on Amazon Music. For more, visit barstool.link/pardon-my-take

Joe Fagnano was barely allowed to play quarterback, the Jaguars turned Baltimore into a rain-soaked crime scene, and Pardon My Take made the mature decision to stop watching Thursday Night Football before it got even worse. That set the tone for a Week 9 preview packed with backup quarterbacks, dangerous dogs, a live golf funeral, and the most ambitious studio urinal proposal in podcast history.

The Joe Fagnano Appreciation Game

Big Cat and PFT had already accepted that the Ravens were not coming back, but their sympathy was directed almost entirely toward Joe Fagnano, who was being treated like a ceremonial guest at his own NFL debut. Amazon burned through his family footage early because, as PFT put it, there might never be another opportunity to use it. Big Cat, meanwhile, laddered Fagnano's passing yards because “what if he throws a screen pass to Derrick Henry?”

The Jaguars were the only team on the field that looked like it knew what was happening. Big Cat called them Super Bowl contenders, while PFT gave Trevor Lawrence the kind of full-system reboot endorsement usually reserved for a quarterback who has just discovered the forward pass.

Open
Nov 6, 2026
#31826
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars are Super Bowl contenders

I think the Jags are a Super Bowl contender easily. There's no question about it. I think it's because of Liam Coen for sure.

The Jaguars' eventual Super Bowl result will determine this prediction; the 2026 season is still in progress.

Liam Coen also received a top-five coach coronation, with Big Cat crediting him for finally getting Lawrence to stop thinking and start ripping it. The only criticism of Jacksonville was that Coen might be getting too skinny, which somehow became a serious discussion about tucking his ears into his hat.

The Vikings provided the other quarterback emergency. Kyler Murray was hurt, Carson Wentz was back, and PFT briefly tried to sell everyone on the idea that Wentz could still be good. Big Cat made the obvious, completely normal conclusion:

Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31847
Big CatBig Cat

Carson Wentz is better than Kyler Murray

Carson Wentz—I'll say this. Carson Wentz is better than Kyler Murray.

This is a subjective quarterback comparison that cannot be definitively resolved.

Week 9 Has No Main Event

The slate lacked a clean marquee matchup, so the show built its entertainment around quarterback roulette. Joe Milton became Bazooka Joe, Max started talking himself into the Eagles' emergency starter, and Big Cat announced that he would be laddering Milton's passing yards. PFT's argument was simple: Milton may throw two balls that can be picked off, but he will also throw two that are “bigger than your two balls.”

Open
Nov 6, 2026·Picks
#31830
MaxMax

Joe Milton can make the Eagles fun again

I don't know if he's gonna be an excellent quarterback in the NFL, but I do think he—

Whether Milton becomes an excellent NFL quarterback is a future career question and remains unresolved.

The Bryce Young contract conversation was the purest example of NFL front-office brain poisoning. Everyone kept saying the Panthers had to extend him because quarterbacks do not grow on trees, even though the phrase “he's not the worst” should probably trigger an immediate pause before guaranteeing a quarterback nine figures.

Big Cat eventually landed on a broader rule: the expensive quarterback in the mushy middle can be worse than starting over.

Void
Nov 6, 2026·Picks
#31833
Big CatBig Cat

Paying a 14-to-20th-best quarterback long term is worse than starting over

Having a guy who's like a 10 to 15 best quarterback and giving him a significant amount of money is maybe worse. ... 14 to 20, you give that guy a guaranteed long-term contract. That's way worse than just being like, you know what, we'll just keep going to the roulette wheel on the quarterbacks.

This is a strategic opinion about quarterback roster construction, not a claim with one definitive outcome.

That same segment featured Big Cat taking the Seahawks over the Cardinals specifically because Drew Lock will fire the pigskin, and claiming the Bears are better than the Buccaneers. The Bears-Bucs game also earned the coveted “letdown spot of the letdown spot” label after Chicago's emotional win over Seattle, which is exactly the kind of sentence that makes a Sunday night game feel dangerous.

Baldy Brings the Tape

Brian Baldinger joined the show and immediately went to the trenches, where he crowned Jeffrey Simmons the best defensive lineman in football. Baldy loves a player who ruins the intended point of attack, and Simmons apparently does that on nearly every snap while playing 90 percent of the game.

Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31836
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

Jeffrey Simmons is the best defensive lineman in football

He's the best defensive lineman in football. ... He's unblockable one-on-one. ... He does make everybody better.

Best defensive lineman is an evaluative judgment, although Simmons' play can be compared statistically and on film.

The 49ers also got a January endorsement. With DeForest Buckner, Nick Bosa eventually returning, and young defenders like Grayson Halt and Jayden de la Torre giving the defense some juice, Baldinger sees San Francisco as a team that can be ready when the real football starts.

The Chargers, on the other hand, do not have a secret scheme waiting to unlock them. Baldy said the problem starts with talent: not enough reliable targets, no consistent run game, and an offensive line that has been forced to play too many rookies. That is a much harsher diagnosis than simply blaming Justin Herbert or asking whether Jim Harbaugh has enough vibes.

Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31838
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

The Chargers have a talent problem, not just a scheme problem

It starts with talent. Like they don't have a talented roster offensively. ... They don't really have targets that you can count on. ... They can't run the ball at all.

This is a film-based diagnosis with subjective elements, even though roster and injury facts can be verified.

Baldinger was equally direct about Dallas, calling the Micah Parsons trade the dumbest thing the Cowboys have ever done as an organization. The Cowboys can collect Rashan Gary, draft Malachi Lawrence, and acquire every available pass rusher in the league, but none of them are Micah Parsons. Jerry Jones probably felt that one in his auction paddle.

Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31840
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

Trading Micah Parsons was the Cowboys' dumbest move

They still miss Micah Parsons. Like it was still the dumbest thing they've ever done as an organization. ... None of them are Micah Parsons.

Whether the trade was the Cowboys' single dumbest organizational decision is inherently evaluative.

The NFC North Panic Button

The most surprising Baldy call came in the NFC North. Despite Minnesota leading the division, he identified the Vikings as the team most likely to miss the playoffs because the offense has not been good enough and the defense is being asked to solve every problem with pressure. Justin Jefferson being invisible in the passing game was the detail that made the warning feel especially serious.

Open
Nov 6, 2026
#31841
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

The Vikings are the NFC North team most likely to miss the playoffs

I would say the team that I would be most worried about is the team that actually leads the division. And that's the Minnesota—just because offensively they have not been a good offense.

The Vikings' final playoff status will resolve this prediction after the 2026 regular season.

Baldinger still likes the Giants, praising the secondary, the defensive coordinator, JJ McCarthy's deep-ball touch, and a defensive front that can make life miserable. He also said Jalen Carter is not currently dominating the way he did earlier in his career, which is a pretty notable critique from someone who had previously treated Carter like a human demolition crew.

The Steelers received a more positive review. Their offensive line switch helped unlock the run game, Jalen Warren is now the team's MVP, and Max Hancher has apparently turned into a better pick than the player Pittsburgh originally wanted. Baldy did not come to play “everyone is promising.” He came with winners and losers.

Picks, Tape Watch, and a Golf Funeral

The official picks included a Jets addiction, an Eagles-Giants over powered by Bazooka Joe, and the annual ceremony where Zach tries to escape the betting basement. Glen Tape Watch delivered a mountain of Patriots statistics about AJ Brown, only for Hank to point out that the sample size was tiny and one of the games was the Seahawks monsoon. Glen remains undefeated in confidence, if not always in relevance.

The Fyre Fest was daylight saving time making it dark before dinner, but the real emotional damage came from Liv Golf supposedly winding down. The show had already buried Liv once, so when another report said it was officially shutting down, Max and Hank argued over whether “wind down” and “shut down” mean the same thing. They do not, apparently, and PFT would like to purchase the intellectual property.

Then PFT took issue with Wesley Bryan suggesting that the Internet Invitational would be better if eight of its weaker golfers were replaced by the best players in the world. PFT's counterproposal was the exact opposite: add even worse golfers, because every shot could become either a disaster or an all-time clip.

Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Internet Invitational is better with bad golfers

I would rather get rid of the best eight players and then add eight more that are worse than all of us. Because the worst players, like when you're watching the worst player, any shot could either be a disaster or awesome.

The ideal composition of an entertainment golf tournament is subjective.

That led directly to the campaign to get Hank into next year's tournament, where PFT promised to beat him in front of more cameras than Hank has ever seen. Hank admitted that cameras turn his golf game into a mental disaster, which is the kind of honest self-scouting that makes him both an ideal participant and the least likely person to volunteer.

The episode ended with Big Cat and PFT planning multiple urinals for the studio, complete with ice, a cold plunge, and the possibility of Ed Sheeran eventually needing to pee next to them. If the new PMT studio does not smell like a sports bar bathroom by next week, somebody has failed the mission.

The only thing more dangerous than Joe Milton's arm is Big Cat being told he cannot install a urinal.

nfl-week-9joe-miltonbrian-baldingerbryce-youngjaguarsnfc-northinternet-invitational

More Takes

Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31827
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Trevor Lawrence is an awesome quarterback

Once you get him to stop thinking, like once his brain can just shut up and get rid of all the pre-snap anxiety that he used to have when he had some questionable coaches, that dude's an awesome quarterback.

This is primarily an evaluative opinion about Lawrence's play and cannot be definitively judged.
Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31848
Big CatBig Cat

Liam Coen is already a top-five NFL coach

Liam Coen, did he really unlock? Remember ever since Trevor Lawrence, when he told him to rip it, he's just been coaching his ass off and they're just dominating. ... Top five coach in the NFL easily.

Coach rankings are inherently subjective and cannot be definitively judged.
Open
Nov 6, 2026·Picks
#31828
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals could finish as the AFC's No. 1 seed

Could you conceivably see the Bengals getting to 13 wins? If they get to 13 wins, will they have a chance to be the one seed? I would, I think they'd be in the conversation.

The Bengals' final record and AFC seeding will resolve this after the regular season.
Void
Nov 6, 2026·Picks
#31829
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins could be a dangerous upset pick against Detroit

They've been having some backdoor covers recently. This might be, if I were to make a hungry dog, I would look at the Dolphins very hard.

This is an assessment of a betting spot and is not inherently resolvable as a lasting opinion.
Open
Nov 6, 2026·Picks
#31831
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders' season rides on beating the Rams

If we can beat these Rams, lookout, because then I think we beat the Giants the week after. ... If we lose this game, it's probably, it's probably over. That's curtains.

Washington's eventual season trajectory after this game will determine whether the game was truly season-defining.
Void
Nov 6, 2026·Picks
#31832
Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers should probably extend Bryce Young

I think I'd do it. ... You have to do it. But saying anytime you're like so much, I think I do it—much. He's got to do it. Right. You have to do it.

Whether extending Bryce Young would be the right decision is ultimately a franchise-evaluation judgment.
Void
Nov 6, 2026·Picks
#31834
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are better with Drew Lock

Seahawks better with Drew Lock. Drew Lock takes chances. ... When Sam Darnold's a hundred percent, he's better. But we've seen—Drew Lock does like, he will fire that fucking pigskin.

This is a comparative quarterback opinion that cannot be definitively resolved in the abstract.
Void
Nov 6, 2026·Picks
#31835
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears are better than the Buccaneers

I think the Bears are better than the Bucs. ... I think the Bears are really fucking good.

This is a subjective comparison of two teams at that point in the season.
Open
Nov 6, 2026
#31837
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

The 49ers are built for January football

I feel like you get the Forest Buckner, you get the development of some of these young guys, you get Bosa back, like I think they're gonna be ready for some January football.

The 49ers' playoff qualification and postseason readiness will be resolved by the 2026-27 playoffs.
Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31839
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

The Rams are better when they use three tight ends

I feel like Stafford gets protected, he doesn't turn the ball over as much and they control the game, you know, and then you're gonna get Miles and back and you got Trent McDuffie back last week. ... They're really good at it.

The effectiveness of the Rams' three-tight-end usage is a football evaluation rather than a single definitively right-or-wrong claim.
Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31842
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

Jonathan Taylor could be the difference for Denver

I feel like Jonathan Taylor on that team might be the difference. ... At some point in the playoffs, if you have a lead, you wanna be able to melt the clock. You wanna be able to control the ball.

This depends on whether Taylor joins Denver and whether the resulting team makes a meaningful playoff run.
Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31843
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

Jalen Carter is not dominating like he used to

He's the highest paid defensive tackle in football. ... He was a violent wrecker of everything. ... And I don't see that right now. I haven't seen him just dominate the front the way he's capable of doing it.

This is a current film assessment that can be debated and measured through snaps, pressures, and run disruption.
Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31844
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

The Giants are real contenders in the NFC

The corners have played well. The safeties have played well. The defensive coordinator's talented. So I'm a believer in the Giants right now.

This is a team evaluation and playoff outlook that remains subjective at this point in the season.
Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31850
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

Max Hancher was a better pick than Makai Lemon

The fallback was Max Hancher and it turned out to be a much better pick than Makai Lemon.

This is a player-evaluation opinion, although future performance can provide evidence for or against it.
Void
Nov 6, 2026
#31845
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

Jalen Warren is the Steelers' MVP

Jalen Warren—he's the MVP right now. Yeah, he's the MVP of the team.

Team MVP is an evaluative opinion and cannot be definitively judged.
Open
Nov 6, 2026
#31846
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

The Bengals will not be one-and-done in the playoffs

I feel like if they get to the playoffs, they're not gonna be a one-and-done because of their defense.

This will be resolved by Cincinnati's 2026-27 postseason result, assuming the Bengals qualify.

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