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Field Yates

Field Yates

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2021 — 2024
10W·2L·3P·0 open
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All Takes

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There is a massive talent drop-off in this draft after the 'Big Three' wide receivers

One of the cool things about this draft class is you got three receivers at the very top in [Marvin Harrison Jr.], Malik Nabors, and also Rome Odunze... in a different draft, all three of those guys could easily be the number one wide receiver taken. There's a very, very small difference at the very top between [them]. All three of those guys are part of the blue chip group... [then there's] a drop.

Harrison, Nabers, and Odunze all went in the top 9, while the next WR wasn't drafted until pick 23, validating the talent gap.
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Field YatesField Yates

The absolute floor for JJ McCarthy in the draft is pick #11 for the Minnesota Vikings

I don't think [JJ McCarthy] will fall... I would think the floor for JJ McCarthy, the absolute floor would be 11th for the Vikings. But that would be a really, like, that would be a ballsy game of chicken the Vikings would be playing if they don't move up. I think JJ's floor is 11. I think the more realistic floor is probably somewhere within the first six picks.

McCarthy was drafted 10th by the Vikings after they traded up one spot.
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Field YatesField Yates

Jaden Daniels will be the number two overall pick in the NFL Draft

I feel good about Jaden Daniels going number two. You know, this past week was interesting obviously—mostly incited by Jaden Daniels' agent taking to Twitter... but I do think Jaden Daniels ends up going number two overall.

Jaden Daniels was selected 2nd overall by the Commanders.
Push
Field YatesField Yates

The Bills, Bengals, Jaguars, Chiefs, Jets, Dolphins, and Ravens will make the AFC playoffs

Division winners: Bills big time all the way in, Bengals, Jaguars, Chiefs... And then Jets, Dolphins, Ravens. So three teams from the AFC East.

He went 4 for 7 on this list; the Bills, Chiefs, Dolphins, and Ravens made the playoffs, while the Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets missed.
Loss
Field YatesField Yates

The Steelers' consecutive non-losing seasons streak ends this year

I think this streak comes to an end this year... Someone has to be last in that division, right? And I think that's the Steelers, not the Browns.

The Steelers finished the 2023 season with a 10-7 record, extending Mike Tomlin's streak of non-losing seasons to 17. The prediction was incorrect.
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Field YatesField Yates

Vic Fangio is a walking top 10 defense

Vic Fangio is there and it's like, damn. He's so good. He's a walking top 10 defense.

The Dolphins' defense finished 10th in total yards allowed, satisfying the literal 'top 10' claim, though they were 22nd in points allowed.
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Field YatesField Yates

The Eagles, Packers, Chiefs, Cowboys, and Lions have the top five offensive lines in the NFL

Eagles number one. I will go with Packers, Chiefs, Cowboys. And Lions. Browns would be another one that I would consider.

Post-season analysis from PFF and other metrics confirmed these five units were indeed the premier offensive lines for the 2023 season.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Dak Prescott will have a bounce-back season and sign a $50M+ extension

I am a Dak guy. At some point I expect Dak to sign a pretty unbelievable extension. Like probably $50 million or more per year. And I'm right to quote, 'this will be a bounce back Dak season.'

Dak Prescott finished 2nd in MVP voting in 2023 with 36 TDs and 9 INTs, a massive bounce back. In September 2024, he signed a 4-year, $240M extension ($60M/yr), exceeding Field's $50M estimate.
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Field YatesField Yates

The Eagles, Vikings, Saints, 49ers, Seahawks, Cowboys, and Lions will make the NFC playoffs

Division winners: Eagles, NFC North... I took the Vikings previously... Eagles, Vikings, Saints. And then 49ers. Seahawks make it back this year. Cowboys, Lions for the seventh.

He went 4 for 7 on this list; the Eagles, 49ers, Cowboys, and Lions made the playoffs, while the Vikings, Saints, and Seahawks missed.
Loss
Field YatesField Yates

Sam Howell is a better quarterback prospect than Brock Purdy

Redraft Sam Howell right now... Sam Howell would be two [among the 2022 class behind Pickett]... It's a Brock Purdy Sam Howell conversation. I don't want to take away from a kid [Purdy] who helped [the 49ers] win a ton of games last year, but that is as brilliant of a coaching system as there is right now.

Purdy led the 49ers to a Super Bowl and was an MVP finalist, while Howell was eventually benched by the Commanders and traded.
Void
Field YatesField Yates

The NFL is due for a 'tight end tax' to correct the market for elite players like Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce would be like the 27th highest paid wide receiver if you just made him a wide receiver right now. It's absurd. We're due for like a little bit of a tight end tax because there are guys like Brock Bowers from Georgia this year is gonna be a problem. There's some legit college prospects that give me some hope that the tight end spot can get closer in line.

Whether the NFL market has seen a 'tight end tax' correction is a subjective market analysis. Tight end contracts have increased but the concept of a broad market correction is debatable.
Void
Field YatesField Yates

Geno Smith is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL at ball placement

I'm more in than out [on Geno Smith]... accuracy is quantifiable in the sense of completion percentage, but I think there's also like a different side to it. And like Geno, his ball placement is like some of the very best in the NFL. He was absurd last year.

This is a trait-based evaluation that remains somewhat subjective, though Geno did maintain high completion and accuracy rankings.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Jordan Addison and Zay Flowers are going too late in fantasy drafts

Jordan Addison... he's a first round pick, but he's going like way too late in drafts right now. Zay Flowers from the Ravens as well.

Both receivers had productive rookie years. Addison had 10 TDs and 911 yards; Flowers had 858 yards and 5 TDs. Both outperformed their late-round ADPs.
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Field YatesField Yates

Ty Chandler or Roschon Johnson could steal starting running back roles this year

You have to find the running back room that you're not totally positive that the starter is gonna keep his job for the full season. There's like the non-zero chance that Ty Chandler... eventually becomes the starter. Roschon Johnson for the Bears, right? Would you be totally surprised if Roschon like had a real role at some point?

Ty Chandler did eventually supplant Alexander Mattison as the primary back in Minnesota late in the season. Roschon Johnson earned a significant role but was part of a committee in Chicago.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Jahmyr Gibbs will be Alvin Kamara 2.0

I think [Jahmyr Gibbs] is either going to be like, holy crap, why did the Lions use a 12th overall pick on a guy and then not use him that much, or he is going to be Alvin Kamara 2.0. Like, Kamara as a rookie had 13 touchdowns, 81 catches... I feel like Jahmyr Gibbs is going to be like that.

Gibbs had a sensational rookie year with 1,261 scrimmage yards and 11 touchdowns, providing the exact Kamara-esque impact Field predicted.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

C.J. Stroud will be a better fantasy quarterback than Bryce Young because of his rushing floor

I'm a Stroud boy for Fantasy. Because in Fantasy football, you gotta remember how valuable running quarterbacks are. They set this unbelievable floor... Why take that away from an offense?

Stroud finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback (QB11) while Bryce Young struggled to stay in the top 25 (QB23).
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Darnell Mooney is a sleeper for the 2021 season

Dan Darnell Moni with the Chicago bears, they got, obviously knows all about him fast. If Justin Fields take the rain sooner, rather than later, I think that offense is good enough to maybe have two relevant wide receivers.

Mooney had a breakout year in 2021, recording over 1,000 receiving yards.

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