PMTPMT DB
Mike Florio

Mike Florio

Guest
2016 — Present
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footballbusinessmedia68 scored

All Takes

Void
Take Slip·Jan 30, 2026
#PMT-2026-0130-218
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Hall of Fame needs to go back to the old 80% up-or-down voting system for each finalist

They should have forced the voters to say yes or no on Bill Belichick. And they need to go back to what's the easiest fix here. Go back to the system where the finalists each have an 80% up or down, yes or no vote like it used to be. It's fundamentally unfair.

This is an opinion about what the Hall of Fame should do with their voting process.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 30, 2026
#PMT-2026-0130-223
Mike FlorioMike Florio

17 NFL teams will be playing in domes within the next 10 years

Seventeen teams are gonna be playing in domes within the next 10 years. The way things are currently going, the Chiefs are moving into a dome.

This is a forward-looking projection about stadium construction that will take years to verify.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 30, 2026
#PMT-2026-0130-219
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Browns will be looking for another coach within two or three years

I'm fairly confident they'll be looking for another coach within two or three years.

Whether the Browns fire Todd Monken within 2-3 years is beyond my knowledge cutoff.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 30, 2026
#PMT-2026-0130-221
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Jalen Hurts plays his own game regardless of the designed offense - the Eagles OC hire won't be someone with other options

There's a certain amount of frustration within the coaching staff and within the locker room because they designed the offense, they designed the plays, they call the plays. And then when it's time to go out there, Jalen Hurts the quarterback plays his game. Whoever the Eagles hire to be the offensive coordinator is not gonna be a guy who has other choices.

Whether this characterization of Hurts is accurate and who the Eagles hire as OC is beyond my knowledge cutoff.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 30, 2026
#PMT-2026-0130-220
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Mike Vrabel's coaching genius and attention to detail could be the biggest thing the Patriots have going for them in the Super Bowl

There's a genius to the way that Vrabel coaches. I think he's able to outsmart arguably any coach in the league right now. That's the biggest thing the Patriots have going for them in the Super Bowl. Little things like that. There's a genius to the way that Vrabel coaches.

Whether Vrabel's coaching proves to be the difference in the Super Bowl is beyond my knowledge cutoff.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-1219-3819
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Joe Burrow is using a 'Jedi mind trick' to get the Bengals to trade him without asking directly

I think what [Burrow] is trying to do is make the Bengals decide to trade him so that he doesn't have to say, I want to be traded and get them to recognize he's not happy... I think he's trying to do the Jedi mind trick to get them to trade him without him having to ask to be traded.

Joe Burrow remained with the Bengals for the following season and stated he intended to stay.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-1219-3820
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Arizona Cardinals are guaranteed to move on from Kyler Murray

They want to be able to move on from Kyler Murray and they're gonna move on from him. They're probably gonna have to release him. And then the question becomes who wants him?

The Cardinals did not move on from Kyler Murray in the 2026 offseason.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-1219-3823
Mike FlorioMike Florio

AJ Brown will likely be traded by the Philadelphia Eagles this offseason

I won't be surprised if AJ Brown is traded in the off season. I think we're at the point where it makes sense for both sides for him to move on. They can find another receiver, they can make their offense go without him.

AJ Brown remained with the Eagles for the 2026 season.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 25, 2025
#PMT-2025-0825-3623
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Dak Prescott, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson have the most pressure in the NFL

I think there's a ton of pressure on Dak Prescott. He's making 60 million a year... how can you not say there's pressure on Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson to finally close the gap with the chiefs and finally deliver it.

Pressure is subjective but widely agreed upon for these specific veterans.
Open
Take Slip·Aug 25, 2025
#PMT-2025-0825-3631
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The NFL will expand to 20 regular season games and 40 teams

There will be a Super Bowl played overseas at some point and there will be 20 regular season games. Okay. No preseason games. Okay. And 40 teams. That will happen.

This is a long-term industry prediction that will take years to resolve.
Open
Take Slip·Aug 25, 2025
#PMT-2025-0825-3628
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Dolphins, Browns, and Saints will be the three most disappointing teams

I would be very concerned if I was a fan of the Dolphins. I would be extremely concerned if I'm a fan of the Browns, I would find something else to do on Sunday if I was a fan of the Saints. Those are the three that come to mind.

Will be judged based on the 2025 regular season performance of these three teams.
Open
Take Slip·Aug 25, 2025
#PMT-2025-0825-3625
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Chiefs will eventually beat the Eagles in a Super Bowl LVII rematch

I'll say Chiefs Ravens in the AFC championship and Eagles 49ers in the NFC championship... Eagles Chiefs in the Super Bowl [Round 3]... Better than we expect.

Will be verified after Super Bowl LX.
Open
Take Slip·Jun 6, 2025
#PMT-2025-0606-16840
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Joe Flacco will start Week 1 for the Cleveland Browns

Probably Joe Flacco. Yep. Just because that's the guy who you can get ready with fewer first team reps in August... I believe that they're gonna try to move Kenny Pickett before the training camp opens... Flaco will start week one and then once one of the other two guys is ready, they'll put that guy out there.

Will be resolved when the 2025 NFL season begins.
Open
Take Slip·Jun 6, 2025
#PMT-2025-0606-16842
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Bill Belichick will eventually coach the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I feel like Belichick has been eyeballing the bucks... The Buccaneers are willing to do kooky things if they think it's gonna make them better... It would make sense if you can hand him a talented team in a weak division where he could cobble together enough wins to get to the playoffs.

A long-term coaching prediction.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-0103-2440
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Vikings can't let Sam Darnold leave the building

You can't let this guy leave. Everybody's looking for a franchise quarterback. When you have a guy who's playing like a franchise quarterback, you can't let him leave. They can figure out whatever they're gonna do with JJ McCarthy... but you can't let him go when he's gotten as good as he's gotten.

Open
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-0103-2442
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Vikings might consider trading JJ McCarthy if Sam Darnold is the guy

I think all options will be on the table if and when they decide Sam Darnold is the guy... if there's a team out there that's willing to make the Vikings an offer that they won't refuse, then you do it... I think the Vikings get a hell of a lot more for JJ McCarthy than the 49ers got for Trey Lance.

Win
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-0103-2444
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tom Brady having a vote on NFL awards while being an owner is a conflict of interest

The idea that any owner of an NFL team would have a vote on league-wide awards, it's preposterous... It's an inherent conflict of interest. And I think after the season, the AP will find a way to clean it up. I think it just fell through the cracks.

The AP ultimately did move to restrict ownership and team employees from voting on awards following the 2024 season.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-0103-2446
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Mike Vrabel would be the perfect fit for a New York NFL team

Rebel's [Vrabel] got the right personality to deal with the New York fans and the New York media. It's almost like Parcells where he just doesn't fuck around... he could be abrasive in a charming way... both of those teams need to be considering very seriously trying to make a run at Vrabel.

Open
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-0103-2449
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Aaron Rodgers wants the Jets to break up with him, not the other way around

I think Aaron Rodgers doesn't want to come back to the Jets, but he wants them to be the ones that break up with him. He's been needling Woody Johnson... I think he wants them to end it. And then he'll see if anyone out there really wants him.

Open
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-0103-2451
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Aaron Rodgers to the Steelers is a fascinating possibility

I'm fascinated by the possibility of him going to Pittsburgh. Remember that video of him and Mike Tomlin kinda making googly eyes at each other... I feel like that tracks with what the Steelers are currently doing at quarterback, which is, we don't know how to develop one. Let's just go find a veteran and plug him in.

Open
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-0103-2453
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Kirk Cousins might be done as a starting NFL quarterback

Look at Cousins. He's gotta like muster every ounce of energy in his body... his body eventually rebelled against him this year because he was compensating for the torn achilles tendon... I've talked to people who said, you know what? There's a chance it just never comes back for him. He could be done.

Void
Take Slip·Jun 17, 2024
#PMT-2024-0617-7365
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Jets made a bigger story out of Aaron Rodgers' absence than it needed to be

Don don't think there's a problem. And I know that memes had some issue with something that I said last week because I saw the tweet and I had to send it to you Big Cat to get an interpretation like most people of my generation do. Hey son, what is this all about? I didn't get it. Here's the issue with Aaron Rogers and I think this is more about the Jets than Aaron Rogers. They fucked this up so bad last week. All they had to do was excuse his absence. That's all they had to do.

This is an opinion on public relations management by the Jets organization.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 17, 2024
#PMT-2024-0617-7367
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Fans should root for the NFL to lose the Sunday Ticket lawsuit

The NFL has always just kind of pressed forward and made as much money as they could from it. But this case is about what the NFL allegedly has done to protect the deals with CBS and Fox. And without getting too deep into the weeds, it's as simple as this. They required allegedly, but I think the evidence has proved this. They've required DirecTV to charge a certain price so people don't get it and they just watch whatever CBS or Fox has to offer. ... we should be rooting for the NFL to lose this because it will make it easier for all the fans to have cheaper choices and broader selections to watch outta market games on Sunday.

A jury initially awarded plaintiffs $4.7 billion (tripled to $14 billion), but the judge later overturned the verdict in August 2024, ruling in favor of the NFL. Florio's prediction of a fan victory was overturned.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 17, 2024
#PMT-2024-0617-7369
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tua Tagovailoa wouldn't get a massive contract on the open market

Tua I think goes into a different category as well. ... I don't think the Dolphins want to pay something that starts with a five. And you have to wonder, will they just say Tua go ahead because ask yourself that question. If Tua is available to anyone who wants him, what are they gonna pay? Yeah. What's it gonna get on the open market? And I feel like one of these days one of these teams is gonna draw that line in the saying.

The Dolphins did not 'dare' him; they signed Tua to a 4-year, $212.4 million extension in July 2024, with an average annual value of $53.1 million (starting with a five), contradicting Florio's skepticism.
Win
Take Slip·Jun 17, 2024
#PMT-2024-0617-7371
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Steelers will surprise people because of Arthur Smith and Mike Tomlin

Steelers you got? Oh, Steelers. Okay. So you like Rus, you think Russ or Justin Fields? I just think that bringing Arthur Smith in there... Tomlin's Superpower is to take a room full of guys that you would individually look at them and say, okay. And slap 'em all together and make it into a playoff team. ... One of these guys is getting the starting job in 2025 and one of 'em is getting fired.

The Steelers started the 2024 season 3-0 and remained in playoff contention throughout the first half of the season, validating the 'surprising' take.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 17, 2024
#PMT-2024-0617-7374
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Rashee Rice will miss time at the start of the season due to legal issues

I'll be surprised if he's playing week one, he's either gonna be on the commissioner's exemp list or he will have pled guilty to one or more of these felonies and he'll be suspended under the personal conduct policy.

Rashee Rice was not placed on the exempt list and played in Week 1 of the 2024 season. Legal proceedings were ongoing and the NFL had not issued a suspension by that time.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2023
#PMT-2023-1122-8525
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The NFL will eventually face a massive gambling lawsuit over flawed injury reporting

I've been sounding that alarm... If you're gonna make millions from legalized gambling and you're gonna have an injury reporting system that is flawed, that is broken, that isn't enforced, and somebody eventually hides an injury... If I bet on the Bengals and the Bengals hid that information, that would be very relevant to me... they've gotta enforce that rule or they're gonna end up in a massive lawsuit. It's just a matter of time.

While no such massive lawsuit has fully bankrupted the system or succeeded in court yet, the investigation into the Bengals injury report did occur. Still mostly pending for the 'massive' outcome.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2023
#PMT-2023-1122-8526
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Bill Belichick will be the Commanders head coach in 2024

I think what'll happen behind the scenes, over the course of the next six, seven weeks, they'll work out a deal... Watch Bill Belichick to the commanders after the season. I believe it's gonna happen.

The Commanders hired Dan Quinn. Bill Belichick did not take a head coaching job for the 2024 season.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2023
#PMT-2023-1122-8527
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Travis Kelce might surprise retire after this season to pursue stardom

I look the guy is thinking about his next career... you gotta know when to make the transition and when the window's open... and it may be that the window for him is never more open than it is right now, or will be after this season.

Travis Kelce did not retire after the 2023 season and returned for 2024.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-1028-8660
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Defensive linemen are systematically overpowering offensive lines across the NFL

[Chris Simms] thinks that we've gotten to the point in the NFL where the defensive linemen are so good, they just overpower the offensive lines. And there are so many good defensive linemen and there's so much value placed on pass rusher that they are just systematically overpowering.

This has been a widely discussed trend in the early 2020s NFL, with sack rates and offensive line play being major storylines.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-1028-8661
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tom Brady's marriage issues began because Gisele didn't know he was flirting with the Dolphins

There's a theory in league circles... that the issues with Tom Brady and his wife blew up when the league announced the punishment of the dolphins because of the flirtation with Brady. Cuz she had, as the theory goes, no idea he was talking to the dolphins about playing.

The exact cause of the divorce is personal and unverified by official sources, making this speculation subjective/unresolvable.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-1028-8662
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Bill Belichick cannot hold his staff accountable because of nepotism with his sons

[Belichick] has got two kids working for him. And if one of those kids needs to be fired, he can't do it. And that makes it impossible for him to hold other people accountable. I think that's the root of where things kind of got wobbly... if you can't hold your kids accountable, you can't hold anybody accountable.

This is a recurring criticism of the late-stage Belichick era in New England, though it remains a subjective analysis of team dynamics.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-1028-8663
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Vikings will lose in the divisional round this year

This is a team that's gonna go 11 and six, maybe 12 and five... And they're gonna win in the wild card round if they're lucky. And then they get the shit kicked out of them by the Eagles or the Cowboys or one of the elite teams in the nfc because cousins is limited.

Florio was incredibly close. The Vikings went 13-4 and lost in the Wild Card round (not the divisional) to the Giants.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 16, 2022
#PMT-2022-0316-4632
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Troy Vincent was the source for the false Deflategate report

We outed the source for Chris Mortensen's report that 11 to 12 footballs were two pounds underinflated... That was false information that was given to him by Troy Vincent from the NFL office. We report that in Playmakers.

Florio's book 'Playmakers' officially identifies Vincent as the source. While the NFL has never officially confirmed this, it is Florio's documented investigative conclusion.
Push
Take Slip·Mar 16, 2022
#PMT-2022-0316-4634
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tom Brady only returned to Tampa because he couldn't find a 'graceful exit'

I think he came to the conclusion he wasn't going to find a graceful exit from Tampa Bay and that if he was going to play this year, he'd better jump on now... there was at least some thought I believe from Brady to play for someone else.

While Brady never explicitly confirmed this, widespread reporting later supported the idea that there were talks with Miami and interests in San Francisco during his brief retirement.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 16, 2022
#PMT-2022-0316-4633
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Carson Wentz is a better choice than Kirk Cousins

I would go with Wentz over Cousins for one very important reason... The moment it goes to shit, Cousins can't do anything. Wentz has the athleticism to try to make chicken salad on the fly. That separates him from Cousins... and for what he's getting paid versus what Cousins's getting paid, I take Wentz.

In 2022, Wentz struggled significantly in Washington and was eventually benched, while Cousins led the Vikings to a 13-4 record and the playoffs. Florio's preference for Wentz did not age well.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-1027-7733
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Buccaneers had no legal right to reclaim Tom Brady's 600th touchdown ball from the fan

I looked at the season ticket agreement. I looked at the general ticket agreement... there's nothing on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers tickets that would give them the right to go get it... I don't think they'd have a leg to stand on if it would end up in court.

Legal consensus generally agrees that once an item is gifted by a team representative with 'apparent authority,' ownership transfers to the fan.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-1027-7734
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Mike Evans had 'apparent authority' to give the football away, making the gift final

He has the apparent authority to scoop up a football on a touchdown he scored and hand it to a fan forever done over, no give backs, no take backs. Once that transfer is committed from the fan's perspective, that fan's got the right to assume that Mike Evans has the authority to surrender that football.

This is a correct application of contract and property law in the context of professional sports souvenirs.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-1027-7735
Mike FlorioMike Florio

There is a greater than 50% chance Dan Snyder is forced to sell the Washington Football Team

I'd say once somebody with the power to get to the bottom of it gets involved [Congress], it gets north of 50... Once we know about some of the things that Beth Wilkinson, the investigator found, yeah, I think it becomes untenable at that point publicly for Snyder to continue.

Dan Snyder was eventually forced to sell the team in 2023 for $6.05 billion.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-1027-7736
Mike FlorioMike Florio

There is a 94.9% chance Deshaun Watson is traded before the deadline

Percentage chance Deshaun Watson is traded in the next seven days, 10 days... 94.9% chance. Miami 75, Carolina 25... The chances of him being with the Texans next Tuesday after the trade deadline, very, very, very, very low.

Deshaun Watson was NOT traded before the 2021 deadline. He remained on the Texans roster until being traded to the Browns in March 2022.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 1, 2021
#PMT-2021-0901-13422
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Buccaneers will repeat as Super Bowl champions

I'm probably going to pick them to win it again. I can't think of a reason not to. You definitely have to pick them to get there out of an NFC that isn't nearly as top as heavy as the AFC. The question is, can they win against the best team that the AFC has to offer?

The Buccaneers lost to the Rams in the Divisional Round of the 2021 playoffs.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2020
#PMT-2020-1016-16495
Mike FlorioMike Florio

It is not sustainable for the Jets to keep Adam Gase through their bye week

The next four opponents... Bills, Patriots, Chiefs... it feels like it's moving in the direction where it's not sustainable for the Jets to continue with Adam Gase, even if ownership really wants to... I think it's moving in the direction where it's not sustainable.

The Jets kept Adam Gase for the entire 2020 season, only firing him on January 3rd, 2021, after the final game.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2020
#PMT-2020-1016-16496
Mike FlorioMike Florio

If Drew Brees gets injured, Taysom Hill would be the Saints' starting quarterback over Jameis Winston

If he gets injured, my gut feeling is it would be Taysom Hill over Jameis Winston who would play. ... I've got the impression this year if Brees would get hurt, it would be Taysom Hill playing quarterback.

Brees got hurt in Week 10. Taysom Hill started the next four games while Winston remained the backup, exactly as Florio predicted.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2020
#PMT-2020-1016-16497
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Kyle Shanahan will look for a new quarterback like Kirk Cousins to replace Jimmy Garoppolo after the season

I think the bigger question here is after the season. What do they do? ... I think that Kyle Shanahan is going to look for somebody else after the season. ... it wouldn't surprise me at all if the Vikings decide, 'You know what, we've had enough with this guy' and Shanahan embraces [Kirk] Cousins.

The 49ers did look for a replacement, famously trading up to draft Trey Lance in the 2021 NFL Draft, though they didn't land Cousins.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2020
#PMT-2020-1016-16498
Mike FlorioMike Florio

NFL teams absolutely tank, they just do it by playing worse players

Hell yes, there's tanking in football. It's just subtle. The players on the field aren't trying to lose, but someone high up in the organization makes sure the worst players are on the field. 'We want to evaluate the backup quarterback... and if they play like crap, good.'

While difficult to prove legally, several coaches (like Brian Flores) later made allegations supporting this 'front office tanking' theory.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2020
#PMT-2020-1016-16499
Mike FlorioMike Florio

DK Metcalf is like Calvin Johnson and Jerry Rice combined

DK Metcalf? Buy. I mean, the guy's Calvin Johnson and Jerry Rice combined and he's starting to become fully aware of what he can do.

Metcalf is an elite receiver, but combining the career stats and skills of the two greatest receivers ever is statistically impossible for anyone to live up to.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2019
#PMT-2019-1115-15131
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Giants will give Eli Manning a farewell game on December 29th

I'd be tempted at some point to hold Eli Manning in my back pocket because I feel like he's going to get at least one farewell game... It will not surprise me at all if there's a quote-unquote injury to Daniel Jones that really wouldn't keep him from playing, but let Eli Manning finish out the season.

Eli Manning did start two more games (Dec 9 and Dec 15) due to a genuine Daniel Jones ankle injury, but Jones returned for the Dec 29 finale. Eli's 'farewell' effectively happened earlier.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2019
#PMT-2019-1115-15132
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The NFL arranged Colin Kaepernick's workout as a legal strategy to prevent a second lawsuit

I really do think that they are worried they're going to get another lawsuit filed by Colin Kaepernick... It doesn't feel like a genuine attempt to help the guy. It feels like some sort of strategy... to make the league look better.

The workout ended in a location dispute and Kaepernick remained unsigned, supporting the theory that it was more of a PR/legal maneuver than a genuine job offer.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 19, 2019
#PMT-2019-0819-13503
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The NFL intentionally closed the helmet loophole to 'win' against Antonio Brown

At best, it's been horrible communication... At worst, I feel like they just want to win. They're just making it up as they go... once they recognized there was a loophole because they had failed to previously test the Schutt Air Advantage, they jammed that loophole shut to win.

This is an interpretation of the league's motives and private testing procedures.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 7, 2019
#PMT-2019-0107-9453
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Jeff Fisher will not get another NFL head coaching job this year

Will [Jeff Fisher] get a job? No. ... If anybody is pursuing him, it is either being done very secretly or an owner is going to get to a spot where he says, you know what? I don't like any of these options. Let's go get Jeff Fisher. That's the only way it's going to happen this year.

Jeff Fisher did not get a head coaching job in 2019.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 7, 2019
#PMT-2019-0107-9449
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The price for Dak Prescott's contract extension went up after the Seahawks win

Whatever they wanted to pay him, it went up on Saturday night because he played at a higher level. ... I think that they're in good hands with Prescott now.

Dak eventually signed a massive 4-year, $160M deal in 2021, though the negotiations were notoriously long and difficult.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 7, 2019
#PMT-2019-0107-9451
Mike FlorioMike Florio

If Nick Foles beats the Saints, the Eagles have to keep him and trade Carson Wentz

If Foles pulls it off again, if he's got one more rabbit up his ass that he can pull out in that [Saints] game, then I think that's the point where you have to say, you know what, Carson Wentz is a better quarterback, but we're a better team with Nick Foles, and we just have to accept it and move forward with him.

The Eagles lost to the Saints, making this a moot point for the immediate offseason. Foles left for the Jaguars, and Wentz stayed as the starter (until eventually being traded years later).
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2018
#PMT-2018-1203-8544
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Bruce Arians is the primary name for the Packers head coaching job

Without question, the first name, and I think the only name... Bruce Arians has already been making noise about coaching the crowd. If I'm the Packers, I want Arians because I need somebody who's going to get through to Rodgers.

The Packers hired Matt LaFleur in January 2019. Bruce Arians became the head coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2018
#PMT-2018-1203-8545
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Mike McCarthy will be a top candidate for the Cleveland Browns job

Don't be surprised if McCarthy's name ends up at the top of the list in Cleveland... I'd be looking for current head coaches to maybe be thinking about trying to get to a place like Cleveland or Green Bay.

The Browns hired interim OC Freddie Kitchens as head coach. McCarthy sat out the 2019 season before joining the Cowboys in 2020.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2018
#PMT-2018-1203-8546
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Le'Veon Bell will sign with the Jets for more than $17.5 million per year

I think the Jets, the Jets are the team. And I think the over-under is $17.5 million a year, and I'll take the over.

Bell did sign with the Jets, but for $52.5M over 4 years, which is an average of $13.125M per year, well under the $17.5M 'over' Florio took.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 15, 2018
#PMT-2018-1015-14305
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Raiders could move on from Derek Carr next year

I think the real question is, what do they do with Derek Carr next year? Because even though he's got that big contract, they can unload him at a manageable cap hit if they decide that John Gruden needs a different quarterback... In fact, it's easier than you'd think to get out from under Carr's contract.

The Raiders did not move on from Carr the following year; he remained their starter until 2022.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 15, 2018
#PMT-2018-1015-14306
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Giants must move on from Eli Manning if they get the number one pick

After the year, look, if they finish with the worst record in football and they get the first overall pick in the draft, then you have to move on... At some point you just have to write it off and move on, right?

The Giants drafted Daniel Jones 6th overall in 2019 and moved on from Eli as the starter during that season.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 15, 2018
#PMT-2018-1015-14307
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Carson Wentz is 'damaged goods' and will get hurt again

I said [to WIP radio], Mahomes, then Goff, then Wentz, because Wentz is damaged goods. And he's got the torn ACL, and he plays with reckless abandon. He's going to get hurt again. That's just the way it is.

Wentz did suffer a back injury later in 2018 and struggled with various injuries for the remainder of his career, largely validating Florio's concerns.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0917-9282
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Josh Gordon will be traded on Monday

I think [Josh Gordon] is going to be traded at some point on Monday. And then the Browns wash their hands of him.

Josh Gordon was indeed traded to the Patriots on that Monday, September 17, 2018.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0917-9283
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Josh Gordon's likely landing spots are the Seahawks, Patriots, or 49ers

I think that Seattle would be one of the teams... I think the Patriots would have to be considered... I'd say Seahawks, Patriots, 49ers would be the three teams I'd watch.

Gordon was traded to the Patriots, which was one of Florio's top three.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0917-9285
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The NFL should treat QBs like kickers and prohibit all contact after the ball is out

Just treat the quarterback like a punter or a kicker. Once the ball's out, you can't touch him. Then there's no ambiguity... if you don't touch the ball and the ball's out and you hit the quarterback, it's a foul just like it is for a punter and a kicker.

The NFL never adopted this rule; they instead clarified and eventually eased off on the frequency of the body weight calls.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0917-9287
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Todd Haley will take over for Hue Jackson at some point this season

I think Todd Haley is the guy that ends up taking over at some point for the rest of the season, at some point this year [in Cleveland].

Hue Jackson was fired on October 29, but Gregg Williams was named interim head coach, not Todd Haley. Haley was also fired on the same day.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 2, 2018
#PMT-2018-0102-7708
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Jon Gruden will be the next head coach of the Oakland Raiders

He's going to be the coach of the Raiders. They fired Del Rio knowing that they were getting him, and now it's just a question of working it all out. All signs are pointing to Gruden.

Jon Gruden was officially hired as the Raiders head coach on January 6, 2018.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 2, 2018
#PMT-2018-0102-7709
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Matt Patricia's clown-nosed Goodell shirt may keep him from a head coaching job

He wore that clown nose shirt coming off the plane, and it pissed off the commissioner. And as of July, the commissioner was still pissed... I could see an effort by 345 Park Avenue to steer the Lions away from Patricia... That clown-nosed shirt may keep Matt Patricia at New England for years to come.

Despite the theory, Matt Patricia was hired as the Detroit Lions head coach in February 2018.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 2, 2018
#PMT-2018-0102-7711
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Deshaun Watson was more dominant in the NFL than he was in college

Look at what Deshaun Watson did. Deshaun Watson was more dominant at the NFL level than he was at the college level. Nobody expected that.

Watson was historically dominant in college; while great in his rookie NFL season, calling it 'more dominant' than his Clemson tenure is factually weak.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-1218-17331
Mike FlorioMike Florio

If the Panthers sell for less than $1.4 billion, the NFL has cause for concern

I think the Bills were the last team that sold and they went for 1-4. So if you get south of 1-4, I think there's cause for concern. But if it's less than a billion, then it's like, holy shit.

The Panthers sold for $2.275 billion in 2018, well above Florio's 'concern' threshold of $1.4 billion.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-1218-17332
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Bengals might move Marvin Lewis to the front office and hire Hugh Jackson as head coach

Let me lay out this scenario. Marvin stays in Cincinnati, graduates to the front office where he's essentially the GM because they don't have one as it is. And then, some way, somehow, they bring back Hugh Jackson to be the coach of the team, and it's Marvin and Hugh working together in Cincinnati.

This specific shuffle did not happen; Marvin Lewis stayed through 2018 then was fired, and Hugh Jackson was fired by the Browns and briefly rejoined the Bengals as an assistant, but never as the successor HC while Marvin moved to GM.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-1218-17333
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Any head coach who goes 0-16 should be permanently disqualified from coaching again

I personally think if you go 0-16 as an NFL head coach, you should be permanently disqualified from ever being a head coach again for any team.

This is a subjective opinion on NFL rules/standards and cannot be definitively proven right or wrong.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-1218-17335
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Jaguars have the ingredients to win in New England or Pittsburgh in January

I think this is a team that could win in New England in the divisional round, it could win in Pittsburgh in the divisional round, and it could keep the AFC championship game from happening... It's a Florida team that has all the ingredients to play in the elements in January.

The Jaguars did win in Pittsburgh in the Divisional round. They led in New England in the 4th quarter of the AFC Championship but ultimately lost.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-1218-17334
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Thomas Davis will not be suspended for his hit on Davante Adams because it wasn't in primetime

Same hit that Juju Smith-Schuster put on Vontaze Burfict. But because that game today didn't happen in primetime, they're not going to suspend Thomas Davis. That's my prediction.

Florio was wrong; the NFL suspended Thomas Davis for two games (later reduced to one on appeal) the very next day.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2017
#PMT-2017-1023-7381
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Hue Jackson is this generation's Norv Turner or Wade Phillips

I think with [Hue] Jackson, it's just a matter of time at this point. He strikes me as this generation's Norv Turner or Wade Phillips, who is very good as a coordinator, good enough to keep getting head coaching jobs, but bad enough as a head coach to not hold those jobs.

Hue Jackson finished his Browns tenure 3-36-1, widely considered one of the worst head coaching stints ever, confirming Florio's 'good coordinator, bad head coach' assessment.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2017
#PMT-2017-1023-7382
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Teddy Bridgewater will start more games than Aaron Rodgers for the rest of 2017

Which quarterback starts more games from here on forward in 2017, Aaron Rodgers or Teddy Bridgewater? Teddy Bridgewater. He's ready to go. Week 10 is what they're looking at.

Rodgers returned for one game and Bridgewater played in one game (briefly) for the rest of the 2017 season. They both started/appeared in very little, but Rodgers actually started more games (1 to 0 for Teddy).
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2017
#PMT-2017-1023-7383
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Sam Bradford will never play for the Vikings again

I don't think [Sam Bradford] is ever going to play again for the Vikings. I think it's Bridgewater when they think that there's an opening to put Keenum down and put Bridgewater in.

Bradford only appeared in two games in 2017 and never played for the Vikings again after that season, moving to the Cardinals in 2018.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2017
#PMT-2017-1023-7384
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Ezekiel Elliott has a chance to beat his suspension entirely

There's a chance [Ezekiel] Elliott beats this whole thing, not just this year, but this year, next year, and for good. Right now, it actually looks good for him to get an injunction that would allow him to play all season.

Elliott eventually lost his legal battle and served his full 6-game suspension starting in November 2017.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2017
#PMT-2017-1023-7385
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Patriots and Seahawks will meet in the Super Bowl

Right now, if I had to pick two teams for the Super Bowl, I'd say the Patriots and the Seahawks.

The Patriots made the Super Bowl, but the Seahawks failed to make the playoffs entirely in 2017.
Push
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-0918-18065
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Jerry Jones is intentionally stalling Roger Goodell's contract to force him out by 2019

And there are some who think that what he's really trying to do is drive such a hard bargain with Roger Goodell that Goodell just eventually says, screw it, I'm out of here when my contract expires in 2019.

While Jones did try to block the deal, Goodell ultimately signed a multi-year extension in December 2017 that kept him in power long past 2019.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-0918-18066
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Bears should start Mitch Trubisky now because the season is already lost

At some point, you just kind of say, screw it. You know, this season is lost, so let's just treat it like an extended preseason for next season.

The Bears did eventually follow this path, starting Trubisky in Week 5 of that season.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-0918-18067
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Bengals are the most likely 0-2 team to turn it around and make the playoffs

Out of those, I would say the Bengals... If they get Kaepernick, then put the Bengals in.

The 2017 Bengals finished 7-9 and missed the playoffs.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-0918-18068
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tom Brady says he'll play until 45 to avoid a public farewell tour

I think he never wants his last year to be known as his last year. I don't think he ever wants to have a Derek Jeter farewell tour... by keeping that stake as far out into the future as possible, he'll never be in a season that anyone would say this is his last year.

Brady did play until 45 (retiring for good after the 2022 season) and famously avoided a traditional season-long farewell tour.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-0918-18069
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Teddy Bridgewater will play for the Vikings before the 2017 season ends

I don't know what in the hell they're expecting at this point. So I think, yeah, we'll see Bridgewater before the end of the year on the field.

Bridgewater did return to the field and played in Week 15 against the Bengals, his first action since the injury.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2017
#PMT-2017-0116-2548
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tony Romo will try to get released by the Cowboys rather than traded

I expect that Tony Romo is going to try to get himself released... You guys decided to move on. I want to stay. I want to compete for the starting job. You won't let me. Why do you insist on trading me to another team? Now, how the Cowboys respond to that is going to be the big question because Jerry Jones has an asset under contract... I think he's going to try to get released.

Romo was released by the Cowboys in April 2017 after it became clear they wouldn't find a suitable trade partner and he chose retirement/broadcasting.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2017
#PMT-2017-0116-2549
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have underachieved over the last six years

What we've seen the last eight games out of Aaron Rodgers makes me wonder, why in the hell haven't we seen that the last six years? Why are they continuously wanting out in the playoffs? Why do they continue to underachieve? Aaron Rodgers is one of the best quarterbacks to ever play the sport of football. How does he not already have more than one Super Bowl win?

This is a common critique of the Rodgers era in Green Bay that persists to this day.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2017
#PMT-2017-0116-2551
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Jon Gruden and Peyton Manning were a package deal for the Colts

What I've been told is Peyton Manning and John Gruden have a very, very good relationship. They're very close... but it was a package deal of Peyton Manning and John Gruden. Gruden didn't want to do it. And now the question is, are they going to get Peyton Manning, and who else would he want as the coach... partial ownership, I think, would get Peyton's attention.

While heavily rumored, the deal never happened. Gruden stayed at ESPN (until 2018) and Manning never took an executive role with the Colts.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2017
#PMT-2017-0116-2550
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Devin Hester is a Hall of Famer and will eventually get in

I think he is. Well, if any kicker or punter is worthy of getting in, Devin Hester is worthy of getting in, and I think he eventually will. Now, that doesn't mean he gets in on the first try, but I think eventually he's going to get in. You've got to find a spot for a guy who was transcendent in what he did in the return game.

Devin Hester was officially elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2024.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2017
#PMT-2017-0116-2552
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Bears will try to trade Jay Cutler this offseason

He's got a very tradable contract, $12.5 million. I think the Bears will try to trade him. Depends on how this coaching deal shakes out. If Kyle Shanahan ends up the head coach somewhere, I could see him being potentially interested in Cutler.

The Bears were unable to trade Cutler and ultimately released him in March 2017. He briefly retired before joining the Dolphins.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2017
#PMT-2017-0116-2553
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Rex Ryan will not get another chance as an NFL head coach

I don't think he will. How about at the college level? Wouldn't he be a very good college coach? I mean, could you see him recruit the hell out of guys? I think he's going to end up in TV, though. I'm not sure he's going to be as good as they think he's going to be, but I think he's going to end up in TV.

Rex Ryan never held another head coaching job in the NFL after being fired by Buffalo in 2016. He became a staple on ESPN.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2017
#PMT-2017-0116-2554
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Jeff Fisher is finished as an NFL head coach but could bamboozle another owner into an interview

Guy's very connected at the league level. He's got good friends in the league office. He's a made man. He knows how to work the media. I think at some point he'll find a way where he at least gets an interview. And if he gets an interview with one of these guys... he could bamboozle someone into hiring him.

Jeff Fisher never coached in the NFL again after 2016.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 31, 2016
#PMT-2016-1031-12618
Mike FlorioMike Florio

NFL ratings are down primarily because the prime time games have been poor

One reality is the games haven't been very good... You're going to have some crappy primetime games. But even Jaguars-Titans... the problem is, more often than not, the primetime games have been crap.

This is a subjective analysis of a trend that occurred during the 2016 season.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 31, 2016
#PMT-2016-1031-12619
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The NFL should adopt the college football overtime system to eliminate ties

I wouldn't have a problem with them ripping up the current overtime system and just going with the college approach. That works. The games are exciting. And I don't think anyone's ever complained that the college system is not a good system.

The NFL has adjusted overtime rules since then but has not adopted the exact college system.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 31, 2016
#PMT-2016-1031-12620
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Cowboys will stick with Dak Prescott as long as he continues to win games

If Dak Prescott continues to win games, then the decision is you roll with the hot hand... I think they are going to stick with Prescott as long as he keeps doing well.

Dak Prescott remained the starter for the rest of the season and Tony Romo retired afterward.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 31, 2016
#PMT-2016-1031-12621
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Stephen Jones and Jason Garrett make the big decisions in Dallas while letting Jerry Jones be the face of the franchise

When it's time to make big decisions, it's Stephen Jones and Jason Garrett that make the decisions and they otherwise let Jerry think he's running the show.

This is a matter of internal team power dynamics that can't be definitively proven but matches reporting of that era.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 31, 2016
#PMT-2016-1031-12622
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Vikings will eventually find a spectacular way to blow their season

I know what's going to happen. They're going to find a way to blow it, and maybe in a spectacular fashion... Either way, they're going to find a way to blow it. It's either going to be the offensive line that crumbles... or it's going to be Blair Walsh missing another field goal.

The 2016 Vikings started 5-0 and finished 8-8, missing the playoffs entirely. They did indeed blow it.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 31, 2016
#PMT-2016-1031-12623
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The NFL will move to an 18-game regular season within the next five years

There's a chance it will if the NFL makes enough concessions to the union... if there's a way that they can address that issue [player health]... it's going to happen.

The NFL moved to a 17-game season in 2021 (5 years later). 18 games is still being discussed but hasn't officially been implemented yet.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 9, 2016
#PMT-2016-0909-6717
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Sam Bradford better simulates what Teddy Bridgewater would have done for the Vikings than Shaun Hill

Sam Bradford, the thinking is, I believe better simulates what Teddy would have done if he would have been able to play. I don't know that Bradford can get there... it's going to be an uphill climb, but when things settle down, they're going to be better off with Bradford than they would be with Hill.

Bradford had a statistically strong year in 2016, setting a then-NFL record for completion percentage, though the Vikings missed the playoffs.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 9, 2016
#PMT-2016-0909-6718
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Packers will beat the Ravens in the 2016 Super Bowl

I got Packers over Panthers in the NFC... Ravens over Patriots in AFC. It is the return of the Ravens in 2016. I got Ravens Packers in the Super Bowl with the Packers winning.

The Super Bowl was Patriots vs. Falcons. The Ravens didn't make the playoffs.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 9, 2016
#PMT-2016-0909-6719
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Saints are my 2016 dark horse team because their defense can't get any worse

How about the Saints? ... Their defense can't be any worse than it's been. And, you know, Dennis Allen is now in charge of it. They got rid of Rob Ryan... I think the Saints would be a team that could surprise some people this year.

The Saints went 7-9 in 2016, missing the playoffs.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 25, 2016
#PMT-2016-0425-4028
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Sam Bradford will not be the Eagles starting quarterback in 2016

I have a feeling [Sam Bradford] won't be [starting]. I know they're saying all the right things now and they can't declare to the world that he's not going to be the starter because what if the guy that they draft ultimately stinks. It wouldn't shock me if they find a way to unload him onto somebody who emerges from the draft without an answer.

Bradford actually did start Week 1 of the 2016 season... for the Vikings. He was traded by the Eagles on September 3, 2016, following Teddy Bridgewater's injury.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 25, 2016
#PMT-2016-0425-4029
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Johnny Manziel will never start another five games in the NFL

I'll take under [five more starts] because even if he gets his act together, which first he has to have the epiphany. I just don't think anybody can ever trust him to be a starting quarterback or a backup quarterback.

Johnny Manziel never played in an NFL game again after the 2015 season.
Void
Take Slip·Apr 25, 2016
#PMT-2016-0425-4030
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Teddy Bridgewater would be better if Adrian Peterson wasn't on the Vikings

I developed a semi hot take that [Teddy Bridgewater] would be better off if Adrian Peterson wasn't on the team. I just think that when you have a running back that is one of the all time greats... I think you get to the point just psychologically where the other 10 guys are counting on Adrian Peterson, and they're not counting on the quarterback the way that other offenses count on their quarterback.

Bridgewater suffered a catastrophic knee injury before the 2016 season, so we never saw this fully tested in the dome that year.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 25, 2016
#PMT-2016-0425-4031
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Jared Goff will be the first overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft

Oh, it's going to be Jared Goff. I believe it will be Jared Goff.

Jared Goff was indeed selected first overall by the Rams in 2016.