Skip to content
PMTPMT DB

Mark Titus, Guys On Free Agency With Mike Florio And March Madness Preview

Wednesday, March 16, 202215 takes

It’s almost tourney time and we fund Billy for his spreadsheet betting model that will totally win us money. (:21-:02) Hot Seat/Cool Throne including Max Homa and Chase Daniel being the God of contracts.(:13-:04) Our good friend Mark Titus joins the show to talk March Madness, break down each region, giving up on the Big Ten and a possible Wing redemption in New Orleans. (:12-:13) We finish the show with our good friend Mike Florio who has a new book out in stores about the last 20 years of the NFL as we also discuss Free agency movement.(:26-:18)

Mark Titus on March Madness and Mike Florio on NFL Free Agency

The madness is officially here. Big Cat and PFT are stuffing their brains with stats, but the real star of the pre-tournament show is Billy Football and his elaborate, possibly insane, betting model. After turning a modest profit during football season, Billy is convinced he has found the loophole in Vegas's system for the NCAA tournament. He’s essentially hitting the 'all' button on underdogs.

Loss
Mar 16, 2022
#29278
Billy FootballBilly Football

Betting on every moneyline underdog is a winning March Madness strategy

It's built out... basically the concept is you put $5 on every money dog. Every money dog, you put $5 in every money dog. The Moneyline dog is your insurance for if your future goes out in the first round.

The strategy of betting every underdog on the moneyline in the first round of the NCAA tournament is historically a losing proposition due to the vig and the high frequency of favorites winning.

To prove their faith (or just for the content), Big Cat and PFT handed Billy $2,000 in cold hard cash to bankroll the system. Billy, a true member of the Venmo generation, acted like the cash was a radioactive isotope that might get him mugged the second he stepped outside. Between Billy's fear of physical currency and his logic that betting on 16-seeds is 'insurance' for his futures, we are off to a hot start.

Hot Seat/Cool Throne

Hank opened up the Hot Seat with a classic billionaire-shaming session regarding the Buffalo Bills' new stadium situation. The public funding for a $1.4 billion project isn't sitting well with anyone who isn't an owner.

Win
HankHank

Billionaires should pay for their own stadiums

The Bills are getting a $1.4 billion new stadium. It's going to be right next to their old stadium, all paid for by the public... Billionaires should pay for their own fucking stadium.

The Buffalo Bills stadium deal eventually involved $850 million in public funding, a record at the time, confirming Hank's point about public footed bills.

On the Cool Throne, Big Cat is reveling in the absolute disaster that is the 2021-22 Los Angeles Lakers. Watching LeBron James navigate a season where the team is down 30 in the first quarter to the Rockets has become a nightly joy for anyone who enjoys a good downfall.

Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Lakers are 'packing it in' and LeBron isn't trying on defense

The Lakers are so bad. It's awesome... LeBron... just doesn't try at all on defense. He's very close to packing it in... I watched the first quarter last night they were down 33 to 12 in the first quarter.

The 2021-22 Lakers finished 33-49 and missed the play-in tournament, confirming Big Cat's assessment that the team was failing.

Meanwhile, Billy is already crowning the New York Jets as the next great NFL dynasty. He’s so high on the Braxton Berrios and C. J. Uzomah signings that he’s already circling dates on the calendar for when the divisional hierarchy shifts.

Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Jets are a wagon and will beat the Patriots in Week 8

Jets are a wagon, calling it. Week 8 at MetLife, they're beating the Pats, calling it right now. We're updated, upgraded... we don't have Mr. INT anymore.

The Patriots beat the Jets 22-17 in Week 8 (Oct 30, 2022). Billy's prediction was incorrect.

Mark Titus Bracket Breakdown

Our good friend Mark Titus joined the show to help the guys fill out their brackets and discuss why the Big Ten continues to break everyone's hearts. The conversation immediately turned to the West region and the massive pressure on Gonzaga. Titus isn't pulling any punches regarding the Bulldogs' legacy if they fail to cut down the nets this year.

Loss
Mar 16, 2022
#29279
Mark TitusMark Titus

Gonzaga must win the 2022 National Championship or the program should fold

You have Gonzaga who has to win a national title. I think we all agree if they do not want a national title, they have to fold the program, right?

Hot TakeCBBHotSarcastic
Gonzaga lost in the Sweet 16 to Arkansas. The program did not, in fact, fold.

He also notes that a Gonzaga victory would officially end their run as the lovable mid-major underdog and pivot them into a much more villainous role in the college basketball landscape.

Void
Mar 16, 2022
#4630
Mark TitusMark Titus

Gonzaga will become the 'new Duke' if they win the title

Gonzaga becomes the new Duke if they win. They really do... Mark Few is not as likable as I think Zag fans think he is... I think in Gonzaga not winning the title is actually great for college basketball.

This is a subjective opinion about public perception and narrative shifts.

As for the actual picks, Titus is leaning toward a blue blood to take it all. While he admits the Big Ten has left him 'out of ammo' when defending it against the SEC or ACC, he sees a specific path for a certain SEC powerhouse to run the table.

Loss
Mar 16, 2022
#4629
Mark TitusMark Titus

Kentucky will win the 2022 National Championship

I have Kentucky... winning the whole thing... They are a team to me that can win in a million different ways. And I think what really opened my eyes with Kentucky was the Kansas game when it turned into a track meet.

Kentucky lost in the first round to 15-seed Saint Peter's, making this one of the most incorrect predictions possible.

Guys on Free Agency with Mike Florio

Internet father Mike Florio stopped by to promote his new book, *Playmakers*, and break down the absolute chaos of the NFL offseason. The guys naturally had to ask about the Tom Brady 'retirement' that lasted about as long as a heavy nap. Florio believes the return to Tampa was less about a burning desire to be a Buccaneer and more about a lack of other options.

Push
Mar 16, 2022
#4634
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tom Brady only returned to Tampa because he couldn't find a 'graceful exit'

I think he came to the conclusion he wasn't going to find a graceful exit from Tampa Bay and that if he was going to play this year, he'd better jump on now... there was at least some thought I believe from Brady to play for someone else.

While Brady never explicitly confirmed this, widespread reporting later supported the idea that there were talks with Miami and interests in San Francisco during his brief retirement.

They also dove into the quarterback carousel, specifically the Deshaun Watson sweepstakes. With multiple NFC South teams interested, Florio suggested that Watson's best move might actually be heading to a different division entirely where the path to the postseason is clearer.

Loss
Mar 16, 2022
#29282
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Deshaun Watson should want to play for the Eagles over the Panthers or Saints

If I'm Deshaun Watson, I don't want to go to the Panthers. Cause Matt Rhule's on the hot seat... I really do like the Eagles as a destination because the division's not the strongest. The conference is weaker than the AFC top to bottom. I think that if I had to pick which team I wanted to play for, I'd say the Eagles.

Watson eventually signed with the Cleveland Browns, ignoring the Eagles and the NFC teams mentioned.

Finally, Florio brought some heat for Patriots fans and anyone who followed the Deflategate saga. According to his research, the entire narrative was built on a foundation of deliberate misinformation from the league office.

Win
Mar 16, 2022
#4632
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Troy Vincent leaked false information to Chris Mortensen to create the Deflategate narrative

We outed the source for Chris Mortensen's report that 11 to 12 footballs were two pounds underinflated... That was false information that was given to him by Troy Vincent, from the NFL office. We report that in Playmakers.

While Mortensen never officially revealed his source, other investigative journalists (including those at Newsday) have corroborated that league officials provided the false PSI data.

Whether Billy loses all $2,000 on Thursday or Kentucky actually cuts down the nets, we’re ready for the best month of the year. Good luck to everyone's brackets, except for those of you who picked against the Big Ten. Actually, you're probably right.

march-madnessnflcollege-basketballjetspatriotslakersfree-agency

More Takes

Loss
Mar 16, 2022
#4631
Mark TitusMark Titus

Houston is a 'fraud' that schedules weak opponents

I hate Houston... I've been calling Houston a fraud for two years. They went to the Final Four last year playing nothing but double digit seeds... They scheduled like a D3 team... Houston loads up on wins on shitty schools.

Houston reached the Elite Eight in 2022, proving they were a top-tier team despite Titus's claims of being a 'fraud'.
Win
Mar 16, 2022
#4627
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars have to pay a 'Jaguars tax' to sign good players

The Jaguars are doing a complete renovation... They're signing everyone, they're paying everybody insane amounts of money because there is a Jaguars tax that you have to pay. Like if you want a good player... you have to pay them like they're superstars to get them to go to the Jaguars.

The Jaguars significantly outspent the league in 2022 free agency, including the controversial Christian Kirk contract, supporting the 'tax' theory.
Win
Mar 16, 2022
#29280
Mark TitusMark Titus

Texas Tech is a better basketball program without Chris Beard

I really do think they've gotten better almost... The excitement around the program definitely feels higher than it ever was around Chris Beard. Because those fans are so spiteful and like want to just fuck over Chris Beard so badly.

Texas Tech reached the Sweet 16 in 2022 under Mark Adams, while Chris Beard's Texas team lost in the second round, supporting the idea of short-term improvement.
Loss
Mar 16, 2022
#4633
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Carson Wentz is a better choice than Kirk Cousins

I would go with Wentz over Cousins for one very important reason... The moment it goes to shit, Cousins can't do anything. Wentz has the athleticism to try to make chicken salad on the fly. That separates him from Cousins... and for what he's getting paid versus what Cousins's getting paid, I take Wentz.

In 2022, Wentz struggled significantly in Washington and was eventually benched, while Cousins led the Vikings to a 13-4 record and the playoffs. Florio's preference for Wentz did not age well.
Win
Mar 16, 2022
#29281
Mark TitusMark Titus

The Big Ten is an inferior basketball league compared to the SEC and ACC

I'm at a loss for words, man. Like, I really just don't know what to say when people are like the big 10 sucks, you guys are never going to win a national title. I've run out of ammo... the sec was like a better basketball league this year than the big 10.

The Big Ten failed to get a team past the Sweet 16 in 2022, while the ACC (Duke, UNC) and Big 12 (Kansas) dominated the late rounds.

PMTDB Comments

This generates your username. Same passphrase = same name. Make it unique and memorable!

Search

Search takes, episodes, and speakers