PMTPMT DB
Theo Epstein

Theo Epstein

Guest
2017
1W·1L·0P·0 open
.500
AVG
.500
SLG
1.5K
SHU
-0.20
TVOA
SHRP
BNKRL
1W
STRK
0.0
ENTR
baseball2 scored

All Takes

Void
Take Slip·Dec 29, 2017
#PMT-2017-1229-17775
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

The Cubs would not have won the World Series without the Game 7 rain delay

Do you think the Cubs win the World Series if that rain delay doesn't happen? No. I did not look like the most confident... i doubt we win without first of all if you blow a lead late in any game it's hard to then come back and win... the guys were shell-shocked as we all were and that rain delay... catching a little glimpse of our players meeting and it was awesome... I don't think we win the World Series without that, but you can't prove it.

A counterfactual that can never be proven, but carries weight coming from Epstein.
Void
Take Slip·Apr 5, 2017
#PMT-2017-0405-14949
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

The biggest competitive advantage in baseball today is understanding players as human beings rather than just data

The ironic thing about that is it's kind of swung the pendulum back where I think the biggest competitive advantage now is actually understanding players as human beings, what makes them tick, getting the right kind of guys, building the right kind of chemistry, and then treating them the right way so that the team can take off.

This is a management philosophy that has gained significant traction in the 'post-Moneyball' era of MLB front offices.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 5, 2017
#PMT-2017-0405-14950
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

Position players are significantly better first-round draft bets than pitchers

The best bets in the first round are position players. They return, on average, about twice as much value as pitchers. If we were going to put our resources... we wanted to do it with position players.

Historical draft data generally supports the idea that first-round position players have a higher success rate and lower injury risk than high school or college pitchers.
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 5, 2017
#PMT-2017-0405-14951
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

Kyle Schwarber will be an average defensive left fielder

I think [the concern about his defense] is overblown. I think he'll be average out there in left. You know, he boxed those two balls against the Mets whenever everyone was watching. So everyone thinks he's brutal. So I'll actually probably surprise some people who haven't seen him play since then.

Schwarber remained a below-average fielder for most of his career (often ranking poorly in Defensive Runs Saved) and eventually transitioned to being a primary DH in the American League.
Void
Take Slip·Apr 5, 2017
#PMT-2017-0405-14952
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

The Cubs would not have won the 2016 World Series without the Game 7 rain delay

I buy it. I don't think we win the World Series without that [rain delay], but you can't prove it. ... If you blow a lead late in any game, it's hard to then come back and win... our players were shell-shocked... and that rain delay... they rallied each other.

This is a common sentiment among the 2016 Cubs players and staff, though technically unprovable.