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Theo Epstein

Wednesday, April 5, 201716 takes

Tony Romo has "retired" and we remember his career as the most fun twitter meltdown quarterback ( - ). Emergency Mount Rushmore in honor of Romo naming the best quarterbacks who won exactly 2 playoff games ( - ). National Championship recap + Hot Seat/Cool Throne ( - ). Cubs President of Baseball Operations Theo Epstein joins the show to talk about breaking 2 curses, how he tries to build a team, what his favorite trade was, and mean tweets ( - ). Segments include PR 101, Radio Wars, Stay Woke and Stay Classy for Jim Nantz not giving away a National Championship Necktie.

Theo Epstein on Breaking Curses, Romo’s Legacy, and the Mount Rushmore of Two Playoff Wins

Tony Romo has officially "retired" to the CBS broadcast booth, and Big Cat and PFT Commenter are already dissecting the legacy of the man who wore a backwards hat better than anyone else in Dallas history. While Cowboys fans are mourning a decade of what-ifs, PFT is more interested in the entertainment value of Romo’s frequent collapses.

Void
Apr 5, 2017
#14945
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tony Romo is the most fun quarterback to watch fail in NFL history

And I'll give you right now Tony Romo's legacy. You don't have to read anything else. He is the most fun quarterback to hate of all time. That's his legacy. ... But for everybody else, so if you're not a Duke, Yankees, Lakers fan, I'm not talking to you, but everyone else, he was the most fun quarterback to watch fail.

This is a subjective assessment of a player's cultural legacy.

Big Cat isn't buying the retirement act for a second, suspecting that once a contender loses a quarterback in October, the siren song of the field will pull Romo away from Jim Nantz.

Loss
Apr 5, 2017
#26796
Big CatBig Cat

Tony Romo will return to the NFL and play another snap despite retiring to the broadcast booth

Tony Romo retiring, I'm using air quotes right now, retiring to go into the broadcast booth is kind of the biggest news story this week. I think he's going to play another snap.

Tony Romo never played another snap in the NFL, successfully transitioning to a full-time broadcasting career with CBS.

Even if he stays in the booth, the expectations are low. Big Cat is leaning into the idea that the media's obsession with Romo’s personality won't actually translate to a quality broadcast.

Loss
Apr 5, 2017
#14946
Big CatBig Cat

Tony Romo will not be a good broadcaster

Tony... he's not going to be – I don't think he's going to be very good in the broadcast booth. Hot take, Tony Romo is not – this is the classic media loving the guy who smiled a lot, who had his backwards hat... who answered questions, and was generally likable.

Romo was an immediate sensation at CBS, praised for his ability to predict plays and his enthusiasm, though some criticism emerged in later years.

To celebrate Romo’s career, the guys conducted an emergency Mount Rushmore of quarterbacks with exactly two playoff wins. It’s a prestigious list featuring legends like Mike Vick, Joe Namath, and Jake Plummer. PFT eventually landed on the perfect historical comparison for number 9.

Void
Apr 5, 2017
#26797
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tony Romo is the Gerald Ford of quarterbacks

I think the best analogy I can make to Tony Romo is he is the Gerald Ford of quarterbacks. He's a nice enough guy, and you love to watch him just run his crotch into things.

This is a subjective historical analogy.

The National Championship Whistle-Fest

Turning to the college hardwood, North Carolina took down Gonzaga in a game that was mostly a whistle-blowing exhibition. The refs effectively neutralized the flow of the game, making it nearly impossible for anyone to enjoy the product. Big Cat was particularly incensed by how the officiating took over the biggest stage in the sport.

Void
Apr 5, 2017
#26798
Big CatBig Cat

College basketball referees ruined the 2017 National Championship game

The refs ruined it so much. ... The refs ruined the game, and I can't stand when they do that, especially college basketball is the worst of all the sports. Everyone who watched that game was like, that sucked.

While widely agreed upon by fans and media at the time, 'ruining' a game is ultimately a subjective judgment.

Looking ahead to 2019 because 2018 is already old news, PFT and Hank are already placing their flags in the ground for future champions.

Loss
Apr 5, 2017
#14947
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kansas will win the 2019 National Championship

I'm going to go with Kansas [for 2019 champion].

Virginia won the 2019 National Championship. Kansas was eliminated in the Round of 32.
Loss
Apr 5, 2017
#14948
HankHank

San Diego State will win the 2019 National Championship

I like San Diego State. They got a decent class this year, great class in two years.

San Diego State did not win the title in 2019; they didn't even make the NCAA tournament that year.

Theo Epstein: The Mastermind

Cubs President of Baseball Operations Theo Epstein joined the guys in Arizona to discuss the aftermath of the 2016 World Series. Theo, the ultimate curse-breaker, opened up about how the game has changed since the *Moneyball* era. He argues that while everyone has the same data now, the real edge comes from the human element.

Void
Apr 5, 2017
#14949
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

The biggest competitive advantage in baseball today is understanding players as human beings rather than just data

The ironic thing about that is it's kind of swung the pendulum back where I think the biggest competitive advantage now is actually understanding players as human beings, what makes them tick, getting the right kind of guys, building the right kind of chemistry, and then treating them the right way so that the team can take off.

This is a management philosophy that has gained significant traction in the 'post-Moneyball' era of MLB front offices.

Theo explained the Cubs' strategy of building through position players, noting that pitchers are simply too volatile to rely on in the first round.

Win
Apr 5, 2017
#14950
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

Position players are significantly better first-round draft bets than pitchers

The best bets in the first round are position players. They return, on average, about twice as much value as pitchers. If we were going to put our resources... we wanted to do it with position players.

Historical draft data generally supports the idea that first-round position players have a higher success rate and lower injury risk than high school or college pitchers.

He also touched on the "clutch gene," a concept that many spreadsheet-obsessed front offices dismiss as a myth. For Theo, it’s something you can see with your own eyes, even if you can’t fit it into an equation.

Void
Apr 5, 2017
#26800
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

The 'clutch gene' exists, even if it can't be proven with numbers

You can't prove that it exists by the numbers because guys have tried, but I know intuitively there are guys I want up in the big spots, and it's not just the best hitters. There are guys who just keep their heartbeat low and kind of thrive in those moments instead of backing away. ... You can kind of tell who's scared and wants that big moment over with and who actually wants the ball.

The existence of a 'clutch gene' is one of the oldest debates in sports and remains unproven statistically but widely believed by players and executives.

Perhaps most importantly for Cubs fans, Theo confirmed the legend of the Game 7 rain delay. He admitted that the team was reeling after Rajai Davis's home run and that the brief weather break might have been the only thing that saved the title.

Void
Apr 5, 2017
#14952
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

The Cubs would not have won the 2016 World Series without the Game 7 rain delay

I buy it. I don't think we win the World Series without that [rain delay], but you can't prove it. ... If you blow a lead late in any game, it's hard to then come back and win... our players were shell-shocked... and that rain delay... they rallied each other.

This is a common sentiment among the 2016 Cubs players and staff, though technically unprovable.

Segments

Radio Wars focused on Frank Kaminsky and Dan Dakich getting into it on Twitter over paying players. Big Cat took a middle-ground approach, suggesting that even if a full free-agent system is too chaotic, the current restrictions on player likeness are absurd.

Win
Apr 5, 2017·Radio Wars
#14953
Big CatBig Cat

College athletes should be allowed to profit off their own likeness

I do think that a player should be able to profit off their own likeness in some form or fashion. ... Put the money in a blind trust? ... Pay them after they get out of college?

In 2021, the Supreme Court and NCAA eventually allowed athletes to profit from their Name, Image, and Likeness, validating this stance.

In a wild Stay Woke, PFT speculated that Phil Mickelson might be the one who snitched on Lexi Thompson’s rules violation to clear his own search results and put the tour on notice.

Loss
Apr 5, 2017·Stay Woke
#14954
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Phil Mickelson intentionally reported Lexi Thompson's rules violation to ensure the PGA Tour was on notice

I think Phil Mickelson called in this rules violation ahead of the Masters to make sure everybody was on their game. ... Also stay woke. Maybe he was just making this quote to get the headlines that he paid $2 million to his bookie last year, pushed down a little bit on the Google search results.

Hot TakeGolfHotSarcastic
While Phil's gambling debts were real, there is no evidence he was the anonymous caller in the Lexi Thompson case.

Finally, Stay Classy went to Jim Nantz for *not* giving away his tie after the National Championship game, claiming he didn't want to make the moment about himself—by making sure everyone knew he was being humble.

If you see Tony Romo in a Pizza Hut hat at a Denver high school field this fall, just know the guys called it first.

nflmlbtony-romochicago-cubsncaa-tournamentbaseball-analytics

More Takes

Win
Apr 5, 2017
#26799
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

Media attention on Moneyball changed how baseball front offices operate by forcing owners to ask more questions

When Moneyball came out, it hit the New York Times bestseller list. And who reads bestsellers like rich dudes on their yachts who are the same guys who own baseball teams? So they all read the book. Then they started looking at their GMs. I was like, what the hell are we doing? ... It was an example of the media kind of changed in the way the game operates because they started asking questions.

Epstein is reflecting on his firsthand experience during the 'Moneyball' era of the early 2000s.
Loss
Apr 5, 2017
#14951
Theo EpsteinTheo Epstein

Kyle Schwarber will be an average defensive left fielder

I think [the concern about his defense] is overblown. I think he'll be average out there in left. You know, he boxed those two balls against the Mets whenever everyone was watching. So everyone thinks he's brutal. So I'll actually probably surprise some people who haven't seen him play since then.

Schwarber remained a below-average fielder for most of his career (often ranking poorly in Defensive Runs Saved) and eventually transitioned to being a primary DH in the American League.
Loss
Apr 5, 2017·Stay Woke
#26801
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Phil Mickelson will eventually play on the LPGA tour

Phil Mickelson might actually play on the LPGA. He's got the boobs, he's got the tits, he's got a rack. ... I like a guy with a nice rack. Phil Mickelson, he does it for me.

Hot TakeGolfHotSarcastic
Phil Mickelson has never played on the LPGA tour.

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