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Big CatBig Cat

The conversion rate of fourth downs will decrease as defenses get used to teams going for it more often

Will the chances of converting [fourth down] decrease as defenses are used to you going forward on fourth down. It used to be you would go for it on fourth down, maybe once a game, maybe that was your best play in your playbook. Now you go forward on fourth, down four times a game. It has to, it can't be as high of a percentage like it's going to decrease. Eventually.

This is a long-term league-wide trend prediction that is difficult to definitively prove, but overall 4th down conversion rates have remained relatively stable despite higher volume.

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Win
Dec 17, 2021
#13115
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs are all the way back and the Chargers suck

The Chiefs are all the way back and the Chargers suck. Mahomes looked bad for the majority of the night until he kind of picked it up at the end of the game.

The Chiefs finished the season 12-5 and made the AFC Championship, confirming they were back as a contender.
Void
Dec 17, 2021
#13117
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL intentionally screws over non-winning fanbases like the Browns and Lions

The Browns and the lions or the say, well, I guess you could throw in the saints and the Patriots too, for other reasons. But the Browns Alliance non-winning fan bases. They get screwed by the NFL. Feels like an inordinate amount of time. It feels like the NFL essentially says, oh, well, it's the Browns who cares? Like they, like, what is a bunch of people from Cleveland going to complain?

This is an opinion on league bias against struggling franchises.
Win
Dec 17, 2021
#24541
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Urban Meyer has the highest winning percentage of all time for games played in England

Urban Meyer, the number one all time winning percentage for an NFL head coach in games played in England. Yes.

Meyer won his only game in London (vs Dolphins), so his percentage is technically the highest possible.

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Big CatBig Cat

The Lions will win the NFC North

I think they're gonna be really good. Are the Lions on Crosby watch? ... I think them and maybe the Cowboys might be on Crosby watch. ... I think they probably will win the NFC North.

The 2026 NFC North winner will determine whether this prediction was correct.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears could have a top-five offense even if they miss the playoffs

There's a world where the Bears don't make the playoffs, but they're a top-five offense. And our defense is so bad that I can almost—I would be very upset, but I could deal with it.

This resolves when the 2026 regular season ends and Chicago's offensive ranking and playoff status are known.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars could win the AFC South

I think the Jaguars are not getting any respect or talked about a lot. I think they're gonna be really good this year. They could win the South. I think Trevor Lawrence is gonna keep going forward.

The Jaguars' season and Trevor Lawrence's 2026 performance will determine the prediction.