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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am betting against the Oakland Athletics -1.5 in every game of the 2024 season

Big Cat and I have decided to fade the athletics every single game. Yep. So we're putting a unit on the athletics every time they play 162 times a year, we're betting against them. Wake up. Bet against the athletics, sleep, profit, repeat. Minus one and a half every single game.

The A's went 69-93. While they lost many games, a blind -1.5 bet on 162 games would likely have resulted in a net loss due to the vig and the A's 93-69 record against the run line (meaning they covered +1.5 frequently).

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Void
Mar 29, 2024
#20660
Big CatBig Cat

Hubert Davis made a major mistake pulling Armando Bacot for foul trouble against Alabama

Kott was an absolute monster on the boards. And he gets his third foul with like 14 minutes left. Hubert Davis pulls him for four or five minutes... what Kott was doing on the offensive glass, defensive glass, like they could not guard him, pick and roll. It just completely changed the complexion of the game. And I don't know why you don't say, 'Hey look, you're a 10th year senior, you can stay out there and not foul and just do, you know, still be a positive for us.'

North Carolina lost 89-87; many analysts agreed that Bacot's benching during his dominant stretch was a turning point.
Push
Mar 29, 2024
#2353
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Alabama will score 120 points and smoke Clemson in the Elite Eight

I think Alabama's gonna run 'em out of the gym. It was a cute little win that Clemson had. You ran up against a team that couldn't make a three point shot. Alabama's gonna just score 120 points on you.

Alabama beat Clemson 89-82. They won, but didn't reach 120 points or 'run them out of the gym' by a significant margin.
Loss
Mar 29, 2024
#2354
Big CatBig Cat

Terrence Shannon Jr. is the only player who can potentially stop UConn

If there's only one person who could possibly stop UConn, it's the way that Terrence Shannon is playing basketball right now. He's out of, it's like insane.

UConn beat Illinois by 25 points and held Terrence Shannon Jr. to just 8 points, proving he was not the answer to stopping them.

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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.