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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

NFL teams should always go for two when down eight in the fourth quarter

The nerds had the correct theory here that you go for two when you're down eight in the fourth quarter, because essentially you have to score another touchdown no matter what. If you hit the first two, you can win the game with an extra point. I'm smarter than I was in the past.

Analytics now widely support going for 2 when down 8 to maximize the win probability in regulation.

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Win
Oct 24, 2018
#29014
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dodgers' bullpen is their one true weakness

The bullpen wasn't great for the Dodgers. That's their one weakness that they have. Bullpen pitchers are just pitchers that couldn't be starting pitchers.

The Dodgers bullpen struggled in the 2018 World Series, particularly in Game 4 where they blew a 4-0 lead.
Void
Oct 24, 2018
#8596
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

An ugly win provides a bigger confidence boost than a pretty close win

An ugly win is actually worth more than a pretty close win. Because if you can win ugly, that's like a confidence boost. Like, okay, we didn't have our stuff [but we still won].

Subjective sports psychology take.
Win
Oct 24, 2018
#8605
Big CatBig Cat

Eli Manning is no longer a good quarterback

Eli Manning is not a good quarterback anymore... That means he was a good quarterback, two Super Bowl rings, Hall of Famer, all that stuff. He's not a good quarterback anymore, and I can't stand the offensive line talk because, yes, the offensive line is bad, but Eli Manning is the king of pressures coming, just turtle, and not look downfield.

Eli Manning's stats and eye test in 2018-2019 confirmed he was at the end of his career.

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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.