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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Oregon could be in serious playoff trouble if they lose to USC this weekend

What happens if Oregon loses this weekend? ... They could be in trouble because the one win that they have on their schedule that's really doing a lot of work is the Penn State win... the committee is still valuing that Penn State win as being a quality win because it's back when Penn State was good. ... but if you're looking for an argument against Oregon, if they lose this weekend, that's where you go.

Oregon beat USC 42-27 and made the CFP as a No. 5 seed. They were never in 'serious playoff trouble.'

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Void
Nov 19, 2025
#18633
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The CFP committee is intentionally suppressing JMU in favor of the AAC winner

I think that what is happening right now is they had their heart set on the American [AAC], on that conference. Whoever wins that conference is going to get just pigeonholed in. Doesn't matter what else happens.

Subjective allegation of committee bias.
Loss
Nov 19, 2025
#18634
Big CatBig Cat

Georgia is in the best possible position because they can get a playoff bye without playing the SEC championship game

The winner number one is Georgia, because Georgia obviously beats Texas. They get to four. Georgia's in that perfect spot where they could potentially not go to the SEC championship game and have a buy. Which that's gotta be the greatest spot you could ever be in.

Georgia did play in the SEC championship game (losing 28-7 to... wait, Georgia beat Texas and then lost the SEC championship). Georgia was the #3 seed in the CFP and lost to Ole Miss 39-34 in the quarterfinals. They did not get a bye.
Win
Nov 19, 2025
#23744
Big CatBig Cat

Texas Tech will jump into a first-round playoff bye if they win the Big 12 championship

The other big winner to me is Texas Tech. Because if Indiana and Ohio State, when they play in the Big 10 championship game, if Texas Tech can win the Big 12 championship game, I would imagine Indiana, the loser of the Indiana, Ohio State game might drop out to the five seed and Texas Tech... would slip up into the buy.

Texas Tech won the Big 12 championship 34-7 over BYU and earned the No. 4 seed in the CFP, which came with a first-round bye. Big Cat was correct that Texas Tech would slip into a bye if they won the Big 12 title.

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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.