Skip to content
PMTPMT DB

Jon Gruden In Studio, Joe Flacco Wins TNF And The Hearts Of America, Week 7 Picks And Preview + Fyre Fest

Friday, October 17, 202517 takes

Joe Flacco is all the way back and the Bengals have life. The Steelers are still the Steelers, losing games they should win under Mike Tomlin (-). Dodgers up 3-0 and the Blue Jays/Mariners are all tied up 2-2 (-). NFL Week 7 picks and preview for every game. The Rams weird travel schedule, blind resumes, a bonus segment with Diani Russini, Must Win/Cant Lose for the Commanders, are we selling on the Colts at the peak and more (-). Jerry's fantasy minute and our best bets (-). Coach Jon Gruden in studio to talk football, what he's seeing from the Eagles, what quarterback is impressing him, traveling to London and more (-). We finish with Fyre Fest of the week (-).

Coach Jon Gruden in Studio, Joe Flacco's TNF Masterclass, and Week 7 Picks

The vibes are high because Joe Flacco has officially saved Thursday Night Football. The Bengals outlasted the Steelers 33-31 in a shootout that felt like vintage Flacco, and Big Cat is ready to start planning the parade route in Cincinnati. While the defense still has some major holes, the connection between Flacco and Jamar Chase is undeniable, and it has the guys looking at the playoff picture through rose-colored glasses.

Loss
Oct 17, 2025
#1222
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals will finish 10-7 if they beat the Jets and the Bears in their next two games

If they beat the Jets and the Bears... that would be five and four. They play the Patriots, Ravens, Bills, Ravens. Let's say they go one and three there... that would make 'em six and seven. Then they beat the Dolphins, Cardinals and Browns to finish the season. By my math, that's 10 and seven.

The Bengals actually finished the 2025 season 9-8, narrowly missing this 10-7 prediction.

PFT pointed out that Mike Tomlin’s obsession with the veteran quarterback might actually lead to a reunion down the road, mostly because Tomlin is tired of having to gameplan against him twice a year.

Open
Oct 17, 2025
#1223
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Flacco will eventually play for the Steelers because Mike Tomlin respects him so much

I think one day [Joe Flacco] is gonna end up playing for the Steelers. Because Mike Tomlin absolutely hates Joe Flacco. He respects him and he hates playing against him.

This is a long-term career prediction for Flacco.

Week 7 Preview and the Dianna Russini Interference

The Week 7 board is loaded, starting with a London game that actually features two teams with winning records. While the Rams are dealing with a weird travel schedule, Big Cat is leaning heavily on their recent performance for the gamblers out there.

Win
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#21391
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams against the spread are a must-bet because they are 11-3 in their last 14 games

The Rams are just knocking people out against the spread recently... they're 11 and 3 against the spread in their last 14 games. Yep. One of those was the blocked field goal by the Eagles... they should be 12 and 2 at that point.

The Rams went on to have a mediocre season following this, but the specific 11-3 ATS trend was an accurate historical claim at the time.

Transitions got a bit chaotic when Max started spiraling about the Eagles and their lack of offensive identity. To get to the bottom of the AJ Brown trade rumors, the guys called up Dianna Russini to see if Max's season was officially over. Dianna didn't exactly calm Max's nerves, though she did provide some clarity on the roster situation.

Win
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#1229
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

The Eagles are not currently trading AJ Brown

Right now, I will tell you 'cause it just was something that I was part of the last few hours. They they are not trading [AJ Brown].

This is direct reporting on a specific point in time.

Max wasn't the only one feeling the pressure, as he declared the upcoming matchup against the Vikings as the point of no return for Philadelphia.

Void
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#1228
MaxMax

If the Eagles lose to the Vikings, their season is dead

This is the do or die game. If you lose third week in a row, to Carson Wentz... if they lose this game, I think it comes crumbling down.

The 'death' of a season is subjective, but losing to the Vikings would confirm the spiraling trend.

Elsewhere in the picks segment, PFT dug into the Mike McDaniel era in Miami, pointing out a staggering stat about how the Dolphins perform when the competition actually steps up.

Win
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#21392
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike McDaniel's record against winning teams (3-15) proves the Dolphins are frauds who can't beat good opponents

I looked into Mike McDaniel's stats in terms of teams that he's played with losing records and teams that he is played with winning records... his record against winning teams [is] three and 15. And against teams with losing records... he is 26 and 13. So much, much better against bad teams than good teams.

The stats provided by PFT were accurate at the time of the recording regarding McDaniel's historical performance against winning versus losing teams.

Jon Gruden Talks Grinders and QB Tiers

Coach Jon Gruden joined the show in studio to do what he does best: talk ball and highlight the guys who are out there grinding. He's been deep in his film room, and he's seeing a massive resurgence in Tampa Bay, specifically with a quarterback who reminds him of a Green Bay legend.

Void
Oct 17, 2025
#1231
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

Baker Mayfield would be the NFL MVP if the season ended today

We were on that Fox show and they asked me who I thought the MVP would be and I said, if we did it today, it'd be Baker. And I just compare him to Brett Favre when we were in Green Bay. He brought life to the huddle.

Subjective mid-season evaluation.

Gruden didn't hold back on the Eagles either, echoing some of the concerns Max has been shouting into the void all morning. He noted that the championship DNA from their Super Bowl run seems to have evaporated, leaving a team that looks disconnected on the field.

Win
Oct 17, 2025
#21394
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

The Eagles lack the chemistry and caring for one another that they had during their Super Bowl run

The Eagles aren't the same team. The chemistry of the team is not the same... They're not as good because the players that won the Super Bowl aren't there. And offensively... It just doesn't look like they care a lot about each other right now.

The Eagles struggled down the stretch in 2024 and 2025, validating many of the 'bad vibes' reports that Gruden is echoing here.

However, Coach is a massive believer in what Raheem Morris is building in Atlanta. Between a dominant run game and a defense that plays with a collective chip on its shoulder, Gruden thinks the Falcons are the real deal.

Win
Oct 17, 2025
#21395
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

The Falcons are for real because their defense and young offensive weapons have reached elite status

I like 'em man. I like 'em... What they did coming back, beating Washington, going on a buy and coming back and taking it to Buffalo on national television... I think they have a lot firepower, man. Drake London is starting to play like Andre Johnson. Kyle Pitts is showing why he was the top 10 pick.

The Falcons won the NFC South in the 2025 season, making Gruden's belief in them largely correct.
I think the Pittsburgh Steelers have arguably the best fourth quarter pass rush. They got three ends that can kick your ass.

Fyre Fest and Final Thoughts

Fyre Fest of the week featured PFT dealing with a hydration-related disaster in his car and Zac dealing with a mystery flood in his apartment that might involve a serial killer neighbor. Big Cat is also struggling with his annual fall attempt to "dress like an adult," which mostly just involves people making fun of his new jeans.

If the Bengals keep winning with Flacco, we might actually have to start taking the AFC North seriously again.

nfljoe-flaccobengalseaglesmlb-playoffsgambling

More Takes

Win
Oct 17, 2025
#1224
MaxMax

The Dodgers are going to beat the fuck out of every other team in the playoffs

I think the Dodgers are gonna beat the fuck out of every other team and it's not even gonna be close.

The Dodgers won the 2025 World Series, beating the Blue Jays in 7 games. While it was close (going to Game 7), the Dodgers dominated the NL playoffs, sweeping the Brewers in the NLCS.
Win
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#1225
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Saints game is a Must Win

The Bears are right now, what is it? Four and a half point favorites. This is a game that the Bears have to win. I'm dubbing it a Must Win because the Bears are, you'd think better than the Saints.

The Bears beat the Saints 26-14 in Week 7, winning the 'Must Win' game Big Cat declared. They went on to make the playoffs at 11-6.
Void
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#1226
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Spencer Rattler has a future as a starting quarterback in the NFL

Do you think that Spencer Rattler has a future as a starting quarterback in this league? I think he might. And I feel strong about maybe.

This is a career-trajectory opinion that requires long-term observation.
Loss
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#1227
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs are going to win the Super Bowl

Raiders Chiefs, Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus 11 and a half... Their offense is humming.

The Chiefs finished 6-11 and missed the playoffs. Mahomes tore his ACL. They did not win the Super Bowl.
Win
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#21393
Big CatBig Cat

I am officially selling on the Colts at their peak for the Week 7 matchup against the Chargers

I'm ready to sell on the peak of the Colts. I'm selling in this game only... I think Justin Herbert's a lot better than all those guys [the Colts have beaten]. I also am worried about the Colts secondary... I think the Chargers are gonna win this game.

The Chargers beat the Colts 24-17 in Week 7, making Big Cat's 'sell' prediction correct.
Loss
Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#1230
Big CatBig Cat

I'm starting to believe in the Falcons

I think I'm starting to believe in the Falcons. Are you ready to do that with me? I like 'em man. I like 'em.

The Falcons finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. Michael Penix Jr. went 3-6 as a starter before a season-ending ACL injury. Not a team to believe in.
Loss
Oct 17, 2025
#1232
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

Ty Simpson could win the Heisman Trophy this year

Ty Simpson could win the Heisman Trophy this year. He's not making everyday throws now. He's pushing it down the field. He's getting outta trouble. He's got a soul about it, man.

Ty Simpson did not win the 2025 Heisman Trophy. Fernando Mendoza of Indiana won the Heisman in 2025.
Void
Oct 17, 2025
#1233
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

The Steelers have arguably the best fourth-quarter pass rush in the NFL

The Pittsburgh Steelers are another team that I'm really excited about. I think they have arguably the best fourth quarter pass rush. They got three ends that can kick your ass.

This is a subjective evaluation of a specific unit's performance.

PMTDB Comments

This generates your username. Same passphrase = same name. Make it unique and memorable!

Search

Search takes, episodes, and speakers