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NFL Week 18, Playoffs Are Set, Lions Get The 1 Seed, Bengals Bounced + Who's Back Of The Week

Monday, January 6, 202521 takes

NFL Week 18 and we start with Fastest 2 Minutes. We then recap every game from Sunday and talk playoffs (-). AFC Broncos 38, Chiefs 0 (-) Bengals 19, Steelers 17 (-) Chargers 34, Raiders 20 (-) Ravens 35, Browns 10 (-) Patriots 23, Bills 16 (-) Jets 32, Dolphins 20 (-) Texans 23, Titans 14 (-) Colts 26, Jaguars 23 (-) NFC Lions 31, Vikings 9 (-) Bucs 27, Saints 19 (-) Panthers 44, Falcons 38 (-) Commanders 23, Cowboys 19 (-) Seahawks 30, Rams 25 (-) Cardinals 47, 49ers 24 (-) Eagles 20, Giants 13 (-) Bears 24, Packers 22 (-) We finish with who's back of the week and a recap of our season long bet (-).

NFL Week 18: Playoff Bracket Set, Lions Clinch 1 Seed, and Patriots Fire Mayo

Week 18 is officially in the books, and the playoff bracket is finally set. While the Fastest 2 Minutes brought the usual energy, the real meat of the show was the fallout from a Sunday that saw the Lions secure the top seed in the NFC and the AFC playoff picture solidify after the Broncos dismantled a resting Chiefs squad.

The AFC Pressure Cooker

With the bracket locked in, Big Cat isn't wasting any time looking at the Wild Card matchups. He’s already eyeing the Bills as they host Denver, thinking the line might be way too low for a Buffalo team that looks like a juggernaut right now.

Win
Jan 6, 2025
#17501
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will demolish the Broncos in the Wild Card round

I think the Bills are going to fucking demolish the Broncos. [I] might, by the way, I think I saw the line open at seven and a half. If it, if it's seven or even six and a half, I might Game of the year. The bills.

The Bills demolished the Broncos 31-7 in the Wild Card round on January 12, 2025. Big Cat was spot on with this prediction.

The Chiefs might have been shut out on Sunday, but nobody is panicking in Kansas City. With a bye week and Patrick Mahomes returning to the lineup, Big Cat is already penciling them into the AFC Championship.

Win
Jan 6, 2025
#17502
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs will win their first playoff game in the divisional round

But this also is set up The Chiefs, you, you know, they're, they're set up for the playoffs. I know they're gonna have whatever, 25 days off or whatever it might be... they'll win their first game in the, in the divisional round.

The Chiefs defeated the Steelers 37-17 in the divisional round.

Meanwhile, the Steelers managed to sneak into the dance again, but PFT Commenter isn't convinced this year will be any different from the standard Pittsburgh formula of hanging around just long enough to lose in the first round.

Win
Jan 6, 2025
#26668
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Steelers are stuck in a cycle of 'good-ish' seasons followed by first-round exits.

you're going to see the, the exact same Steelers season repeat itself over and over again in the future... You're good-ish and you're always gonna be good-ish. You're gonna play teams hard, but you're probably not gonna do anything in the playoffs.

The Steelers lost to the Chiefs 37-17 in the Wild Card round, continuing the exact pattern PFT described.

To break the cycle of mediocrity in the Steel City, PFT has a specific veteran in mind to come in and shake up the offense next season.

Loss
Jan 6, 2025
#17503
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jameis Winston should be the bridge quarterback for the Steelers

If you're the Steelers and you're getting your bridge quarterback and you want a guy that's going to take chances and if it, it goes well, it's gonna be electric... and that's Jameis Winston. You get Jameis in there... It is like is the antidote to everything that you've been in the last four seasons.

Jameis Winston did not become the Steelers' bridge quarterback. The Steelers signed Aaron Rodgers instead on a 1-year deal.

Everything in the AFC ultimately runs through Baltimore, though. Despite the 1 Seed belong to KC, the Ravens look like the most complete team in football. Big Cat points out that this puts an immense amount of weight on the shoulders of the presumptive MVP and his new legendary running back.

Void
Jan 6, 2025
#17504
Big CatBig Cat

Lamar Jackson has more pressure than anyone else in the 2025 playoffs

I think the Ravens have the most pressure because Derrick Henry's also not going getting younger. And Lamar again, Lamar is the, is the best player in the NFL right now playing the best football. He's gonna win an MVP most likely... if they don't at least get to the Super Bowl... there's gonna be a lot of questions.

Pressure rankings are subjective, though playoff outcomes will inform the legacy aspect.

Coaching Carousel and the New England Shakeup

The biggest news of the day came shortly after the final whistle in Foxborough: Jerod Mayo is out after just one season. Hank is surprisingly upbeat about the firing, mostly because he’s convinced a certain former Patriot linebacker is waiting in the wings to take over.

Win
Jan 6, 2025
#17506
HankHank

Mike Vrabel will be the next head coach of the Patriots

I do think it was a smart decision [to fire Jerod Mayo]. I also think that they wouldn't have done it as quickly as they did if they didn't know that they are getting the coach that they want. Which I believe is Mike Vrabel... I am of the belief that the answer to that question is yes.

Mike Vrabel was hired as the head coach of the New England Patriots on January 12, 2025, exactly as Hank predicted.

Big Cat thinks the whole Mike Vrabel to the Jets rumor mill was nothing more than a tactical play to force the Patriots' hand.

Void
Jan 6, 2025
#26669
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Vrabel used his interest in the Jets as a smokescreen to pressure the Patriots into making a coaching change.

Mike Vrabel's interest in the Jets was just a smokescreen to pressure the Patriots to make a move at Head Coach... [It] was put pressure on the Patriots to make a move with a young, incredibly promising QB who improved every weekend.

While Vrabel didn't end up with the Patriots job, the timing of Mayo's firing right after Vrabel's Jets interview suggests there was some strategic maneuvering involved.

While the Patriots look for a new leader, the Jets are sticking with what they have. Memes is still holding onto the dream that Aaron Rodgers has one more run in him if they can just replicate a specific historical blueprint.

Void
Jan 6, 2025
#26672
MemesMemes

The Jets still have a Super Bowl window with Aaron Rodgers if they build an elite defense around him.

if you take Aaron Rogers with his stats right now [top 15]... You load up on defense... you have a chance to do it. If you load up paid Manning Super Bowl year... he had a horrible year and he, he was a game manager and he got him to the Super Bowl.

The viability of the Jets' Super Bowl window is inherently subjective.

NFC North Supremacy and the Bears' Moral Victory

The Lions are the kings of the NFC after a dominant win over the Vikings on Sunday night. While Detroit looks like a Super Bowl favorite, Max and Big Cat spent a significant amount of time debating Dan Campbell’s aggressiveness and whether Nick Sirianni gets a fair shake in comparison.

In Chicago, the Bears actually beat the Packers. For the first time in years, Big Cat gets to enjoy a victory over Green Bay to end the season. However, the optimism for the future is tempered by rumors of who might be stalking the sidelines at Soldier Field next year.

Loss
Jan 6, 2025
#17512
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will hire Brian Flores and won't even interview Ben Johnson

The organization is not in a good place... Everything that I've read and heard, the Bears are going to hire Brian Flores. They're probably not even gonna interview Ben Johnson... Ryan Poles is gonna keep his job and that's gonna be an awkward [situation].

The Bears did NOT hire Brian Flores. They hired Ben Johnson from the Lions. Big Cat's prediction was wrong on all counts — the Bears did interview and hire Ben Johnson.

PFT Commenter is already looking ahead to the draft for the teams that didn't make it. Between scouting the top quarterbacks and finding a perfect fit for a certain Heisman-caliber running back in Dallas, the offseason talk is already heating up.

Loss
Jan 6, 2025
#26676
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys will draft Ashton Jeanty.

Ashton Jeanty for sure is gonna be a cowboy. That is the most Cowboys pick ever. Oh my God. He's gonna run for like 1500 yards and they're gonna go to the playoffs like everything's fixed.

Ashton Jeanty was not drafted by the Cowboys. He was selected 6th overall by the Las Vegas Raiders in the 2025 NFL Draft.

We wrapped up with a very testy Who’s Back of the Week and the final results of the season-long picks competition, which means Max is officially heading to a bachelorette party.

See you on Super Wild Card Weekend.

nflnfl-playoffsdetroit-lionschicago-bearsnew-england-patriotsmike-vrabellamar-jackson

More Takes

Win
Jan 6, 2025
#17505
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Cam Ward is a better NFL prospect than Shedeur Sanders

I have Cam Ward ahead of Shedeur on big board. I do, I do too... I have Hunter is two and then I've got Cam Ward then Shedeur. That's my top four.

Cam Ward was selected #1 overall by the Titans, while Shedeur Sanders fell all the way to the 5th round (#144 overall to the Browns). Ward was clearly valued much higher by NFL teams.
Void
Jan 6, 2025
#26670
MemesMemes

The Jets should bring Aaron Rodgers back for another season.

Jets fans probably won't like this. I would, I would do another year [with Aaron Rodgers]... you just try to go for it next year.

Whether the Jets should or shouldn't is a matter of opinion.
Void
Jan 6, 2025
#26671
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins should run it back with their current core but must invest heavily in a top-tier backup quarterback.

I would say if you're the Dolphins, you it, it's probably worth taking one more shot at this iteration... you probably want to invest very heavily in a backup quarterback.

The Dolphins' future roster strategy is a matter of team building and opinion.
Win
Jan 6, 2025
#26673
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars will fire Doug Pederson despite him not losing the locker room.

I think Doug Peterson never lost the locker room. They actually fought pretty hard in this game. He's gonna get fired... it would be funny if they just forgot to fire him because he should have [been fired] two months ago.

Doug Pederson was indeed fired by the Jaguars on January 13, 2025.
Void
Jan 6, 2025
#17507
Big CatBig Cat

Anthony Richardson is not the answer for the Colts

Chris Ballard is getting his job, keeping his job... Anthony Richardson is not the answer. I've been saying that for a very long time. I think most Colts fans agree.

Richardson's long-term success is still subjective but trending poorly as of this take.
Loss
Jan 6, 2025
#17508
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Johnson will be the next head coach of the Jaguars

The Jacks are gonna get Ben Johnson. I've, I've resigned myself to that. I I think that's, that's exactly what's gonna happen... They're gonna get Trevor Lawrence back and Ben Johnson.

Ben Johnson ultimately stayed with the Detroit Lions as Offensive Coordinator for another season.
Void
Jan 6, 2025
#17509
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michael Penix Jr. is definitively the guy for the Falcons

But I feel like Penix is the guy. I think he's the guy I'm ready to say right now. I think he's the guy.

Penix's potential as a franchise QB is subjective.
Loss
Jan 6, 2025
#26674
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams will beat the Vikings in the Wild Card round.

I think I like the Rams [over the Vikings]... The fact that Sean McVay did not care about winning this game makes me think that the Rams are gonna be very dangerous.

The Vikings defeated the Rams 24-21 in the Wild Card round.
Void
Jan 6, 2025
#26675
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers should move on from Deebo Samuel this offseason.

You move on from Deebo. You find a, I don't know if cut is, I don't know what his contract is. I'd say you move on from Deebo... it might be better for Kyle Shanahan to not have Deebo in his life because he's always thinking 'I want more Deebo'.

This is a personnel strategy opinion that cannot be objectively proven correct or incorrect.
Void
Jan 6, 2025
#17510
Big CatBig Cat

Kyler Murray is not a 'confetti quarterback' who can win a Super Bowl

Kyler's not a confetti quarterback. Can you close your eyes and see confetti coming on, coming down on Kyler? No... because like, think about it like there's so much confetti then you're like, where'd Kyler go? Can't find him. Gets lost in it.

This is a purely subjective aesthetic/narrative take.
Void
Jan 6, 2025
#17511
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants should hire Steve Sarkisian and tank for Arch Manning

So if they do fire Daboll, what about this plan? [Steve] Sark[isian] and then you just wait for Arch. You do one season of tanking... Then you tank a little bit... You tank and then Draft Arch. Because if you're a Giants fan, that that should get your blood going a little bit. Right? Yeah. Like just picturing a Manning jersey.

This is a speculative hypothetical plan that is unlikely to be literally followed.

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