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Adam Schefter

Adam Schefter

Guest
2017 — Present
23W·13L·3P·16 open
footballlifebusiness39 scored

All Takes

Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Andy Dalton would be the perfect veteran backup for JJ McCarthy on the Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings. Like that would make a, he'd be the perfect guy for JJ McCarthy. He looks like a Viking... I kind of like the Vikings [for Dalton].

This depends on where Andy Dalton actually signs during the 2026 free agency period.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The 49ers will not trade Mac Jones because they like him too much as a backup for Brock Purdy

I don't think they're gonna trade Mac Jones. They just have not, they, they like him too much. And Brock Purdy runs around. He's an active guy and he's missed some time. And when Brock Purdy missed time, Mac [Jones] was able to step right in... I think they really like Mac Jones too much [to move him].

The 49ers' roster decisions for the 2026 season will determine if this holds true.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Miami should release Tua and eat the record $99 million cap hit all at once

I think they probably just have to wind up releasing [Tua]. And the question is, how do you wanna take your medicine? You wanna take it all at once. One year. 99.1 million. The largest cap hit in NFL history. You wanna spread it out, make him post June one... I would just take all my medicine all at once. If it were me.

This is an advisory opinion on how to handle the contract; the Dolphins' actual decision will reveal if they agree.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Malik Willis is the 'crown jewel' and top free agent quarterback available this year

Only one of them is going to get Malik Willis. And Malik Willis is the top free agent quarterback this year. The crown jewel. I just think it's a tough year to be in the quarterback market and it's hard to predict how that's gonna shake out when there aren't a whole lot of options out there.

Willis's contract and status as the first QB signed in free agency will validate this.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Fernando Mendoza is expected to be the #1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft

Unless some team makes an offer that they can't refuse... We think we, we could report, we probably could put on the bottom line: Fernando Mendoza expected to be the number one [pick].

The draft occurs in late April 2026.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The Seattle Seahawks will sell for $10 billion

Somebody told me $10 billion... You're buying the defending Super Bowl champion. That's never happened. Right? You're buying an organization that's run very well... It's a great buying opportunity.

The final sale price of the Seahawks will eventually verify this claim.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Brandon Aiyuk will be released by the 49ers on the first day of the league year

[Brandon Aiyuk] will be released on the first day of the league year I would think... We know he is not gonna be in San Francisco.

The league year begins in March 2026; we will see if the release occurs then.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Alec Pierce will be a top target in free agency for teams like the Patriots, Bills, and Browns

Alec Pierce, I think is a guy that's gonna get a lot of interest. He'll go quick. I would think that... Patriots, bills, [Browns] obviously. I'm trying to think of a wide receiver needy team... Cleveland.

Resolved once Alec Pierce signs his 2026 contract.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Trey Hendrickson would love to sign with Tampa Bay to stay in Florida for tax reasons

I think that [Trey Hendrickson] would love to be in Tampa. He lives in Ponte Vedra... Tampa would be a great fit, I think in a perfect world. I think in a perfect world, Trey would like to stay in Florida if he could. No state tax.

Resolved during the 2026 free agency period.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Kenneth Walker will likely be a free agent and the Houston Texans are a perfect fit

My guess is in the end, [Kenneth Walker] is gonna be a free agent. And if he's a free agent, where does Kenneth Walker go? Like, Houston makes a lot of sense, doesn't it? Houston needs to help CJ Stroud. What's the best way to help CJ Stroud? Get one of these frontline running backs.

Resolved during the 2026 free agency period.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

George Pickens will command $30-35 million per year in a new contract

If you're George Pickens, you're probably saying, Hey, I may not be exactly [Puka or JSN], but I went to the Pro Bowl. I'm almost as good as these guys. And if these guys are getting 40, what's George Pickens worth? Let's just throw out a number. 30, 35? It's a tough number to fit under the cap.

Depends on the contract Pickens eventually signs or the tag value he receives.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Brandon Aubrey is worth a contract in the $12-14 million range as a major offensive weapon

I could argue that that guy's worth 12 million. 14 million. Like you're paying running backs 12, 13, 14 million on the open market. You get past midfield, you got three points in the bank. That's it. To me, he's a major weapon.

Resolved once Aubrey signs a new contract or tender in 2026.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Nashville, Denver, and Washington will host Super Bowls once their new stadiums are finished

I'll bet you there's a Super Bowl in Nashville. There's gonna be a new stadium in Denver. I'll bet you there's a Super Bowl in Denver. It's gonna be a new stadium in Washington. I'll bet you there's a Super Bowl in Washington and you begin to integrate those places.

These would resolve several years in the future as stadiums are completed.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

This phone in my hand is the one I used to tweet that Miles Garrett committed assault

I really believe that this is the assault phone. It would be my honor to give you this phone... You can hang it on the wall.

This is Adam Schefter claiming a specific phone is the one he used to tweet about Myles Garrett. This is an unverifiable personal claim about a physical object.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Miles Garrett will cost at least two first-round picks if the Browns trade him

If you go back and look at what the Bears gave up for Khalil Mack, it was two firsts. It was a third, a fifth... To me that's the most fair comp there is out there right now.

As of the end of the 2025 season, Myles Garrett had not been traded by the Browns despite requesting a trade. The Browns refused to deal him even for two first-round picks.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Brock Purdy's next contract might not reach Dak Prescott's numbers

Is it gonna be the Dak Prescott contract? It's not, I don't expect it to be. Is it gonna be a fair contract? I would think it would be. They have to pay him... But if Brock Purdy doesn't like that deal, I don't know how far the Niners can go. And then the Niners can just say, okay, guess what? We have your rights this year for 5 million. We could franchise tag you next year.

Brock Purdy signed a 5-year, $265 million extension with the 49ers ($53M AAV). Dak Prescott's deal was 4 years, $240 million ($60M AAV). While Purdy's AAV was lower, his total was higher. The prediction was arguably wrong as Purdy got a massive deal.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The NFL will eventually sell a 12 to 16-game international broadcast package

They get to an 18 game schedule and then the league can take a 12, 14, 16 game international package and sell that... I think that's where it's gonna go.

This is a long-term projection for the league's next media cycle.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Matthew Stafford's next team will be either the Giants, Rams, or Raiders

I really don't know right now because it's kind of a coin flip kind of thing... [The Giants, Rams, and Raiders] those are the three scenarios that make sense.

Matthew Stafford stayed with the Rams, which was one of the three scenarios Schefter mentioned. After exploring interest from the Giants and Raiders, Stafford re-signed with LA.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Aaron Rodgers will definitely play in 2025 with a chip on his shoulder

I think he's gonna play, he's gonna play and I think he has something to prove in his own mind and think there's gonna be a chip on his shoulder.

Aaron Rodgers signed with the Steelers in June 2025 on a one-year deal and played in the 2025 season, starting 12 games with a 7-5 record.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The Browns will draft a quarterback with their first pick in the 2025 Draft

To me, they have to draft a quarterback with their first pick... I predict it'll be a quarterback period. I think they have to do a quarterback. They're that high, they're that financially strapped with Deshaun Watson, there's that much of a need.

The Browns traded the #2 overall pick to Jacksonville (who took Travis Hunter). The Browns got the #5 pick back and selected DT Mason Graham, not a quarterback. They drafted QBs Dillon Gabriel (3rd round) and Shedeur Sanders (5th round) later.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The NFL will not ban the 'Tush Push' play

I don't think so. Like how do you, how do you ban that?... I've heard more opposition to it this week than I thought I would, but I don't know that there's a way to legislate it out of the game right now.

Adam Schefter predicted the NFL would not ban the tush push. At the May 2025 Spring League Meeting, the proposal to ban the tush push failed by two votes (22-10, needed 24 of 32 to pass). The play remains legal.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

I will be the governing owner of Jerry O'Connell's fantasy football team in name only

Governing owner in name only? That sounds fair to me... Blame me [if he is fired]. Everybody else does.

This is a joke bit within the show.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Russell Wilson is the most likely quarterback to return to the Steelers in 2025

One of [Russell Wilson or Justin Fields] will be back... I expect it to be [Russell Wilson]. Russ is back.

Adam Schefter predicted Russell Wilson was the most likely QB to return to the Steelers in 2025. Wilson did not re-sign with Pittsburgh; he instead signed a 1-year, $10.5M contract with the New York Giants.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Daniel Jones will be a starting quarterback in the NFL in September

Yes [he will be a starter]. In fact, I've actually had his name come up with head coaches I've spoken to... I think there's a market for him.

Daniel Jones became the starting quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts in September 2025, winning the QB competition over Anthony Richardson.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

NFL pass rushers will receive significantly more money in free agency than people are expecting

I think these guys are gonna get more money than people are expecting... The Eagles help make the pass rushers more money in this free age market.

Can be verified by looking at the AAV (Average Annual Value) of defensive end contracts signed in March 2025.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The 49ers will trade Deebo Samuel rather than releasing him

I think the 49ers are gonna be able to trade him... I know that I've seen it out there that the Niners would have to release him... I don't agree with that. I think they're gonna be able to trade him.

The 49ers traded Deebo Samuel to the Commanders for a fifth-round pick in March 2025, rather than releasing him outright.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The Rams will hope to trade Cooper Kupp this offseason

I think the Rams are gonna hope to trade him... He's gonna have a new home. Yeah. He's gonna have suitors, he's gonna have interest. The question is what is the price gonna be?

The Rams hoped to trade Cooper Kupp but failed to find a trade partner and ultimately released him. He then signed with the Seahawks in free agency.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Jaden Daniels is a special player who will cover up the Commanders' organizational flaws

Jaden Daniels... gets it big time. He gets it. Like that guy is on it... This quarterback covers up a lot of the sins of the organization. Not everybody's at his level... the quarterback is exceptional.

While Daniels was the 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year, 'covering organizational sins' is a matter of opinion.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Kellen Moore and Dion Sanders are square in contention for the Cowboys job

Kellen Moore is a logical name because he fits there... Dion Sanders, if that's the way Jerry wants to go, square in contention. I would just say Kellen Moore square in contention, Dion Sanders, if that's the way Jerry wants to go, square in contention.

Neither Kellen Moore nor Deion Sanders was hired as Cowboys head coach. The Cowboys hired Brian Schottenheimer, their offensive coordinator, on January 24, 2025.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Ben Johnson is definitely taking a head coaching job this year

I don't see it this year. I don't see it. Ben Johnson has turned down two years of opportunities... at some point you have to take the plunge. The money is too great, the opportunities are too great... I believe he's taking a head coaching job this year.

Adam Schefter correctly predicted Ben Johnson would take a head coaching job. Johnson was hired by the Chicago Bears on January 21, 2025.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The NFL has no intention or momentum to change the playoff seeding rules that allow division winners to host games.

The league is intent upon rewarding division winners. I don't see that changing anytime soon. I've never heard any momentum or movement to change the way the playoff seeding system works.

Schefter is reporting on current league sentiment and momentum; unless a rule change occurs in the next league meeting, he is correct.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The Cowboys must sign Dak Prescott to an extension this year to manage the salary cap

I think they have to get something done with him. I mean, he's got a 59 and a half million dollars cap number. They want to get a big deal done with CD Lamb. They want to get a big deal done with Micah Parsons. They want to upgrade their roster. Jerry Jones himself has said they're all in. Well, how can you be all in if your quarterback is taking up that much of the cap? Right. And by the way, if you don't get it done with him, then after the season, you can't tag him. Right. So he could just leave.

Dak Prescott signed a 4-year, $240 million extension on September 8, 2024, just before the first game of the season, fulfilling Schefter's prediction.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The presence of Bill Belichick and Mike Vrabel on the market will speed up coach firings next season

I think the fact that [Vrabel's] out there, the fact that Bill [Belichick] is out there, I think it speeds up the coaching firing cycle next season when teams are ordinarily making moves. We get to Thanksgiving. Usually. Sometimes there's a move that is made early in the year. One stray firing, oh, Carolina fired Frank Reich. But usually teams wait till after Thanksgiving and then they start trickling in. I, I think it wouldn't shock me if we started getting stuff like if late, late October, early November, because teams want to go talk to Vrabel. They want to go talk to Belichick.

Firings did occur (Robert Saleh in October 2024, Dennis Allen in November 2024), but as of February 2025, Belichick and Vrabel have not yet been hired as head coaches in the 2025 cycle, though the firings did happen early.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The compensation for a Justin Fields trade will be between a 2nd and a 4th round pick

I think the Justin Fields compensation is somewhere between what Alex Smith got [two 2s] and what Sam Darnold brought. [Sam Darnold] was for a four, a six that year and a four and a two the next year. So three picks. A two, four, and six. And I think that the Justin Fields compensation is somewhere between [those]. So it's like a second and a fourth. A two and a four.

Justin Fields was traded to the Steelers on March 16, 2024, for a conditional 6th-round pick (which could become a 4th), significantly lower than the 2nd round pick Schefter predicted.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Denver will move on from Russell Wilson

I think they move on from Russ. I mean, Sean Payton, just read between the lines. Right? I don't even have to read between the lines. I think it's just saying it. Sean Payton's lines are like, he holds up three fingers in a straight line and then he takes the first two down. Between those lines, he's gone.

The Broncos released Russell Wilson on March 4, 2024, shortly after this recording.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The S2 cognition test is effectively out of business after the C.J. Stroud evaluation error

[The S2 guys] are out of business right now... could it ever have been more wrong on one guy ever? ... [Bryce Young] tested off the charts and... it's bad.

While the S2 company still exists, their influence in the NFL Draft community significantly waned following the C.J. Stroud/Bryce Young disparity in 2023.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The Texans likely would have drafted Bryce Young if they had the #1 pick in 2023

If the Texans had lost that game and gotten the number one pick in that Draft, if that had happened, I think they might've taken Bryce Young. And I don't know if they would've traded the pick, which means Chicago wouldn't have Caleb Williams, which means they wouldn't be shopping Justin Fields this year.

This is a counterfactual historical claim that can never be definitively proven, though it aligns with draft-day reporting that the Panthers preferred Young.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Aaron Rodgers is the first domino in the NFL quarterback market

Everything's being held up right now by the quarterback in Green Bay. Yep. But he is outta the darkness. Once that happens, he's the first quarterback domino. Then all the other quarterback dominoes begin to fall.

Rodgers' trade to the Jets was the primary saga of the 2023 offseason, preceding or delaying several other veteran QB moves.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The Jets are the most likely trade destination for Aaron Rodgers

To me [the Jets] is the one that makes the most sense by far. Okay. And it's not, if he is gonna be traded, that's the place it would be.

Aaron Rodgers was indeed traded to the Jets.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Bryce Young will measure in at 5'11" at the combine

My guess is five 11... He's hired a nutritionist to put on extra weight. So maybe you come in 195, 200.

Bryce Young officially measured 5'10 1/8" and weighed 204 pounds.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The Bears' #1 pick is worth at least two first-rounders in a trade

To go from one to four. It, it's a minimum of two ones and then some and then some. Oh hell yes. Like it's, it's a lot.

The Bears received the #9 overall pick, a 2nd rounder, a 2024 1st rounder, a 2025 2nd rounder, and WR DJ Moore from the Panthers.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Jim Harbaugh is going to stay at Michigan for a while

I think for the benefit of the Michigan football program, I think [Jim Harbaugh] is gonna be at Michigan for a while. I think he's shown that he loves the school, loves the players... why is he gonna do it next year for Team X? And is that team next year gonna be more or less likely after these two years to go after him?

Harbaugh stayed for one more season (winning the National Championship) but left for the Los Angeles Chargers in January 2024.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Davis Webb will eventually be an NFL head coach

Buffalo wanted Davis Webb to be its quarterback coach [last year]... I think in time, we'll see how it develops. Davis Webb will be an NFL head coach. You'll be down the line.

Webb is currently the Quarterbacks Coach for the Denver Broncos; it is too early to tell if he will become a head coach.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Dan Snyder will sell the Washington Commanders

I think he's going to sell a team... I don't think you go down this road and have people touring the building and have as many people around the league looking at you in the way that you do with all these investigations... I think by the start of the new year, I think there's a new owner.

Dan Snyder sold the team to the Josh Harris group in July 2023.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Roger Goodell will sign another contract extension as NFL Commissioner

I'll make a prediction. That could be a, I I think he'll sign another extension. Oh.

Roger Goodell signed an extension in October 2023 to remain commissioner through March 2027.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Kliff Kingsbury could have had the Oklahoma head coaching job if he wanted it

I get a call from somebody, not in the Kliff Kingsbury camp, connected to the [Sooners]... and they said, are you aware of the fact that Oklahoma is kind of after him? ...I made a couple more calls and found out that if he wanted that job, he could have it. Now. Now it was portrayed as I'm giving Kliff Kingsbury leverage. I could care less.

While Kingsbury stayed with the Cardinals, the claim that he had the offer is a sourced fact from Schefter.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Tom Brady was in talks to be a limited owner of the Miami Dolphins

He was retiring. I mean, there were other plans he's doing a movie. He was talked about as a limited owner of the Miami Dolphins. His family was at like, the decision had been made. He was retiring and we reported it.

This was later confirmed by numerous reports and the Dolphins were eventually sanctioned for tampering with Brady.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Tom Brady will not play again this year, but might get the itch in July

Today I would say not going to play again today. Well, listen today, March 2nd, as we tape, I don't think he's going to play again, how he's going to feel in July and August when people are going back to training camp... he may get the itch.

Tom Brady unretired just 11 days later, on March 13, 2022, far earlier than July.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Russell Wilson will be the starting quarterback for the Seahawks in 2022

Russell Wilson is the starting quarterback for the Seahawks to start the season. I would, I would think that that would be the case.

Russell Wilson was traded to the Denver Broncos on March 8, 2022, just days after this interview.
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Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The NFL should put Carson Wentz in Washington just to watch PFT's soul leave his body

Carson Wentz. I, I think we should put them in Washington just to see PFT's soul leave his body.

OpinionMediaHotSarcastic
The Commanders actually did trade for Carson Wentz shortly after this interview in March 2022.

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