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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bet on rookie head coaches in the first week of the NFL preseason

Week one, it was pretty strong. You just bet on whatever coach, if it's a matchup between a rookie head coach and a coach that's been in the league before you bet on the rookie head coach to win. Because I think somewhere deep down, they would prefer to win their very first game that they play.

While not a hard rule, rookie coaches often play starters longer or try harder to get their first win in preseason. In 2022, many rookie head coaches (like Kevin O'Connell, Mike McDaniel) performed well in preseason debuts.

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Win
Aug 15, 2022
#7811
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens are the best preseason football team ever

Bet on the Ravens because Ravens are the best team to ever play preseason football. They're incredible.

At the time, the Ravens had won 21 consecutive preseason games. The streak eventually reached 24 before ending in 2023.
Loss
Aug 15, 2022
#7812
Big CatBig Cat

Lamar Jackson's 18-pound muscle gain will make him slower

You see Lamar Jackson added 18 pounds of muscle... I feel like he's not gonna be as quick... He looks thicker. I just can't imagine gaining 18 pounds of muscle. Like you can't tell me he's going to be as fast. He has to lose at least a little bit of quickness.

Lamar Jackson remained one of the fastest players in the league and won another MVP in 2023. His quickness did not noticeably suffer from the bulk.
Win
Aug 15, 2022
#28699
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens should pay Lamar Jackson whatever he wants because he will get even more on the open market

They better lock [Lamar Jackson] up because if he hits the open market, he's gonna get paid.

Lamar Jackson eventually signed a 5-year, $260 million deal in 2023 after a long standoff, confirming his massive market value.

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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.