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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Betting on the Heat to win the series while up 3-0 was a 'sharp' bet based on expected value and ROI

It was a plus expected value on the bet, by the way... I was getting 10% return on investment. It should have been about 5% given the history of the NBA in three-nothing leads. So it was a sharp bet. I don't regret anything. I'm a process guy, not a results guy.

The Heat did eventually win the series, so the bet paid out, though the 'sharpness' is subjective.

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Loss
May 26, 2023
#4165
HankHank

If the Celtics win Game 6 in Miami, Game 7 at home is a guaranteed win

Game six is definitely a tossup. But if you win Game six, game seven at home is ours.

The Celtics won Game 6 in dramatic fashion but then famously lost Game 7 at home to the Heat.
Void
May 26, 2023
#4166
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Mazzulla visiting a hospital before Game 5 is 'Gary V adjacent' and psycho behavior

He said watching a girl dying and smiling and enjoying her life, that's what it's really all about. So he gained some perspective. It's kind of some psycho shit, but I guess it's nice... it is Gary V adjacent what he's doing. He's just reminding, he's trying to force himself to work harder by looking at people who are dying.

Win
May 26, 2023
#4167
Big CatBig Cat

Rob Brind'Amour's post-sweep comments were 'the biggest loser talk' ever

The hurricanes got swept and Rob Brind'Amour afterwards said... 'we didn't lose four games, we got beat, but we were right there.' ... That's quite a quote. ... To come out afterwards and say the history books will show we got swept, but that's not what happened. ... On the surface that's the definition of Loser Talk.

The Hurricanes did literally lose four games and were swept.

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Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.