"Matthew Stafford will be the worst quarterback in the NFC North without Calvin Johnson." — PFT Commenter

Take Slip·Mar 9, 2016

#9748#PMT-2016-0309-9748

Matthew Stafford will be the worst quarterback in the NFC North without Calvin Johnson.

Matt Stafford is getting paid a shitload of money, and now he's probably going to be the worst quarterback in the NFC North. And it looks like it's not going to get better for him... because call me crazy, but I'm not so sure that the Jim Bob Cooter offense is legit.

Prediction Football Medium

Stafford was actually very productive in the years immediately following Calvin Johnson's retirement, throwing for over 4,000 yards in 2016 and 2017. He was widely considered superior to the rotating door of quarterbacks in Chicago and Minnesota during that era.

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Win

Take Slip·Mar 9, 2016

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Big Cat

The Jaguars will sign a big free agent like Chris Ivory, cut him in two years because he didn't work out, and keep sucking.

The Jaguars have a ton of money, and everyone's going to say, wow, the Jaguars are going to make a big splash. Like, you know, like signing Chris Ivory in two years, they're going to cut him because he's like, he didn't work out and they're going to bring in a new coach and the Jaguars are going to keep sucking and it's going to be beautiful.

Prediction Football Medium

In March 2016, the Jaguars signed Chris Ivory to a 5-year, $32 million deal. He was released in February 2018 (exactly two years later) after failing to meet expectations. Coach Gus Bradley was also fired within that window.

Void

Take Slip·Mar 9, 2016

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PFT Commenter

I have zero confidence that any running back free agent signing by any team is going to play out

I have zero confidence that any running back free agent signing by any team is going to play out. But the Jaguars keep going back to that.

Opinion Football Medium Subjective

This is a general philosophy rather than a single testable event, but looking at 2016 RB signings (Ivory, Lamar Miller, DeMarco Murray), few provided long-term value.

Push

Take Slip·Mar 9, 2016

#9746#PMT-2016-0309-9746

PFT Commenter

The Raiders will get good and then immediately move to L.A., totally screwing over the city of Oakland.

I think what's what's going to happen is you're going to see the Raiders get really good... or start to get good and then move to L.A. right as they get good and totally screw over the city of Oakland.

Prediction Football Medium

The Raiders did leave Oakland, but they moved to Las Vegas in 2020. They also had a 12-4 season in 2016 (getting 'good' as predicted) before the move was finalized.