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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

My Saints vs. Jets simulations predict an ugly 15-3 game and a massive edge on the under

Saints jets, 43 taking the under... thinking saints 15 jets three. That's what my models have. I did the simulation 30,000 times, 27,000 of those times, the total was under 35 points. This is an A-plus game of the week for me.

The Saints beat the Jets 30-9. The total of 39 stayed under the 43 line.

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Loss
Dec 10, 2021
#13847
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Roethlisberger won the game against the Vikings even though the Steelers lost

That was vintage Big Ben in the second half to bring them back. He made the perfect throw to Pat Freiermuth. I say Big Ben won this game. He won this game.

The Steelers lost the game 36-28. Ben played well in the second half, but he literally lost the game.
Loss
Dec 10, 2021
#13848
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ben Roethlisberger has at least three more seasons left in him

I don't think that this Big Ben that we saw in the second half is even a year away from... Nope. That was fake news. Big Ben's got minimum three more seasons left.

Ben Roethlisberger retired from the NFL following the conclusion of the 2021 season, playing zero additional seasons after this take.
Win
Dec 10, 2021
#28611
Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers officially have a major problem with their rush defense

A hundred plus rush yards allowed in the first half by a running back under Mike Tomlin. First 234 games as a head coach: zero. Last three games: two. Steelers might have a rush defense problem.

The 2021 Steelers finished the regular season ranked 32nd (last) in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game and rushing yards allowed per attempt.

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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.