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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taylor Heinecke is 'diet' Ryan Fitzpatrick

I've—like not to pat myself on the back—he is, he is diet Ryan Fitzpatrick. He's Ryan Fitzpatrick, everything Ryan Fitzpatrick is, but like without actually scoring touchdowns. It's just chaos whenever he's playing. Diet Ryan Fitzpatrick does everything that Ryan Fitzpatrick does, but he doesn't actually win the [game].

Heinecke's career has largely followed the path of a high-energy backup/bridge QB who provides excitement but inconsistent wins.

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Loss
Oct 25, 2021
#18505
HankHank

Weather should never be factored into betting over/unders

The weather's not going to—like, that's not going to be. I obviously have a lot of numbers and a lot of data points checking over in the rain. One of those data points is not weather. Not on over unders ever. No.

The impact of weather on NFL scoring is a statistically proven factor in betting markets.
Win
Oct 25, 2021
#18507
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals are officially a 'good team' and no longer just good on a curve

The big headline from this week is the Bengals are good. A good team, no longer are they just good in terms of grading on the curve of being the Cincinnati Bengals. Now they are actually just good, as far as NFL teams go.

The Bengals went to the Super Bowl this season, proving they were indeed a top-tier NFL team.
Win
Oct 25, 2021
#18509
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bengals will finish the season with at least 10 wins

If you look at the rest of the schedule for the Bengals, I have some breaking news for you. Yeah. The Bengals are going to have at least 10 wins this year. Yeah, no. I mean, they could have 11 wins very easily.

The Bengals finished the 2021 regular season with exactly 10 wins (10-7).

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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.