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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Vikings will beat and cover against the Colts because their offensive line is healthy

I love the Minnesota Vikings this weekend. Ooh. Minus four and a half. I think it's perfect spot for the Vikings against the Colts. The offensive line is healthier this week for the Vikings... I am confident that they'll be able to beat the Colts.

The Vikings won 39-36 in overtime after trailing 33-0. While they won, they did not cover the 4.5 point spread.

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Win
Dec 16, 2022
#7323
Big CatBig Cat

Brock Purdy walked into the best situation a low-drafted quarterback could ever have

I don't think there's a better situation that a Mr irrelevant low drafted quarterback could ever walk into than not only Kyle Shanahan, but this specific 49ers team that just has so much talent everywhere. Like their defense is great. Their running game is great. He's not really getting hit that much.

Purdy's continued success and the 49ers' dominant system support the idea that the environment was perfectly constructed for a QB of his profile.
Push
Dec 16, 2022
#7324
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are running out of gas because they lack top-end talent

It feels like they're just running outta gas in terms of talent. Their defense getting gashed on the, like last week the Panthers had 240 yards tonight. The Niners ran for five yards of carry. It just, it feels like it's getting to the end here where, where like the fact they don't have a ton of top end talent is hurting them.

The Seahawks did struggle late in the 2022 season, losing 5 of their last 8, but they actually managed to sneak into the playoffs at 9-8.
Win
Dec 16, 2022
#7325
Big CatBig Cat

You cannot stop the run if you wear the Seahawks' full lime green color rush jerseys

I hope you're saying what I'm gonna think thinking, but you cannot stop the run if you're wearing those jerseys... You gotta commit to it. It's Thursday night football baby. And even if you do commit to it, I still think that you're gonna get gashed on the ground. Yeah. If you're wearing those jerseys... those are jerseys that'll just get run on.

The 49ers ran for 170 yards (5.0 avg) against the Seahawks in those jerseys this game. Historically, uniform-based performance is subjective but the literal claim that they'd get run on was true that night.

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The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.