PMTPMT DB

Takes

Void
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2023
#PMT-2023-1027-2857
Kyle LongKyle Long

Offensive line sacks should be timed; after 5 seconds, it's the quarterback's fault

I think after five seconds it should be considered a tackle for loss [instead of a sack]... these dbs are supposed to cover for 10 seconds. That shouldn't be a completion against me.

This is a proposed rule/stat change, not a verifiable fact.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2023
#PMT-2023-1027-2858
Kyle LongKyle Long

Sam Howell's historically high sack numbers are due to him not throwing the ball rather than bad offensive line play

The Washington commanders, they are top five in the NFL with time before pressure. Right. Which tells me that Sam Howell is just not fucking throwing the ball.

Next Gen Stats confirmed Howell had some of the longest 'time to throw' and 'time to sack' metrics in the league, supporting the claim that he held the ball too long.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2023
#PMT-2023-1025-7001
Big CatBig Cat

The Kansas City Chiefs are the only truly dominant team in the NFL

I don't think there's any like, truly dominant team outside of the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl LVIII, validating their dominance over the field.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2023
#PMT-2023-1025-7000
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers are on fraud watch if they lose to the Bengals

Next week it's gonna be the 49ers and the Bengals. Ooh, I'm gonna say this is a must win for the 49ers in that if they lose it, their frauds, they're, they're on fraud watch right now... we are going to call them frauds if they get beat by the Bengals.

The 49ers did lose to the Bengals (31-17) on October 29, 2023, technically putting them on 'fraud watch' by PFT's definition.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2023
#PMT-2023-1025-7005
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Matthew Stafford is throwing the ball as well as he ever has in his career

Stafford is throwing the absolute piss out of the football. It's, I mean, he's throwing it just as good as maybe he's ever thrown it.

Stafford finished the 2023 season with a Pro Bowl nod and led the Rams to the playoffs, statistically supporting Orlovsky's eye test.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2023
#PMT-2023-1025-7006
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Desmond Ridder is playing much better than the public perception suggests

I do think Desmond Ridder has been better than what people think. Oh, he's been better, dude... 90% of the time this kid's played pretty good football and then there's 10% that they gotta figure out can they get rid of it or whatnot.

Ridder was eventually benched for Taylor Heinicke later in the season and traded to Arizona in the offseason, suggesting the Falcons did not share Orlovsky's optimism.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2023
#PMT-2023-1025-7007
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

It is hard to see Justin Fields remaining as the Bears quarterback in 2024

I think like, there's a lot of growth in the last month... The unique situation with Green or Chicago right now is this, it's hard to see how Justin Fields is their quarterback in 2024. And I'm a Justin Fields guy.

Correct. Fields was traded to the Pittsburgh Steelers in March 2024.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2023
#PMT-2023-1025-7008
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Dak Prescott is the most 'Mid' quarterback in the NFL

Number one, Dak Prescott for sure... I think that those guys could play as high as like a top seven, top eight, top nine quarterback. Or if, you know, my tackle's out and my number one receiver's not there, I might play as a top 12 or top 13 dude.

Prescott went on to finish 2nd in MVP voting in 2023, which contradicts the 'mid' label for that specific season, though the debate about his ceiling remains subjective.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2023
#PMT-2023-1025-7009
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Jared Goff and Kirk Cousins are both top 5 'Mid' quarterbacks in the league

Number one, Dak Prescott for sure. Jared Goff... Kirk Cousins for sure. Baker Mayfield. And Geno Smith. This would be my top five guys that are like, again, I think that those guys could play as high as like a top seven, top eight, top nine quarterback. Or if, you know, my tackle's out and my number one receiver's not there, I might play as a top 12 or top 13 dude.

Highly subjective ranking of QB tiers.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19035
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens are a true Super Bowl contender

If the Ravens could ever figure out that step on the throat mentality, they could be a true Super Bowl contender. And this was the first game where it's like they went, you know, playing against a very good Lions team and completely obliterated.

The Ravens went on to secure the #1 seed in the AFC, proving Big Cat's assessment that they were legitimate contenders.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19036
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am betting on Lamar Jackson against the NFC for the rest of my life

Did you know that Lamar is 16 and 1 against the NFC? ... I'm gonna take Lamar against the NFC for the rest of my life. After I heard that stat.

Lamar Jackson continued this trend, maintaining an incredible winning percentage against NFC teams through the 2023 season.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19037
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Super Bowl were played today, the Ravens would win it

If the Super Bowl were today, the Ravens would win it. I think so. They're our Super Bowl winner of the week.

This is subjective as it's a 'power ranking' style claim, though the Ravens did finish the regular season as the best team.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19038
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills are just not a very good football team right now

I think I figured out what's wrong with the Bills. I think they just might not be a very good football team right now. ... they have Josh Allen and Josh Allen kicks ass. But he's not playing his best right now. The defense isn't playing their best right now. I think the Bills just aren't a very good team.

The Bills struggled mid-season but eventually finished 11-6 and won the AFC East, suggesting they were better than 'not very good'.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19039
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson stinks

Deshaun Watson. Should we talk about Deshaun? Yeah, he stinks. He stinks. He stinks. He's, he's pretty bad. And they're paying him $230 million.

Watson's stats in 2023 were indeed pedestrian (7 TDs, 4 INTs, 84.3 rating) before he went on IR.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19040
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders should sell everyone and trade both Chase Young and Montez Sweat

I'm in blow it all up mode. I'm in, I'm in Trade everybody mode. This is a bad team. ... Trade both of 'em now. ... I'm in full tank mode.

The Commanders did trade both Montez Sweat and Chase Young at the deadline a week later.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19041
Big CatBig Cat

Tyrod Taylor is statistically better than Daniel Jones

Tyrod Taylor had 279 yards, 9.6 yards per attempt and two touchdowns. Daniel Jones in 59 starts has never in one game gone over all three of those. ... combined.

This specific statistical combination (275+ yards, 9.5+ Y/A, 2+ TDs) was indeed missing from Jones's resume at that point.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19042
Big CatBig Cat

Arthur Smith is a top three funniest coach on the sidelines

I think he's pretty close to top three funniest coaches on the sidelines. ... His reactions are so much better this year. It's like him and Pete Carroll. The mustache has done wonders for his slapstick comedy on the sidelines.

Subjective opinion on entertainment value.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19043
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons will make the playoffs

I think the Falcons have a pretty favorable schedule going forward. So the Falcons, I think the Falcons are gonna make the playoffs.

The Falcons finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19044
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are a really good team that can compete with anyone in the NFC

I have a take. I think the Seahawks are really fucking good. ... I think the Seahawks a game could compete with anyone in the NFC. They have not played their A game ... I think if they ever come up with their A game, I think they have enough talent on both sides of the ball to compete with everyone.

The Seahawks finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs, failing to really challenge the top tier (Niners/Eagles/Lions) in the NFC.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19045
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams are the most perfectly average team in the NFL

I think they're the most perfectly average team in the NFL right now. ... They're right in the middle where they, they'll just beat all the bad teams and lose to all the good ones.

The Rams actually surged late, finished 10-7, and made the playoffs, proving they were above average.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19046
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs have reached their final form and are now winning like the 2000s Patriots

The Chiefs, they've reached their final form of being the Patriots just dominating teams even so that like, they're now doing it a little bit different way where they're sneaking up. ... they're shape shifting and they're now winning in a completely, not a completely different way. ... they've changed it over a few times and they're still gonna keep winning.

The Chiefs won the Super Bowl with the #2 defense and a more methodical offense, exactly as Big Cat predicted.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19047
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins are frauds until they beat a real team

I am of the firm believer. I love watching the Dolphins play football. They're very fun. They are on my fraud list until they beat a real team. ... they have played two teams that are at least playoff worthy teams in the Bills and the Eagles and got smoked.

The Dolphins' 'fraud' narrative persisted as they struggled against teams with winning records and lost in the Wild Card round.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19048
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Dolphins' game against the Chiefs in Germany is a 'must compete' game

I'm calling the Germany game against the Chiefs a must compete. ... if they get blown out, that is loser. If they get blown out, they don't play a good team until week 16.

The Dolphins lost to the Chiefs 21-14 in Germany. They technically 'competed' but the loss fueled the 'fraud' narrative.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 23, 2023
#PMT-2023-1023-19049
Big CatBig Cat

The Jets are a better team than the Dolphins right now

I think the Jets are better than the Dolphins right now. ... I think the Jets play a style of football the Dolphins cannot play it. ... Good physical defenses is seems like it's [the Dolphins'] kryptonite. ... The Jets would maybe fuck up the Dolphins.

The Dolphins swept the Jets in 2023, including a 34-13 win on Black Friday and a 30-0 blowout in December.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2023
#PMT-2023-1020-19952
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jacksonville Jaguars are Super Bowl contenders

Yeah. Super Bowl contenders. They Jaguars... They figured something out in the second half. They moved the ball well.

The Jaguars finished the 2023 season 9-8 and missed the playoffs entirely, failing to be serious Super Bowl contenders.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1020-19954
Big CatBig Cat

Jared Goff is a top-five quarterback this season

I think Jared Goff has been playing... I think he's a top five quarterback in terms of this season.

Goff had a stellar 2023 season, finishing 2nd in passing yards and 4th in touchdowns, making this a very defensible top-5 claim for that year.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1020-19955
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Benching Desmond Ridder would mean the Falcons are giving up on the season

I think if you benched Desmond Ridder right now, it's, you're done, you're done over him... You're giving up.

The Falcons did eventually bench Ridder for Heinicke later in the season, and it coincided with their season falling apart and Arthur Smith's eventual firing.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1020-19956
Big CatBig Cat

Aiden O'Connell will be a future starting quarterback in the NFL

I have a take. I think Aiden O'Connell might be a future starting quarterback in the NFL... I saw him against the Chargers. He looked good.

O'Connell started 10 games in his rookie season (2023) after Jimmy Garoppolo was benched/injured, though his long-term starter status remains in question.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1020-19957
HankHank

Mac Jones will not make it through the Bills game without being benched

[Big Cat]: Do you think Mac Jones makes it through this game? [Hank]: No.

Mac Jones actually played the full game against the Bills in Week 7, throwing for 272 yards and leading a game-winning drive.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1020-19958
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sean Payton is intentionally tanking for Caleb Williams

Sean Payton is very clearly tanking this season... I think that the Broncos are intentionally tanking for Caleb Williams and it's maybe a smart move.

The Broncos finished the season 8-9 and did not get Caleb Williams, making the 'tanking' claim appear incorrect.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1020-19959
MaxMax

Julio Jones is currently 'Prime Julio Jones' again

I'm also fully back on Julio Jones... He's Prime Julio Jones... He said he is gonna dominate and if he says he's gonna dominate, then [I'm in].

Julio Jones finished the 2023 season with only 11 receptions and 74 yards for the Eagles, far from his 'prime'.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1018-14127
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Justin Herbert is basically Kirk Cousins in powder blue

I think we just need to intentionally recalibrate our Justin Herbert expectations. Like officially right now, Justin Herbert is basically Kirk Cousins in Powder Blue.

This is a subjective characterization of a player's career arc and reputation.
Void
#PMT-2023-1018-14134
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' social media account being too funny is hurting the team's culture

I think that the Chargers Twitter account is, is too funny. And and it's resulted in actual on the field losses for you. Yeah. Be serious. This is culture matters. ... If you're asking guys, Hey, is water wet when they come off the field, they're probably, that's gonna break their brains. ... I actually, I'm starting to think that Chargers truther, he might be true. It affects team culture.

Subjective claim about the causal link between social media and team performance.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1018-14135
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

Jim Schwartz is the most important person on the Cleveland Browns defense

The defensive coordinator? Yeah. Jim Schwartz. He's the most important guy. They've had talent there in Cleveland. Now it's, it's elite right now... But you know, he's, he's a, he's a statistician mathematician. So numbers like he gets all that. But then he lets you know that this scheme and what we're running, this is why we're doing it... and then he just, you know, they just dog pressed [the 49ers] right outta the stadium.

The Browns defense finished 2023 ranked 1st in total yards allowed, largely credited to Schwartz's arrival and scheme.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1018-14137
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

Jared Goff is legitimately in the MVP conversation

No, they're 5 0 1. He's playing great football. The offense is dynamic. The guy's tough as can be. ... You're not gonna find a better quarterback than Jared Goff. And he knows, first of all, he's a lockstep with a really talented offense coordinator... He's not gonna play any better or go anywhere else like he is right now in Detroit.

Goff finished 2nd in passing yards in 2023 and led the Lions to a 12-5 record. While he wasn't a finalist, he was widely discussed in the top tier of QBs that year.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 18, 2023
#PMT-2023-1018-14136
Brian BaldingerBrian Baldinger

If Tom Brady played for the Falcons right now, they could win a Super Bowl

I feel like if you could get Tom Brady away from some celebrity of function he's at right now and put him in a Falcon uniform, I feel like they could win a Super Bowl. Yeah. Like the quarterback is just, it's, it's too up and down. They got the town is ridiculous. ... London and what they have, like they've got a and they got a solid offensive line.

This is a hypothetical 'what if' that cannot be proven, though the Falcons struggled with QB play all season and finished 7-10.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-924
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens are currently good but lack the killer instinct to be great

I feel like the Ravens are in the good have not figured out how to be great category yet... they're not being able to step on a team's throat... they're not finishing drives and they're not letting teams just kind of linger around.

The Ravens eventually secured the #1 seed in the AFC but lost in the AFC Championship game to the Chiefs, supporting the idea they struggled to finish on the biggest stage.
Open
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-923
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the NFL hosts a Super Bowl in London, we should riot and reclaim England as a U.S. territory

If that happens, we riot. If we have to play a Super Bowl in England, we get all of England back as part of the United States. It's the Super Bowl. It's not the International Bowl.

The NFL has continued to explore international games but has not yet scheduled a Super Bowl in London as of 2024.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-925
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Browns might actually be better without Deshaun Watson and Nick Chubb

Do you think that the Cleveland Browns are better without Deshaun Watson, Nick Chubb and Joel Bitonio? They might be. And you had a lot of people talking about the 49ers being super injured today. Well, the Browns, they they got you beat when it comes to major injuries.

The Browns finished 11-6 and made the playoffs with Joe Flacco after Watson went down, largely proving they were a complete team regardless of Watson, though Chubb's absence was felt.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-926
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons could make the playoffs with any quarterback not named Desmond Ridder

The big story out of this is the Atlanta Falcons are good enough to go to the playoffs with any quarterback not named Desmond Ridder... If you got a B minus today, the Falcons win that game.

The Falcons finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs. Ridder was eventually benched, and the team's failure was widely attributed to poor QB play and coaching.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-927
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jim Harbaugh wants to return to the NFL to coach Caleb Williams and beat his brother

Harbaugh, I think it is in the back of Harbaugh's mind that if he wins a national championship, he he wants to go back to the NFL because... he can't stand the fact that he hasn't won a Super Bowl and his brother has won over him. So he's definitely thinking about going back to the NFL and you would think that he would want to go back to a team that might be in a position to draft Caleb Williams.

Harbaugh did return to the NFL (Chargers) after winning the title. While he didn't join the Bears for Caleb Williams, the core prediction of his return for Super Bowl glory was accurate.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-928
Big CatBig Cat

Tyreek Hill is the hardest player to game plan for and the biggest mismatch in the NFL

Maybe I'll phrase it this way. [Tyreek Hill] is the hardest guy to game plan for. He's the hard, he's the biggest mismatch. Like just in terms of speed, because it really is like watching a different sport when he's running.

Hill finished with nearly 1,800 yards and was an MVP candidate for much of the season, widely considered the league's most dangerous weapon.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-930
Big CatBig Cat

The New York Jets are actually a good football team

Are The Jets Good? I think they might be good. They're three and three... They played the Bills, the Cowboys, the Eagles, the Chiefs. They're two and two against those teams... I think the Jets might be good.

The Jets finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs. Their offense was historic in its futility despite a great defense, so they were ultimately not a 'good' team.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-931
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers will return to play for the Jets in the playoffs this year

Does [Aaron Rodgers] play this year? [PFT:] I hope so. Playoffs, I think he plays.

The Jets were eliminated from playoff contention early, and Rodgers did not return to play a snap after his Week 1 injury.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-929
MaxMax

Jalen Carter is already better than Aaron Donald

Jalen Carter will be back next week... [Big Cat: Jalen Carter's already better than Aaron Donald?] Oh yeah. Oh yeah. Oh, okay.

While Carter had a great rookie season, Aaron Donald was a 1st Team All-Pro in 2023. Carter cooled off significantly in the second half of the season.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 16, 2023
#PMT-2023-1016-932
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are currently the best team in the NFC

The Lions are maybe the best team in the NFC. I know that they're the Niners, I know. But the Lions didn't lose today and the Eagles and the Niners lost so we have to by law give the Lions their credit.

The Lions finished as the #3 seed and reached the NFC Championship game, where they lost to the 49ers. They were certainly among the top 3 teams.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1013-10584
Big CatBig Cat

Russell Wilson has played himself out of a Hall of Fame career

[Russell Wilson] stinks. He turtles so fast in the pocket. He threw for 95 yards. It was never close. I think they might bench Russell Wilson. He's played himself out of a Hall of Fame career as well.

Russell Wilson's Hall of Fame case is still debated, but his stint in Denver is universally regarded as a major stain on his resume. He was eventually benched later that season.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2023
#PMT-2023-1013-10585
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Andy Reid is playing the NFL on 'expert mode' because he's bored

I think Andy Reid is bored with the NFL. I think Andy Reid is—he's made himself play the NFL on expert mode with the weird shit that he's obsessed with doing. Because I think that this Chiefs offense, if they wanted to play just normal football, would've beaten the fuck out of the Broncos. But they do all these weird plays, almost like Andy is just like—he's playing with his food.

Reid's penchant for 'trickeration' is well-documented, especially in games against inferior opponents like the 2023 Broncos.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1013-10586
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL London games have lost their allure and are now a burden

I'm kind of sick of the London game. I like the early football. I'm sick of the fact that they have made something that was unique and different into just every week. This is the third week in a row. They're just changing the schedule on us. Now it doesn't feel cool and unique, it just feels like a burden.

This is a subjective consumer opinion on the entertainment value of the NFL's global expansion.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1013-10587
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Devin Witherspoon will put the 'absolute clamps' on Ja'Marr Chase

I dreamt that [Devin] Witherspoon was going to put the absolute clamps on Ja'Marr Chase in the game. I dreamt a post-game press conference with Ja'Marr Chase being frustrated with him asking him if he was always open this game. I had the entire thing. So I'm betting the under on his receiving yards this week.

Ja'Marr Chase had 6 catches for 80 yards in this game (Oct 15, 2023). While not 'clamped' to zero, he didn't have a massive game either, making this partially correct but leaning towards incorrect on the 'absolute clamps' part.
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