Skip to content
PMTPMT DB

Kyle Long In Studio, Week 8 Picks And Preview, Bills Are Back (Sort Of) And Fyre Fest Of The Week

Friday, October 27, 202322 takes

The Bills are back, sort of. We talk TNF and if Al MIchaels is ok (-). Week 8 picks and preview for every game including do the Rams stink? Is Hank back in on the Patriots? Down a wild name rabbit hole and more. Fantasy Fuccbois (-). Kyle Long joins us in studio to talk football, o-line play, the time Bill Callahan owned him in combine interviews, adult softball and more (-). We finish with Fyre Fest of the week (-).

Kyle Long on O-Line Secrets, Week 8 NFL Preview, and the Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills are back, or at least they were for the first thirty minutes against the Buccaneers. Big Cat and PFT break down a Thursday night game that was much more lopsided than the final score suggested, despite Baker Mayfield nearly pulling off the greatest Hail Mary completion of the year. While the Bills got the win they desperately needed to stop the bleeding, Big Cat isn't ready to crown them as Super Bowl locks just yet.

Win
Oct 27, 2023
#2840
Big CatBig Cat

The Buffalo Bills will finish the season with 11 wins

Maybe this is what the Bills are. Maybe the Bills are just gonna end up being like a 11 win team and they'll look... they'll have at least two more times this season where they look like the worst team in football.

The Bills finished the regular season exactly 11-6, winning the AFC East on the final night.

PFT is slightly more optimistic about the Bills' long-term outlook, specifically regarding their defense. Even with the devastating injuries they've faced, he's projecting a major return just in time for a potential deep run.

Loss
Oct 27, 2023
#2839
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Milano will return from his leg injury in time for the NFL playoffs

I'm gonna say Matt Milano will be back for the playoffs and I've done zero research into it.

Milano was ruled out for the remainder of the season and did not play in the playoffs.

Speaking of the Bucs, the guys have seen enough of the Todd Bowles experience. Between the bizarre clock management at the end of the first half and a general lack of juice, the Bowles era in Tampa is becoming a masterclass in creative incompetence.

Void
Oct 27, 2023
#2841
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Todd Bowles is a creative but poor head coach who bores fans

Todd Bowles, he's boring and not good, which is the worst combination. But he does find creative ways to be bad. Whatever that was at the end of the half. You were was a very creative way to be bad.

This is subjective, but Bowles led the Bucs to a division title and a playoff victory in 2023, making the 'not good' label debatable.

Week 8 Preview and Picks

Looking ahead to the weekend, Big Cat has identified the absolute lock of the early window: Jaguars at Steelers. It’s a classic Mike Tomlin home dog spot, and with Trevor Lawrence making the mistake of referring to the "Terrible Towel" as just a little yellow towel, the vibes in Pittsburgh are going to be electric. Big Cat also wants to see the Steelers lean into their young talent in the backfield.

Win
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#29201
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Warren is a great running back and the Steelers need to give him the ball more

The Steelers are finally realizing that Jalen Warren is really fucking good... give Jalen Warren the ball more. Maybe make Najee Harris like a junior tight end.

Warren finished the 2023 season with over 1,000 total yards and was widely considered the most explosive back on the roster, proving Big Cat's assessment correct.

The guys also dug into the Rams-Cowboys matchup, where Big Cat is floating a theory that Sean McVay’s squad has been living off the reputation of a single Week 1 victory for way too long.

Loss
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#2843
Big CatBig Cat

The Los Angeles Rams actually stink and were overrated due to a lucky Week 1 win

I have a theory that I would like to throw out there. The Rams stink... Every year there's like one or two teams that have a great week one and it sticks in our head for a while. Maybe too long.

The Rams finished 10-7 and made the playoffs, proving to be a legitimate postseason team rather than one that 'stinks'.

In the afternoon slate, the focus shifts to the 49ers and Bengals. With Brock Purdy in the concussion protocol and Christian McCaffrey banged up, the Niners are looking vulnerable. Big Cat argues that the real key to their offensive success isn't one of the flashy skill players, but the monster anchored at left tackle.

Void
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#2855
Big CatBig Cat

Trent Williams is the most important player on the 49ers offense

I think Trent Williams is [the most important player on the offense] for sure. Christian McCaffrey at 85% without Deebo Samuel and without Trent Williams... things look different.

Inherently subjective as it's an opinion on player importance.

Kyle Long In Studio

Former Bears legend and friend of the program Kyle Long became the first guest to officially grace the new PMT studio. Kyle brought some incredible insight into the world of offensive line play, specifically how Andy Reid manages his big men in Kansas City.

Void
Oct 27, 2023
#29204
Kyle LongKyle Long

Andy Reid understands the offensive line position as well as any coach in the NFL

Andy Reid understands the offensive line position as well as anybody I've played around. He also gives the keys to the car to Andy Heck... Andy Reid knows that that's the strength of the football team. He talks to the lineman. He knows the lineman better than anybody.

This is a subjective assessment from a professional peer, widely supported by Reid's background as an offensive line coach and his historical success.

Kyle also weighed in on the Sam Howell sack discourse. While everyone wants to blame the Washington offensive line for Howell being on pace to shatter the NFL sack record, Kyle pointed out that the data suggests the quarterback is doing his blockers zero favors by holding onto the rock for eternity.

Win
Oct 27, 2023
#2858
Kyle LongKyle Long

Sam Howell's historically high sack numbers are due to him not throwing the ball rather than bad offensive line play

The Washington commanders, they are top five in the NFL with time before pressure. Right. Which tells me that Sam Howell is just not fucking throwing the ball.

Next Gen Stats confirmed Howell had some of the longest 'time to throw' and 'time to sack' metrics in the league, supporting the claim that he held the ball too long.

To fix the way we talk about the trenches, Kyle proposed a new rule for how we assign blame on passing plays. If a quarterback hasn't thrown the ball by the time you can count to five, the line should be off the hook entirely.

Void
Oct 27, 2023
#2857
Kyle LongKyle Long

Offensive line sacks should be timed; after 5 seconds, it's the quarterback's fault

I think after five seconds it should be considered a tackle for loss [instead of a sack]... these dbs are supposed to cover for 10 seconds. That shouldn't be a completion against me.

This is a proposed rule/stat change, not a verifiable fact.

Fyre Fest and The Bar Exam

To wrap up the show, PFT shared his harrowing experience of getting booted in a McDonald's parking lot, which led to a bizarre debate about legal expertise. PFT is convinced that his years of watching *Law & Order: SVU* have prepared him for the most rigorous test in the legal profession. Big Cat put him to the test with some sample questions, and the results were... mixed.

Loss
Oct 27, 2023·Fyre Fest
#29207
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I have a rational confidence that I could pass the multiple-choice portion of the Bar Exam without studying

I have a rational confidence that I could pass the multiple choice part [of the bar exam]. If I studied I could definitely do it... I'm good at reading a test question and figuring out what they're trying to ask me. I've watched enough SVU I think to pass the bar exam.

PFT immediately goes 1-for-3 on sample questions provided by Big Cat, suggesting his confidence is indeed delusional.

Big Cat closed out with a look ahead to the Wisconsin-Ohio State game. He's traveling to Madison for a live show and is fully prepared to manifest a historic upset based on nothing but a twenty-year-old memory of storming the field as a freshman.

Loss
Oct 27, 2023·Fyre Fest
#2860
Big CatBig Cat

Wisconsin will shock the world and upset Number 3 Ohio State

Boys, I believe that the badgers are gonna upset and shock the world. And I know that this is how it happens to me... 20 years ago this month a freshman Big Cat stormed the field when Wisconsin... beat number three Ohio State.

Ohio State defeated Wisconsin 24-10.

Sometimes all you need is a little irrational confidence and a freshman-year flashback to ruin your weekend.

nflbuffalo-billskansas-city-chiefsoffensive-linegamblingfantasy-football

More Takes

Void
Oct 27, 2023
#2842
Big CatBig Cat

Al Michaels is the perfect broadcaster for Thursday Night Football because the games are usually bad

Maybe Al Michaels is the perfect guy for Thursday night football. Yeah. Because like, you don't want to peak too early. No. You want to kind of ease your way into the weekend.

Broadcasting preference is entirely subjective.
Void
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#29200
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars vs. Steelers game is the best matchup of the early Sunday slate

I think the best game is Jaguar Steelers in the noon slate. Jaguar's about to go on their buy, Steelers off a big win. Mike Tomlin is a home dog... it's a terrible towel statement game.

The Jags beat the Steelers 20-10 in a game that was mostly defensive; while it had some intrigue, other games that day (like Bengals-Niners) were arguably 'better' in quality.
Loss
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#2844
Big CatBig Cat

You have to bet on the Packers against the Vikings because Minnesota is coming off a high

The Vikings just beat the Niners on Monday Night Football in front of the world. They're going to play at Lambeau against a very stinky Packers team. You have to bet the Packers.

The Vikings defeated the Packers 24-10 on October 29th, 2023.
Loss
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#2846
HankHank

I am betting the Patriots money line to beat the Dolphins

Are you gonna bid on Money Line? Yes. Have to.

The Miami Dolphins defeated the New England Patriots 31-17.
Win
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#29202
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts' knee injury is a significant concern that is affecting his play

I think that Jalen Hurt's knee is a problem. And he also was asked about it... he said, 'I hope not.' The fact that we're even talking about it is kind of an issue. I just, he's throwing a lot of picks. Fumbles. The knee.

Hurts played through the injury but his rushing production dipped and the Eagles eventually collapsed in December, validating the concern that something was 'off'.
Void
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#2848
Big CatBig Cat

Tyrod Taylor is a better quarterback than Daniel Jones

Tyrod Taylor is better than Daniel Jones. It's so crazy how much the giants fuck that up. Like you had Daniel Jones for four years and he was, what the, somewhere between like the 15th and 20th best quarterback.

Subjective comparison of two quarterbacks, though most statistical metrics and NFL front offices would favor Jones at this stage of their careers.
Loss
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#2850
Big CatBig Cat

Arthur Smith is a sneaky genius for limiting Bijan Robinson's touches to keep him fresh

Could Arthur Smith be a sneaky genius? Could he be saying we just spent a lot of money on this first round pick running back. Don't put too many miles on him early in the season. Bijan is gonna look that much faster late in the year.

Arthur Smith was fired at the end of the season partly due to offensive underperformance and poor usage of star players. Robinson's production did not significantly peak later.
Win
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#2853
Big CatBig Cat

Bryce Young will play well and the Panthers will win their first game against the Texans

I think Bryce Young's gonna look good today. I think the Panthers might win their first game of the season.

The Panthers defeated the Texans 15-13 for their first win of the season.
Loss
Oct 27, 2023·Picks
#29203
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks defense is genuinely elite and for real

I do believe in the Seahawks defense. I feel like they are, they're for real. They're, I'm gonna say it, really good Seahawks defense for real.

Seattle's defense fell apart late in the season, finishing 30th in total yards allowed and 25th in points allowed. They were not for real.
Void
Oct 27, 2023
#29205
Kyle LongKyle Long

The Chiefs have the best interior offensive line in the league

If we're gonna go group [of interior linemen], I'm gonna go Kansas City. Group is Kansas City. Because you're only as strong as the guy next to you. Tackle the tackle the inside three, they're great.

All three players were Pro Bowlers or All-Pros in this window; the unit is consistently ranked as top-3 by PFF and other analysts.
Win
Oct 27, 2023
#29206
Kyle LongKyle Long

The Bears must pay cornerback Jalen Johnson his contract extension

Pay Jalen Johnson. Lose the orange sleeves. Pay Jalen Johnson. Yes. Pay Jalen Johnson. I remember Joey, our Cap guy... I said, 'How much does [Jamie Collins] make?' He told me, I said, 'fucking watch this.' ... You sign early and then you get hurt, you're still taken care of.

The Bears did eventually pay Johnson, signing him to a 4-year, $76 million extension in March 2024 after he earned Second-team All-Pro honors.

PMTDB Comments

This generates your username. Same passphrase = same name. Make it unique and memorable!

Search

Search takes, episodes, and speakers