PMT DB
PMT DB
Chris Long and Jeff Fisher on Super Wild Card Weekend and Quarterback Trusts
It is officially the most wonderful time of the year: Super Wild Card Weekend. Big Cat and PFT are buzzing because, for the first time in a long time, both of their teams actually made the dance. Whether the Bears or the Washington Football Team belong there is a different conversation, but they are "Happy to Be There" and even cooked up a special teaser in the Barstool Sportsbook to celebrate.
The Saturday Slate and the Frosty Rivers Theory
Kicking things off with Colts at Bills, Big Cat is fully out on the Philip Rivers experience in Buffalo. He’s looking at the weather report and the history books, and neither favors the guy who seemingly has 15 children to feed but zero ability to play in the cold.
Big CatPhilip Rivers will struggle against the Bills because he stinks in cold weather
Philip Rivers playing in temperature under 32 degrees, 1-5 all time. I'm really just going off of closing my eyes, thinking about a 29-degree day, thinking about Phil Rivers wearing 16 pairs of long johns and turtlenecks, and him trying to climb the pocket and pass the ball to the far hash, and it just not getting it.
PFT isn't much higher on the Colts' chances, noting that the only path to an upset involves a historical performance from their rookie running back.
PFT CommenterThe Colts only win if Jonathan Taylor rushes for over 225 yards
If there's a way that the Colts win, it's by Jonathan Taylor running for 225 yards. But barring that, if he gets under 200 yards, then the Bills will win. Every single time Jonathan Taylor has rushed for over 210 yards in a game, the Colts win.
While the guys like the Bills to roll, they noted how Buffalo has evolved into a terrifyingly balanced unit. It’s not just the Josh Allen show anymore; the defense has completely transformed from a liability into a top-ten unit during the second half of the season.
Big CatThe Buffalo Bills are the most complete team in the NFL
The Bills, weeks 1 through 9, they were 24th in defense, and then weeks 10 through 17, they are 6th, and they are giving up 20 points a game. Flip the switch. They are the complete team.
Destiny in DC and Tom Brady’s Bedtime
When it comes to the Saturday night cap, PFT is fully leaning into the Washington Football Team being a team of destiny. They’ve managed to dodge COVID better than any other team in the league, which in 2021, is basically the equivalent of having a top-five defense.
PFT CommenterThe Washington Football Team is the definitive team of destiny in the NFL
I've taken [the Washington Football Team] off my team of destiny big board just because they're so far head and shoulders ahead of every other team when it comes to their destiny. They are by far the team in the NFL that has had the lowest COVID cases this year... we're the healthiest.
Big Cat backed him up with some serious trend-chasing. He’s found a statistical anomaly that suggests being a sub-.500 team in the playoffs isn’t just a funny quirk; it’s actually a betting lock.
Big CatTeams with an 8-8 record or worse are a lock to cover in Super Wild Card Weekend
Teams that are 8-8 or worse have covered seven straight wildcard games. Teams that are 8-8 or worse have won four straight wildcard games... the last four times the team has gone in with 8-8 or 7-9, and everyone says, how could this team ever win? They have won.
As for the Bucs, the guys are convinced that playing at night is a massive disadvantage for Tom Brady. It’s not about the pass rush or the schemes; it’s about the fact that the GOAT is usually tucked in with his avocado ice cream by 8:00 PM.
Big CatTom Brady struggles in night games because he goes to bed too early
Tom Brady... One in six last seven night games. One in six last seven night games, nine touchdowns, eight interceptions. If you don't think this guy goes to sleep at 7 o'clock every night, you're crazy.
Chris Long’s Quarterback Trust Draft
Our good friend Chris Long joined the show to help draft the quarterbacks we trust most this weekend. Naturally, the conversation immediately went to Josh Allen, who Chris believes is currently operating on a level that might even eclipse the best player in the world.
Chris LongJosh Allen is better than Patrick Mahomes right now
Josh Allen... He's legitimately playing the best football right now. So, you know, I'm sure some people – I might take him over almost anybody but Aaron [Rodgers]. I might take him over Mahomes right now in this moment.
Chris also gave a massive shout-out to Bills OC Brian Daboll. He described Daboll as the "coolest dude in New England" back in the day and thinks his work with Allen has made him the shoo-in for a head coaching gig.
Chris LongBrian Daboll will be hired as a head coach after this season
He's [Josh Allen] going to get Daboll hired, man. Brian Daboll is going to get it. That dude is a dude's dude, and I know that him and Josh are really tight, and he's absolutely going to get a really good job off this.
As the draft snaked back around, PFT couldn't help himself. Even with Mitch Trubisky starting, he is still holding out hope for a Nick Foles playoff miracle, because the man simply possesses a level of post-season grit that defies logic.
PFT CommenterGrit happens when Nick Foles enters a playoff game
Nick Foles, just weird shit, grit happens when Nick Foles comes into the game in the playoffs... Nick Foles might be the best playoff quarterback of all time.
Coach Jeff Fisher on Building Franchises
Coach Jeff Fisher returned to the program to talk about his return to Twitter and his potential return to the sidelines. He didn't hold back when discussing the current state of his former teams, but he did have some choice words for Gregg Williams—specifically regarding how "Dr. Heat" might have actually hindered Sam Darnold's growth in New York.
Jeff FisherGreg Williams' practice style stunted Sam Darnold's development
The things that Sam [Darnold] sees on the practice field from Gregg Williams will set a quarterback back years. You remember when Sam Darnold said 'I was seeing ghosts'? Well, part of that, that's part of the process, and I'm not blaming it on Gregg, but there needs to be a progression. You can't bring a young quarterback on with all that stuff going on.
Coach Fisher also weighed in on the hiring cycle, particularly the buzz around Titans OC Arthur Smith. While Smith has been great, Coach offered a word of caution to any team thinking they can replicate that success without a 250-pound tractor in the backfield.
Chris LongArthur Smith's success is tied to Derrick Henry and teams should be careful hiring him
There ain't no Derrick Henry anywhere else in the league right now. So if you're in this hiring cycle, I would be careful. I would just be careful if you're looking for an offensive mind. [Arthur Smith] has done a tremendous job there, but... Tannehill, though, has taken full advantage also.
Fyre Fest and Treason Refresher
To wrap things up, the guys hit a legendary Fyre Fest of the Week. Billy Football managed to lose hundreds of Twitch followers because his avatar—a bear skin—looked a little too similar to a certain individual who recently raided the Capitol. This led to a mandatory PMT "disavow" session where the guys officially declared themselves the first anti-Nazi, anti-treason podcast in history.
Hank is also currently battling a crippling addiction to nasal spray after failing to read the "stop using after three days" warning on the label, which is the most Hank thing to ever happen.
Go Bears, go Football Team, and please gamble responsibly.
