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Coach Jon Gruden In Studio, Week 16 Picks And Preview, Chargers Big Win, The Jets Are In Disarray Again + Fyre Fest Of The Week

Friday, December 20, 202416 takes

We had a great Thursday Night Football game to kickoff the weekend and the Chargers are back as well as the Bengals new life (-). We talk a little College Football before the first round (-). Week 16 picks and preview for every Game Saturday/Sunday and the Jets have a new story that is even more Jets than anyone could've ever imagined (-). Picks and Fantasy Fuccbois (-). Coach Gruden joins the show to talk some ball, who's going to win MVP, whats driving him nuts in the league right now and more (-). We finish with fyre fest of the week (-).

Coach Jon Gruden on MVP Race, Week 16 Picks, and the Jets' Dysfunction

The weekend kicked off with a wild Thursday night that saw the Chargers pull off a comeback fueled by the first successful free kick in nearly half a century. Justin Herbert looked every bit the superstar, reminding everyone why the noise surrounding his status as a "social media quarterback" was always a stretch.

Void
Dec 20, 2024
#4834
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Criticism of Justin Herbert never made sense

[Justin Herbert] touchdown pass that he threw as he was falling down. Oh that's the guy. When people are like, oh, Justin Herbert's only, you know, social media, quarterback, whatever. I don't even know what the criticism of Justin Herbert is anymore because it never made sense to me.

The assessment of criticism being nonsensical is subjective, but Herbert's elite talent is widely recognized.

This win keeps the zombie Bengals alive in the AFC playoff race. If Cincinnati can keep finding ways to win, they might become the ultimate spoiler in January. Big Cat is already eyeing a potential matchup that would make Buffalo fans sweat.

Loss
Dec 20, 2024
#4837
Big CatBig Cat

The Buffalo Bills do not want to see the Cincinnati Bengals in the playoffs

The Buffalo Bills, if they get the two seed, the last team they wanna see is the Cincinnati Bengals. Yeah. That's the only that like, you, you don't, 'cause that's the Bengals. The the crazy thing about the Bengals is they can't stop anyone. But if you get in a shootout with the Bengals, like anything can happen.

The Bengals eventually failed to make the playoffs in the 2024 season.

College Football Playoff and the Curse of Jim Kelly

With the first round of the expanded College Football Playoff arriving, Hank is putting his faith in the underdogs. He is looking at two specific teams to pull off upsets based on weather and pedigree.

Loss
Dec 20, 2024
#4839
HankHank

Indiana and Clemson are the two best upset bets in the first round of the CFP

Indiana and Clemson are the two horses I'm riding. I think the weather, I think the big, I think the weather, it's big 10 weather. It's tough to go against Penn State and Ohio State. I think Indiana's got a shot. And I think Clemson has a real shot because Indiana's Big 10. Notre Dame's not big.

Indiana lost to Notre Dame and Clemson lost to Texas in the first round of the CFP.

As the conversation shifted to the NFL slate, the guys looked at the Texans and Chiefs. While Houston has been a nice story, Big Cat isn't buying them as a legitimate threat to make a run because of a stagnant offense.

Win
Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#24170
Big CatBig Cat

The Houston Texans' offense feels broken and they will lose early in the playoffs

The Texans I had, I had hoped for them this year to be maybe a Super Bowl contender. And they've instead just slotted into like the traditional AFC South team that will lose in the playoffs because I just don't think their offense feels broken.

The Texans' offense struggled down the stretch and they were indeed early exits in the postseason.

There is also the matter of the "Jim Kelly Curse" hanging over several young stars. The theory suggests that any quarterback who loses their first trip to the Super Bowl is doomed to never return, a list that currently includes the likes of Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts, and Brock Purdy.

Win
Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#4847
Big CatBig Cat

Any quarterback who loses their first Super Bowl appearance never returns to the big game

The curse of Jim Kelly is a curse that just hit the internet... essentially it's any quarterback that goes to a Super Bowl and loses their first one never goes back to the Super Bowl. Jalen Hurts did that... Stan Humphreys, Neil O'Donnell, drew Bledsoe... Joe Burrow. Jalen Hurts. Brock Purdy.

Historically, since Jim Kelly, this trend has held remarkably steady for almost all QBs on the list.

Jets Madness and the MVP Narrative

The New York Jets reached a new level of dysfunction this week with reports that Woody Johnson’s sons are using Madden ratings to influence trade decisions. While the internet is laughing, PFT thinks the team should lean even harder into the youth movement at the executive level.

Void
Dec 20, 2024
#24171
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets should give Brick Johnson more power in the organization

I think that the problem is that Brick [Johnson] doesn't have enough power. Yeah. I feel like he's being limited. Like one day he will own the Jets. The, the way that teams get passed down, I feel like Brick, it's time to just unleash full Brick.

This is a satirical take about team ownership structure that cannot be factually resolved.

Speaking of narratives, the MVP race is heating up between Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. Big Cat thinks the scheduling might determine the winner more than the actual on-field performance, as Lamar has more opportunities to capture the voters' attention in standalone windows.

Win
Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#4844
Big CatBig Cat

Lamar Jackson will win the MVP because he has two standalone games left to influence the narrative, even if Josh Allen deserves it more

Lamar [Jackson] might win it just because he plays two standalone games. And that's all this award ends up coming down to... I think it should be Josh [Allen]. I'm just saying how these things work. He's got, Lamar's got two standalone games and Josh has zero.

Lamar Jackson did win the MVP, partially fueled by strong performances in these standalone games, making Big Cat's prediction about the winner correct.

Coach Jon Gruden in Studio

Coach Jon Gruden joined the show to talk ball, and he didn't hold back on the state of the league. He highlighted how much the Detroit Lions will miss David Montgomery, noting that his absence completely alters what they can do physically on the field.

Win
Dec 20, 2024
#24172
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

Losing David Montgomery ruins the identity of the Detroit Lions' team

When you lose [David] Montgomery, you lose part of the identity of your team. So I do know that deep down when Coach [Dan] Campbell gets in his car, he ain't feeling real nicey. Yeah. It's tough.

Montgomery missed significant time and the Lions' run game and overall efficiency took a noticeable dip during his absence.

Gruden also shared his frustrations with how the game is officiated today. He’s a proponent of simplifying the rulebook, specifically when it comes to the way defensive backs are penalized for making plays on the ball.

Void
Dec 20, 2024
#4851
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

The NFL should adopt the college pass interference rule

I would make [pass interference] the college rule, honestly, because some of these, some of these past interference calls are impacting a game. Just one play there... I don't think there's a common thread in what is and what isn't past interference.

This is a subjective opinion on rule changes and cannot be proven right or wrong.

Before heading out, Gruden gave his flowers to some of the emerging stars and veterans holding it down. He’s particularly high on Bucky Irving in Tampa and believes the Eagles are currently the team to beat in the NFC.

Win
Dec 20, 2024
#4854
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

Bucky Irving is a combination of Warrick Dunn and Napoleon Kaufman

The emergence of this Bucky Irving... I mean he's a combination of Warrick Dunn, Napoleon Kaufman, Charlie Garner, he is a badass man. This guy's a hell of a back.

Irving finished a strong rookie campaign as one of the most efficient backs in the league, largely validating the comparison.
Loss
Dec 20, 2024
#4853
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

The Philadelphia Eagles are the favorites in the NFC

I think Philly's probably the favorite. Yeah. You gotta put Philly in there... Philadelphia Eagle defense man, Vic Fangio's got a couple rookies in the secondary... They're good man.

The Eagles were favored by many but lost in the NFC Championship to the Lions.

Fyre Fest and Hank’s Scary Month

To wrap up the show, Hank shared a harrowing Fyre Fest involving a severe panic attack that he initially thought was a stroke. After some time in the ER with Big Cat and a vow to change his ways, Hank is back and healthy. PFT followed up with his own health scare from earlier in the fall involving a blackout at a concert, proving that the guys might just be getting a little too old for their own good.

Hank didn't dunk, but at least he's alive.

nfljetsfantasy-footballcollege-football-playoffgambling

More Takes

Push
Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#4843
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

TJ Watt's injury might be a psychological 'Art of War' ploy to trick the Ravens

I have a theory about TJ Watt's injury... I think this could be an Art of War situation. Sun Sue Art of War. Make your enemy think that you were weak when you were strong... Start throwing out the one in 10 without TJ Watts Stats... Let people start thinking during the week of practice. Maybe TJ's not gonna be playing this week.

Watt did play and had 1.5 sacks in the game, but there is no evidence the injury was a fabricated 'psy-op'.
Loss
Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#4848
HankHank

I bet $5,000 on the Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

I put a bomb future down and I put it on the Eagles. I almost five have five grand on the Eagles plus four 50. That, that I almost biggest, that'll be the biggest bet I've ever won.

The Eagles were eliminated in the NFC Championship Game by the Detroit Lions.
Push
Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#4849
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michael Penix Jr. is the guy to finally unlock Bijan Robinson and Kyle Pitts

I think [Michael Penix Jr.] might be the guy to finally unlock Bijan [Robinson] and give us a proper... maybe Kyle Pitts just needs a left-handed quarterback.

While Penix showed promise, the Falcons' offensive output remained inconsistent under the new QB during the final weeks.
Loss
Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#4850
HankHank

I am pumped for a Mike Vrabel and Josh McDaniels coaching duo in New England

Vrabel McDaniels... that's the combo. [Josh] McDaniels had Mac Jones in the Pro Bowl... give me Vrabel and McDaniels and I am pumped.

This coaching combination did not happen in New England.
Void
Dec 20, 2024
#4852
Jon GrudenJon Gruden

The 49ers would be making a mistake if they let Sam Darnold leave

You gotta be outta your mind to let Sam Darnold [leave], you're 12 and two man... That guy can run, run for First Downs. He's a horse. He's young. If you let Sam Darnold out of there, you're making a real mistake.

Darnold led the Vikings to a successful season, but whether letting him leave the 49ers was a 'mistake' depends on Brock Purdy's long-term success.

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