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HoFer George Brett, Jeopardy James, NBA Playoffs, And GoT Preview

Friday, May 10, 201925 takes

Kevin Durant got injured and now it's Steph's team. We talk NBA Playoffs, James Butler showed up, Jimmy Harden kind of stinks, the Celtics go out meekly, the Bucks are a wagon, and a deep dive on Blazers/Nuggets. (-) Fyre Fest of the Week. (-) Hall of Famer George Brett joins the show again to catch up on everything from baseball to BBQ and the time he threw up in a day game (if you missed the first George Brett interview it was May 1, 2017). (-) Jeopardy James joins the show to talk about his insane run on the game show, how his betting strategy crushes his opponents, and his day job as a sports gambler. (-) Segments include As a White Guy the circle game is cancelled, (-) Spinzone Sean McVay watched too much tape, (-:!5) Talking Soccer, (-) No One Wants to Coach the Lakers, (-) GoT Preview, FAQ's, and we announce our Grit Week 2019 Schedule. (-)

George Brett and Jeopardy James on NBA Playoffs and GoT Preview

Big Cat and PFT are back from Kansas City, and the energy is high despite a collective case of barbecue-induced heartburn. The Warriors are dealing with Kevin Durant’s calf injury, which has opened the door for the world’s spiciest basketball takes. Big Cat is already looking ahead to how the narrative shifts if Golden State thrives without their best player.

Win
May 10, 2019
#620
Big CatBig Cat

The Warriors winning the Rockets series without Kevin Durant will be viewed as an indictment of Kevin Durant's impact.

If the Warriors win this series, it will be an indictment on Kevin Durant by everyone else. Are the Warriors better without Kevin Durant? People are going to ask that. I'm already asking it.

The Warriors did win the series and sweep the WCF without KD, sparking massive debate, though they ultimately lost the Finals when he was absent/injured.

PFT thinks the Warriors might be cautious with the timeline, especially with a potential heavyweight matchup looming in the Finals.

Push
May 10, 2019
#621
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kevin Durant will sit out the Western Conference Finals to save himself for a potential NBA Finals matchup against the Bucks.

In which case, I think [Kevin Durant] would probably sit out and save himself for the finals against the Bucks. Something to be on the lookout for.

KD did sit out the WCF, but he returned briefly in Game 5 of the Finals (against the Raptors, not Bucks) where he tore his Achilles.

While the Warriors adjust, the Rockets are facing their own identity crisis. James Harden has been putting up massive numbers early in games, but the fourth quarter has been a different story. Big Cat pointed out that the MVP candidate has developed a habit of vanishing when the game is actually on the line.

Win
May 10, 2019
#622
Big CatBig Cat

James Harden has consistently disappeared in the fourth quarters of the 2019 Rockets-Warriors series.

James Harden on Wednesday night with 10:47 left, he hits a bucket. He shot one more shot until there's 18 seconds left in the game... The Rockets win game four, James Harden scores 38 points... [but] he scores three points after that, the Warriors come all the way back. That's two straight fourth quarters where James Harden, Jimmy Harden has kind of been nowhere to be seen.

Harden's scoring did drop off significantly in late-game situations during several games in this series, notably Games 5 and 6 as well.

## The Celtics’ Soggy Sorrows Hank is officially in "Soggy Sorrows" mode after the Celtics bowed out to the Bucks. The conversation turned quickly to Kyrie Irving’s disastrous playoff run and whether he has a future in Boston. Hank isn't interested in the "genius" label for the coach or the star power of the point guard anymore.

Win
May 10, 2019
#623
HankHank

The Celtics should not re-sign Kyrie Irving and instead let the asset walk.

I feel like I don't care what's going on with the team during the year. Lose that asset. It's all about the assets... for [Kyrie Irving] to do what he did in the playoffs it's like Brad Stevens' problem.

The Celtics did let Kyrie walk in the 2019 offseason, and many fans agreed with this stance given the team's chemistry issues.

Big Cat thinks the media did Brad Stevens no favors by crowning him the next Gregg Popovich before he actually won anything meaningful.

Void
May 10, 2019
#624
Big CatBig Cat

Brad Stevens was labeled a 'genius' by the media far too early in his career.

Brad Stevens' biggest issue is that he was inaugurated a genius too early. Like he was called a genius basically from winning nothing... the national media had him as, like, Pop.

Subjective opinion on media narratives, though Stevens' reputation did take a hit during the 2018-19 season's struggles.

## George Brett: Ribs, Weights, and the Shift The guys sat down at Char Bar in KC with legendary Royal George Brett. George is still a force of nature, sporting "guns" at 66 and sharing stories about throwing up in the bathroom after scoring from first. He’s not a fan of the modern obsession with the weight room, suggesting it's why every star player seems to be hitting the IL with oblique strains.

Void
May 10, 2019
#626
George BrettGeorge Brett

Modern baseball players lifting heavy weights leads to more oblique and muscle injuries compared to the past.

Aaron Judge, someone wrote an article that said it's because they lift too many weights... Baseball players look like linebackers... I personally [think it has something to do with higher injury], yeah, with all the obliques and stuff like that.

This is a recurring debate in sports science; while muscle protects joints, excessive bulk can lead to soft tissue strains. It remains a subjective matter of training philosophy.

When it comes to the hitting records, George is a purist. He doesn't think we'll ever see anyone flirt with .400 again because the days of facing a tired starter in the 9th inning are over. However, he’s fairly certain he would have feasted on the modern defensive shift.

Void
May 10, 2019
#628
George BrettGeorge Brett

If modern teams used the defensive shift against George Brett, he would have hit .450.

If they put the shift on me, I'm not bullshitting you. I'd hit 450. Because I could hit a ground ball to the shortstop or third baseman whenever I wanted... I stood far enough off the plate that it didn't matter.

Impossible to verify as he is retired, but it reflects the confidence of a Hall of Fame hitter.

George also didn't mince words when asked about the steroid era and the Hall of Fame. While he respects the history, he’s not ready to see certain names on plaques in Cooperstown.

Void
May 10, 2019
#629
George BrettGeorge Brett

Barry Bonds and Alex Rodriguez should not be in the Hall of Fame.

[Barry Bonds, in or out?] Out. Alex Rodriguez. Oh. [Steroid era guys] had already broke my record... they were always saying, if they let these guys in, I'm never coming back. And I respect their opinion.

Subjective opinion on a contentious Hall of Fame debate.

## Jeopardy James: The Gambler’s Method James Holzhauer joined the show to explain how he’s systematically dismantling Jeopardy!. While everyone else is focused on his trivia knowledge, James revealed that his preparation involved the children's section of the library and practicing in dress shoes to simulate the physical toll of the stage.

Win
May 10, 2019
#26601
James HolzhauerJames Holzhauer

Reading children's books is more effective for Jeopardy preparation than using the internet.

I went to the children's section of the library and I picked a basic book on every subject that I had lots of pictures, kept the reader engaged... usually I'd read two or three books on every subject just to make sure I was covering all the basics. I thought that that kind of intro level interesting books really helped me more than like an encyclopedia [or the internet] would have.

As the most dominant player in the show's history, his preparation method is the gold standard for that specific goal.

He also broke down why his aggressive betting isn't actually as "risky" as it looks to the casual viewer. For James, it's all about math and protecting a lead.

Win
May 10, 2019
#630
James HolzhauerJames Holzhauer

Aggressive, large betting on Jeopardy is actually less risky than conservative play because it protects a lead.

I'm not sure this is correct, but the way I look at it is it's actually less risky to make big bets because if you think about it, if you have a big lead, you're pretty safe... if you don't have a big lead, the person who's behind you can hit a daily double... You need those big plays to win sometimes.

His record-breaking run proved the effectiveness of this strategy.

As a professional sports bettor, James brought that same analytical lens to the NBA. Even though he’s rooting for chaos, he’s not betting against the dynasty in Oakland.

Loss
May 10, 2019
#632
James HolzhauerJames Holzhauer

The Golden State Warriors will win the 2019 NBA Finals.

Well, I have to say the Warriors. But, you know, as a fan, I'm rooting against it. But, you know, they're obviously the best team, so boring answer, but there you go.

The Warriors lost to the Toronto Raptors in 6 games in the 2019 NBA Finals.

## Chaos in Westeros and Grit Week Hank has reached a level of Game of Thrones frustration where he is now actively rooting for the writers to ruin everyone’s lives. He wants maximum anger from the fanbase, while Big Cat is calling for a major character death this weekend.

Loss
May 10, 2019
#636
Big CatBig Cat

Jon Snow will die in the penultimate episode of Game of Thrones.

Well, here's my hot take preview. I think Jon Snow dies on Sunday.

Jon Snow survived both the penultimate episode and the series finale.

Before letting the AWLs go, the guys announced that Grit Week 2019 is headed to Southern California. They’ll be searching for the grittiest parts of San Diego and LA, proving that you can find grit even in the land of avocados and sunshine.

If the Hurricanes lose on the ice, Hamilton the Pig better start running.

nflnba-playoffsmlbjeopardygame-of-thronesgambling

More Takes

Void
May 10, 2019
#26599
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Brad Stevens is still a top-three coach in the NBA despite the Celtics' struggles.

I still think Brad Stevens is probably top three coach in the league. And then there's the whole part of managing egos.

This is a subjective ranking of coaching ability.
Void
May 10, 2019
#26600
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The speed at which an NFL team's offensive linemen chug beers at other local sporting events correlates directly to that team's success.

I think that the speed at which offensive linemen pound beers at other teams' sporting events has a direct correlation to how successful that team is. Remember the Nashville Predators when they had Taylor Lewan... I'm officially upgrading McGlinchey to a tackle from a guard. I think he showed me something.

While funny, there is no scientific or statistical proof of this correlation.
Loss
May 10, 2019
#625
Big CatBig Cat

If the Hurricanes lose their playoff series, Big Cat will track down and kill Hamilton the Pig.

If the hurricanes lose, I'm going to try to track down the pig and kill it... I'll kill a pig. Let's do bacon until it dies of a heart attack.

The Hurricanes lost (swept by the Bruins), but Big Cat did not actually kill the pig.
Win
May 10, 2019
#627
George BrettGeorge Brett

A modern hitter will never hit .400 again because of the prevalence of specialized relief pitchers.

No, I don't think [hitting .400] is [going to happen again]. I think there's too much specialty in pitching... You've got a guy, a lot of the three, four, five starters, you get five innings... Then they bring in a guy that's making probably $6 million a year to pitch the sixth, maybe the seventh.

Since this take, no player has hit .400. Batting averages across the league have generally continued to decline.
Void
May 10, 2019
#26602
James HolzhauerJames Holzhauer

It is better to spend big on top-tier free agents than to sign middle-market players who hamstring a team's salary cap.

I think that it's often better to play at the top of the free agent market than in the middle. In the middle, the Tyler Chatwoods are the real signings that kind of hamstring the team in the long run. And, you know, you can't criticize Yu Darvish without also saying, Oh, John Lester, it's worked out great for the Cubs.

This is a subjective philosophy on baseball team building.
Win
May 10, 2019
#26603
James HolzhauerJames Holzhauer

MLB is the hardest sport to beat in gambling because oddsmakers' models are now as accurate as the advanced stats.

Baseball, I think might be the hardest game to beat now because it's the one where the bookmakers have really caught up to the stats guys in terms of utilizing numbers to set their odds accurately. They're still making more mistakes on things like in-game betting and halftime lines.

This aligns with broader trends in sports betting where high-volume, stat-heavy sports reach market efficiency faster.
Win
May 10, 2019
#26604
James HolzhauerJames Holzhauer

The best strategy for in-game sports betting is to wager against the most recent momentum.

If I'm betting in-game, I'm often betting directly against the momentum. You know, I find myself, if a touchdown's just been scored, I'm probably betting the under, not the over, or, you know, I'm probably betting on the team that just gave up the touchdown... fans overrate the impact of a play that just happened.

This is a recognized sharp betting strategy known as 'fading the public' or fading momentum.
Win
May 10, 2019
#631
James HolzhauerJames Holzhauer

Mastery of the buzzer is 60% of the game on Jeopardy when playing against elite contestants.

The buzzer becomes the most important factor at that point. And I think that I would say the buzzer is maybe like 60 percent of the game. And then there's another 30 percent that's your trivia knowledge and 10 percent maybe is the strategies.

Generally accepted by Jeopardy champions that at the highest levels, knowledge is a wash and buzzer timing is the differentiator.
Void
May 10, 2019
#633
Big CatBig Cat

The Chicago Cubs organization banned the 'circle game' fan without a proper investigation to gain positive PR.

If the Cubs didn't actually investigate it and they were like, hey, we can get a quick fucking W here before we have Addison Russell, who is a shitty person... Cubs, if you didn't actually, if Crane Kenney didn't actually investigate this, I fucking hope he did. Because if he didn't and he was just like, we got to catch a quick W right here. Yeah, that sucks.

The Cubs maintained they investigated the fan's social media, though the incident remains a polarized moment in 'cancel culture' history.
Void
May 10, 2019
#634
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bill Belichick manipulated Sean McVay into watching too much film for Super Bowl LIII by praising his dedication.

I believe that Bill Belichick knew that [Sean McVay] was going to go and watch too much film... He's been calling Sean McVay all season long... Telling him stuff and being like, Sean, one thing I really admire about you is your dedication to film study.

While McVay admitted he over-prepared, the idea that Belichick orchestrated this via fake praise is a satirical theory.
Loss
May 10, 2019
#26605
Big CatBig Cat

The Warriors will re-sign Kevin Durant this summer and trade him to the Lakers for LeBron James.

Here is the perfect 'this league' this summer. The Warriors re-sign Kevin Durant and then trade him to the Lakers for LeBron. Holy shit. This league, baby.

This trade never happened; LeBron stayed in LA and KD signed with the Nets.
Void
May 10, 2019
#635
HankHank

Game of Thrones should end in a way that makes the most fans angry.

I'm at the point where I'm now rooting for them to do whatever will make people the most angry... I just want them to do whatever. There's a lot of things people are excited for, and I want them to fuck it all up.

Subjective preference for a TV finale.
Loss
May 10, 2019
#26606
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

There are other dragons hidden in the world of Game of Thrones that have yet to be revealed.

I think that there are other dragons out there. That one that was that beyonds riding them... I know that's no... Brand's gonna come in.

No additional dragons appeared in the final two episodes of the series.

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