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NFL Week 18, Playoff Picture Set, Steelers Win Thriller Over Ravens, Seahawks Take 1 Seed, Panthers Back In And Who's Back Of The Week

Monday, January 5, 202627 takes

NFL Week 18. We start with the Fastest 2 Minutes and then talk every game from the weekend. (-) Steelers 26, Ravens 24 (-) Bucs 16, Panthers 14 (-) Seahawks 13, Niners 3 (-) Falcons 19, Saints 17 (-) Browns 20, Bengals 18 (-) Jaguars 41, Titans 7 (-) Texans 32, Colts 30 (-) Giants 34, Cowboys 17 (-) Vikings 16, Packers 3 (-) Lions 19, Bears 16 (-) Commanders 24, Eagles 17 (-) Rams 37, Cardinals 20 (-) Patriots 38, Dolphins 10 (-) Broncos 19, Chargers 3 (-) Raiders 14, Chiefs 12 (-) Bills 35, Jets 3 (-) We finish with who's back of the week. (-).

NFL Week 18: Playoff Picture Set and the End of the Regular Season

The 2025 NFL regular season is officially in the books, and it went out with the kind of chaotic, heart-attack-inducing energy that only this league can provide. We started the weekend wondering if the AFC North would ever stop beating the hell out of itself, and we ended it with the Pittsburgh Steelers punching the final ticket to the dance. It was a classic Mike Tomlin game distilled into sixty minutes of anxiety, featuring everything from a priest blessing the field to a missed 44-yard field goal by the Ravens that sent the Terrible Towels into a frenzy.

The AFC North Bloodbath and Wild Card Predictions

The Steelers finding a way into the postseason feels right for a team that refuses to die, and PFT Commenter is already looking ahead to their matchup against the Texans. While Houston has the momentum, never count out a Tomlin-led squad in January.

Loss
Jan 5, 2026
#20092
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Steelers are into the playoffs and I think they could win a game

The Steelers are into the playoffs and I still think they could win a playoff game. Now they're playing the Texans. I think they might.

The Steelers made the playoffs at 10-7 but were blown out by the Texans 30-6 in the Wild Card round. They did not win a playoff game.

While the Steelers are in, the Colts are heading home after a season that felt like a slow-motion car crash once the injuries piled up. Big Cat pointed out that despite the roster talent, the lack of hardware in the trophy case should be making seats a lot hotter in Indianapolis than the front office is letting on.

Void
Jan 5, 2026
#20098
Big CatBig Cat

Chris Ballard shouldn't be safe as Colts GM after 9 years without a division title

Chris Ballard has been the Colts GM for I believe nine years now. He has never won the division and it's the AFC South. And it's not like the AFC South is bad, but there have been stretches where there have been bad teams and he has not found a way to win the division.

Seattle Claims the Crown and the NFC Chaos

Out West, the Seahawks put an absolute physical beatdown on the 49ers to secure the number one seed. It wasn't just a win; it was a statement. The Seattle defense turned Brock Purdy into a shell of himself, and Kenneth Walker III ran like he was trying to break the stadium. Big Cat is officially a believer in what Mike Macdonald is building in the Pacific Northwest.

Win
Jan 5, 2026
#20094
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are the best and scariest team in the NFC

I think I now trust the Seahawks. I think that D is good enough if they've got the ground game working. They are, to me, the best team in the NFC right now.

The Seahawks were the best NFC team. They went 14-3 and won Super Bowl LX.

With the NFC going through Seattle, the road to the Super Bowl looks significantly more daunting for everyone else. PFT and Big Cat both agreed that if the ground game stays this dominant, there might not be a team in the conference that can travel to Pike Place and leave with a win.

Win
Jan 5, 2026
#20095
Big CatBig Cat

I'm in on the Seahawks to make the Super Bowl

I am in on the Seahawks to be in the Super Bowl. Do you think the Seahawks—I am in on the Seahawks to be in the Super Bowl.

The Seattle Seahawks won the NFC as the 1 seed (14-3), beat the 49ers and Rams in the playoffs, and won Super Bowl LX over the Patriots 29-13. Big Cat's prediction that the Seahawks would make the Super Bowl was correct.

Division Dramas and Draft Positioning

In the NFC South, the Panthers managed to lose their way into a playoff spot thanks to some help from the Falcons. It’s the second time the franchise has made the postseason with a losing record, and while the Rams are heavy favorites, the guys aren't ready to bury Bryce Young just yet.

Win
Jan 5, 2026
#21264
Big CatBig Cat

You have to take the Panthers (+10.5) against the Rams in the Wild Card round

The Rams are 10.5 point favorites against the Panthers. Think we gotta take the Panthers. Think we gotta meow mix it up. Take the Panthers, keep pounding.

Big Cat took the Panthers +10.5 against the Rams in the Wild Card round. The Rams beat the Panthers 34-31, a 3-point margin. The Panthers easily covered the 10.5-point spread, making this a winning bet.

Meanwhile, the Giants and Eagles played a game that left both fanbases mostly annoyed. The Giants won a meaningless game that effectively nuked their draft positioning, a move that Big Cat found personally offensive as a fan of logical team building.

Void
Jan 5, 2026
#20099
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants should be ashamed of winning meaningless games to ruin their draft pick

You have to be so angry at the Giants for doing this year in year out where they fucked themselves over by winning completely meaningless games for no reason. Why did you win this game today?

PFT offered a theory that the Giants players weren't actually trying to ruin the pick, but were instead playing for their own lives. When you're on a sinking ship, you play well enough to make sure the next boat picks you up.

Void
Jan 5, 2026
#21266
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2025 Giants players played hard in Week 18 just so they could showcase themselves for other teams

I've got a theory about the some of the Giants players in these final weeks of the season. Obviously it's hard to tank in the NFL as a player... I think these guys are so burnt out playing for the Giants that by the end of the season in these meaningless games, they're like, 'I need to play to my absolute best potential so I can sign with a team that's not the Giants.'

This is a subjective theory about player motivation that cannot be definitively proven or disproven.

The Coaching Carousel and Looking Ahead

Black Monday is looming, and the rumors are already flying. Between the Falcons moving on from Raheem Morris and the uncertainty in Cleveland, the guys expect a busy week of firings. Big Cat expects a quick turnaround for Kevin Stefanski if the Browns decide to pull the trigger.

Win
Jan 5, 2026
#21265
Big CatBig Cat

Kevin Stefanski will be fired by the Browns but hired immediately by another team

It feels like Kevin Stefanski is gonna get fired. And it feels like Kevin Stefanski is gonna get hired. I don't think he's gonna be unemployed for very long. Pretty quickly. I feel like the Giants will be very interested in a Stefanski.

Big Cat predicted Stefanski would be fired by the Browns and hired quickly by another team, mentioning the Giants as interested. Stefanski was fired by Cleveland on January 5, 2026, and hired as Falcons head coach on January 17, 2026 — just 12 days later. While it was the Falcons (not Giants), the core prediction of fired-and-quickly-rehired was correct.

As we pivot to Wild Card weekend, the energy is shifting to Saturday night at Soldier Field. The Bears won the North but finished the season on a two-game skid, leaving Big Cat feeling a mix of pride and pure terror. He knows that if Ben Johnson doesn't flip the script and get aggressive, the Packers could turn a dream season into a nightmare.

Void
Jan 5, 2026
#20100
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Johnson must be more aggressive in the playoffs for the Bears to succeed

Ben Johnson fucked up at points in this game, especially not going for it on fourth and five in the fourth quarter. Hopefully he realizes the defense that the Bears have right now, you gotta be very aggressive in these playoffs to string together some wins.

It’s playoff football time, which means the stakes are higher, the takes are hotter, and Hank is probably going to try to convince us Jalen Brown was snubbed from an Oscar next.

Get those fish ready at Pike Place, the real season starts now.

nflplayoffssteelersseahawksbearscommandersnfl-week-18

More Takes

Void
Jan 5, 2026
#20093
ZacZac

I no longer want Todd Bowles to coach the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I would like Todd Bowles no longer to coach with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers anymore. Anyone else, I'm in.

Void
Jan 5, 2026
#20096
HankHank

Tyler Schuck played terrible and is not a guy to get excited about

I bet Tyler Schuck, who's in the Hungry Dog. Only one that lost. I thought he played terrible. I will not be—my indoctrination is over. I'm done with Tyler Schuck.

Win
Jan 5, 2026
#20097
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons will kick the tires on Kirby Smart for their head coaching vacancy

I think that they'll at least kick the tires pretty hard on Kirby [Smart]. All these college coaches are like, I don't want to deal with this shit anymore. The transfer portal, NIL is too much.

The Falcons did kick the tires on Kirby Smart during their coaching search. Matt Ryan publicly mentioned Smart as a candidate. However, they ultimately hired Stefanski.
Void
Jan 5, 2026
#21273
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL would be better if Philip Rivers was a player-coach

I think it'd be good for the league if Philip Rivers was the head coach. Player coach would be incredible. Oh my God. Like, yeah. Are you telling me that if your starting quarterback goes down, Philip Rivers is your head coach? He's not gonna at least think about putting himself back in.

This is a subjective opinion about the entertainment value and impact of a hypothetical coaching scenario.
Void
Jan 5, 2026
#21267
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Vikings have to commit to JJ McCarthy as their starting quarterback for next season

Now what do you do with JJ McCarthy? I think you gotta roll with him. [He asked if he earned the right to be the starter]... You gotta roll with nine. Yeah. You gotta roll with nine.

This is a subjective recommendation for the Vikings' front office strategy.
Void
Jan 5, 2026
#20101
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears' defense is a major liability for a deep playoff run

It's gonna be very hard if you don't turn the ball over to get a deep playoff run with this defense that's just stating facts. I've watched 'em every single game. It's, if you don't get turned the ball over, they just get shredded.

Void
Jan 5, 2026
#21268
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears' 2025 season is an incredible success regardless of the playoff outcome

If we're talking about 2025, incredible success. If you said that the Bears would end up with 11 wins and winning the NFC North, they'd be like, 'sign me the fuck up. How'd that happen?' Caleb [Williams] looks so much better in year two. And Ben Johnson is a dude.

The 'success' of a season is inherently subjective, though winning a division and 11 games is a strong case.
Void
Jan 5, 2026
#21270
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Winning a meaningless Week 18 game against the Eagles is actually useful for the Commanders' culture

Since Dan [Quinn] is coming back next year... I feel like there is some real use in winning your Week 18 game against a division rival. Especially one where a couple weeks ago [we] got into a fight to close the game. I feel like correcting some of those things, it's a useful win.

The long-term utility of a Week 18 win for a non-playoff team is a subjective matter of team psychology.
Void
Jan 5, 2026
#21269
MaxMax

Losing the 2-seed to the Bears isn't a big deal for the Eagles

In a perfect world, I would like to have all of my guys healthy and the two SEED. We chose to have all of our guys healthy. I just don't think it's as big of a deal. I think people like to get really angry about something that may not be that big of a deal.

The impact of this decision will be judged by the Eagles' playoff performance, but the value of health vs. seeding is an opinion.
Loss
Jan 5, 2026
#20102
HankHank

Matthew Stafford shouldn't win MVP because he has too many one-yard touchdowns

Matthew Stafford, MVP? He put together a hell of a season. So many one yard touchdowns. If that was the award, he should get it. This is 10 times over.

Stafford DID win 2025 MVP despite Hank's criticism about one-yard touchdowns.
Open
Jan 5, 2026
#20103
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May should win Most Improved Player and maybe MVP

Drake May wins the sophomore quarterback rankings. Drake May is—should we say our as a podcast—Most Improved Player of the year. Slash sophomore of the year.

The official NFL Honors awards will determine if May wins any of these accolades.
Win
Jan 5, 2026
#20104
HankHank

The Patriots' matchup against the Chargers is much better than playing the Bills or Texans

I would much rather play the Chargers than the Bills or the Texans. It's matchups. Like I don't—I would—I like our chances against the Chargers much more.

The Patriots dominated the Chargers 33-16 in the Wild Card round. Hank was right that the Chargers matchup was favorable - the Patriots went on to beat the Texans too and reached the Super Bowl.
Void
Jan 5, 2026
#20105
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Harbaugh vs. Vrabel playoff matchup will feel like Michigan vs. Ohio State

Do you think that this, that Harbaugh looks at this matchup against Vrabel as Michigan, Ohio State? I feel—I didn't even think about that. I think that's—I think Vrabel is the same way though.

Void
Jan 5, 2026·Who's Back
#20106
HankHank

Jalen Brown was snubbed from Eastern Conference Player of the Month

My who's back is Jalen Brown. He was snubbed from Eastern Conference Player of the Month for December. He was statistically better than Jalen Brunson. We don't need to get into [it]... but what I loved about it is that he was vocal about it. He was like, 'this is bullshit.'

The 'snub' is a matter of opinion, though Brunson did officially win the award for December 2025.
Win
Jan 5, 2026·Who's Back
#20107
Big CatBig Cat

Pete Carroll will be fired during Black Monday

Pete Carroll out for sure. Gotta be gone. I don't even know if they have to tell Pete Carroll. I think they just gotta be like, 'Hey man, we'll see you next year' and then just never send him like when the OTAs are.

Pete Carroll was fired by the Raiders after the 2025 season following a 3-14 record. He was indeed fired during the coaching carousel, though it was after the final game, not exactly on 'Black Monday.'
Void
Jan 5, 2026·Who's Back
#21271
Big CatBig Cat

If someone spits in your face, it should be legal to hit them with your car

I'll just say this, if someone spits in your face like that, you should be able to hit him with your car. I think. There's no overreaction to being spit on. [Spitting is] massive.

This is a hypothetical legal/ethical stance and not a verifiable fact claim.
Void
Jan 5, 2026·Who's Back
#21272
ShaneShane

The Patriots' defensive line is not as legit as the Texans' or Broncos' units

The Patriots aren't like the Texans in terms of a defensive line. No, that's what I'm saying. That's why I was like, 'cause every other team, the Texans, the Broncos, like those defenses are really legit.

Comparison of defensive line quality across teams is a matter of football analysis and opinion.
Void
Jan 5, 2026·Who's Back
#20108
ShaneShane

Justin Herbert needs to finally win a playoff game to shut up the doubters

I just need Herbert to win a playoff game because every year it's the same fucking shit where it's everyone's hating on Herbert. We need the Chargers to win this shit. I just get my hopes up every year. Fucking 27-nothing lead we fucking blow it.


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