PMTPMT DB
Kirk Goldsberry

Kirk Goldsberry

Guest
2019 — Present
7W·15L·3P·2 open
.340
AVG
.780
SLG
4.1K
SHU
-0.57
TVOA
-0.13
SHRP
-$22.3
BNKRL
11L
STRK
0.0
ENTR
basketball25 scored

All Takes

Void
Take Slip·May 7, 2025
#PMT-2025-0507-14271
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Jokic is the most skilled big man we have ever seen

He's the most skilled player in the world. He does everything at a very high level... the best floater in the league, but he is also an incredible jump shooter. And that's not even a strength. So long story short, he's just the most skilled big man we've ever seen.

While debatable vs. Kareem or Wilt, Jokic's unique triple-double ability and shooting for a center make this a valid, high-level opinion.
Win
Take Slip·May 7, 2025
#PMT-2025-0507-14272
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Tyrese Halliburton is the most underrated player in the playoffs

That take [him being overrated] is aging very poorly, very poorly. They are five in one in the Playoffs... he might be the most underrated player in these NBA playoffs. I think he deserves some flowers. He deserves some of those media cycles where we're like, he's 25 and he's three wins away from bringing his team to the conference finals two years in a row.

Halliburton led the Pacers to the ECF in 2024, validating Goldsberry's high evaluation.
Push
Take Slip·May 7, 2025
#PMT-2025-0507-14273
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

NBA Finals prediction: Celtics vs. Thunder

I'm sticking with the Boston Celtics, Bing bong hanky. I still support the Celtics and you know, I'm sticking with the with the thunder and I'm a little bit nervous today. I think Boston has a much easier path to the finals than OKC.

The Celtics made the finals and won; the Thunder lost in the second round to the Mavericks.
Push
Take Slip·May 8, 2024
#PMT-2024-0508-429
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The current Minnesota Timberwolves are the NBA version of the 2000 Baltimore Ravens

This is the 2000 Ravens through these first six [games]... they're maniacal. They're grinning ear to ear as they're playing defense. Minnesota is emerging as the favorite to win this tournament by being the best defense we've seen in years.

The Wolves had the #1 defensive rating in the playoffs until they were eliminated in the Western Conference Finals.
Void
Take Slip·May 8, 2024
#PMT-2024-0508-430
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Anthony Edwards is the hero that American basketball needs

He's the hero that American basketball needs. I was saying that you can really chart out with Jokic, Doncic, SGA, Giannis... a path to 2030 where we go a full decade without an [American] MVP. Anthony Edwards these last two weeks has had something to say to that.

Edwards finished 7th in MVP voting in 2024 and is widely considered the rising American face of the league.
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 24, 2024
#PMT-2024-0424-288
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The only real threat to the Denver Nuggets winning the title is the injury bug

The number one threat to the Denver Nuggets is the injury bug. Oh yeah. I think they're that good. Yeah, I really do. I think Jokic is just, they deserve that kind of dodgy, cute answer. If I have to answer... I just don't see anybody taking out Jokic in seven games, beating them four times in seven games.

The Nuggets were healthy but were defeated by the Timberwolves in the Western Conference Semifinals.
Void
Take Slip·May 19, 2023
#PMT-2023-0519-16366
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Erik Spoelstra is the best coach in the NBA

I think Eric Spoelstra is the best coach in the NBA I think with all due respect to to to Steve Kerr and Greg Popovich right now what he's doing.

Spoelstra took an 8-seed to the Finals this year, further solidifying this widely held opinion.
Win
Take Slip·May 19, 2023
#PMT-2023-0519-16368
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

LeBron James has never played a player like Nikola Jokic in the playoffs

I don't think as great as LeBron James' career has been, he's ever had to play a player like Jokic in the playoffs... Jokic is such a unique force... He's averaging a 30 point triple double in these playoffs, which is insane.

In terms of archetype (passing 7-footer), Jokic is indeed unique in LeBron's playoff history.
Win
Take Slip·May 19, 2023
#PMT-2023-0519-16369
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Prediction: The Nuggets will win the NBA Championship

Boston, Denver. They're the most winner teams and I would take Denver dude.

The Nuggets won the 2023 NBA Finals.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 14, 2023
#PMT-2023-0414-1758
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Lakers are the scariest team to ever come out of the play-in tournament

But the Lakers to me are the scariest team to ever come out of the play tournament. Does that mean they're gonna [make] the finals? Of course not, but geez Yeah. LeBron James Anthony Davis. That's a pretty scary seven seed, don't you think?

The Lakers reached the Western Conference Finals in 2023, the deepest run by a play-in team at that point.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 14, 2023
#PMT-2023-0414-1759
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The 76ers have the most 'legacy at stake' this postseason

Until we see it, you know, it's fair to hang that on [James Harden] a little bit and if there's one player and one team who has sort of a legacy at stake, this postseason... it's the Philadelphia 76ers. And the other one I would say is Doc Rivers is part of that. It's not just James. Doc Rivers hasn't been a great playoff coach in the last five, 10 years either.

The 76ers lost in the second round, leading to Doc Rivers' firing and James Harden's eventual trade demand, proving the legacy stakes were indeed high.
Open
Take Slip·Apr 14, 2023
#PMT-2023-0414-1760
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Cleveland Cavaliers will win an NBA title in the 2020s

I also love this Cleveland Cavalier team... I'm really eager to see how they do, I don't think they're at the status of Milwaukee or Boston yet guys, but that team I'm buying stock on them winning a title in the 2020s. And they could, they could surprise this year.

The Cavs have been competitive but have not yet reached a Conference Final since this take.
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 14, 2023
#PMT-2023-0414-1761
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Suns will come out of the Western Conference

The west is drunk. Nobody has any idea what to happen... look, I use regular season numbers to try to predict, but the suns weren't, the suns... until very late in the season. They're two of the betting favorites now to come outta the west... I will predict that the suns are gonna come outta the west. It hinges on Kevin Durant's Health.

The Suns lost to the Nuggets in the second round (4-2).
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 14, 2023
#PMT-2023-0414-1762
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Bucks will beat the Suns in the NBA Finals

First finals prediction is a 2021 rematch bucks suns... I think if either of those guys has to miss games, which is reasonable to expect, unfortunately that suns prediction would fall apart pretty fast... So my first son's, my first is sun's bucks and I take the bucks and that matchup.

Both teams failed to reach the Finals. The Nuggets beat the Heat.
Push
Take Slip·Apr 14, 2023
#PMT-2023-0414-1763
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The 76ers will beat the Nuggets in the NBA Finals

And without a doubt, I think this year's finals is gonna be a battle of these MVP Big Men. It's gonna be the 76ers against the nuggets. Wow. Embiid, Jokic, centers are back... and I'm taking Joel Embiid and the Sixers to win their first title since 1983. So Wow. Ending a 40 year drought. You can just book it.

The Nuggets reached and won the Finals, but the 76ers were eliminated in the second round.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 31, 2023
#PMT-2023-0331-13171
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Kevin Durant is having the greatest mid-range season in 25 years

Kevin Durant is... arguably having the greatest mid-range season in the history since we've been tracking this for 25 years and he's breathing life into it and it's beautiful to watch... Kevin's almost 60% right now. It's incredible.

Durant's 2022-23 mid-range shooting was statistically elite, often cited as one of the best efficiency years ever from that zone.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 31, 2023
#PMT-2023-0331-13172
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Phoenix Suns could win the NBA title primarily using the mid-range game

Devin Booker on his team and Chris Paul on his team, the Phoenix Suns this year have a chance not only win the championship but doing it in the mid-range.

The Suns lost in the Western Conference Semifinals to the Nuggets.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 31, 2023
#PMT-2023-0331-13173
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Nikola Jokic is giving up more points on layups than any player in the tracking era

He's giving up more points per game on layups as the closest defender of any player in the player tracking era, which is now 10 years. And so I brought that up because it's in the heat of this... chance for the Nuggets to finally get out of the Western Conference for Jokic to be a three time MVP.

Kirk verified this using Second Spectrum data at the time of the podcast.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 31, 2023
#PMT-2023-0331-13174
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

No team has won a title with a defense ranked 11th or worse in decades

No NBA team has won the championship with a defense that's ranked 11th or worse in the regular season in a very long time... The Denver Nuggets are not checking that box. So... you get exposed if you play Giannis in a seven game series.

Ironically, the 2022-23 Nuggets won the title with the 15th-ranked defense, breaking this long-standing trend.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 31, 2023
#PMT-2023-0331-13175
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Milwaukee Bucks are the favorites coming out of the Eastern Conference

They deserve to be the favorites. They have the best record without Chris [Middleton] a lot of the year. I think they, they deserve to be the favorites coming out of the East.

The Bucks lost in the first round to the Miami Heat.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 31, 2023
#PMT-2023-0331-13176
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The NBA should bring back the 'one-and-one' free throw rule

When you make millions of dollars to shoot free throws, we, we don't need you to take one-on-one. Yeah. Like bring the one-on-one to the NBA. I think that's one thing we could do to actually increase the risk for some of these these guys.

The NBA has not adopted the one-and-one rule.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 10, 2022
#PMT-2022-0610-2582
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Jayson Tatum is the safer bet for Finals MVP

I'm going Jayson Tatum folks... I think Jayson Tatum is going to win the MVP because the Celtics are only, I don't want a series of Jayson Tatum has a few more good games and his passing in particular guys has been great... He's just slightly more complete and slightly more important to the Celtic success.

Incorrect. The Celtics lost the series, and Steph Curry won MVP. Even if they won, Jaylen Brown was often viewed as their most consistent player this series.
Void
Take Slip·Apr 22, 2022
#PMT-2022-0422-14995
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Donovan Mitchell is currently an inefficient jump shooter

Donovan Mitchell reminds me a little bit of DeRozan. His shot selection is tough and his shot-making isn't as good as DeRozan's... overall, I would say he's inefficient as a jump shooter.

This is a statistical opinion based on metrics at the time of the 2022 playoffs.
Void
Take Slip·Apr 22, 2022
#PMT-2022-0422-14996
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Bam Adebayo was the most versatile and influential defender in the NBA this season

I'd say Bam Adebayo was the most versatile and most influential defender... The center position, the big man position... is the quarterback of the defense. They are by far the most important defenders. And I don't think Marcus Smart is even the most impactful defender on his own team.

Subjective defensive evaluation.
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 22, 2022
#PMT-2022-0422-14994
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Timberwolves will win Game 3 at home against the Grizzlies

I will go out on a limb and say Minnesota holds court in Game 3. This team has a big chip on its shoulder. They've had a big personality transplant... credit to Pat Bev for changing the vibes.

The Timberwolves famously blew a 26-point lead and lost Game 3.
Void
Take Slip·Apr 22, 2022
#PMT-2022-0422-14997
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Lakers are a sketchy organization right now that is coasting on its past

This is a franchise that is sort of really based on its own illustrious past... The organization itself, there's a reputation around the league that man, this is kind of a sketchy place... whatever coach comes in there is going to have their hands full.

Reflects the general sentiment of NBA media in 2022.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 11, 2021
#PMT-2021-0611-19604
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Nets are a legit super team and are asserting dominance even without James Harden

I think the Nets are a legit super team. These guys are missing James Harden... and they are still crushing it with Kevin Durant, who has snapped back into pre-injury form. When Joe Harris, the best catch-and-shoot guy in the league, is your fourth option, man, you're a super team.

The Nets eventually lost to the Bucks in 7 games after injuries to Kyrie Irving and James Harden limited their 'super team' potential.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 11, 2021
#PMT-2021-0611-19606
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Don't bet against Kawhi Leonard in the playoffs

The last thing I'll say is don't bet against Kawhi Leonard in the playoffs. This dude came down from 2-0 in that first round series with one of the all time performances... he's really doing stuff that nobody else is doing.

Kawhi Leonard suffered a partially torn ACL in the very next series (Game 4 against the Jazz), ending his playoff run.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 11, 2021
#PMT-2021-0611-19605
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Brooklyn Nets are the best team in the NBA right now

They look like they're going to certainly come out of the East... they've coalesced at the exact right time and are playing, to my view, the best basketball in the league right now.

While they played great, they did not win the championship or the conference, losing in the second round.
Void
Take Slip·Jun 11, 2021
#PMT-2021-0611-19607
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The 2017 Warriors were better than the 2021 Nets because of defense

I don't think so. Those Warriors teams... were defensive juggernauts and offensive juggernauts. I'll take pre-injury KD over post-injury KD... and I'll take Steph over Harden by a narrow margin.

This is a subjective historical comparison, but generally favored by analysts due to the Warriors' defensive metrics.
Loss
Take Slip·May 1, 2019
#PMT-2019-0501-15411
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Teams should be allowed to draw their own custom three-point lines on their home courts

Imagine if the Heat could draw their own line or the Warriors are playing at home, and they have one line. Then they go to Houston, and there's a different line... it gives a home field advantage. It's fun for the fans. So I think that would be interesting because right now, dudes, the shot is too easy for too many guys.

The NBA has not adopted variable court dimensions or custom 3-point lines.
Loss
Take Slip·May 1, 2019
#PMT-2019-0501-15412
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The NBA should allow defensive goaltending on three-pointers to decrease shooting efficiency

Allowing goaltending on threes is probably the biggest stoner ideas I have. Let's make it fun, dudes. Let's make it a little harder for these guys.

Goaltending remains illegal in the NBA for all field goal attempts.
Loss
Take Slip·May 1, 2019
#PMT-2019-0501-15413
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Ben Simmons will eventually become an average three-point shooter

[Ben Simmons] could use his clutch roommate LeBron as a model because LeBron was a terrible jump shooter his rookie year... Simmons could really pattern some of his pathway to efficiency after LeBron pressuring the rim. [On becoming an average 3pt shooter] Oh, for sure.

Ben Simmons never developed a reliable three-point shot and famously regressed in shooting confidence over the following years.
Loss
Take Slip·May 1, 2019
#PMT-2019-0501-15414
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The Warriors will win the 2019 NBA Finals

But the Warriors are going to win. I hate to say it. I'm rooting against them just for the narrative, as they say. But they are so good, you guys. They have three of the best shooters in a league that is obsessed with shooting.

The Toronto Raptors defeated the Golden State Warriors in the 2019 NBA Finals.
Open
Take Slip·May 1, 2019
#PMT-2019-0501-15415
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

Zion Williamson is a bust-proof prospect

The best shots in the league are still near the rim, and he's going to be able to get there. He's a big boy, and he's athletic. He's a bust-proof, in my opinion.

Zion has been an All-Star and incredibly efficient, but his career has been plagued by injuries, preventing him from reaching 'bust-proof' status for many analysts.