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Big CatBig Cat

The Titans are a value bet to win the AFC South at +260

Titans plus 260 to win the AFC South right now. I don't think the Titans are good, but it's Mike Vrabel and you never know... they'll hang around and they'll definitely have one of those [games] like at the Chiefs, they're probably gonna win.

The Jaguars won the AFC South in Week 18, and the Titans lost to the Chiefs in November.

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Win
Sep 26, 2022
#18154
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks won the Russell Wilson trade because they got Geno Smith

I think it's time to ask the question, Big Cat: who won the Russell Wilson [for] Drew Lock trade? I mean, without Drew Lock, there would be no Geno Smith. Running back right now, cooking. Geno is literally writing back to everybody this week. He's doing a Rich Bisaccia and handwriting letters to everybody that hated on him.

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In hindsight, this became a very common and largely correct sentiment as the Seahawks made the playoffs and the Broncos cratered.
Win
Sep 26, 2022
#21177
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills aren't built to win in Florida or win close games

I think the Bills just can't play in Florida because they had the Jacksonville game last year, they had the Tampa Bay game last year and they have this one. They're not built for the sunshine state. They're also not built to win close games right at all. They've got 20 straight wins by double digit scores and they have zero wins in their last six one-score games.

The Bills' struggles in close games continued through 2022, notably losing to the Bengals in the playoffs, and they remained 0-7 in one-score games until later in the season.
Win
Sep 26, 2022
#18156
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins are for real because they won a tough defensive game

I walked away from this being like, yeah, the dolphins are for real, for real. Because remember we talked about Mike McDaniel when he has to face adversity, when he has to win the tough games, this was a tough fucking game. They had the ball for 20 minutes. The bills had the ball for 40. Like they had to dig deep and their defense had to make big fucking plays and they were able to do it.

The 2022 Dolphins did make the playoffs, validating the 'for real' claim, though they lost in the Wild Card round.

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Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens are abandoning their draft-and-develop philosophy because they've drafted poorly lately

The Ravens feel like the team for however long, I mean, pretty much their entire history, it's like what they do is they draft really well. They don't have to do these type of moves. And then they do this move... maybe the Ravens haven't drafted as well recently. So now they do have to join everyone else and be these guys.

Subjective analysis of team building strategy.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens have a three-to-four-year window with Lamar Jackson to go all in and win a Super Bowl

Are the Ravens basically saying Lamar Jackson, he's 29, he's got, we got like a three, four year window where we're gonna have to go all in here? You're kind of forking the road. Are you trying to keep your draft capital to keep reloading around Lamar Jackson? You're like, 'Hey, let's go win this right now.'

The Ravens' success in this window depends on winning a Super Bowl before Lamar Jackson hits his 30s.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL center market is currently the hottest position market in the world

The center market actually feels like it's the hottest market out there. The Packers signed their center who started seven games signed for 11 million a year. The center market just might be the hottest market in the world.

While 'hottest in the world' is hyperbolic, the sentiment reflects the actual 2026 free agency center market trends.

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