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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Dan CampbellDan Campbell

Penei Sewell was the best overall prospect in the 2021 NFL Draft.

We did know that Sewell was one of if not the best prospect in this draft. That's what we really believed... we did not think he would fall to us like that.

Sewell has developed into one of the premier offensive tackles in the NFL, validating Campbell's evaluation.
Void
Dan CampbellDan Campbell

I would give up an arm in exchange for a Super Bowl victory in Detroit.

I might end up losing an arm because of it [a pet lion], but that would be even better. [Big Cat: If I said Dan Campbell, you are going to win a Super Bowl in Detroit?] One arm. Yes. There it is.

The Lions did not win a Super Bowl. The hypothetical condition was never met.
Loss
Dan CampbellDan Campbell

When trailing by 14 points, you should kick the extra point rather than go for two based on 'manalytics'.

I would rather kick the extra point, and now I'm at the end of the game, and where are we at? Are we worn out? Are we tired? And let's go for two then... I get the whole point of it... but my God, tell me where we're at in the game.

Statistically, going for two first is superior because if you miss, you know you need two scores/another two-point try. Campbell's approach is more traditional.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Blake Bortles is a good fit for the Packers because they need a mobile quarterback

I think that this is a good landing spot for him. I think the Packers see the direction that the league's going in. You need a quarterback that can move. He's got the highest yards per carry of any quarterback in the NFL, I think, in the last five years.

Bortles signed but never actually played a regular-season snap for the Packers, being released shortly after.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers will be the quarterback of the Green Bay Packers Week 1

I think Aaron Rodgers is going to be the quarterback of the Green Bay Packers week one. I still do. We have our friend of the program, John Kuhn, acting as an intermediary to the public, saying that he thinks there's a way for them to come together, which essentially means the Green Bay Packers are going to pay Aaron Rodgers a shitload of money.

Aaron Rodgers did return to the Packers and started Week 1 of the 2021 season against the Saints.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers will finish the season 8-8-1 with their new quarterback

The 49ers, I feel like they're going to be new quarterback, probably 8-8-1 this year.

The 49ers finished the 2021 season 10-7.
Void
Kenny MayneKenny Mayne

I can still throw a football 60 yards

I bet I could hit 60 [yards]. I saw you threw a fastball. You did the first pitch for a Mariners game, and you got, what, 68? Yeah, and I got to 72 the next year. You still got a cannon. My goal was, but it's funny, that sounds so lame.

Verifiable only by a physical test, which was not performed on air.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields will start Week 1 for the Bears

I think that there's a good chance Justin Fields starts week one. I do too. I hope so.

Andy Dalton started Week 1 against the Rams. Fields did not start until Week 3.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Tim Tebow signing with the Jaguars is a 'big joke' and he can't play tight end

This is an interesting signing, and it's a stupid signing. And I will absolutely say that this is a big joke because he can't play. He couldn't play quarterback. He was a terrible quarterback. He hasn't played since 2012. He's going to be 34 years old, and he has no suddenness to his game. He can't play tight end.

Tebow was released by the Jaguars on August 17, 2021, after one preseason game.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Tim Tebow has a 0% chance of making the Jaguars roster

Zero [percent chance]. Zero. I'd go even lower if I could go.

Tebow was cut during training camp and never made the final 53-man roster.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Aaron Rodgers will be on the Packers Week 1

He will be. They're dug in, and they should be dug in. Why would you trade him?

Rodgers reported to camp and played the entire 2021 season for Green Bay.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Quarterbacks should not have input on personnel decisions or hiring

Quarterbacks should not be making decisions as it relates to personnel and who should be hired. I said that all along with Deshaun Watson.

Subjective philosophy on team management.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Justin Fields was the second-best quarterback in the 2021 draft class

Lawrence is the clear one. Justin Fields, in my mind, is the two... He's accurate. He's smart. He's tough. He's athletic. He's big. He will be a darn good quarterback.

This is a subjective evaluation of a player's draft prospect status compared to peers.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Medina Spirit is a junkie horse

I put the blame on the horse. You can't just make excuses. The horse likes doing drugs, obviously. As our 45th president called it, it's a junkie horse.

The horse, Medina Spirit, did test positive for betamethasone, but the 'junkie' characterization is purely comedic.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

DK Metcalf's last-place track finish was both impressive and embarrassing

DK Metcalf was impressive, and then at the same time he got embarrassed. It's weird because he was way better than I thought he would be, but he also was not even close to as fast as the fastest guys.

Metcalf ran a 10.37, which is elite for a human but objectively last in that heat of world-class sprinters.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL is a better league when Blake Bortles is in it

I want Blake to do well. And the NFL is a better league when Blake Bortles is in it fact, if it happens to be in green bay and if you happen to just sort of ball out for the next 16 years, I think that's wonderful for everybody.

The entertainment value of Blake Bortles in the league is a subjective opinion held by many PMT fans.
Win
Brandon StaleyBrandon Staley

The punt is the most challenging play in football because it requires a player to switch roles instantly

Why is the punt the most challenging play in football?... Well, I'll tell you why, because it's the only play in football where you start out as an offensive player, and then you become a defensive player. You have to block and be responsible for all the protection phase... and then you have to go cover the kick and become a defensive player.

The mechanics of the play are factually accurate; its status as 'most challenging' is a professional opinion.
Win
Brandon StaleyBrandon Staley

Analytics dictate that if you are down 14 and score a touchdown, you should go for two

All the analysts would tell you to do it. [Go for two when down 14]. I think that one thing that I've learned guys... winning the game in regulation. Right. You know. Cause there's that, Hey, play for a tie or, Hey, we want to win this game in regulation.

Analytical models generally favor going for two in this scenario to win in regulation.
Win
Brandon StaleyBrandon Staley

The best way to stop Patrick Mahomes is a full team effort because you better be able to score to beat him

The reality is, is pat Mahomes is, has only been held under 24 points, like three times in his entire career. So the reality is you better be able to score, to beat them, you know? And so it's going to take a team performance to beat a guy like that.

Mahomes historically leads high-scoring offenses, making high offensive output a prerequisite for beating him.
Void
Brandon StaleyBrandon Staley

Khalil Mack would have been DPOY in 2018 if he hadn't missed two games

Ramsey was first team all pro last year and had his best year... Kahleel a D [Aaron Donald]... I think, you know, the year we were together, guys in 18 [Khalil Mack] probably would have been the player of the year he had had, he had had he not missed those two games.

Mack had 12.5 sacks in 14 games. Donald had 20.5 in 16. It's highly debatable if two more games would have overcome Donald's massive stat lead.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

No long-hair quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl

We've come across a little bit of a theory that no Longhair quarterback has ever won a super bowl. So you might want to just get in front of that right away.

This is generally considered true for starting QBs at the time, as Brady, Montana, Bradshaw, etc., kept it short. Trevor Lawrence has since challenged this, but hasn't won a Super Bowl yet.
Void
Brandon StaleyBrandon Staley

Chargers powder blues are the best uniforms in all of sports

I think most people would agree probably the best uniforms in, in all sports. You guys just had new uniforms release... I'm glad to say that the powder blues are a big part of it.

Uniform rankings are subjective.
Loss
Brian BaumgartnerBrian Baumgartner

The San Francisco 49ers might not actually draft a quarterback with the #3 overall pick

San Francisco is... everything they've done has been very secretive. It's all sort of come out of – it's been a surprise. And now I don't know if they're really going to take him with the third pick... I don't know if they're going to draft a quarterback.

The 49ers did select a quarterback (Trey Lance) with the #3 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyle Shanahan is a quarterback killer

He might be a quarterback killer. If you go back and you look at the quarterbacks that have played under Kyle Shanahan, they put up good stats occasionally, but then after he leaves, it all goes to shit. He's had Johnny Manziel, RG3, that's Rex Grossman III, also the other RG3, John Beck, Matt Schaub, Matt Ryan, who never won another MVP after Kyle Shanahan, and then Jimmy Garoppolo.

While several QBs did see drop-offs, Matt Ryan remained productive for years, and others like Manziel had non-football issues. It is a debatable but strong opinion.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cardinals are dedicated to rebuilding their franchise using 'short kings'

I've noticed that the Cardinals are kind of dedicated to rebuilding their franchise using short kings. So, Andy Isabella... Rondale Moore, that's the guy from Purdue, right? He's awesome. Short king that squats like 700 pounds or whatever. It's partially that you don't want Kyler [Murray] to be shorter than all of his receiving options.

The Cardinals did draft several notably short receivers (Moore is 5'7", Isabella is 5'9") during the Kyler Murray era.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Trevor Lawrence will make Urban Meyer's NFL career appear successful in hindsight

I think Trevor Lawrence is going to be good enough to make Urban Meyer's NFL career appear successful in hindsight.

This was very incorrect. Urban Meyer had one of the most disastrous coaching tenures in NFL history, being fired before his first season ended with a 2-11 record, regardless of Lawrence's potential.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Running back is the one position you don't take in the first round

Running back is the one position you don't take in the first round and I know there's obviously people can go back and forth... it just feels like the running back position you can usually find a guy who's 90% the abilities of a first round guy in the third and fourth.

This is an ongoing debate in NFL analytics and roster construction with no definitive 'correct' answer, but it's a widely held modern view.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers should go on a public hunger strike to get traded

Aaron Rodgers, I know you listen to the show... do a public hunger strike. Have a live cam on you, do a stream and prove that you're not going to eat anything until either they fire this guy [Gutenkunst] or you get traded to whatever. If anybody's the type of personality to try doing like a Gandhi technique, it's Aaron Rodgers.

Rodgers did not go on a hunger strike; he eventually returned to the Packers before being traded years later.
Loss
Eddie GeorgeEddie George

Lorenzo Neal belongs in the NFL Hall of Fame

I personally do [think he belongs in the Hall of Fame]... I don't know what the credentials or the criteria is for a fullback, but the man has blocked for me, LaDainian Tomlinson, who's in the Hall of Fame, Corey Dillon, who's in the Hall of Fame, Adrian Murrell. I think everybody that ran behind Lorenzo has had a breakout year. And he would do things that most fullbacks wouldn't do.

Lorenzo Neal has not been inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame as of 2024, despite being a 3-time All-Pro and 4-time Pro-Bowler.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers created the best smokescreen in NFL draft history

I would not put that past Kyle Shanahan because this is the best smokescreen that I think I've ever seen in the NFL draft [leading people to believe they wanted Mac Jones].

The Niners did successfully keep their pick secret until the end, with many experts incorrectly predicting Jones to SF at #3.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers will go to the Broncos

I think [Aaron Rodgers] is going to go to Denver, and it's got to be an awesome life to be a Broncos fan. Because it's like, yeah, you get a couple seasons that are mixed in here and there, but then you just get good quarterbacks that just want to come to you. And Aaron Rodgers sounds like he wants to go there.

Rodgers did not go to Denver; he stayed with the Packers for two more seasons before being traded to the Jets in 2023.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields is better than Aaron Rodgers

I don't fucking care. Justin Fields is a better quarterback than Aaron Rodgers anyway.

At the time, Rodgers was the reigning MVP. Fields struggled in Chicago and was eventually traded to the Steelers after three seasons.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tim Tebow is only returning to the NFL for attention

He is such a fucking attention whore, annoying piece of shit... He's 33 years old, by the way... I wouldn't be surprised if Tim Tebow just became an astronaut after this year.

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
Tebow's return was short-lived; he was cut during the preseason and never made the final roster.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Justin Fields will be a great quarterback

I honestly think Justin Fields is going to be a great quarterback. I had him third on my list, on my power rankings list.

Fields showed flashes but never reached 'greatness' with the Bears, leading to him being replaced by Caleb Williams.
Void
HankHank

I would not trade Bill Belichick for Aaron Rodgers

I said no. [Hard no]. Belichick's got a longer lifespan. He's pretty old. And he's a better proven winner.

This is subjective, but following this take, the Patriots struggled under Belichick without Brady, while Rodgers won another MVP in 2021.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers will remain a Green Bay Packer for the 2021 season

Yes, he will be a Packer, just for an emotional hedge... The fact that he wasn't traded right before the draft feels like it's going to be harder to trade him now.

Rodgers did indeed stay with Green Bay for the 2021 season.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyle Pitts is the safest pick of the 2021 NFL Draft

I think the safest pick of the draft, Kyle Pitts.

Pitts had a massive rookie season (1,000 yards) but has since struggled with usage and injuries, though his talent remains undeniable.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

This is officially the end for Jimmy Garoppolo on the 49ers

This is the end for Jimmy Garoppolo, I think we all can agree. We always joke about the vote of confidence that a coach will get, and that usually means the end... [John Lynch] said he has been a pro... That is such a bare minimum thing to compliment a guy.

The 49ers drafted Trey Lance third overall in 2021 and Garoppolo was eventually phased out and traded.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Justin Fields is the best football player in the draft but only the fifth best quarterback

A take that I'm kind of squatting on, because I haven't heard anybody say it. I don't actually believe this. But it'd be cool to hear somebody say, and I feel like it might be coming, just saying that Justin Fields is the best football player in this draft, but he's the fifth best quarterback.

This is a subjective evaluation of talent profiles, though Fields was indeed the 4th QB taken in 2021 (Lawrence, Wilson, Lance, then Fields).
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Mac Jones will be a bust because he is crying in his DUI mugshot

I like my quarterbacks when they get a mug shot to not have a little cry in their eyes. Oh, he's sad in it? Yeah, look it up. He's got a tiny bit of cry in his eyes. So I'm saying bust just on that. Just based on that.

Mac Jones was benched and eventually traded by the Patriots after three seasons, largely considered a bust for a first-round pick.
Loss
Steven CheahSteven Cheah

Justin Fields is the Red Star guy of the draft who will not bust

My red star guy, honestly, Justin Fields. I think everyone's overthinking Justin Fields. The fact that he's not going to be a top three quarterback... This is my guy. I am sure he's going to do good. He's the guy we should draft on our team. I'm fully vouching for this guy.

Fields struggled with the Bears and was eventually traded to the Steelers, making the 'not bust' label highly debatable.
Loss
Steven CheahSteven Cheah

Devonta Smith will not be a top 10 pick in the NFL Draft

I had the take during the national championship... I think Devonta Smith is going to be awesome, but I cannot see a team spending a top 10 pick on a 175 pound wide receiver... drafting traits over production... Devontae Smith just does not have the frame.

Devonta Smith was selected 10th overall by the Philadelphia Eagles in the 2021 NFL Draft.
Void
Steven CheahSteven Cheah

Mac Jones is the 'Coach Killer' of the 2021 draft for Kyle Shanahan

It is Mac Jones because – It is, from what we've heard, Kyle Shanahan versus the personnel department in San Francisco... If Mac Jones does not turn out and Trey Lance and or Justin Fields turns out to be a very good player, we could be witnessing the beginning of the end to Kyle Shanahan.

Kyle Shanahan drafted Trey Lance, not Mac Jones. Shanahan remains the 49ers coach and has since made a Super Bowl.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bears will draft Kyle Trask and he will be a bust

I'm calling it right now. They're going to draft Kyle Trask, and then he's going to stink, and [Big Cat's] life will be made a living hell by a quarterback who sucks that looks exactly like Billy Football.

The Bears did not draft Kyle Trask; they traded up for Justin Fields. Trask was drafted by Tampa Bay in the second round.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jon Gruden would trade his entire draft for Derrick Henry

I feel like it might be [Jon] Gruden. He might do it for Derrick Henry just because of his size. I feel like Gruden is a guy that respects mass.

This is a hypothetical opinion about a coach's tendencies and cannot be definitively proven.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Arthur Smith's family wealth proves his genuine love for football

His dad is the CEO of FedEx and he could have just been rich. Instead, he's like, I want to grind tape and be an offensive coordinator for a bunch of years and then hopefully get the dignity of being able to stand on the sidelines as my team collapses... it's pretty fair to say that he loves football.

Whether someone 'loves' football is subjective, though his career path supports the logic.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Zach Wilson will be drafted number two overall by the Jets

I know for a fact Zach Wilson is going number two overall to the Jets.

Zach Wilson was indeed selected #2 overall by the New York Jets in the 2021 NFL Draft.
Loss
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Kyle Shanahan wants to draft Mac Jones while the Niners personnel staff prefers Trey Lance

What I'm told is, and from people that I really trust in the league, is that the personnel department would like to take Trey Lance from North Dakota State. But Kyle Shanahan, the head coach, wants to take Mac Jones.

The 49ers drafted Trey Lance, contradicting the prediction that Shanahan would get his way for Jones, though the internal conflict remains a matter of reporting rather than public fact.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

The Falcons are likely to draft Kyle Pitts at number four

I've talked to another really reliable source that thinks that they're going to take Kyle Pitts, the tight end from Florida. So it could be quarterback, quarterback, quarterback for the first three picks. And then Pitts, the tight end, could come off the board at number four to Atlanta.

The Falcons selected Kyle Pitts with the 4th overall pick.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Long-haired quarterbacks do not win Super Bowls

Are you concerned that his [Trevor Lawrence's] hair is too long because long-haired quarterbacks don't win Super Bowls? ... It's basically, I think Kenny Stabler is the only one. And he was a little shaggy. I wouldn't call it long hair.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Historically largely true for extremely long hair, though Mahomes and others have had some length. Lawrence has not won a Super Bowl yet.