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Takes

Void
Take Slip·Jan 6, 2020
#PMT-2020-0106-4835
HankHank

I would rather have a bad quarterback than draft Tua Tagovailoa

I don't want to deal with the bullshit media for like a year being like Tua and Tua and Tua. ... I'd rather have a bad quarterback than a good quarterback. ... A Big Ten, some Big Ten, or like random MAC quarterback.

The Patriots eventually drafted MAC QB Mac Jones in 2021, and while Tua has faced media scrutiny, he has been significantly more successful than Jones.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 6, 2020
#PMT-2020-0106-4836
Big CatBig Cat

The Saints would have won if they kept Taysom Hill on the field

But if Taysom Hill stays out there, they win that game. ... Taysom Hill was electric. He was the best player on the field.

Taysom Hill did have a massive impact (passing, rushing, receiving), while Brees struggled with turnovers. However, we can't definitively know the outcome if Hill played every snap.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 6, 2020
#PMT-2020-0106-4838
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins will fail against the 49ers in the divisional round

Kirk Cousins wasn't incredible in this game. Oh, he's going to shit down his leg in San Francisco in a week.

The Vikings lost 27-10 to the 49ers on January 11, 2020. Kirk Cousins had only 172 yards and one interception, largely failing to move the offense.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 6, 2020
#PMT-2020-0106-4840
Big CatBig Cat

Jadeveon Clowney's hit on Carson Wentz was assault

Jadavion Clowney with the cheapest hit on Carson Wentz concusses him. ... Anyone who's calling Carson Wentz injury prone off of that is fucking bullshit because Jadavion Clowney assaulted him.

While the hit was controversial and led to a concussion, Clowney was not fined by the NFL, suggesting they viewed it as a legal hit, making Big Cat's 'assault' claim a matter of opinion.
Void
#PMT-2020-0106-4845
Big CatBig Cat

Derrick Henry would rush for 400 yards in an NFL game if given 57 carries

If he played the worst team in the NFL, he could probably get, if he ran him 57 times, he could probably get 400 yards.

The NFL record for rushing yards in a game is 296 (Adrian Peterson) on 30 carries. 400 yards would require over 7 yards per carry on 57 attempts, which is statistically improbable but theoretically possible for Henry in his prime.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 6, 2020
#PMT-2020-0106-4846
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sean Payton will leave the Saints for the Dallas Cowboys and take Taysom Hill with him

Ooh, what about... You think what I'm thinking? Sean Payton. Sean Payton just lost today. It's true. He's been linked. He's got family in Dallas. ... Taysom Hill goes with him. Like Al Pacino and Willie Beeman.

Sean Payton stayed with the Saints through 2021 and eventually joined the Broncos in 2023. Mike McCarthy was hired by the Cowboys in 2020.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020
#PMT-2020-0103-11833
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Jones will fire Jason Garrett at halftime of one of the wild card games

I actually think at this point he will fire Jason Garrett like at halftime of one of the wild card games just so that we can talk about it or he might just give him a contract extension on the 14th.

Jason Garrett was officially fired on January 5, 2020, following the wild card games, but not during a halftime show.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020
#PMT-2020-0103-11834
Big CatBig Cat

Urban Meyer coaching the Cleveland Browns would be assisted suicide

Urban Meyer coaching the Browns would be assisted suicide. He cannot—he is the man who losses kill him. They take away part of his life like the battery life in his body. If he goes to the Browns he will die.

Urban Meyer did not coach the Browns; he eventually coached the Jaguars, which was indeed a catastrophic failure that ended early, supporting the spirit of the take.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020
#PMT-2020-0103-11835
Big CatBig Cat

The Redskins will win eight games next year under Ron Rivera

I'm dangerously close to being back all in on the our words [Redskins] and by all in I think maybe they win 8 games next year. Woah. Yeah, that's a lot.

The Washington Football Team won 7 games in 2020, narrowly missing the 8-win mark but winning the NFC East.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11838
Big CatBig Cat

The Buffalo Bills will beat the Houston Texans 17-10 on Saturday

The final score will be 17 to 10. Yep, and the Buffalo Bills will win. Whoo. Okay, put it in stone.

The Houston Texans won 22-19 in overtime.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11839
Big CatBig Cat

The Patriots will beat the Titans easily and make everyone look stupid

This feels like one of those games where everyone is going to talk themselves into the Patriots being done... they're going to beat the Titans easily and everyone's be like damn we feel stupid.

The Titans defeated the Patriots 20-13, marking Tom Brady's final game as a Patriot.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11840
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ryan Tannehill is not afraid of Tom Brady and the Titans will win

I'm taking the Titans. Okay, I think that Tannehill is the one quarterback that is not afraid of Tom Brady. He's beaten him four times... now we got Tannehill he's going to go in there. I think that the Titans are going to win.

The Titans won 20-13.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11841
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles are my lock of the year against the Seahawks

I'm taking the Eagles because it's Tony's it's my Tony Danza lock the lock of the Year. Okay. I mean, I'm not an idiot. I'm going to also take Tony Danza.

PredictionFootballHotSarcastic
The Seahawks won 17-9.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020
#PMT-2020-0103-11843
Doug FlutieDoug Flutie

I would be much more successful in today's NFL spread offenses

I'm a little jealous of what's going on right now with the spread offenses. It makes it a lot easier for a smaller guy to be successful in run the quarterback draw... we were running RPOs [in Canada] in '94, '93.

While testable in theory, it's a hypothetical claim about the evolution of the game.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-579
Big CatBig Cat

Pete Carroll took a deliberate delay of game to avoid another goal-line mistake with Marshawn Lynch

I actually think conspiracy theory here that Pete Carroll took the delay game on purpose because he didn't want to be stuck in a situation where he screwed up on the one-yard line again with Marshawn Lynch back.

While the delay of game happened, there is no evidence it was a deliberate choice by Carroll for psychological reasons.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-580
Big CatBig Cat

Russell Wilson is the best quarterback to have with the ball at the end of a game

In terms of quarterbacks I want to have the ball at the end of the game, [Russell Wilson] is my number one. Yeah, he's my number one, even though they didn't score there, he's still my number one because he did everything to get them to score.

Subjective opinion on quarterback clutchness.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-581
Big CatBig Cat

Kyle Shanahan lowered the 49ers' win probability by 19% by punting on fourth and one

Kyle Shanahan you kind of let me down by punting there on fourth and one when your offense is so good... their percentage to win the game went down by 19 percent by punting instead of going I thought they should have gone for it.

Analytical models at the time generally agreed that punting in that specific high-leverage fourth-and-short situation was a significant win-probability error.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-582
Big CatBig Cat

Jameis Winston's entertainment value to the NFL is worth over $30 million a year

I actually think that as far as entertainment value goes [Jameis Winston's] worth for the NFL is worth well over 30 million dollars. Yes because of what he delivers to the fans if he doesn't get 30 million, I will pitch in I will help Jamis get up there to that point because he's worth every penny.

Subjective valuation of 'entertainment' versus 'winning'.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-583
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons are the clear 'Dark Horse' team for the 2020 NFL season

They are perfectly perfectly placed to be one of the Dark Horse teams in 2020 because they finished the season on a high note... this will definitely be the you'll be sitting September 2020... and someone probably Strahan will probably say you know which team I really got my eye on the Atlanta Falcons.

The Falcons finished the 2020 season 4-12, proving once again that the 'hot finish to a losing season' narrative rarely carries over.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-584
Big CatBig Cat

The Patriots will beat the Titans in the Wild Card round but then lose to the Chiefs

I feel like the [Patriots are] going to roll the Titans and everyone's going to buy back in and then they're going to lose the Chiefs.

The Patriots lost to the Titans in the Wild Card round (20-13), so they did not roll them or play the Chiefs.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-585
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Titans will beat the Patriots in the Wild Card round

I think I think the Titans take [the Patriots].

The Titans defeated the Patriots 20-13 on January 4, 2020.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-587
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers looks miserable and doesn't seem to love playing football anymore

Does Aaron Rodgers love football? Yes. He he has the worst body language I've ever seen... deep down you have to ask yourself is something up because he looks miserable playing football. The first half he was missing wide-open guys.

While Rodgers went on to win MVPs in 2020 and 2021, the 2019 season was statistically one of his least efficient, lending some weight to the observation of his frustration at that time.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-588
Big CatBig Cat

The Packers will win 'ugly' and make the Super Bowl

The Packers look terrible in the first half they obviously came in and won... but they're going to fucking go to the Super Bowl. I just feel it in my bones. I just know it. I know they don't have the one seed anymore, but they're going to win ugly games.

The Packers lost the NFC Championship game 37-20 to the 49ers, falling one game short of the Super Bowl.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-589
Big CatBig Cat

Mike McCarthy will be the next head coach of the Cleveland Browns

I think it's going to be [Mike] McCarthy [for the Browns]. Because he looks like McCarthy looks like a Cleveland coach... if Freddy kitchens got a makeover and became slightly more professional, right? That's what you have when you get in my car if Freddy kitchens got a haircut and skip dinner. Yeah, he'd be Mike McCarthy.

The Browns hired Kevin Stefanski. Mike McCarthy was hired by the Dallas Cowboys.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-590
Big CatBig Cat

The New York Jets are a sleeper candidate for 2020 after a strong finish

My AFC Mike strip Michael Strahan Dark Horse team has to be the Jets. Because in the last eight games of the season... the season just ran out on the Jets. You can't get Mono twice if it had kept on going they would have been the AFC East champions.

The 2020 Jets were disastrous, starting 0-13 and finishing 2-14, leading to the firing of Adam Gase.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-591
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drew Lock will be a five-time Pro Bowler

I'm going to take your original question say [Drew Lock] will make he will be in five pro/5 Pro Bowl. Damn. Okay. Okay, Drew lock five-time pro bowler.

Drew Lock has yet to make a single Pro Bowl and has largely been a backup since 2021.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2019
#PMT-2019-1230-592
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Terrell Owens and Calvin Johnson were better than Larry Fitzgerald

Tio's better than Larry Fitzgerald. I'm sure someone will show me numbers. I watch both guys play I'd put Tio in there... Calvin Johnson was better than Lou Fitzgerald Calvin Johnson didn't make the top [100]. I agree with that. I think Calvin Johnson Calvin Johnson and Tio were better.

Subjective ranking of wide receivers.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1226-7587
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the Packers, Cowboys, and Broncos in a can't-lose parlay for Week 17

My can't lose parlay this week is the Green Bay Packers, the Dallas Cowboys, and the Denver Broncos.

The Packers beat the Lions 23-20, the Cowboys beat the Redskins 47-16, and the Broncos beat the Raiders 16-15.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1226-7589
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks will beat the 49ers on Sunday Night Football

I feel like I don't have faith in either of those teams. But that just feels like a Seahawks win. You close your eyes and you just see it's probably drizzling.

The 49ers won 26-21, stopping the Seahawks inches short of the goal line in the final seconds.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2019
#PMT-2019-1226-7591
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys are an absolute joke and worse than a fraud

The Cowboys are a joke. They are an absolute joke... Worse than a fraud. Because a fraud would imply that they are good but fraudulent. A joke, I don't even want to fucking spend time with them.

The 2019 Cowboys finished 8-8 and missed the playoffs despite having the #1 offense in yards per game.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2019
#PMT-2019-1226-7602
Ike TaylorIke Taylor

Ben Roethlisberger is tough as hell but often exaggerates the severity of his injuries

It's a lot of injuries Seven [Roethlisberger] shouldn't have played. But he's just a tough... That's what makes Seven seven... And there's probably a lot of other injuries that... Seven, man, come on, man, stop all that BS... So you're going to have the boot on on Monday, but Tuesday you're going to be all good.

Internal locker room dynamic that matches the public perception of Ben Roethlisberger's injury history.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 23, 2019
#PMT-2019-1223-20149
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Steve Spagnuolo will be a head coach next year

I'm just going to make a prediction right now. Check it. Steve Spagnuolo... He's going to be interviewed by a lot of teams this offseason as a head coach. It's been enough time where people forgot that he's not a good head coach. I think he's actually going to be a head coach next year.

Steve Spagnuolo remained the Defensive Coordinator for the Kansas City Chiefs and did not take a head coaching job in 2020.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 23, 2019
#PMT-2019-1223-20150
Big CatBig Cat

The Texans have no chance of winning more than one playoff game this year

Do you think the Texans have any ability to win more than one playoff game this year? I would say one's pushing it. That's how toothless I feel like they are even though [Deshaun Watson] is awesome.

The Texans won their Wild Card game against the Bills but lost their next game to the Chiefs, failing to win 'more than one' game.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 23, 2019
#PMT-2019-1223-20151
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams should trade Aaron Donald to recoup draft picks

The Rams... essentially the gist of it was nothing is off the table here and even possibly trading Aaron Donald would be... because they don't have picks. They don't have picks in the next two drafts. So now they might have to pay back some of that all in to get some draft capital... It'd be crazy if they did that, but they would also get a lot back for it.

The Rams did not trade Aaron Donald; he remained with the team until his retirement in 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 23, 2019
#PMT-2019-1223-20152
Big CatBig Cat

Freddie Kitchens must be fired by the Browns

I think in Cleveland, Freddie Kitchens needs to be fired. Situational football, not his strength... And only a bad coach lets that happen. I just don't... I think he's worth firing.

Freddie Kitchens was fired by the Browns on December 29, 2019, following a loss in Week 17.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 23, 2019
#PMT-2019-1223-20153
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taysom Hill will be overpaid by a rival team to be a starting quarterback

Their theory is that Sean Payton wants somebody to overpay for Taysom Hill when he becomes a free agent to be a quarterback. And so that's why he keeps letting him throw the ball so that one of his future rivals will have a bunch of cap space tied up in Taysom Hill.

No rival team ever overpaid for Hill to be their starter; he remained a high-paid utility player for the Saints.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 23, 2019
#PMT-2019-1223-20154
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants will beat the Eagles in Week 17

I wouldn't be shocked if the Giants somehow beat the Eagles on Sunday. I wouldn't either. I think it's possible. That's just stupid enough for the NFC East to come down to that.

The Eagles beat the Giants 34-17 in Week 17 of the 2019 season.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 23, 2019
#PMT-2019-1223-20155
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks should sign Marshawn Lynch for the playoffs

I've got an idea. Marshawn Lynch. Bring him back. Sign Marshawn Lynch and LeGarrette Blount... Marshawn could be talked into going back to Seattle. It'd be incredible.

The Seahawks signed Marshawn Lynch on December 23, 2019, immediately after the episode aired.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2019
#PMT-2019-1220-8829
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Blake Bortles was the glue that held the Jaguars together

One must ask was Blake Bortles the glue that held the Jaguars together? Oh for sure. I mean, that's that's why I ran. Wanted to go to LA.

The Jaguars' culture did indeed collapse after 2017, though attributing it solely to Bortles is a comedic exaggeration.
Loss
#PMT-2019-1220-8830
Big CatBig Cat

Jameis Winston will record a touchdown, an interception, and a fumble on Saturday

The special famous Jameis hat-trick: Jameis [Winston] to record over a half a touchdown, half an interception and a half a fumble. I love that one. I love that way so much. That's me Saturday. I'm going to route so hard for that.

In the Saturday game vs the Texans (12/21/2019), Winston threw 0 TDs and 4 INTs. He did not record a touchdown, so the 'hat-trick' failed.
Push
#PMT-2019-1220-8831
Big CatBig Cat

Take all the unders in late-season NFL divisional games

I feel like late in the season divisional just take all the unders. I know that sounds crazy. I know overs are more fun. But these two teams know each other they yeah, they it's tough to beat a team twice.

While a common betting trope, NFL scoring trends vary year to year; in Week 16 of 2019, several divisional games (like Rams-49ers) went over the total.
Loss
#PMT-2019-1220-8832
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am putting a future bet on the Cowboys to win the Super Bowl

Before we tape this podcast, I put a future bet on the Cowboys win the Super Bowl. And it's really good odds. Yeah. I mean, we just saw it last week. So that's what's freshener mind.

The 2019 Cowboys went 8-8 and missed the playoffs entirely after losing to the Eagles in Week 16.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1220-8833
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chicago Bears will beat the Kansas City Chiefs outright

I like Chicago. I like the Bears to win outright. How do you think they will ya fuck with me? I that's my entire logic behind. This is to just give you a victory that you can't do anything with.

The Chiefs crushed the Bears 26-3 on Sunday Night Football.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2019
#PMT-2019-1218-8166
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Brady has the only records that matter because of the postseason

If I may step in and do your pod form and say that Tom Brady actually has all the meaningful records when you take into account the postseason as well. So really, this is just on paper.

When including playoffs, Brady had significantly more career passing yards and touchdowns than Brees at the time and at the end of their careers.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2019
#PMT-2019-1218-8164
Big CatBig Cat

Passer rating is the dumbest statistic of all time

Drew Brees was 29 for 30, 307 yards, four touchdowns, zero interceptions, and he was still 10 points shy of a perfect passer rating. Not good enough for me. It's the dumbest statistic of all time. Not only that, because it's dumb, but it's also someone can explain to me why it's still graded out of 158.3.

Whether a statistic is 'dumb' is subjective, though the math behind passer rating is famously convoluted.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2019
#PMT-2019-1218-8165
Big CatBig Cat

Drew Brees gets lost in the GOAT conversation because he never had a year where he was clearly the best

Drew Brees, though, is a classic case of a guy who just played in an era where there were one or two guys that were always just a little bit better than him. He's never won an MVP... Aaron Rodgers threw 45 touchdowns and six interceptions in 2011... 2013, Peyton Manning threw 55 touchdowns... there was never a specific moment in time where you were like, this guy was the best quarterback in the NFL because he also played against Tom Brady, too.

Brees famously never won an MVP and often finished behind Manning, Brady, or Rodgers in First-Team All-Pro selections.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2019
#PMT-2019-1218-8167
Big CatBig Cat

Jameis Winston will eventually be the all-time NFL touchdown leader

I think it's going to probably be Jameis' award eventually, right? They should just name it after Jameis already. Jameis being the all-time touchdown passing leader is going to be the greatest.

Jameis Winston did not become the all-time touchdown leader. He was benched/became a backup shortly after this.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2019
#PMT-2019-1218-8169
Jeff FisherJeff Fisher

There is no athlete on defense equivalent to Lamar Jackson

There's never been one like Lamar and you know you can just you can tell I mean the defenses are outnumbered and that's the that's the idea... now you can't even, with Lamar, you can't even spy the dude because there's no athlete on your defense that's equivalent to him.

Lamar Jackson won the 2019 MVP unanimously, validating the idea that defenses had no answer for his athleticism.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2019
#PMT-2019-1218-8170
Jeff FisherJeff Fisher

Analytics ruined the Cleveland Browns

You know, the analytic thing is obviously it's trending right now. We saw what it did for the Browns a few years ago. It ruined the organization because that's what they stood behind. But everybody's interested in that. And basically, analytics are all based on past, based on history.

The 'Moneyball' Browns era led to a historically bad record, though it eventually yielded the draft picks that made them competitive again (Garrett, Mayfield).
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 16, 2019
#PMT-2019-1216-6965
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jameis Winston is a Hall of Famer

He's a Hall of Famer. No one else has done that [throw back-to-back 450-plus yard games].

Winston's career took a significant turn into backup roles and he has never come close to Hall of Fame consideration.