PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0912-18131
Big CatBig Cat

Sam Darnold will definitely be a Hall of Famer

I feel like this is a long time coming, and I'm sure Sam Darnold will be a Hall of Famer.

Sam Darnold's career has been highly inconsistent, playing for three different teams by 2024 and never approaching Hall of Fame levels.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0912-18132
Big CatBig Cat

Derek Carr sucks

Chucky is back. And the Raiders are a hot mess. Derek Carr... sucks. He sucks.

Carr has been a polarizing figure, showing efficiency but lacking playoff success, leading the Raiders to move on from him in 2023.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0912-18133
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sean McVay is a much better head coach than Jon Gruden

I think what it taught us more than everything is that Sean McVay is just a much better head coach than Jon Gruden. The way that he adjusted. Time is undefeated. The first half was classic Gruden football... And then at halftime when the adjustments get made, McVay obviously knows what he's doing.

McVay went on to win a Super Bowl and consistently made the playoffs, while Gruden struggled to turn the Raiders around before resigning in controversy.
Loss
#PMT-2018-0912-18134
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jason Garrett will definitely be fired this year

I think that... This is absolutely the year that he [Jason Garrett] gets fired. He's going to lose to the Giants on Sunday night, by the way.

The Cowboys beat the Giants 20-13 on 9/16/2018, and Jason Garrett was not fired after the 2018 season (he lasted until the end of 2019).
Void
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0912-18136
Michael BennettMichael Bennett

Fantasy football dehumanizes NFL players

I hate fantasy football. I just think it just dehumanizes the players. I think you put somebody in a place where they're not real, they're not human... this guy blew his fucking ACL out. Nobody really doesn't care about him as a human being just about how many points can he bring to his team.

This is a subjective moral/philosophical opinion held by the speaker.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0912-18137
Michael BennettMichael Bennett

Fletcher Cox is the best defensive tackle in the NFL

Who's the best defensive tackle in the league right now? And you can't say yourself. Fletcher Cox. Good answer.

While Fletcher Cox was an All-Pro, Aaron Donald was widely considered the premier DT during this era, winning Defensive Player of the Year in 2018.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0912-18138
Michael BennettMichael Bennett

NFL preseason quarters should be shortened to eight minutes

I would cut the preseason down to eight minutes a quarter, too. Because it doesn't make sense to have the game so long, 15 minutes when you know that the game doesn't count... I just think they should cut the minutes down because the risk of losing some of your starters versus the reward of them I don't think is worth it.

The NFL has not adopted 8-minute quarters, but they did shorten the preseason from four games to three in 2021.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0912-18139
Michael BennettMichael Bennett

85% of NFL players are scared at the moment of contact when tackling

Every time you look at it, it's very rarely that there's a couple guys in the NFL who are really just coming in and they form tackle the right way. But every time people duck their heads, at the moment of contact, 85% of everybody gets scared. If you look at it, people's eyes are closed. They're scared of it. It's human nature.

This is a psychological claim about internal player states that cannot be objectively verified with data but carries weight from a professional source.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0912-18140
Michael BennettMichael Bennett

The Eagles will win the NFC and go from there

Give me an official prediction real quick for your record this year... As an eagle. I think we're going to win our conference and go from there.

The Eagles finished 9-7 and lost in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, failing to win the NFC conference.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0910-12660
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears defense is elite and can beat anyone

This Bears defense can beat anyone. [The 20-0 halftime lead] feels like a pivotal era in the Bears history where it's like everything's going to be good from this point forward.

The Bears did have an elite defense in 2018 (ranked #1 in DVOA), though they lost this specific game.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0910-12666
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ben Roethlisberger is bad now because he's too skinny

He's bad now that he's skinny. He doesn't know how to operate without all that extra padding around him. He just drops back, and since he doesn't have that padding, he's used to defensive ends just hitting him and bouncing off him or just being absorbed by his fat.

Roethlisberger actually led the NFL in passing yards in 2018 with over 5,000, so he wasn't 'bad'.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0910-12662
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens are going to win the AFC North

The Ravens do look like a good football team. John Harbaugh is a week one gangster. Yeah, they're going to win that division.

The Ravens did win the AFC North in 2018 with a 10-6 record.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0910-12664
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals are going to win the AFC North

Yeah, so my team that's going to win the [AFC] North, the Cincinnati Bengals... They have a ton of talent, and as long as Andy Dalton... Their color rush unis were fire.

The Bengals finished last in the AFC North in 2018 with a 6-10 record.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0910-12667
Big CatBig Cat

I was wrong: Patrick Mahomes is electric and I'm a believer

One person that I do have to take back my take is Patrick Mahomes. I said Patrick Mahomes stinks and is going to be terrible... I will admit my mistakes. He's electric. No, I'm actually a believer in him now.

Mahomes won the MVP that season and became the face of the league.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0910-12670
Big CatBig Cat

Whoever loses Bears vs. Seahawks in Week 2 will miss the playoffs

Whoever loses that game is not going to make the playoffs. Can I just do it right now? Can I just say it's a win? You don't have to play it?

The Seahawks lost this game but actually made the playoffs as a Wild Card. The Bears won and also made the playoffs.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0910-12672
Willie McGinestWillie McGinest

Jeremy Hill will be the most physical running back in New England since Corey Dillon

[Jeremy] Hill, the new running back that they got in town. He's going to be the most physical running back in New England since Corey Dillon. Maybe even more physical.

Jeremy Hill tore his ACL in Week 1 of the 2018 season and never played for the Patriots again.
Push
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0910-12674
Willie McGinestWillie McGinest

Tom Brady will play three more years and win one more Super Bowl

Gun to your head, Tom Brady, how many more years does he play? Three. How many more Super Bowls does he win? One.

Brady played 5 more seasons (retired after 2022) and won 2 more Super Bowls (LIII with NE and LV with TB).
Push
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018
#PMT-2018-0907-3543
Big CatBig Cat

Matt Ryan stinks

Today is Friday, September 7th and Matt Ryan stinks. Is Matt Ryan hurt? Because he's not good.

While Ryan didn't 'stink' in 2018 (he threw for nearly 5,000 yards), the Falcons went 7-9 and the offense regressed from their Super Bowl form.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018
#PMT-2018-0907-3545
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

You can't complain about Steve Sarkisian's bad play calling because that's exactly what he is

Everyone's blaming [Steve] Sarkisian for everything just because he sucks at play calling. That's not his fault. That's who he is. If you hire Sark to be your offensive coordinator, you should know what you're going to get, and you can't complain about it.

Sarkisian was fired after the 2018 season due to offensive stagnation.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0907-3546
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals will be a good value this year

I'm also buying the Bengals this year. I think this is the perfect year for the Bengals to get Marvin Lewis another seven years. Joe Mixon, John Ross, A.J. Green, I actually think they're going to score points.

The Bengals went 6-10 and Marvin Lewis was finally fired at the end of the season.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0907-3547
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers will cover +9.5 against the Saints

For my underdog I'm going with the Buccaneers... They're plus nine and a half at New Orleans. This is one of the situations where every bone in my body says to take New Orleans so I'm going to fade myself and I'm going with the Buccaneers.

The Buccaneers famously won this game outright 48-40 in 'Fitzmagic' fashion.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0907-3548
Big CatBig Cat

I am not a Patrick Mahomes guy

I want to be on the record that I am not a Mahomes guy. Okay. Put me on the record. Put me in the history books.

Mahomes won the MVP in 2018 and became the face of the NFL.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018
#PMT-2018-0907-3549
Brian UrlacherBrian Urlacher

The Bears were right to trade two first-round picks for Khalil Mack

[Ryan] Pace is the man. He gave up two first-rounders. Put his nuts on the table. But you don't know if they're going to be good anyway. People are always like, why would you give two first rounders? So you draft the first rounder. Do you know he's going to be good right away? Any time you get a chance to get a player like Khalil [Mack], you do it.

Mack transformed the Bears defense into the best in the league in 2018, leading them to an 12-4 record.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018
#PMT-2018-0907-3550
Brian UrlacherBrian Urlacher

Mitchell Trubisky will have a breakout year with an open play book

I think [Mitchell Trubisky] is going to do well. You look at last year, they didn't let him do much last year. I think this year will be different. They're going to open it up, use his athletic ability, move him around a little bit. I've not been this excited in a long time about our team.

Trubisky made the Pro Bowl as an alternate in 2018 and led the team to the playoffs.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018
#PMT-2018-0907-3551
Brian UrlacherBrian Urlacher

Bear Weather is 100% real

Is Bear weather real? Yes, 100%. Nobody wants to play in Chicago past December or November or whatever. Our fans love it. In the winter, they don't care, man. They're going to come out and support no matter what. If you're playing there, you better take advantage of that weather because it's not going to change.

While subjective, it is a widely held belief and psychological factor in NFL games.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018
#PMT-2018-0907-3552
Brian UrlacherBrian Urlacher

Aaron Rodgers is the toughest quarterback I ever played against

Who's the toughest quarterback you had to play against? Aaron [Rodgers]. His mobility is obviously—his arm is tremendous, but his mobility and they're never in a bad play. You can't trick them.

Rodgers has a legendary record against the Bears and is widely considered one of the most talented QBs ever.
Win
#PMT-2018-0907-3554
Big CatBig Cat

I'll eat a cow dick if the Raiders make the playoffs

We'll eat a cow dick if the Raiders make the playoffs. Spread that mayo all over it. Yeah, we'll eat a cow dick if the Raiders make the playoffs.

PredictionFootballFireSarcastic
The Raiders went 4-12 and did not make the playoffs.
Void
#PMT-2018-0907-3555
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Alex Jones would be a decent NFL defensive coordinator

I actually think Alex Jones would be a decent NFL defensive coordinator if you gave him just like two years in a dark room with some playbooks. Just showed him the basic concepts and let him just motivate the guys. He's like if Jim Tomsula took LSD at a very young age.

Inherently satirical and unprovable.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 5, 2018
#PMT-2018-0905-12030
Big CatBig Cat

The Browns are going to win the Super Bowl

I don't know if I am just still feeling the high of a Liev Schreiber narrated slow-mo. But I think the Browns are going to win the Super Bowl.

The 2018 Cleveland Browns went 7-8-1 and did not make the playoffs, let alone win the Super Bowl.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 5, 2018
#PMT-2018-0905-12031
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Browns season of Hard Knocks was better than the Rex Ryan Jets season

Listen, this is the best season of Hard Knocks. This was better than the Rex Ryan season.

This is a subjective opinion about the quality of a television show.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 5, 2018
#PMT-2018-0905-12032
Big CatBig Cat

I've never been more confident in the Khalil Mack trade than I am seeing Hue Jackson dislike it

I've never felt more confident in the Khalil Mack trade than I did when Hue Jackson saw the news and was like, oh, that's a lot. That's too many draft picks.

The trade was widely considered a success for the Bears in the short term as Mack helped them to an NFC North title in 2018.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 5, 2018
#PMT-2018-0905-12034
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cleveland Browns are a false flag organization for the Pittsburgh Steelers

I have a long-standing theory that the Cleveland Browns are a false flag organization for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Like, their owner that they have, Jimmy Haslam, is a former Steelers owner. I think that they were just kind of brought back into the league to inflate the Steelers' record artificially.

While Haslam was a minority owner of the Steelers, there is no evidence the Browns exist solely to help Pittsburgh.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 5, 2018
#PMT-2018-0905-12035
Big CatBig Cat

Jeans are the weirdest thing a football coach can wear

I actually think jeans are the weirdest thing a football coach can wear because football coaches, they either are in sweatpants or full suit. There is no in-between. It's actually the way to tell the difference between normal human beings and football coaches is if you see someone wearing jeans, you're like, that's a civilian.

This is a subjective observation on social norms within coaching culture.
Loss
#PMT-2018-0905-12043
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Brady shipped Jimmy Garoppolo to San Francisco because he was a Republican

I think he shipped Jimmy Garoppolo out to San Francisco because Jimmy G was a Republican. And he didn't like having a Republican as his teammate. So he's like, I'm going to send you out to hang out with all the libs out in San Francisco.

This is a humorous conspiracy theory with no factual backing regarding the trade's motivation.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0904-18264
Big CatBig Cat

The Khalil Mack trade marks the beginning of a Bears dynasty

The Bears are back... The best trade that's ever been traded. I'm thinking like maybe even when the Cowboys did that trade with the Vikings, this is going to be the start of a dynasty.

The 2018 Bears did win the NFC North and go 12-4, but they lost in the Wild Card round (Double Doink) and failed to establish anything resembling a dynasty.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0904-18265
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jon Gruden trades away good players because he doesn't want the hassle of coaching them

If it were up to Jon Gruden, he would still have Jeff Garcia as his quarterback right now. So he sees a first-rounder and he's like, you know what? I'd rather not go through the hassle of having to deal with good players.

This is a subjective critique of Gruden's management style.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0904-18266
Big CatBig Cat

The 2018 Bears defense will be a top-five unit if they stay healthy

From the Bears' perspective, to get serious for a minute, it actually is a super exciting trade because the defense is now... I would say top five defense, if everyone stays healthy, they have two studs.

The 2018 Bears defense finished 1st in points allowed and 3rd in yards allowed, making them a top-five unit.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0904-18267
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will win 11 games in the 2018 season

How many wins do you think the Bears actually have in them this year? ... I'm going to say they're now in like the eight, nine category. I think they're going to get 11.

The Bears exceeded this, finishing 12-4.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0904-18268
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mitchell Trubisky's rookie season should not be used to judge his potential due to poor coaching

I can't stress enough how detrimental John Fox and no wide receivers are to a rookie's development. ... So I don't really think you can judge what Mitchell Trubisky was last year as anything real, because it was basically like he wasn't playing football.

Trubisky had a Pro Bowl year in 2018 under Nagy, suggesting his rookie year was indeed an outlier, though he ultimately plateaued.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0904-18272
Joe StaleyJoe Staley

The 2012 49ers offensive line was the best in NFL history

I'm sitting in the huddle looking around at everybody like, dude, we're about to have a fucking parade. ... because we had like the best offensive line in history. ... Of the 2012 year. Our offensive line was rolling that year.

The 2012 49ers line (Staley, Iupati, Goodwin, Boone, Davis) is widely considered one of the best in recent history, though 'all-time' is subjective.
Win
#PMT-2018-0904-18273
Big CatBig Cat

Tua Tagovailoa will be the best pro quarterback Nick Saban ever produces

Tua is insanely fun to watch, like probably the best pro quarterback that Nick Saban will ever have.

Tua became a high-level NFL starter. Jalen Hurts also became elite, but Tua was the first high-ceiling QB prospect of the late-Saban era.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 31, 2018
#PMT-2018-0831-14550
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Stephon Diggs is going to be very good this year

Stephon Diggs is going to be good. You can't go wrong. Demarius [Thomas] is going to split him with Thielen, so go with [Diggs].

Diggs had 1,021 yards and 9 TDs in 2018, finishing as a top WR.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 31, 2018
#PMT-2018-0831-14552
Big CatBig Cat

Case Keenum will throw a ton of touchdowns to Demaryius Thomas this season

I would take Demaryius. Yeah, take Demaryius. In case Keenum's going to throw him a shitload of touchdown passes.

Thomas only had 3 touchdowns in Denver before being traded. Keenum only threw 18 TDs total that season.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 31, 2018
#PMT-2018-0831-14555
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers has not won a Super Bowl because of the eight-year statute of limitations

Aaron Rodgers hasn't won a Super Bowl. He won it too early in his career for it to count for people to remember. I actually agree with that take. I think that there's like an eight-year statute of limitations where I get to forget about your Super Bowl.

Literally incorrect as Rodgers has a ring from SB XLV, but a subjective 'PFT law'.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 31, 2018
#PMT-2018-0831-14556
Big CatBig Cat

Matthew Stafford stinks as a quarterback, but he is going to be a Hall of Famer

I've stopped my Matthew Stafford slander. He's going to go in the Hall of Fame. You ready for that? Look at his stats. The pendulum has swung the other way. It sucks that I'm admitting it. Matthew Stafford, if you look at his statistics and if he keeps playing for as long as he's going to be, he's going to be a Hall of Famer. He stinks as a quarterback, but he's going to be in the Hall of Fame.

Stafford has since moved into the top 10 all-time for passing yards and TDs and won a Super Bowl, making him a likely Hall of Famer.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 31, 2018
#PMT-2018-0831-14557
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Chris Carson is going to be a top-five running back in the NFL this year

Chris Carson's going to be a top five running back in the NFL this year. You're welcome.

Carson finished 7th in rushing yards but wasn't a consensus top 5 back across metrics or fantasy.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 31, 2018
#PMT-2018-0831-14567
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars can win a Super Bowl with Blake Bortles

He also said that the Jacksonville Jaguars can win a Super Bowl with Blake Bortles. Facts only. He [Jalen Ramsey] knows what he's talking about.

PredictionFootballFireSarcastic
Bortles was benched later that season and the Jags finished 5-11. He never won a Super Bowl.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 29, 2018
#PMT-2018-0829-17571
Big CatBig Cat

Todd Haley and Gregg Williams are the meanest sons of bitches in the world

My biggest takeaway from Hard Knocks is that Todd Haley and Greg Williams combined are the meanest sons of bitches in the world.

This is a subjective opinion based on their abrasive portrayal in the documentary series.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 29, 2018
#PMT-2018-0829-17572
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Hugh Jackson has a future as a Lorne Michaels of comedy football

I actually think Hugh Jackson has a future as a Lorne Michaels. He's just been putting together the perfect comedy troupe of a football team for the last three years.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Hue Jackson went 3-36-1 with the Browns, which is historically bad, lending truth to the 'comedy troupe' comparison.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 29, 2018
#PMT-2018-0829-17573
Big CatBig Cat

You don't win Super Bowls by paying wide receivers big contracts

When [Odell Beckham Jr.] is healthy, [he] is you can make the argument the best wide receiver in the NFL... but you don't win Super Bowls by paying wide receivers that much. It just doesn't happen.

History generally supports this; teams with the highest-paid wide receivers rarely win the Super Bowl in that same window. OBJ specifically did not win a Super Bowl with the Giants.
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