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Dan Haren, Max Verstappen & Sergio Perez, Week 7 Picks And Preview And Fyre Fest

Friday, October 21, 202215 takes

Week 7 is here and it could be a stinker but this is where true football guys are made. We talk about every game and do our picks and preview (-). Fantasy Phillyboys goes off the rails (-). Dan Haren joins the show to talk playoff baseball, rocking the baby on the bases, toughest guys to pitch to and who he has winning it all (-). Sergio Perez and Max Verstappen join the show ahead of the Austin Grand Prix as Red Bull Racing is about to clinch the constructors cup (-). We finish with Fyre fest of the week and Hank trying to guess the lottery ball (-)

Dan Haren on Playoff Baseball, Max Verstappen, and Week 7 Picks

Week 7 is officially here, and while the board might look like a total stinker with some of the league's best teams on a bye, Big Cat and PFT are ready to grind through the muck. The show kicks off with a look at the NBA's opening week, which naturally leads to a breakdown of the dumpster fire that is the Los Angeles Lakers. Big Cat empathizes with Russell Westbrook, noting that the environment surrounding the team is purely toxic.

Void
Oct 21, 2022
#9816
Big CatBig Cat

Being LeBron James' teammate is the most difficult job in the world

Being LeBron's teammate has to be like the most difficult job in the world. Not on the court because LeBron is obviously one of the best all time on the court... But it's, every time you lose, it's someone else's fault. Every time you win, it's, LeBron did it.

This is a subjective assessment of team dynamics and media perception.

Hank points out that the betting markets are already sniffing out a disaster for the Lake Show, which PFT finds particularly enticing given the early-season drama.

Loss
Oct 21, 2022
#24446
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lakers are only plus-160 to miss the playoffs, which is a juicy bet

They're only plus one 60 to miss the playoffs. [Big Cat: That's it? That's it?] That's juicy. [Hank: It's kind of low. I was hoping it was gonna be a little bit higher.]

The Lakers did make the playoffs in 2023, eventually reaching the Western Conference Finals, making this 'juicy' bet a loser.

NFL Week 7 Picks and Preview

The guys transition to the NFL slate, where the board is filled with trap lines and confusing spreads. Hank is leading the standings and leaning heavily into his "Hungry Dog" persona, while Big Cat is desperately trying to claw his way out of an "over" slump. The most baffling line of the week features the 5-1 Giants as underdogs to a struggling Jaguars team, a situation Hank is convinced he has figured out.

Loss
Oct 21, 2022·Picks
#9817
HankHank

The Jaguars being 3-point favorites over the Giants is a trap line

Take the Jaguars minus three, the line makes no sense. Yep. Yep. Zero sense whatsoever. That's Vegas being like, take the Giants, they want you to take the giants, which means the jaguar's gonna win win handily. Don't fall for the trap. Take the jaguars.

The Giants won the game 23-17, meaning the 'trap' line was actually just a bad line or an incorrect assessment of the Giants' quality.

PFT is finding motivation in the off-field drama surrounding Commanders owner Dan Snyder. He’s so committed to seeing Snyder ousted that he’s ready to change his entire rooting interest if the right owner steps up to lead the charge.

Loss
Oct 21, 2022·Picks
#9820
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will buy Colts season tickets if Jim Irsay forces Dan Snyder to sell the Commanders

I've decided, you know, we talked about like, I would become a Colts fan if Jim Irsay was the straw that broke the camel's back. Yep. I'm gonna buy season tickets to the Colts next year. Wow. If, if, if Jim Irsay can get down out the fuck out, I'm gonna be a Colts season ticket holder.

Dan Snyder did sell the team in 2023, but PFT did not visibly become a Colts season ticket holder or change his primary fandom.

Billy is high on the Packers bouncing back after a embarrassing loss to the Jets. He expects Aaron Rodgers to stop the bleeding by absolutely dismantling Taylor Heinicke and the Commanders.

Loss
Oct 21, 2022·Picks
#9819
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Packers will have a statement win and run up the score against the Commanders

I do think the Packers are gonna use statement when they're gonna run up the score. It's gonna be one of those things. If it's like close, they're not gonna let up. They're just gonna keep running it up.

The Commanders beat the Packers 23-21.

As they scan the rest of the AFC, Big Cat notices a shift in Cincinnati. After a slow start, the Bengals seem to be leaning back into what made them successful during their Super Bowl run, specifically their aggressiveness on early downs and a defense that has been a brick wall after halftime.

Win
Oct 21, 2022·Picks
#24448
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals have turned a corner because they are using more shotgun and throwing on first down

I feel like the Bengals might have turned a little bit of a corner... it feels like they're starting to throw on first down more, which they should be doing a lot more. The Bengals also their second half defense, they haven't given up a touchdown in the second half this year.

The Bengals did turn their season around, winning 10 straight games at one point and reaching the AFC Championship game.

Dan Haren on the MLB Playoffs

Friend of the program Dan Haren joins the show to talk about the chaos of the MLB postseason. As someone who spent years on the mound, Haren provides a great perspective on why some of the 100-win juggernauts like the Dodgers and Mets fell early. He isn't a fan of the current format, arguing that the marathon of a 162-game season deserves a longer payoff than a short series.

Void
Oct 21, 2022
#9822
Dan HarenDan Haren

The MLB Division Series is too short and should be seven games

I think the division series is too short though. Ooh, I don't understand. I don't understand why you play 162 and then it's gotta be five games. I think the, the better team would win out more often in a seven game series.

This is a subjective opinion on playoff structure.

The conversation turns to the absolute dominance of the Houston Astros. Haren reveals that when he’s doing advance scouting for the Diamondbacks, one name stands out above everyone else in the league as a pure nightmare to prepare for.

Void
Oct 21, 2022
#9823
Dan HarenDan Haren

Yordan Alvarez is the best hitter I have ever had to scout

We've faced Yordan [Alvarez] this year. He was, he's the best hitter I've ever had to advance scout. Whoa. I'm talking about covering all the pitches, hitting lefties, everything. He's the best hitter I've ever had to had to scout.

This is Haren's expert opinion based on his scouting experience.

F1 Champions and Fyre Fest

Fresh off clinching another title, Max Verstappen and Sergio "Checo" Perez stop by ahead of the Austin Grand Prix. While Max is enjoying a much less stressful end to the season than last year, Checo is focused on securing a Red Bull 1-2 finish in the standings. Before they head out to the track, the guys get them to weigh in on the NFL, where Checo reveals he’s a student of the game—or at least a student of the pronunciation.

Win
Oct 21, 2022
#9824
Sergio PerezSergio Perez

The Titans will beat the Colts and the game will go under the total

Titans. It's easier to pronounce... I think it's gonna be quite a low score [because of the defense].

The Titans beat the Colts 19-10 on Oct 23, 2022. The total was 29, which stayed well under the 41.5-42.5 betting line. Sergio was correct on both counts.

To wrap things up, Billy Football delivers a classic Fyre Fest involving a near-death experience in his truck. Billy has a bone to pick with modern automotive engineering and environmental regulations that nearly left him stranded in the middle of a busy intersection.

Void
Oct 21, 2022·Fyre Fest
#9825
Billy FootballBilly Football

Modern truck auto-stop engine technology is dangerous and poorly designed

Every time you stop, it'll go to a full stop, the engine turns off... The thing is the car has to turn off and start back up again. And if people know, like the more miles you get on a truck, the more times you start a truck, the engine's gotta turn over... It happened to me in a busy ass intersection and I couldn't get the truck back started... putting people like myself in danger.

This is a subjective complaint based on a personal mechanical failure, though the technology is a common point of frustration for many drivers.

The show ends with Billy miraculously hitting the lottery ball for the sixth time, further cementing his status as a statistical anomaly while Hank continues his historic drought.

If you see a truck stalled in a New Jersey intersection, just know Billy is doing his part for the environment.

nflmlb-playoffsf1lakersgambling

More Takes

Loss
Oct 21, 2022
#9815
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Saints will beat the Cardinals 23-17

I'm gonna say Saints 23, Cardinals 17.

The Cardinals won 42-34, which is significantly different from the predicted low-scoring Saints win.
Void
Oct 21, 2022
#24447
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Cliff Kingsbury is performing exactly as his resume suggested he would and is not a disappointment

I think people don't realize that Cliff Kingsbury is exactly who they thought he was when they hired him. Like, he has not been a disappointment based on his resume. He's been exactly what you should have thought that you were gonna get. He showed you what he is and he's been that.

This is a subjective assessment of Kingsbury's coaching pedigree versus his NFL output.
Loss
Oct 21, 2022·Picks
#24449
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions will play to the level of their opponent and lose every game by three points

I think the Lions will lose to every team by three points. That's been my theory on the Lions all season long... the Lions can be competitive with any team in the NFL no matter how good or how shitty their opponent is. They will play exactly to that level.

While the Lions had several close losses early, they finished the season 9-8 and blew out several opponents (Jaguars, Bears) while losing by more than 3 to others.
Loss
Oct 21, 2022·Picks
#24450
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bailey Zappy should be the starting quarterback for the New England Patriots over Mac Jones

Billy Zappy should be the quarterback of the New England Patriots. It's obvious to everybody that's watched the game... [He] does have more zip. Bailey Zappy should be the quarterback, more zip, I'll be the first to say it.

Zappy's performance eventually cratered (including an 0-2 start as the primary guy in 2023), proving Mac Jones (despite his own struggles) was the intended starter and Zappy was not the long-term answer.
Loss
Oct 21, 2022·Picks
#9821
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The winner of Titans vs. Colts will win the AFC South

I think if the Titans win this game, I'm ready to declare the Titans the winner that division... I'm ready. Whoever wins this game will win this division.

The Titans won the game, but the Jacksonville Jaguars eventually won the AFC South title that season.

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