Skip to content
PMTPMT DB

Friday Winners With Stanford Steve, Recapping Day 1 Of March Madness, Bonus Mt Rushmore Of March Madness Things + Fyre Fest Of The Week Including Possible Severance Spoilers (We Haven't Seen The Finale Yet)

Friday, March 21, 202521 takes

Day 1 of Madness is over and McNeese State wins the day. We recap everything that happened on Day 1 including some teams flexing their muscles and Will Wade's boys with a huge win (-). While watching basketball we missed another couple Georgia Football arrests and a creepy Michigan story (-). Bonus out of season Mt Rushmore of March Madness things (-). Stanford Steve joins the show to break down the entire Friday card, helps us find some winners, and some stories from Super Bowl Week. We finish with fyre fest of the week and some Severance talk. None of us have seen the finale yet so there are no spoilers about that but we make predictions so if you aren't caught up before the Finale fast forward.

Stanford Steve on Friday Winners, Will Wade’s Revenge, and March Madness Mount Rushmore

March Madness is finally here, and even though the SEC is technically still alive, the first day of the tournament felt like a massive shakeup. Big Cat and PFT started the show by breaking down the early carnage, specifically the masterclass put on by Will Wade. The McNeese State coach basically took the NC State job while his team was warming up, then went out and bullied his alma mater, Clemson.

Win
Mar 21, 2025
#13806
Big CatBig Cat

McNeese State dominated Clemson despite the close final score

McNeese State I think leads the, leads the storyboard because what a day for Will Wade... and gives us a classic 12 5 upset where I know it looks like a two point game, but they were dominating Clemson for, for the majority of the game.

The speaker is recapping a game that occurred in the fictionalized/future context of the episode (2025).

While some people were pearl-clutching about the optics of Wade talking to other schools mid-tournament, PFT was fully on board with the transparency. It’s the new era of the portal, and Wade is just playing the game better than the guys who lie to their players' faces.

Void
Mar 21, 2025
#13808
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Will Wade being honest about leaving for NC State is better than coaches who lie

I'd rather Will Wade be transparent about it. It's awkward that he took a new job before his team even played in the tournament... I'd rather have the Will Wade where you're just upfront about it than [Darian DeVries] who went from West Virginia to Indiana in The Bahamas in December and had his son sit out the year for a medical redshirt.

The sentiment of the take is subjective coach-to-coach comparison.

On the other side of the bracket, Kansas fans are already looking toward next year after a brutal early exit. Big Cat pointed out that the Jayhawks never looked right all season, and the Hunter Dickinson era ended with a whimper rather than the roar everyone expected when he transferred in.

Win
Mar 21, 2025
#13810
Big CatBig Cat

Kansas was not built for a long tournament run this year

I think most Kansas fans saw this coming in the fact that they just weren't built for a long run... Moreover, they won one tournament NCAA tournament game in this time there. [Hunter Dickinson] is done.

Kansas's performance in the 2025 tournament is part of the show's context.

Friday Winners with Stanford Steve

Our good friend Stanford Steve joined the show to help us pick up the pieces after a rough Thursday. The guys got into the weeds on the Friday slate, starting with a 7-10 matchup that feels like a coin flip between Baylor and Mississippi State. Steve is leaning toward the SEC in this one, mostly because of one specific shooter who doesn't care about your defensive schemes.

Loss
Mar 21, 2025
#13818
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Mississippi State will beat Baylor because Hubbard can shoot over the zone

I'll stick with the SEC. I'm gonna go Mississippi State. [Hubbard] leads, I think he shoots nine over nine. Threes a game and [Baylor] plays zone over 20% of the time and Hubbard will just shoot over it.

Baylor defeated Mississippi State 75-72 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament.

One of the biggest points of contention for Big Cat this week hasn't been the play on the court, but the play on the television screen. Watching four games at once is stressful enough without the networks ruining the surprise.

Void
Mar 21, 2025
#13816
Big CatBig Cat

TV networks must fix scoreboard spoilers that show scores ahead of the live broadcast

I don't understand how it's still an issue... if you're watching four games at once, half the time you see the scoreboard on one game and it will be ahead of the actual game you're watching... figure it out. Don't let it spoil us.

This is an opinion on broadcast quality.

When it comes to the big favorites, the guys are looking for teams with actual National Championship upside. While everyone is focused on the top seeds, Stanford Steve is keeping a very close eye on the Mountain West and a certain program from Provo that he thinks can go the distance.

Loss
Mar 21, 2025
#13821
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

BYU is a legitimate threat to win the National Championship

BYU's a team that everyone's picking against, but they they were on the list. [PFT: BYU can win the national title?] Yes.

BYU was eliminated in the second round (beat Wisconsin but lost in the Sweet 16). They were not a legitimate championship threat.

Steve also dropped his best bets for the biggest prizes in the sport, including a bold call on the Women's tournament where a chalky final seems almost inevitable given the dominance of the top two programs.

Win
Mar 21, 2025
#26467
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

UConn and South Carolina will meet in the Women's National Championship

Women's picks... UConn and South Carolina to meet in the final. I believe it is plus 400. That list is way bigger than we've ever had it in the women's game. So I'm fired up.

UConn defeated South Carolina 82-59 in the 2025 Women's National Championship game on April 6, 2025, exactly as predicted.

Bonus Mount Rushmore and Fyre Fest

Since it's the best sports weekend of the year, we had to do a special out-of-season Mount Rushmore of March Madness things. Hank led things off with underdog money lines, while Max went with the elite feeling of not working on Thursday or Friday. Other picks included One Shining Moment, cutting down the nets, and Big Cat’s favorite: the "rogue foul" where a kid fouls with three seconds left in a double-digit game just to mess with the spread.

Fyre Fest took a turn into the world of prestige TV as the cast discussed the Severance finale. None of the guys had seen the final episode yet, which led to some truly unhinged theories about what Lumon is actually up to. Hank is convinced the show is heading for a bloodbath.

Loss
Mar 21, 2025·Fyre Fest
#13824
HankHank

Helly is going to kill her father in the Severance Season 2 finale

I want death. I want multiple deaths. Oh, I think Helly's gonna kill her dad. No, I mean, she's showed... she tried to kill herself. They think that she's her daughter who's like the whatever of the company, but they don't know Hellie down there.

In the Severance Season 2 finale, Helly lunges at her father Jame Eagan with a pen but does not kill him. The finale focused on Mark rescuing Gemma and innie Mark choosing to stay with Helly on the severed floor.

Max closed things out with a classic DMV rant after finally getting his license four months after losing his wallet. Apparently, the "Real ID" process in Illinois is the only thing more complicated than the Lumon floor plan, involving roughly six different lines just to pay a cashier.

Void
Mar 21, 2025·Fyre Fest
#26469
MaxMax

The Real ID requirement is a load of bullshit and unnecessarily complicated

Real ID... that's a load of bullshit. It's impossible to get an appointment... Why can't there just be one line? You go to one person, you get everything done and you leave, you go to eight different lines and you get an appointment. And an appointment means nothing.

This is an inherently subjective opinion about government efficiency.

Good luck with your Friday bets, and try not to let the scoreboard spoilers ruin your life.

nflcollege-basketballmarch-madnessbettingseverance

More Takes

Loss
Mar 21, 2025
#13812
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bill Self is on the hot seat after losing in the first round as a preseason number one

Is Bill Self on the hot seat? I don't know if he's on the hot seat... Kansas also, they became the second AP preseason number one to lose in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Obviously Bill self not on the hot seat, but it's fun to have the conversation.

Hot TakeCBBHotSarcastic
Bill Self is objectively not on the hot seat despite the loss.
Void
Mar 21, 2025
#13814
Big CatBig Cat

T. Higgins signed a fake one-year contract that is essentially a mega-franchise tag

This is a fake contract. Well he is getting a lot of money this year over what would've been the franchise tag... essentially he got mega tagged. Yeah, he got mega tagged.

The interpretation of a contract as 'fake' or a 'mega tag' is an analysis of its structure.
Win
Mar 21, 2025
#13820
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Take Colorado State to upset Memphis

I still think, you know, as a player, like I said, I, I have Maryland advancing anyway. I would just take the 12 here. So you have your 12 5.

Colorado State defeated Memphis 78-70 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament, confirming the upset pick.
Loss
Mar 21, 2025
#26461
Big CatBig Cat

The UConn vs Oklahoma game will go over 147.5 points

I'm gonna take the over in this game and here's why. UConn and Oklahoma are both elite free throw shooting teams... we're gonna get a lot of trips to the line. And these, both these teams know how to make their free throws... I love the over here.

Big Cat predicted the UConn vs Oklahoma game would go over 147.5 points. The final score was UConn 67, Oklahoma 59, for a combined total of only 126 points — well under 147.5.
Push
Mar 21, 2025
#26462
Big CatBig Cat

Florida will score nearly 100 points against Norfolk State

I think Florida names their number... Florida's going for a hundred. Norfolk's gonna try to zone them, which they'll, they'll hit threes. They'll rebound. Like that's gonna be a disaster.

Big Cat predicted Florida would score nearly 100 points against Norfolk State ('going for a hundred'). Florida won 95-69 — close to 100 but not quite there. The prediction of a blowout was correct, and 95 points is near the predicted total.
Loss
Mar 21, 2025
#26463
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

UNC will beat Ole Miss because the matchup favors the Tar Heels' lacks of bigs

Carolina, you watch them and the biggest jarring thing, they don't have any bigs that are like pros... But Ole Miss doesn't have any bigs really either. So I love the matchup for Carolina here and yeah, it's probably a conference pride deal.

Stanford Steve predicted UNC would beat Ole Miss because the matchup favored the Tar Heels. Ole Miss defeated UNC 71-64 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament.
Open
Mar 21, 2025
#26464
Big CatBig Cat

The New Mexico vs Marquette game will be a high-scoring over

New Mexico Marquette... I think both those teams are gonna try to get up and down... I'm just expecting the pace to be so out of control that we can get to 75 possessions each side.

Depends on the final score of New Mexico vs. Marquette.
Loss
Mar 21, 2025
#26465
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Take the under on Michigan State's team total

Michigan State. I look at their team total under, because they don't care how they win. They're like, alright, we know we gotta shoot some threes, but you know what, you're not gonna make threes. So we're gonna slow it down and make it methodical. But they're not interested in scoring high numbers.

Stanford Steve recommended taking the under on Michigan State's team total, arguing they wouldn't be interested in scoring high numbers. Michigan State scored 87 points in their first-round win over Bryant (87-62). With a projected team total around 84-85, Michigan State exceeded it significantly.
Push
Mar 21, 2025
#26466
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Maryland is a legitimate threat for a deep tournament run due to their favorable draw

I really like [Maryland's run] because they know what they got... Willard's got plenty of experience. I just love their shotmaking, their guards are tremendous... I really like their draw. And at some point when you're a four, you play the one. Hopefully you get a week to prepare and you roll the balls out. I love the Terps.

Maryland, as a 4-seed, did make a run to the Sweet 16 (beating Grand Canyon and Colorado State), which is a respectable deep run. However, they lost to 1-seed Florida 87-71 in the Sweet 16, so the 'deep tournament run' was moderate rather than truly deep.
Loss
Mar 21, 2025
#13822
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Alabama and Tennessee are the two best bets to win the National Championship

I'll give you a they're on the same side. Alabama and Tennessee. I do feel different about Tennessee... they're better offensively. It's not even a question.

Neither Alabama nor Tennessee won the championship. Alabama lost to Duke in the Elite Eight, and Tennessee lost to Houston in the Elite Eight. Florida won the title.
Void
Mar 21, 2025·Fyre Fest
#13823
HankHank

William Chisholm is a smart business mind and will be a great owner for the Celtics

Clearly a very smart business mind. And I'm excited to, to see what he's got in store. Hopefully he likes the Celtics and isn't doing this as a business... He agrees to purchase the Celtics from the Grousbeck family for a valuation of $6.1 billion.

The quality of Chisholm's ownership will be a long-term subjective evaluation.
Open
Mar 21, 2025·Fyre Fest
#26468
HankHank

Gemma in Severance was never a real person and has always been an innie

Gemma is an innie that they released to the real world to like, make Mark fall in love. Like she was, she was never a real person... She's always an innie.

This theory would need to be confirmed or debunked by future episodes of the show.

PMTDB Comments

This generates your username. Same passphrase = same name. Make it unique and memorable!

Search

Search takes, episodes, and speakers