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Kyle Long and Pete Prisco, NFL Week 12 Picks And Preview, + Fyre Fest Of The Week

Friday, November 21, 202517 takes

We start with a choose your own adventure recap for the Bills Texans (). Week 11 NFL Picks and Preview. We talk about a must win game for the chiefs, Aaron Rodgers trying to crush the bears one last time, JJ McCarthy stock, Eagles V Cowboys and more (-). Best bets and Fantasy Minute with JOC (-). CBS colleagues Pete Prisco and Kyle Long join us to talk about Daniel Jones and Sam Darnold QB status, diva wide receivers, and the top teams in todays NFL (-). We finish with Fyre Fest of the Week (-).

Pete Prisco and Kyle Long on Week 12, the Bears' Future, and Diva Wide Receivers

The Week 12 preview is here, though Big Cat and PFT admit they are recording this in a "choose your own adventure" style because they are currently doing the Yak case race. While the guys are either drunk or violently hungover as you listen, they still managed to hammer through the NFL slate and some truly bizarre MLB free agency rumors. Big Cat is already suspicious of the reports linking Kyle Schwarber to Pittsburgh.

Win
Nov 21, 2025
#14285
Big CatBig Cat

The Pirates leaking interest in Kyle Schwarber is just 'red meat' to appease the fans with no intent to sign him

I feel like the Pirates' version of them actually signing a big free agent would be just leaking it that they're thinking about signing. Correct. That was... their red meat to the fan base. Be like, look, we tried.

The Pirates did not sign Kyle Schwarber despite making a four-year, $125 million offer. Schwarber re-signed with the Phillies on a five-year, $150 million deal at the Winter Meetings in December 2025. Big Cat's take that the Pirates' leaked interest was just 'red meat' for fans with no real intent to sign him proved accurate — they were outbid and the interest appeared performative.

Spite Games and Rookie Rewiring

The marquee matchup for Big Cat is Steelers at Bears, and the anxiety is palpable. While Aaron Rodgers has looked every bit his age this season, there is a lingering fear in Chicago that he has one more vintage performance saved up just to ruin the city's mood.

Loss
Nov 21, 2025
#26046
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers will play like an elite quarterback against the Bears because he wants to spite them one last time

That is my fear of this game is Aaron Rogers, who I don't think is like an elite quarterback anymore, will become an elite quarterback because he wants to stick it to the Bears one last time.

Big Cat feared Aaron Rodgers would play like an elite QB against the Bears in Week 12 to spite them. But Rodgers did not play at all due to a fractured left wrist sustained in Week 11. Mason Rudolph started instead, and the Steelers lost to the Bears.

Meanwhile, the Vikings are dealing with J.J. McCarthy's admission that he is essentially "rewiring his neurological pathways" to play quarterback. It led to a genius strategy from the internet that Big Cat is fully on board with to save the rookie's reputation.

Void
Nov 21, 2025
#26049
Big CatBig Cat

The Vikings should cut and immediately re-sign J.J. McCarthy so he can be a reclamation project

What the Vikings really should do is cut JJ McCarthy. Yep. So he's a bust and then sign him back. So he is a reclamation project. Then it'll be good. Cut JJ McCarthy, officially declaring a bust, sign McCarthy former draft bust and have KOC fix him. Smart.

This is a satirical suggestion and won't literally happen.

Over in New England, PFT is officially the Drake May whisperer. He’s calling for a massive breakout against a Bengals defense that has looked like a sieve all year.

Void
Nov 21, 2025
#14276
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May will throw for over 300 yards for the first time this weekend against the Bengals

This is my prop of a lifetime this weekend. It's Drake May to throw 300 yards for the first time plus 264. I put it in before the show started. I feel like this is the week... the Bengals defense, you can't help but throw 300 yards against them.

Cannot verify Drake Maye's exact passing yards in the specific Week 12 game vs Bengals. Maye had 4,394 yards total for the season across 17 games.

The Chiefs’ Clutch Problem

The most shocking stat of the week involves the Kansas City Chiefs and their inability to finish games. While they used to be inevitable, the numbers now suggest they are the least reliable team in football when the clock starts winding down.

Win
Nov 21, 2025
#14277
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs' 18% success rate in clutch situations is the worst of any NFL team in the last decade

If you make the criteria that if it's within eight points in the final five minutes of regulation... the Chiefs success rate is, I believe [Mahomes] is two for 10 for 29 yards. That means they have an 18% success rate in those clutch situation plays. 18% would be the absolute lowest of any NFL team over the last decade.

This is an accurate citation of a specific statistical study on the 2025 Chiefs' performance up to Week 12.

PFT is so convinced the wheels are falling off in Kansas City that he’s making the Colts his "Nuke Town" pick of the week.

Win
Nov 21, 2025·Picks
#26048
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Colts will beat the Chiefs this weekend

I think I like the Colts this weekend. Gimme the Indianapolis Colts plus three and a half... gimme the hook, gimme the Colts and nuke it. Nuke City.

PFT took the Colts +3.5 against the Chiefs in Week 12. The Chiefs won 23-20 in overtime, a margin of exactly 3 points. Since the Colts had +3.5 and lost by only 3, the Colts covered the spread. PFT's bet was correct.

Jock and Nerd: Prisco and Long

CBS Sports colleagues Pete Prisco and Kyle Long joined the show for a heavy-hitting ball talk segment. Kyle Long, a noted Bears homer, is finally seeing a culture shift in Chicago, credit to the "insane" energy of Ben Johnson.

Void
Nov 21, 2025
#14281
Kyle LongKyle Long

Ben Johnson's 'psychopath' leadership is exactly what the Bears needed to change their culture

Everything this guy [Ben Johnson] does is so insane that it's authentic... next door neighbors to insanity. But the good kind of neighbor to insanity... in order to get that stench out of the building... you need a psychopath dude. And they've got one.

This is a subjective assessment of a coach's leadership style and cultural impact.

Pete Prisco, ever the skeptic, isn't ready to buy the hype. He thinks the Bears are still a year away from actually mattering in the NFC playoff picture.

Loss
Nov 21, 2025
#14284
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Bears are still a year away from being real contenders

I'm a little more realistic because I look at the schedule and see, you know, that they really have what—they played one team with a winning record and lost to 'em. I'm a little apprehensive... I just don't think this is their year. I think they're a year away.

The Bears went 11-6, won the NFC North, and won a playoff game. They were NOT a year away - they were contenders this year.

The conversation shifted to the Eagles, where the vibes are... complicated. Despite the winning record, the offense looks stagnant. Max is convinced a simple wardrobe change is the solution to all their problems.

Void
Nov 21, 2025
#26045
MaxMax

The Kelly Green jerseys will fix the Eagles' struggling offense

The Kelly Greens could fix the offense. There's no reason to think that it won't... Always a good idea. Kelly Greens fix the offense. Wow, great idea.

Jersey colors cannot literally fix a football team's offensive scheme.

However, Kyle Long noted that even high school teams might be running more sophisticated schemes than what we're seeing in Philly right now.

Void
Nov 21, 2025
#26047
Kyle LongKyle Long

Greg Olsen's Pop Warner team has a more complex offense than the Philadelphia Eagles

Greg Olson's got more routes in his offense with Luke Kuechly [on their Pop Warner team] than in that Pop Warner League... than the Eagles offense. I can promise you that. The route tree is primitive. People say it looks like a high school offense at times.

This is a hyperbolic comparison between a professional and a youth offense.

Despite the primitive route trees, Kyle Long is still sticking by his preseason Super Bowl prediction, even if the Ravens' defense has him questioning the other side of the bracket.

Loss
Nov 21, 2025
#26043
Kyle LongKyle Long

The Eagles will beat the Ravens in the Super Bowl

At the beginning of the season I picked the Eagles to beat the Ravens in the Super Bowl. And I thought myself a little bit insane at the beginning of the year... but then even more concerning the defense wasn't defensive in Baltimore... and Jalen Hurts will figure something out in the playoffs. If he does end up in the big game, he's gonna play his balls off.

Kyle Long predicted the Eagles would beat the Ravens in the Super Bowl. Neither team made it. The Eagles lost in the Wild Card to the 49ers 23-19. The Ravens went 8-9 and missed the playoffs entirely. The actual Super Bowl was Seahawks 29, Patriots 13.

Prisco’s Playoff Predictions

Pete Prisco lived up to his reputation as the "Jock" of the duo by hating on modern quarterback play and Dan Campbell's fourth-down tendencies. He also isn't buying the Sam Darnold resurgence, claiming the "old Sam" is always just one bad read away.

Void
Nov 21, 2025
#14278
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Sam Darnold will eventually revert to his old, mistake-prone self because 'you are what you are'

Usually this league you are what you are. You're gonna have moments where you're up here... and moments when you're down here... eventually you're in the middle and that's who you are... [Sam Darnold] looked frazzled [last week] and that can't happen. It just can't happen in the big games... there's a Sam Darnold problem at least in my mind.

The take is a subjective long-term outlook on a player's career trajectory.

Prisco also made some bold calls on the current 7-4 teams in the AFC. He’s officially out on the Chargers making the postseason, citing a horrific offensive line and a brutal schedule.

Loss
Nov 21, 2025
#26044
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The 7-4 Chargers will miss the playoffs

They're not making the playoffs... and it's gonna come down to that Chiefs Chargers game and I think the Chiefs will beat 'em. They're seven and four, but if you look at their schedule, it's brutal. And that offensive line is horrible. Yanked [Penning] out of the game. It's a terrible offensive line.

Pete Prisco predicted the 7-4 Chargers would miss the playoffs. The Chargers finished 11-6 and made the playoffs as a Wild Card team, losing to the Patriots 16-3 in the first round.

Instead, Pete is looking toward the bottom of the standings for his sleeper pick. He believes the Jaguars are essentially a lock to sneak in because their remaining schedule is a total "joke."

Win
Nov 21, 2025
#14280
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Jaguars will make the playoffs because their remaining schedule is extremely easy

Jacksonville [will make the playoffs]. Look at their, look at their schedule. It's a joke... if they beat the Cardinals this week, then they got the Titans and then the Colts at home and they never lose to him and the Jets at home, they should win three or four of those games.

The Jaguars won the AFC South at 13-4 and made the playoffs, a remarkable turnaround.

Fyre Fest of the Week

Fyre Fest took a turn into the world of college football coaching rumors. PFT has been tracking private flight logs like a madman and believes he has uncovered a massive move in the coaching carousel.

Win
Nov 21, 2025·Fyre Fest
#14283
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

James Franklin is leaving Penn State to become the head coach at Virginia Tech

James Franklin is using the Penn State private jet to move to Blacksburg... I am so pumped that of course. That's the other reason why a jet would go there... I do think that [James Franklin] is gonna be the next coach... somewhere else next year.

James Franklin was fired from Penn State in October 2025 and was subsequently hired as head coach at Virginia Tech.

Hank, meanwhile, is actually enjoying his reading of Don Quixote, though he was deeply confused when the author just stopped writing in the middle of a chapter like he ran out of ink.

Hopefully, the Bears can rewire their pathways faster than J.J. McCarthy this Sunday.

nflbearseagleschiefsbettingcollege-football

More Takes

Void
Nov 21, 2025·Picks
#14279
Big CatBig Cat

I bet the Cowboys to cover +3 against the Eagles

I'm gonna take the Cowboys plus three... I think the Cowboys are gonna cover the spread. The Eagles can win the game.

Cannot verify the specific Cowboys vs Eagles Week 12 2025 spread result. The Cowboys beat the Commanders on Christmas Day, but this was a different game.
Void
Nov 21, 2025
#14282
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Dan Campbell's fourth-down aggression is 'aggressive stupidity'

Dan Campbell goes for it all the time... I'm okay with aggression. I'm not okay with aggressive stupidity. That's the [difference]... if he had kicked field goals the other night, would he have won the game?

This is a philosophical disagreement on game management and cannot be definitively proven right or wrong.

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