PMT DB
PMT DB
Lewan and Compton Live from Arizona Bowl, Week 17 Picks, and JJ Watt
Live from Tucson, Arizona, Big Cat and PFT are setting the scene for the Barstool Arizona Bowl. While the guys are gearing up for Ohio vs. Wyoming, the real focus remains on the gridiron's grittiest details. Big Cat is already eyeing the stylistic matchup between the Bobcats and Cowboys, and he's expecting a classic slugfest that only a mother or a special teams coach could love.
Big CatThe Ohio-Wyoming Arizona Bowl is for true football guys because there will be a lot of running and punting
Ohio and Wyoming. I think we're gonna get some, this is gonna be one of those games where it's the true football guys, cuz there's gonna be a lot of running, a lot of punting football guys.
Week 17 Picks and the Danger Zone
With the bowling punishment looming, the betting talk is getting tense. PFT is trying to play it safe with a massive spread in the Titans-Cowboys game, trusting the unknown of a backup quarterback.
PFT CommenterThe Titans will stay within 20 points of the Cowboys because there's no tape on Josh Dobbs
I put a pft on this game that I'm, I'm sure that it's gonna win because it's Titans Plus 20. Right. They're gonna keep within 20. Josh Dobbs. Sure. There's no tape on Josh Dobbs.
Meanwhile, the Raiders' decision to bench Derek Carr has everyone playing detective. PFT sees a very specific landing spot for the veteran quarterback that fits the franchise's recent history of veteran moves.
PFT CommenterDerek Carr's benching smells like a future trade to the Indianapolis Colts
they're going to try to trade [Derek Carr] this off season. And I think we've predicted for at least the last six weeks, it just smells like the Colts. it smells like a Colts move.
Hank is looking to the Giants to save his season, banking on the fact that Jeff Saturday might be in over his head. He's so confident in the mismatch that he's calling it his lock of the week.
HankThe Giants -5.5 is the easiest bet of the year because the Colts are the worst-coached team in the league
My favorite favorite is the Giants minus five and a half. So. Watching them Monday night. Easiest bet I had all year was the Chargers. They're, they're the worst coach team in the league. They're terrible. They can't score points, they can't do anything. The Giants are fighting for a playoff spot.
Big Cat, however, warns that these late-season games often defy logic. He’s leaning on historical data that suggests eliminated teams often play the role of spoiler when everyone expects them to fold.
Big CatEliminated teams playing teams that need to win in the final weeks are a 63% ATS betting lock
The eliminated teams playing teams that need to win over the final two weeks of this season are 63% against the spread since 1990. So essentially any team that needs to win and you're playing a dead dog team, it just always, it, it, it usually works out that the dead dog team's a little livelier than people realize.
The JJ Watt Legacy and AFC North Drama
With JJ Watt announcing his retirement, the guys took a second to appreciate one of the greatest defensive peaks in NFL history. While PFT acknowledges Watt's greatness, he couldn't help but add his own brand of statistical analysis to Watt's off-field reputation.
PFT CommenterJJ Watt is a better football player than he is a person
He was a much better player? Yes. He was like one of the top three all-time players... He has three defensive player of the year awards Only one man of the year award. So I'd say he's a better, the stats don't lie. He's a better player than he is a person.
Over in Baltimore, the mystery surrounding Lamar Jackson’s injury continues to swirl. PFT smells something off about how the team is handling the situation, suggesting there’s a massive gap between what we’re being told and what’s happening in the building.
PFT CommenterThere is a bizarre communication disconnect between Lamar Jackson and the Ravens front office
There's something weird going on with Lamar and the Ravens and how they communicate like his health to each other. I get the feeling like the Ravens disconnect aren't always happy with how Lamar chooses to like sit out specific practices.
The Boys Are Back in the Suite
Taylor Lewan and Will Compton joined the show from the stadium to talk ball, business, and their own uncertain futures. Lewan, ever the realist, isn't hiding from the fact that his time in Tennessee is likely coming to an end, taking a massive chunk of the blame for the team's struggles on his own shoulders.
Taylor LewanI am 89% personally responsible for the Titans' collapse this season
I would say 83%... Can't stay on the field. Not 77. Can't stay on the field injury. Prone poor leadership. I would, I would say, 89% now.
Taylor LewanI'm going to be cut by the Titans and hit the free market this offseason
Oh no, I'll be cut. I'll be free... I'll be on the free market. I know I'm gonna get cut. So cool.
Will Compton, still chasing the elusive Year 10, is spending his time manifesting a massive win for his Huskers in the recruiting world. He's also still defending the honor of the 2021 Nebraska team that became a statistical anomaly for losing close games.
Will ComptonNebraska is going to land the #1 recruit for 2024, Dylan Raiola
I think we're gonna land him. Really? Yeah. Number one recruit 2024. His last name's Raiola... I think ultimately what I'm saying is... in my gut, I think that's the, that's the centerpiece of Nebraska.
Will ComptonNebraska's 2021 team was nine plays away from a perfect 12-0 season
Can you confidently say Nebraska of 2021 was not the greatest three win football team... You can easily say that... nine plays away from a perfect 12 and 0 season.
As a Michigan alum, Lewan is fully locked into the College Football Playoff. He’s all-in on Jim Harbaugh, but he’s also aware of the nightmare scenario that could await the Wolverines if they advance to the title game against their biggest rival.
Taylor LewanMichigan wins and covers against TCU in the College Football Playoff
I'm a hundred percent outta Michigan. I think Michigan wins this game. I think they cover and then we'll see what happens.
Taylor LewanLosing to Ohio State in the National Championship would be a program ruiner for Michigan
If we lose Ohio State, that is 10 million times worse than Georgia. That is a program ruiner for Michigan. Yes.
Hard Body 2023
To wrap things up, Big Cat is ready to pivot from his current diet of cheesesteaks and ice cream to a new lifestyle. After weeks of "bulking" for the winter, he’s making a public commitment to a physical transformation in the new year.
Big CatI am losing 25 pounds in 2023 for my 'hard body' year
2023 is a hard body year. I'm gonna get a hard body... I'm losing 25 pounds in 2023. Losing 25 pounds in 2023... January 1st, new me.
We’ll see if the scale or the lottery ball machine is kinder to the crew in 2023.
