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NFL Divisional Round With Kyle Long, Electric Substations With Peter Cowan, Divisional Round Picks & Preview, Harbaugh To The Giants + Fyre Fest

Friday, January 16, 202614 takes

John Harbaugh is a New York Giant and we talk other coaching news and national sports podcast topics (-). NFL Divisional round picks and preview, is it Bo Nix’s time? Sam Darnold injured? PFT’s new stat for Hank and Bear Weather for the Rams (-). Kyle Long joins the show to talk Divisional weekend, matchups, mismatches and picks + bonus video game talk with Zac (-). Peter Cowan who went viral for his electrical substation tweet at the Niners Facility joins the show to explain his findings, talk In and Out and how much sunlight we should get (-). We finish with Fyre Fest of the week and a goodbye to Pug (-).

Divisional Round Preview, Kyle Long on O-Line Play, and the 49ers Substation Theory

The Divisional Round is finally here, and Big Cat and PFT are navigating a landscape where John Harbaugh is officially a New York Giant. The hire brings some much-needed adult supervision to an organization that has cycled through coaches like a revolving door since Tom Coughlin left. Big Cat is fully on board with the move, even if it means some growing pains early on.

Void
Jan 16, 2026
#6986
Big CatBig Cat

Hiring John Harbaugh is a smart move for the Giants because they desperately need stability.

This was, I mean, this is a smart move. I I, I like this move for the Giants. It feels like they needed stability... you hiring him. You're not gonna fire him in three years, even if it takes a little bit of time to get things going.

The Giants have indeed had high turnover (McAdoo, Shurmur, Judge, Daboll), making the stability claim historically grounded.

While the Giants are finding stability, the Steelers are losing theirs. With Mike Tomlin stepping down, Big Cat predicts a regression for the black and gold. He believes the fan base might be in for a rude awakening regarding just how much Tomlin was doing with subpar quarterback play over the last few seasons.

Open
Jan 16, 2026
#6987
Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers are entering a dark phase and fans will eventually realize Mike Tomlin was holding everything together.

I think that you, the Steelers might go into a dark phase here where they're gonna probably have to lose a little bit and they're gonna realize Yeah, actually Mike Tom was keeping this thing together better than we all thought.

This is a prediction about the Steelers' performance following Tomlin's 2026 resignation.

Before the football talk really heated up, the conversation drifted into the world of golf and the absurdity of professional equipment. PFT has a theory that the prestige of playing with blades is entirely mental and that pros are finally starting to realize they should just use the clubs that actually help them.

Void
Jan 16, 2026
#6988
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The new Commanders stadium rendering is worth three wins a year alone.

This stadium, just looking at it, max, I think that this stadium is worth three wins a year. Yeah. The stadium alone.

Attributing 3 specific wins to a building's architecture is inherently subjective and unprovable.

Speaking of things that look good, the new stadium renderings for the Commanders dropped, and PFT is already counting the wins. He believes the sheer aesthetic of having a stadium back in DC proper is worth several points on the scoreboard before the ball is even snapped.

Win
Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#6990
Big CatBig Cat

The Divisional Round will be Bo Nix's time to have a splash moment and prove people shouldn't have forgotten about him.

Is it Bo Nix's time? We've had all three of these guys have their splash moments. Is it Bo Nix's time to say, Hey, you forgot about Bo Nix... If we're gonna have this be the 2024 draft, be like an all time QB draft, it's Bo Nix's time. It's about time for him to make his moment.

Big Cat predicted the Divisional Round would be Bo Nix's time for a splash moment. Nix had an outstanding game against the Bills, throwing for 279 yards and 3 TDs in a dramatic 33-30 OT win, including the game-winning drive. It was indeed a signature moment for the 2024 draft class.

Divisional Round Preview and Picks

Moving into the actual games, the Bills heading to Denver is the matchup that has everyone talking. While Josh Allen is the ultimate equalizer, Big Cat thinks this is the weekend where the rest of the 2024 quarterback class finally gets overshadowed by the guy who went last in the first round.

Win
Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#6991
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third-and-six since entering the league.

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third and sixth. And it's not close. Since he got into the league... minimum of 10 attempts at third and sixth... He's 36th in the NFL. He is five for 18. 27% [completion percentage].

This is a statistical claim at the time of the podcast. Verification would require access to the specific database cited (Stat Hole).

On the Patriots front, Hank is feeling confident about Drake May, but PFT and Stat Hole came prepared with some devastating research. It turns out the rookie sensation has a very specific Achilles heel when the chains are exactly six yards away.

Win
Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#6996
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Stafford is unreliable when protecting a lead in the second half.

Matt Stafford, when he has a lead at halftime, his record against the spread in the second half. The second half spread 35% of the time, he covers only 35%. Pretty bad.

This is a verifiable betting statistic regarding Stafford's career performance.

The weekend concludes with the Rams visiting Soldier Field for what promises to be an absolute ice bowl. While the Rams have the more explosive offense on paper, PFT points out that Matt Stafford hasn't exactly been a lock when trying to close out games in the second half.

Win
Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#6992
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears have a significant special teams advantage over the Rams in the Divisional Round.

I've meant to say that the one place that the Bears have a significant advantage is special teams. The, the Rams have been kind of like, they got a punt blocked. The kicker's been bad. The Bears, Cairo. Santos has been good.

This can be verified by comparing the special teams DVOA or kicking stats of the two teams during the 2025 season.

Big Cat is leaning into the Bear Weather narrative but also looking at the technical advantages. He thinks the Rams' struggles in the third phase of the game could be the difference-maker in a tight playoff atmosphere.

Void
Jan 16, 2026
#6993
Kyle LongKyle Long

The Broncos' wide defensive line alignment gives Josh Allen a free pass to scramble up the middle.

They line up super, super wide and when you line up super wide... it gives Josh Allen free reign to look at the guards, look at the center, figure out where he is gonna go... Josh is a guy who can drop back in a non non scheme anything and just be like, oh, the ends are by me. I'm gonna take what's given to me.

This is a tactical observation about defensive alignment giving Josh Allen scramble lanes. It is a schematic analysis that cannot be objectively resolved.

Kyle Long and the Trenches

Our good friend Kyle Long joined the show to break down the matchups from an offensive lineman's perspective. He offered a fascinating look at why the Broncos' defensive strategy might actually play right into Josh Allen's hands. By lining up so wide to utilize their speed, they might be opening up massive lanes for Allen to wreak havoc with his legs.

Loss
Jan 16, 2026
#23381
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears and Rams game will be a shootout where the Bears need to score at least 38 points to win.

I think it's going to come down to a shootout... our defense is not great. I kind of jokingly said 38 [points] and I'm kind of like, was I getting [there]? Because you can take a look at Matt Stafford... he's been the MVP of the league. Caleb has to string together four quarters of clean football.

Big Cat predicted the Bears vs Rams divisional game would be a shootout requiring 38 points to win. The final was Rams 20, Bears 17 (OT) — a defensive game, not a shootout. The Bears scored only 17 points, far from 38.

Kyle also weighed in on the Ben Johnson vs. the world feud, noting that the coaching fraternity is currently teaming up to try and solve the Lions' offensive coordinator. He also gave us a look into what it's like sitting in production meetings with guys like Andy Reid and the late-stage Raiders staff.

The 49ers Substation Mystery

Finally, the show went down a scientific rabbit hole with Peter Cowan, the man behind the viral thread about the 49ers' practice facility being next to an electrical substation. Peter explained his theory that the radiation is effectively "brittling" the players like old rubber bands.

Loss
Jan 16, 2026
#23382
Kyle LongKyle Long

The Seahawks will beat the Broncos in the Super Bowl.

I've got the Seahawks beating the Bears in Seattle and then I've got the Seahawks beating the Broncos in the Super Bowl. Ooh. A little Seahawk. And I know it's chalky... just because they're higher seeds doesn't mean they're better teams.

Kyle Long predicted the Seahawks would beat the Broncos in the Super Bowl. The Seahawks did win the Super Bowl, but they beat the New England Patriots 29-13, not the Denver Broncos. The Broncos lost to the Patriots in the AFC Championship.

While the science might be high-level, the advice for the average man was much simpler. Peter is a big believer in the power of the sun, and he didn't shy away from some of the more unconventional ways to boost testosterone through direct exposure.

Loss
Jan 16, 2026
#6994
Peter CowanPeter Cowan

The electrical substation next to the 49ers facility is causing player injuries by dehydrating their cells.

The wireless stuff, basically it dries you out on the inside. So have you ever taken a rubber band and like left it out in the sun and it goes from being nice and stretchy to being brittle and snaps? ... there's been a lot of research in the past 50 years... showing that it can cause cause harm at the cellular level by dehydrating yourselves among other things.

This is a fringe scientific claim that is generally not supported by mainstream sports medicine or physics.

We wrapped things up with a heartfelt goodbye to Pug as he heads back to the East Coast to buy a house and work from the New York office. Max also managed to win the lottery ball on Pug's final day, proving that even in a goodbye, he can still find a way to be the bad guy.

Good luck to everyone's bets this weekend, except for the people rooting for third-and-six against Drake May.

nfl-playoffsbearsgiantsjohn-harbaugh49ers

More Takes

Win
Jan 16, 2026
#23383
Peter CowanPeter Cowan

Artificial light before sunrise and after sunset is the primary signal that disrupts your biological clock.

You wanna do your best to protect yourself from artificial light before the sun rises and after the sun goes down. But especially before it rises because that's the signal that sets your clock for the day.

Generally accepted in sleep science that light exposure regulates circadian rhythms.
Void
Jan 16, 2026
#6995
Peter CowanPeter Cowan

Exposing your 'boys' to sunlight increases testosterone.

Never tried it, but there is evidence that if you get sun on your boys, that your testosterone will go up.

While Vitamin D (from sun) supports testosterone, the direct benefit of local 'sunning' is not clinically proven.
Void
Jan 16, 2026·Fyre Fest
#23380
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I would rather pay DraftKings $40,000 than pay Hank $40,000 for a lost bet.

I would rather pay DraftKings $40,000 than pay [Hank] 40,000. It's the ultimate emotional hedge spot for me. Worst case scenario, I lose my money, but I would gladly pay that much money for the Patriots to lose.


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