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Peter Schrager Talking NFL, Giants Running Back Cam Skattebo, NFL Season Long Picks + Super Bowl Winners

Wednesday, September 9, 202627 takes · Transcript ↓

Football is back and we’re pumped for the first night of the 2026 NFL season (-). We all make our division winners, wild card and Super Bowl picks. Plus MVP, LVP and Least improved players (-). Hot Seat/Cool Throne including umps going rouge and a Hail Mary appeal by WMU (-). Peter Schrager joins the show to talk about the 2026 NFL season, Super Bowl picks and what teams he’s high on (-). Giants RB Cam Skattebo joins the show to talk about his career, injury and rehab, running through people and more (-). We then finish with listener submitted Pardon Your TakesYou can find every episode of this show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or Netflix. Prime Members can listen ad-free on Amazon Music. For more, visit barstool.link/pardon-my-take

Football is back, and PMT immediately treated the first Wednesday night game like a national holiday, a banner ceremony, and an excuse to eat clam chowder while yelling about travel schedules. The Seahawks are raising a championship banner, Hank is trying to emotionally prepare for the Patriots, and Big Cat is already suspicious that the NFL is spreading itself too thin across every available night of the week.

Everybody Has A Super Bowl

The annual season-pick ritual became a full-blown exercise in roster delusion. Memes took the Jets to win the AFC East and then sent the Bengals through a Rams rematch in Los Angeles. Max countered with the Chiefs reclaiming the AFC West and the Eagles winning the whole thing. Zac also picked Cincinnati, which means Joe Burrow has somehow become the official quarterback of PMT's preseason imagination.

Then Hank arrived with the take that could make the entire office unbearable by November: New England is going back-to-back-to-back, with Drake May winning MVP. He described a future where the world reluctantly accepts the Patriots as a powerhouse again, much to the podcast's collective despair.

Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31360
HankHank

The Patriots will three-peat by beating the Rams

Super Bowl threepeat: Patriots versus Rams. Patriots win again. ... By week 12, week 13, much to the chagrin of the world and especially this podcast, the Patriots will ... once again be a powerhouse.

The 2026 Super Bowl and Patriots season outcome have not occurred as of the episode date.

PFT had the Bills beating the Lions in overtime, while Big Cat picked Buffalo over Philadelphia and also squeezed the Giants into the playoffs after abandoning his previous Cowboys lean. The most Big Cat sentence of the segment was admitting he wanted one truly ridiculous playoff team, then selecting the Giants as if he had discovered them in a locked drawer.

Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31365
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants will make the playoffs

In the NFC I have ... the Rams. And then my wild card teams are the Seahawks, the Lions and Cowboys, the New York Giants.

The 2026 NFL playoff field has not been determined as of the episode date.

The Deshaun Watson prediction was even less charitable. Big Cat does not merely expect Watson to struggle. He expects the decline to become “comically bad,” which is a remarkably high bar for a quarterback who has already inspired years of miserable football discourse.

Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31367
Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson will get even worse

I think Deshaun Watson's gonna get worse. I think he's gonna get even worse. I think it's gonna be comically bad.

Watson's 2026 season performance has not been resolved as of the episode date.

Hot Seat, Cool Throne, And A Very Loud Umpire

Hank put Brian Windhorst's least favorite reporting habits, Chef Schefter, on the Hot Seat after the Christian Gonzalez contract saga. His evidence was devastatingly specific: Schefter had apparently reported Michigan won, a result Hank suggested was still under dispute. Hank's Cool Throne was rugby footage of Miles Garrett learning to hit even harder, a sentence nobody should ever have to hear about any human being.

PFT's Hot Seat was the power outage in Tallahassee, where a car hit a transformer and turned college football into a genuinely chaotic production. That led to the important question of whether Mike Norvell is the most pre-fired coach in history. Big Cat's answer was essentially yes, while Max and Hank conducted a silent staring contest that required the verbal equivalent of a zoo divider.

Big Cat later praised the old-school umpire power trip after Doug Eddings demanded a pitcher's hat be worn correctly, then ejected the Cardinals manager during a pitching change. His position was complicated but clear: the umpire was being a “douche bag asshole,” yet there is still something beautiful about an official deciding, “This is my game now.”

Schrager Sees A Giants Breakout

Peter Schrager joined with a new ESPN show, a deep archive of old SportsCenter clips, and a surprisingly aggressive belief in the 2026 Giants. He said the team felt completely different after spending two weeks together in West Virginia, praised Jackson Dart, and predicted New York could reach double-digit wins. Big Cat, who had just made the Giants his sneaky playoff pick, suddenly had an expert witness.

Open
Sep 9, 2026
#31370
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The Giants could be a double-digit-win team

I think the Giants are gonna be very good. ... I think they could be a double-digit team this season.

The Giants' 2026 win total has not been finalized as of the episode date.

Schrager also sees Cleveland as a team capable of ruining somebody's Sunday. He is not calling the Browns a Super Bowl team, but he likes the defense, the drafts, and the general difficulty of tanking when every player and coach is fighting for a job.

Open
Sep 9, 2026
#31371
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The Browns will win roughly seven or eight games

I think Cleveland's gonna be a pain in the ass. I think they might be pretty good. I'm talking like seven, eight wins, better than they've been in the past.

The Browns' 2026 regular-season win total has not been finalized as of the episode date.

The biggest surprise came when Schrager finally made his Super Bowl pick. After years of success with championship predictions, he went Rams over Ravens, trusting Sean McVay's machine while admitting that the Aaron Donald return and Matthew Stafford's health are the two giant questions looming over Los Angeles.

Open
Sep 9, 2026
#31372
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The Rams will beat the Ravens in the Super Bowl

I'm going with Rams versus Ravens. And when it's all said and done, I've got the Rams winning at home again in the Super Bowl.

The 2026 Super Bowl has not occurred as of the episode date.

He also downgraded the Chiefs from his usual “Chiefs Super Bowl, let's go” position to something closer to “probably a wild card, I guess.” Patrick Mahomes' recovery, the offensive line, and a rebuilt secondary have Schrager unusually cautious. PFT then wondered whether Tyreek Hill's increasingly cryptic tweets were the first signs of a Kansas City reunion, because no NFL rumor is allowed to remain a normal NFL rumor.

Open
Sep 9, 2026
#31374
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The Chiefs are more likely a wild-card team than a Super Bowl team

I've learned in all these years to not doubt Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. So I would say I'm leaning more towards wild card team than out of the playoffs. ... I'm usually like, Chiefs Super Bowl, let's go. I can't do that this year.

The Chiefs' 2026 playoff outcome has not been resolved as of the episode date.

The Draft Lottery That Would Ruin Tanking

Asked what he would do as commissioner, Schrager proposed an NFL draft lottery with weighted odds for the worst teams. Big Cat hated the idea on the grounds that a two-win team deserves the first pick after suffering through two wins, while Schrager countered that the league could turn the lottery into a massive television event.

Void
Sep 9, 2026
#31375
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The NFL should use a weighted draft lottery

The first thing I would do is I would institute an NFL draft lottery. ... You have to go out and try to do everything. You might as well.

This is a policy opinion rather than a factual prediction, so it is inherently subjective.

The argument eventually drifted into the NFL's global expansion, flag football, brain health, and whether putting games on every possible day will eventually damage the scarcity that makes Sundays feel different. Big Cat's proposed first rule as commissioner remains much simpler: no more international games.

Cam Skattebo Is Back

Cam Skattebo brought the exact energy expected from a running back who once puked on national television after carrying the ball seven straight times. He talked through the ankle injury, rehab, his habit of causing trouble while staying technically out of trouble, and the infamous childhood story about running into telephone poles wearing his brother's pads. His own verdict: if his mother says it happened, it happened.

Skattebo is healthy, comfortable in Brian Daboll's physical Giants environment, and ready to resume violently introducing himself to defenders. He also confirmed that the 2,000-yard goal is still alive, especially now that New York is committed to running the ball and Najee Harris is in the room.

Open
Sep 9, 2026
#31376
CS
Cam Skattebo

I am still chasing 2,000 rushing yards

That's the goal. I mean, it's a hard goal, but if you have put something out in reach that you can possibly not reach or possibly can reach, there's always a chance. I'm gonna continue to push. We got a new sign, we got Najee back, so we've got Najee over here. So we're gonna really run the ball this year. I'm excited for it.

Skattebo's 2026 rushing total will not be known until the regular season concludes.

For the crucial philosophical question, lower the shoulder or deliver the stiff-arm, Skattebo chose the stiff-arm. “Sending somebody out the club” apparently beats almost every other feeling available to a professional running back.

Void
Sep 9, 2026
#31377
CS
Cam Skattebo

A perfectly timed stiff-arm feels better than running through someone's chest

I think a perfectly timed stiff-arm. Sending somebody out the club is like the best feeling.

This is a subjective preference about the feel of playing running back.

He also defended the blue-tent incident where he checked on Jackson Dart, described the Giants' headbutt-based greetings, and explained that Dart believes he could beat him in a cage fight. PFT and Big Cat immediately ruled that an absolute impossibility. Skattebo did not back down, which is probably why the Giants keep him around.

Pardon Your Takes

The listener takes featured Baker Mayfield trade fantasies, a possible Joe Burrow-to-the-Rams future, and an Eagles fan's dream of realizing halfway through the season that Jalen Hurts is not good enough. The most tortured submission came from someone who had spent ten years wondering why a college football holder can keep a knee down during a kick. Big Cat Googled it on air, discovered it is explicitly written into the rulebook, and accidentally gave this listener permission to begin the rest of his life.

The show closed with numbers, birthdays, 69 requests for Kolten, and the shocking news that LIV Golf filed for bankruptcy. Hank's analysis was that successful companies do this all the time, citing America being trillions of dollars in debt as proof that everything is fine. Football is back, financial literacy is not, and the Patriots are apparently winning the Super Bowl again.

nfl-season-pickspeter-schragercam-skattebogiantssuper-bowlnfl-playoffs

More Takes

Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31354
MemesMemes

The Jets will win the AFC East

AFC East winners: Jets. I don't care if I'm right about this one, but it would be nice to pick somebody else.

The 2026 AFC East outcome has not been resolved as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31355
MemesMemes

The Bengals will beat the Rams in a Super Bowl rematch

Super Bowl matchup: Bengals v. Rams rematch. In LA. Bengals come out on top.

The 2026 Super Bowl matchup and winner have not occurred as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31356
MaxMax

The Chiefs will bounce back and win the AFC West

The Chiefs are gonna come back. Everyone's down. The Chiefs are gonna come back.

The 2026 AFC West standings have not been resolved as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31357
MaxMax

The Eagles will win the Super Bowl over the Chargers

Eagles still win the Super Bowl over the Chargers. The Chargers are gonna get healthy throughout the year.

The 2026 Super Bowl has not occurred as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31358
ZacZac

The Bengals will win the Super Bowl

Super Bowl winner, we're gonna go with the Bengals. They're gonna play against the Lions. ... That's going to be the Bengals.

The 2026 Super Bowl has not occurred as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31359
ZacZac

Bryce Young will be the least improved player

Least improved, I'm gonna go with Bryce Young.

The 2026 NFL season performance has not been resolved as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31361
HankHank

Drake May will win MVP

I have Drake May as MVP.

The 2026 NFL MVP has not been awarded as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31362
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders will win the NFC East

The Washington Commanders ... [are] shocking the world winning that division.

The 2026 NFC East outcome has not been resolved as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31363
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills will beat the Lions in overtime

My Super Bowl is Bills and Lions and I got the Bills winning in overtime.

The 2026 Super Bowl has not occurred as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31364
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Justin Herbert will win MVP after an amazing regular season

Justin Herbert's gonna have this year. It's gonna be an amazing regular season. MVP regular season for Justin Herbert.

The 2026 NFL MVP has not been awarded as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31366
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl

It is going to be the Buffalo Bills defeating the Philadelphia Eagles. ... Buffalo Bills over the Philadelphia Eagles.

The 2026 Super Bowl has not occurred as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31368
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will go 10-7

For the Bears, I did the blind win-losses. I have the Bears at 10 and 7. I think our defense is going to be really bad. We're gonna have to win a lot of shootouts.

The Bears' 2026 regular-season record has not been finalized as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026·Picks
#31378
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ben Johnson's designed downfield laterals have produced zero turnovers

There were 33 designed downfield laterals thrown over the last two seasons, not counting end-of-game scenarios. You know how many turnovers there were off those 33? Zero. Ben Johnson's gonna dial it up.

The transcript presents this as a historical statistical claim that can be checked against the referenced two-season play data.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Steelers can average more than 24 points per game

You have to think it's possible for the Steelers to average more than 24 points a game. And everyone's gonna call you crazy until you do it.

The Steelers' 2026 scoring average will not be known until the regular season concludes.
Open
Sep 9, 2026
#31379
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The Bengals will make the playoffs

I would think with 11 returning starters on offense and a really good defense and two of the best players in all of football in Burrow and Chase, that they are a playoff team in the AFC.

The Bengals' 2026 playoff status has not been determined as of the episode date.
Open
Sep 9, 2026
#31373
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

Caleb Williams will make the biggest leap of the three young quarterbacks

I do think Caleb has a lot more he can do. So I'm gonna say Caleb's gonna be the one that's gonna hit these new ceilings.

The 2026 quarterback outcomes have not been resolved as of the episode date.
Void
Sep 9, 2026
#31380
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL is risking its scarcity by putting games everywhere

There is an actual argument to be made about the scarcity of the NFL and why it's so popular, and we are going to eventually screw that up when it's like you put a game on every single night.

This is a forward-looking opinion about the effects of NFL scheduling and cannot be definitively judged as right or wrong.

Transcript

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