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Andy Staples

Andy Staples

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2018 — Present
31W·28L·12P·4 open
college footballfootballmedia71 scored

All Takes

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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Indiana is the favorite to win the national championship among the remaining four teams

I think you'd have to call Indiana the favorite. I mean, they, they've been the most consistent all year long. They've played the best in the biggest games all year long. And that goes back to, to when they went to Eugene and beat Oregon.

Indiana was the favorite and won the national championship 27-21 over Miami, completing a 16-0 season.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Oregon's Kenyon Sadiq is a unique weapon with no equal in college football

Kenyon Sadiq, their tight end. There's nobody like Kenyon Sadiq in the whole country. He's, you know, 240 pounds, but runs like a, a really fast corner.

This is a subjective evaluation of a player's physical uniqueness and talent compared to his peers.
Win
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The winner of Oregon vs. Indiana will be the favorite to win the national championship

Whoever wins this game is gonna be favored in the national championship. I think it's, yeah, it's fair to point out that while Indiana looks super impressive... Oregon appears to be a much more formidable opponent.

Andy Staples predicted the winner of Oregon vs. Indiana in the CFP semifinal would be favored in the national championship. Indiana routed Oregon 56-22 and then entered the national championship as the #1 seed and favorite against #10 Miami, which they won 27-21.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

If a college coach doesn't show significant improvement by Year 2, the hire was a failure

If your guy's not getting it done by year two, you blew the hire. That's, that's it. In this era, you blew the hire, if your guy's not good by year two.

Subjective philosophy on coaching timelines, though increasingly supported by recent successful turnarounds.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Ohio State offensive coordinator Brian Hartline would be a home run hire for a Big 10 head coaching job

What about Brian Hartline, the offensive coordinator at Ohio State? Best receivers coach in the world. I will say that like the, I'm not being hyperbolic. He's, he's better than anybody else in college and probably better than anybody in the NFL. He's one of the best recruiters ever. Heartline because of who he can recruit to your program probably commands a little bit higher first step.

Hartline has not yet taken a head coaching job as of mid-2024, but his 'home run' status is subjective.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

LSU is the premier coaching job opening in college football

I had LSU number one and I had Florida number two. And the reason I had LSU number one, three of the last four coaches have won national titles... every kid who lives in the state grows up in the state, wants a, wants to grow up and be a Tiger. LSU has an advantage that only Ohio State really has anywhere else.

Expert opinion on job desirability.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Arkansas is a top-4 coaching job because of corporate NIL funding

My number four is, is gonna piss off some people... Arkansas. I looked at the John Calipari hire in basketball. Tyson Foods obviously putting a lot of the money toward that. They have massive corporate support there. Walmart's all over their field and all over their stadium. If they get their corporate money excited, you can be funded very well at Arkansas.

Opinion on job ranking based on NIL potential.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Willie Fritz at Houston is the blueprint for the next 'Curt Cignetti' hire

If you're looking for the Curt Cignetti profile—guy in his sixties who's coached at all these different levels and won—it's actually Willie Fritz at Houston. He is 65 and has won at Sam Houston State and Georgia Southern and Tulane. That he's the model for that.

Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Schools should offer Nick Saban $30 million a year to return to coaching

For Saban, I would offer 30 million. When he was at Alabama, I tried to calculate what he's actually worth... and 30 million was still a bargain. Offer Nick Saban 30 million and see if he'll leave college game day. I don't think he will.

Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs are the two best defensive players in the country

Ohio State is the one that feels different from the others. I think I can confidently say Ohio State has the best two defensive players in the country in Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs.

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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Iowa is a playoff contender if they run the table and beat Oregon and USC

I'll give you a one that I think is really interesting and they're not even ranked yet... Iowa. Iowa's gotta run the table. But they're if they can [beat Oregon and USC], they're in. Given the way Iowa's played... they get Oregon at home. If you can beat both those two teams, you can win out and you will make the playoff at 10-2.

Iowa finished 9-4 (6-3 Big Ten) in 2025, losing key games to top-20 opponents. They did not run the table or make the College Football Playoff. Andy Staples' conditional prediction did not come to fruition as Iowa could not beat the teams they needed to.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Memphis will be the Group of Five representative in the 12-team playoff

I have Memphis as the team coming outta the group of five. I still think it's gonna be the American champ, whether that's Memphis, Tulane, USF or Navy. But Memphis looks good.

Memphis did not make the College Football Playoff. They lost to Tulane, who went on to win the AAC championship and became the Group of Five representative. James Madison (Sun Belt) also made it as a second Group of Five team. Memphis was not the G5 representative.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The Tennessee vs Oklahoma game is a playoff elimination game where the winner is alive and the loser is dead

I'd say the game that intrigues me most is a pure playoff elimination game in Knoxville. Tennessee, Oklahoma, absolute winner is alive, loser is dead. And the Oklahoma fans very down on Brent Venables. They'll love him if he wins. The Tennessee fans love Josh Heupel. They'll be down on him if he loses.

Andy Staples called Tennessee-Oklahoma a playoff elimination game where the loser is dead. Oklahoma won 33-27 on November 1, and Tennessee's CFP hopes were effectively ended, validating the take.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Billy Napier's firing at Florida is inevitable and could happen soon

It feels inevitable that that he'll get fired. But the problem guys is it felt inevitable last year... I don't see a way out of this for Billy because they're gonna lose. You would think most of these games against the good teams.

Billy Napier was fired by Florida on October 19, 2025, after a 3-4 start to the season. His firing was indeed inevitable as predicted.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Diego Pavia makes any team better and you can never pick against him

I'll never pick against Diego Pavia again, I've decided, 'cause I picked South Carolina last week. The guy's just a fricking dog. Period. Like, is there any team that wouldn't be made better by Diego Pavia being their quarterback right now?

Pavia led Vanderbilt to a historic upset over Alabama later that season, proving Staples right about his impact and grit.
Loss
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Arch Manning stinks right now and is a fundamentally different quarterback than we expected

I don't know what the hell this is. It looks like he's throwing from a different arm slot... I thought maybe he could be average at worst. I don't know what the hell this is... it does feel like it's mental. It feels like the yips almost.

Arch Manning improved significantly as the 2025 season progressed, finishing with 2,942 yards, 24 TDs, and an 8-3 record. While he had early struggles, he settled in and was a capable starter, not someone who 'stinks.'
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Texas A&M might have the best portal receiver haul in the country

[Texas] A&M hit on Mario Craver and Cyrus Allen, the two guys at receiver they got outta the portal. That might be the best receiver hall outta the portal so far this year. We may find out that A&M's offense is just really, really good.

Texas A&M's receivers were solid but didn't emerge as the definitive best group in the country as the season progressed.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Miami is a complete team and a great value at 16-to-1 to win the National Championship

I would put them [Miami] above LSU in Texas. 'Cause it's easier for them to make the playoffs... they fixed the defense. The defense stunk last year... they're a much more complete team.

Miami made the CFP National Championship game (losing 21-27 to Indiana), validating them as a contender. But the 16-to-1 bet didn't pay off.
Loss
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Utah is the favorite to win the Big 12 if they beat Texas Tech this weekend

If... Utah wins [this weekend], Utah is your favorite in the Big 12. I can't wait to see this because... Utah probably has the best offensive line in the Big 12.

Utah struggled significantly as the season went on, largely due to injuries to key players like Cam Rising, and they did not win the Big 12.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Alabama will not drop off in talent significantly following Nick Saban's retirement

I'm much higher on Alabama than I think most people are. I don't think they drop off that much. I remember going up there in the spring and just looking at the amount of aliens walking around on the field. It hasn't changed... They're still top three in talent in the whole country.

Alabama remained highly competitive, making the playoff and maintaining high-level talent on the roster.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Tennessee has its deepest defensive line in over 20 years

Deepest defensive line they've had since I was a baby beat writer covering Tennessee. And they had John Henderson and Albert Haynesworth and Will Overstreet. It's been a long time since Tennessee's been that stacked on the D line.

Tennessee's defensive line was statistically one of the best in the country in 2024, validating this take.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Cam Ward's season at Miami will be 'feast or famine' given his history of high-risk play

Miami has the roster and the schedule for [a playoff run]. Cam Ward... I will tell you from watching Cam Ward through the years, it's a little feast or famine there. So we're gonna find out how he deals with [the environment].

Ward has been a Heisman frontrunner for much of the 2024 season, though the 'feast or famine' nature was visible in several close Miami wins.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Indiana is a lock to make a bowl game and cash the over on their 5.5 win total

Indiana's gonna be good, aren't they? They basically took half a JMU'S team from last year... I'm all in on Indiana making a bowl game and cashing that over ticket.

Indiana started the 2024 season 10-0, easily clearing their win total and securing a bowl berth by early October.
Loss
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Ohio State has zero excuses and must win the National Title this year

They really is no excuse. Not only should they win the Big 10, they should win the national title. There's no excuse. It is national title or bust. You're not really gonna miss Marv [Marvin Harrison Jr.] because they have Jeremiah Smith.

Ohio State failed to win the Big 10 and the National Title, making this a failed expectation despite the roster talent.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Nebraska will likely start the 2024 season 6-1 or 7-0

I'm looking at their schedule... six and one or seven and oh going to the Ohio State game is not out of the realm of possibility for Nebraska. I want it so bad because they'll have that little number next to their name.

Nebraska started the season 5-1 but finished 5-7, falling short of the 6-1 or 7-0 prediction by the time they reached Ohio State (they were 5-2).
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Kansas State is my pick to win the Big 12 championship and earn a playoff bye

My number four seed is my Big 12 champ. I am going with Kansas State though... I've been driving the Avery Johnson bandwagon, I'm gonna keep driving it.

Kansas State did not win the 2024 Big 12 Championship. Arizona State defeated Iowa State 45-19 in the Big 12 title game. Kansas State did not even make the championship game.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The USC defense 'cannot be worse' than it was last year under Alex Grinch

They cannot be worse on defense... If their defense doesn't get significantly better, they might struggle... D'Anton Lynn went and got some guys that fit what he wants... USC's gonna have the right size guys in those positions now.

The USC defense did statistically improve under Lynn, though the team's overall record suffered due to other factors in their first Big Ten season.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

NIL is the primary reason Nick Saban decided to retire.

I think that the NIL stuff would be number one outta that bunch. [The NIL part] was something that bothered him... Texas is coming into the SEC Oklahoma's coming into the SEC, they gotta deal with LSU. Tennessee's very well funded. Like you can't make more rich people in Alabama... You're not gonna have as many people as they care deeply about Texas and Texas A&M football 'cause they just have more people.

While Saban hinted at these frustrations in later interviews, the exact primary reason for his retirement remains a mix of factors including age and family.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The Alabama job is still a top three job but harder than Georgia and Ohio State

I still think [Georgia's] the best job. I think it's easier to recruit to Georgia... Ohio State's probably a better job because the way you dominate that state... Alabama is a little bit harder than those jobs. And Nick Saban made it look easy.

Subjective ranking of jobs.
Loss
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Mike Norvell is my guess for the next Alabama head coach

I'm going to say Mike Norvell. That is going to be my guess. He's been recruiting in this area... Florida State has to recruit against Alabama, Auburn...

The Alabama job was ultimately taken by Washington's Kalen DeBoer.
Open
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The next Alabama head coach will be expected to win a National Title within three years.

Your job at Alabama is to win the national title every year... The Alabama fan base will not be patient. But I think the administration given like if, if the the person is making reasonable progress toward national titles... the administration's probably gonna be fine with that. But the fan base will be raising holy hell if they're not winning national titles in three years.

Kalen DeBoer was hired; we will see if he wins a title by the end of the 2026-27 season.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Alabama will win the SEC West now that they have committed to Jalen Milroe

Alabama, we buried Alabama. Unfortunately for us, we didn't look at the schedule because they are gonna win the SEC west... now that they've decided on Jalen Milroe as their quarterback and they're actually building an offense around him running plays that work for him.

Alabama did win the SEC West and the SEC Championship in 2023.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Texas is a legitimate National Title contender because of their improved line play

Texas... I think they're very good now. I think they're legitimate college football playoff legit. The difference with Texas this year versus Texas really since 2009 is there are legitimate NFL players on both sides of the line of scrimmage... they've developed them and these dudes can play.

Texas won the Big 12 and made their first College Football Playoff appearance in 2023.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Miami is 'back' as a 10-win caliber team this year

Miami... Mario Cristobal was singing the praises [of his O-line]. And then you saw 'em against A&M and they protected Tyler Van Dyke very well... I'm thinking maybe Miami's pretty good. I don't think they're that team [from last year] anymore.

Miami finished the 2023 season 7-6, failing to reach the 10-win benchmark Staples was hinting at.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Caleb Williams is the most 'can't-miss' QB prospect since Andrew Luck

Caleb Williams is the most can't miss since Trevor Lawrence or Andrew Luck... Because the man makes magic. Mahomes-esque. Very, very similar. Different arm angles that sort of thing.

Williams was selected #1 overall in the 2024 NFL Draft, validating the 'can't miss' status as a prospect.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Penn State is a legitimate national title contender in 2023

Penn State is loaded with freaky talent this year. Like they could really be a Big 10 title contender. And if you're a Big 10 title contender, it means you could actually be a national title contender.

Penn State lost to Michigan and Ohio State, failing to qualify for the Big Ten Championship or the CFP.
Loss
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Texas will fail to win 10 games and miss out on a Big 12 title

Texas is gonna be favored to win the Big 12... But I've seen too many times. I need to see them win these games before I can believe. And so like, the total is nine and a half. I picked the under and everybody went nuts.

Texas finished the regular season 11-1 and won the Big 12 title, finishing with 12 total wins before the CFP.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Kentucky is a dark horse to surprise the SEC in 2023

Kentucky seems to have fixed a lot of the things that caused problems last year... They've got Devin Leary now... They could be quite a bit better. That's one that if you're Tennessee, if you're Florida, if you're South Carolina, you're worried about them right being considerably better than they were last year.

Kentucky finished 7-6, which was actually the same record they had the previous year. They did not significantly 'surprise' the conference.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Michigan is the best-positioned team to win the national championship in 2023

Michigan, this is the best chance Michigan has to win a national championship. It feels like this is the culmination of everything Harbaugh's built.

Michigan went undefeated and won the National Championship.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Michigan could have 20 players drafted off their 2023 roster

Jim Harbaugh told my friend Bruce Feldman, he thinks 20 guys are gonna get drafted off this roster... Jim Naggie from the Senior Bowl said he thinks there's seven offensive linemen who are draft eligible... who he thinks will be in NFL camps next year. Dudes that aren't even gonna start. And that is a lot of talent.

Michigan set a program record with 13 players drafted in 2024, but fell well short of the claimed 20.
Loss
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Jim Harbaugh will coach every game this season despite the NCAA investigation

He'll coach all the games this year because basically... they wouldn't even have the hearing probably till after the season. You wouldn't find out the results of that till months after that. So Jim Harbaugh, you know, he may be the NFL by that point.

Harbaugh was suspended for the first three games (self-imposed) and the final three regular-season games (by the Big Ten).
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

College Football Playoff prediction: Georgia, Michigan, Oregon, and Alabama

I'm gonna go Georgia, Michigan. I'm gonna go Oregon. I'm gonna say Oregon wins the Pac-12. First Pac-12 playoff participant since 2016. And then Alabama.

Staples correctly predicted Michigan and Alabama, but Georgia and Oregon failed to make the Playoff.
Win
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Notre Dame will cover -20.5 against Navy in Ireland

I kind of like Notre Dame to cover against Navy. And I realize it's 20 and a half. But I, I'm, I'm excited to see Sam Hartman in that Notre Dame offense.

Notre Dame defeated Navy 42-3, easily covering the 20.5-point spread.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Tennessee is the best they have been since their 1998 national title team

This is the best Tennessee team since the [1998 team] led to a national title. Yep, for sure.

Tennessee finished the 2022 season 11-2 and won the Orange Bowl, their highest win total and best finish since 2001 (and arguably 1998 in terms of hype).
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Alabama's dynasty isn't dead, but NIL and depth issues have made them beatable

I don't think it's dead... but what I do think has happened, I blame Kirby Smart for a lot of it. Kirby Smart's been at Georgia now since 2016 and every year he's been there, he's sheared off a few guys that would've signed with Alabama... If you sign 20 of those guys a year instead of 25... your depth suffers.

Alabama missed the playoff in 2022 and struggled in several close games, supporting the 'beatable' thesis.
Win
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Brian Harsin will not be the coach at Auburn in 2023

Clearly he will not be the coach at Auburn in 2023. The, the problem for Harsin... his first year at Auburn, they looked at his recruiting and they're like, Did you go after anybody that Nick Saban and Kirby Smart wanted? ... And the answer was no.

Harsin was fired on October 31, 2022, just 12 days after this episode aired.
Push
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Matt Rhule will do TV for a year and then get another big college job

My guess is he does TV and then waits this cycle out and, and sees what's available next cycle... he'll be beloved on tv. Unlike most head coaches at that level, he can have a normal human conversation.

Rhule actually jumped back into coaching very quickly, taking the Nebraska job in November 2022, though he did some media spots in the interim.
Loss
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The maximum chaos scenario for the College Football Playoff is four SEC teams (Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Ole Miss) making the field

I'm just saying, people are asking: could Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Ole Miss be the playoff? [If] Tennessee and Georgia play an absolute classic... Alabama goes to Atlanta to face undefeated Georgia, beats them close... someone knocks off TCU, Clemson loses... It's all coming together for the SEC.

This did not happen. The 2022 Playoff consisted of Georgia, Michigan, TCU, and Ohio State. Only one SEC team (Georgia) made it.
Loss
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Lance Leipold is the favorite for the Nebraska head coaching job

I think Lance Leipold would be your favorite. He's the Kansas coach and did a great job... he has, Kansas was a bigger dumpster fire when he got there than Nebraska is now. And that's saying something. He understands the lay of the land very well.

Nebraska ultimately hired Matt Rhule on November 26, 2022. Leipold stayed at Kansas.
Void
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The Big 12 should offer Oregon and Washington a 'dream job' buyout clause to lure them away from the Pac-12

What I think the Big 12 should do is go to Oregon, Washington, be like... here's what we're going to do. You're going to come with us and we're going to put a clause in your deal that just says you want out fine. You're out. If the Big 10 is, you know... dream job buyout, or dream job clause. Do that and you get them, and then you'll get Utah and Colorado and you'll get whoever else you want from that league.

The Big 12 did not use this specific clause; Oregon and Washington eventually joined the Big Ten directly in 2023, while Colorado and others moved to the Big 12 on standard terms.

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