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Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers would be a 10-win playoff team if Big Ben provided even average QB play

If you just play average football the Steelers win 10 games this year and are in the playoffs.

The Steelers finished 8-8 with bottom-tier QB play; it is highly probable average play would have netted two more wins.

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Loss
Dec 30, 2019
#579
Big CatBig Cat

Pete Carroll took a deliberate delay of game to avoid another goal-line mistake with Marshawn Lynch

I actually think conspiracy theory here that Pete Carroll took the delay game on purpose because he didn't want to be stuck in a situation where he screwed up on the one-yard line again with Marshawn Lynch back... Pete Carroll kind of saved himself from himself by backing it up to the 6-yard line.

While the delay of game was a major mistake, there is no evidence it was a psychological ploy by Carroll to avoid a goal-line decision.
Void
Dec 30, 2019
#580
Big CatBig Cat

Russell Wilson is the best quarterback to have with the ball at the end of a game

In terms of quarterbacks I want to have the ball at the end of the game, [Russell Wilson] is my number one. Yeah, he's my number one, even though they didn't score there, he's still my number one because he did everything to get them to score.

Subjective opinion on quarterback clutchness.
Win
Dec 30, 2019
#581
Big CatBig Cat

Kyle Shanahan lowered the 49ers' win probability by 19% by punting on fourth and one

Kyle Shanahan you kind of let me down by punting there on fourth and one when your offense is so good... their percentage to win the game went down by 19 percent by punting instead of going I thought they should have gone for it.

Analytical models at the time generally agreed that punting in that specific high-leverage fourth-and-short situation was a significant win-probability error.

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Big CatBig Cat

I love the DJ Moore trade for the Bears because it clears cap space for Max Crosby or Tyler Linderbaum

I love this trade because you clear up money. [DJ Moore's] got a big pretty hefty contract so you clear up money to maybe go get a Max Crosby or a Linderbaum. You get a pick and you make the bet that Luther Burden and Rome Odunze are gonna be taking leaps forward.

The trade is real in this transcript's timeline. The outcome of the cap space usage depends on free agency results.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

DJ Moore would not have had a 1,000-yard season if he stayed in the Bears' offense

He could have a thousand yards [with the Bills] and be like, wow. How, how could you trade him? He wouldn't have had a thousand yards in this Bear's offense.

Moore finished the 2023 season with 1,364 yards for the Bears, so this retrospective hypothetical is likely incorrect as he had already proven he could do it.
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Big CatBig Cat

Malik Willis is the #1 free agent backup quarterback

Top quarterback free agents... Is it also Malik Willis? Malik Willis is, yes. So he's number one. Malik Willis one.

Willis was traded to the Packers in 2024 and performed well as a backup, but ranking him #1 over established vets is a subjective value judgment.

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