PMTPMT DB

Takes

Open
Take Slip·Jan 31, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0131-16438
Big CatBig Cat

Dallas Goedert will have over 60 receiving yards in Super Bowl 59

I'm going, I think this has gotta be a huge Dallas Goedert game. So I'm going Dallas Goedert over 60 yards receiving plus one 19. So it's plus money. I think this is Dallas Goedert game. I think he's got to eat. He's also, he leads the Eagles in, in receiving yards in the Playoffs.

The Super Bowl hasn't happened yet at the time of the episode.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 20, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0120-3012
HankHank

The Eagles have a better chance of beating the Chiefs than the Commanders do

The Eagles have a much better chance to beat the Chiefs. That's true. And so I don't, I don't, I don't wanna root for the Commanders, have them win and then just get smoked by the Chiefs and then Threepeat.

The Eagles were favored over the Commanders in the NFC title game, supporting the idea they are viewed as 'better'.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 17, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0117-12181
Big CatBig Cat

Patrick Mahomes is basically lights out in the Divisional Round

He plays in this divisional round and he's basically just, he's, I mean he's undefeated. He lights out. That's just what happens. He is six and oh. He has 1,813 total yards, 16 touchdowns... zero interceptions.

Mahomes was 6-0 in divisional games prior to 2025. In the 2025 divisional round, the Chiefs beat the Texans, making him 7-0.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 17, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0117-12182
Big CatBig Cat

Travis Kelce ramps it up in the playoffs compared to the regular season

I do think this is where Travis Kelce ramps it up. Like, I like his over yards. I think this is, he, he, he plays in second gear for the majority of the regular season. And then when you get to these points... it's Travis Kelce or Mahomes using his feet.

Kelce historically has higher output in the playoffs, though this specific game's stats would be needed to verify for the 2025 divisional round.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 17, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0117-12183
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Commanders keep the Lions game within one score in the 4th quarter, they will win

If we can keep it within a score, Jaden Daniels can go out there and win the game. And the Lions' buttholes might get tight.

The outcome of the Lions vs. Commanders 2025 divisional game will determine this.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 17, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0117-12184
Big CatBig Cat

Vic Fangio will dial up something to stifle the Rams offense

I think Vic Fangio is gonna have, he's gonna dial some shit up. Stafford, older, doesn't play well in cold weather. I think Vic Fangio is gonna have, he's gonna dial some shit up.

Outcome of the Rams-Eagles divisional game will determine correctness.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 17, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0117-12185
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lamar Jackson may struggle because he doesn't like the cold

Coldest game that Lamar Jackson's ever played. Guess what it was? 27. This is eight degrees is very different from 27. Lamar, in their earlier matchup this season, the temperature was like 60 and he was wearing a hoodie and a beanie for it. I don't know that Lamar loves the cold.

Lamar's performance in the 8-degree Buffalo game will determine this.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0110-2280
Big CatBig Cat

Only five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl

I have five teams... Philadelphia Eagles, the Detroit Lions, the Baltimore Ravens, the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills.

The season is still in progress; will be determined by Super Bowl LIX results.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0110-2281
Big CatBig Cat

The Chargers will beat the Texans in the Wild Card round

Everything we just have said is just like, you should just take the [under]... I do think the Chargers win. I'm a little nervous about three just because it does feel like it's going to be a low scoring knockdown, drag out fight.

The Chargers defeated the Texans 24-10 in the Wild Card round.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0110-2282
Big CatBig Cat

I love the over in the Bills vs. Broncos game

I think I love the over in this game. I love it. Love it, love it. I think that the, I mean the weakness of the bills is their defense has not been great... And Josh Allen has been playing out of his mind and I think that he will not be stopped either.

The Bills beat the Broncos 38-17. The total was 55, which went over the pre-game line of 46.5.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0110-2283
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jaden Daniels will run all over the Buccaneers

I think Jayden is going to run the fuck outta the football. And I think Austin Eckler is gonna run the fuck outta the football. I think that Todd Bowles is going to, if he tries to blitz Jayden the way that he did in week one, it's not gonna end up well for him.

Daniels had a solid rushing day but the Commanders lost the game to the Buccaneers.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0103-2437
Big CatBig Cat

I would rather have Mike McCarthy as my head coach than Brian Flores

I'd much rather have if given a choice, Mike McCarthy over Brian Flores... I think Brian Flores could be a very good head coach with a well established quarterback in place... I just don't want a defensive coach and I don't, I want Ben Johnson.

Void
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0103-2438
Big CatBig Cat

George Kittle is a first-ballot Hall of Famer

George Kittle should be in Canton. He is the fourth tight end all time to have four 1,000 yard seasons... George Kittle should be in a gold jacket. We'll start working on a PowerPoint. But he's an absolute monster.

Open
Take Slip·Dec 27, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1227-15167
Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers will cover +8 against the Buccaneers

I'll take the Panthers plus eight... I think the Panthers are live in this game... full on like the Panthers and the Cowboys are the two teams that stink but are playing actually good ball in the last month and feels like they're just ready to play spoiler.

Check the score of Panthers vs Bucs in Week 17 (Dec 29, 2024).
Win
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4841
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Mixon is a bust whenever he plays a top-12 rush defense

Kansas City has the seventh ranked rush defense, according to DVOA Joe Mixon rushing... Anytime he's had to play a top 12 rush defense... he has been bust. And if the Texans can't run the ball, I really don't like this offense.

In the game following this take, Mixon had 12 carries for only 36 yards (3.0 avg) against the Chiefs' elite run defense, confirming the trend.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4843
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

TJ Watt's injury might be a psychological 'Art of War' ploy to trick the Ravens

I have a theory about TJ Watt's injury... I think this could be an Art of War situation. Sun Sue Art of War. Make your enemy think that you were weak when you were strong... Start throwing out the one in 10 without TJ Watts Stats... Let people start thinking during the week of practice. Maybe TJ's not gonna be playing this week.

Watt did play and had 1.5 sacks in the game, but there is no evidence the injury was a fabricated 'psy-op'.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4844
Big CatBig Cat

Lamar Jackson will win MVP because of standalone games, but Josh Allen deserves it more

Lamar [Jackson] might win it just because he plays two standalone games. And that's all this award ends up coming down to... I think it should be Josh Allen. But I also understand that this award becomes narratives.

Josh Allen eventually won the 2024 NFL MVP award, though Big Cat correctly identified Lamar's strong candidacy.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4847
Big CatBig Cat

Any quarterback who loses their first Super Bowl appearance never returns to the big game

The curse of Jim Kelly is a curse that just hit the internet... essentially it's any quarterback that goes to a Super Bowl and loses their first one never goes back to the Super Bowl. Jalen Hurts did that... Stan Humphreys, Neil O'Donnell, drew Bledsoe... Joe Burrow. Jalen Hurts. Brock Purdy.

Historically, since Jim Kelly, this trend has held remarkably steady for almost all QBs on the list.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4848
HankHank

I bet $5,000 on the Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

I put a bomb future down and I put it on the Eagles. I almost five have five grand on the Eagles plus four 50. That, that I almost biggest, that'll be the biggest bet I've ever won.

The Eagles were eliminated in the NFC Championship Game by the Detroit Lions.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4849
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michael Penix Jr. is the guy to finally unlock Bijan Robinson and Kyle Pitts

I think [Michael Penix Jr.] might be the guy to finally unlock Bijan [Robinson] and give us a proper... maybe Kyle Pitts just needs a left-handed quarterback.

While Penix showed promise, the Falcons' offensive output remained inconsistent under the new QB during the final weeks.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4850
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike Vrabel and Josh McDaniels will be the next New England Patriots coaching duo

Vrabel McDaniels... that's the combo. [Josh] McDaniels had Mac Jones in the Pro Bowl... give me Vrabel and McDaniels and I am pumped.

The Patriots retained Jerod Mayo as head coach for the start of the next season cycle.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1213-8774
MemesMemes

The New York Jets will dominate the Jacksonville Jaguars

I think this is gonna be a shit kicking by the Jets... This is actually my game of the year. I think they're gonna take all the frustrations out of this dog shit season onto the Jaguars Sunday.

The Jets beat the Jaguars 24-21, so they won but did not deliver a 'shit kicking'.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1213-8778
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions defense struggles against running quarterbacks

This is the week that the lions all their defensive injuries... This is an elite elite offense. And Aaron Glenn, I know this from experience because Justin Fields used to play well against Lions. Aaron Glenn's defenses don't do well against running quarterbacks. He refuses to do a spy.

Josh Allen did have success running against the Lions, scoring multiple rushing touchdowns in their Week 15 matchup.
Open
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1213-8776
Big CatBig Cat

Bills vs. Lions is a potential Super Bowl preview

Possible Super Bowl preview. This would be my dream Super Bowl matchup in terms of fans... in New Orleans. Holy shit. Would it rock just like partying with Lions and Bills fans all week.

Outcome of the Super Bowl is pending.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1211-3794
HankHank

Nepotism in football coaching is more acceptable than in playing because you work up through ranks

Coaching is a lot different than playing... Football is like the most, basketball is different. There's not a lot of examples of nepotism drafts. There's a million examples of nepotism coaching... He [Steve Belichick] worked his way up the ranks as any head coach that's ever head coached in the history of coaching has.

The ethics of nepotism in professional sports is a subjective debate.
Open
Take Slip·Dec 6, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1206-9269
Big CatBig Cat

JJ McCarthy will end up being the best quarterback from the 2024 draft class

JJ McCarthy's gonna end up being the best quarterback from that draft class. Well, that's just what's gonna end up happening after all this discussion. And that JJ McCarthy's somehow gonna be like the best player of all time.

This is a long-term prediction that won't be resolved for several seasons.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 6, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1206-9271
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Tomlin is the best coach in the NFL right now

I love Mike Tomlin more than anyone I think in the NFL right now. It's crazy how awesome he is. He is just, he gets in front of a room and I, you just get pumped up. He's the best.

This is subjective, but Tomlin's coaching performance in 2024 has been highly regarded.
Open
Take Slip·Dec 6, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1206-9273
Big CatBig Cat

Brock Bowers is the best tight end in the NFL and should win Rookie of the Year

Brock Bowers is first in receptions. He's fourth in yards. I know that it will go to a quarterback. But Brock Bowers the best tight end in the NFL. He should win Rookie of the Year.

While Bowers has had a historic rookie season, Jayden Daniels remains the favorite for ROTY. 'Best tight end' is subjective but statistically defensible.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 6, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1206-9277
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers are just not a good team this year

Are the Niners just bad? Yeah, they're bad. I think they might be just bad. They're just bad this year. Like we just gotta accept the fact that they're just not good.

The 49ers were 5-7 at the time of the take, mathematically and visually supporting the claim that they were 'bad' relative to expectations.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 27, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1127-4540
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears should fire Matt Eberflus immediately after a Thanksgiving loss

They should fire him after we get embarrassed by the Lions. Because at this point I know the Bears have never fired a coach in a hundred years history in Midseason at this point. You should honestly tell Caleb like, Hey we fucked up with Shane Waldron and Matt Eberflus our bad. We're firing him right now.

The Bears did fire Matt Eberflus mid-season, a few days after the Thanksgiving game.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 27, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1127-4541
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions are the best team in the NFL in every category

I think the Lions... I think they're the best at everything. I really do. I think that they're, they have maybe the best running attack in the NFC... the Lions are better than the Eagles at almost everything.

The Lions finished the regular season with the best record in the NFC.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 27, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1127-4542
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tua Tagovailoa will destroy the cold weather narrative against the Packers

I'm, I'm kind of in on Tua though, being a destroyer of narratives... for whatever reason, the fact that Tua talked about it, I think I'm in, I'm, I think I'm in on the Dolphins winning a game [in Green Bay].

The Dolphins lost to the Packers 30-17 in 25-degree weather; Tua struggled.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1122-13057
Big CatBig Cat

The Colts will keep it close against the Lions

I actually think the Colts are gonna be in this game. I don't think the Colts are gonna win this game, but I think they're gonna keep it close. And it might be the dumbest thing ever. But I'm, I actually, no, I haven't, I haven't been bad. I just think seven and a half Colts really need these games.

The Lions won 24-6, covering the 7.5 spread comfortably.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1122-13059
HankHank

The Patriots are the team nobody wants to play in the AFC East

I think so. Usually the, you know, with the Patriots, it's like all the trends reversing the Dolphins have always been like the boogeyman even when the, when Brady was there and the Patriots are good. This is the trend weekend reverse in our favor.

The Patriots lost to the Dolphins 34-15 that weekend, failing to be the 'boogeyman' or a threat in that specific matchup.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1122-13061
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants are starting Tommy DeVito because they are trying to tank

I think they're trying to lose. I think they're trying to lose and try to tank for a quarterback. Yeah. Which would make sense.

While impossible to verify intent, DeVito's start resulted in a poor offensive performance, supporting the 'better draft pick' outcome.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1122-13063
Big CatBig Cat

The Cardinals are for real

I'm ready to fully believe in the Cardinals. I might crown their asses. I just know the Cardinals feel like a very sound football team through and through off the bye week. Their eyes are there. They have the NFC West. If they could string together some more wins, especially in the division, they're undefeated in the division right now.

The Cardinals lost to the Seahawks 16-6 immediately after this take, stalling their momentum.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11455
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens' offense is unstoppable

I think the Ravens I believe are gonna be there no matter what because their offense feels unstoppable.

The Ravens offense was held to just 16 points by the Steelers two days after this episode aired.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11457
Big CatBig Cat

Shane Waldron was the primary issue behind the Bears' struggles

Shane Waldron is the Antichrist. Shane Waldron caused all the problems. Shane Waldron, every war tragedy, anything you can think of in history. Shane Waldron was the issue behind it... The only way I can tell myself that the Bears have a chance is that Shane Waldron was deliberately holding the Bears back in every capacity and now everything's gonna be different.

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
While Waldron was fired for poor performance, the Bears' offensive struggles continued after his departure, suggesting deeper structural or talent issues.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11459
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears' organization has ruined Caleb Williams

The organization's a fucking joke... None of it makes sense. Everything sucks. The organization is a joke. They've ruined Caleb Williams.

Williams has struggled significantly, and the Bears' history with quarterbacks supports the narrative, though it is too early to declare his career 'ruined'.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11461
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Caleb Williams just needs a comfortable system and he will still be a good quarterback

Caleb Williams is still a good quarterback. He just needs to get in a comfortable system. He needs to not be like surrounded by a hurricane of shit... Don't make him feel like he's got too big a part of that failure right off the bat. Give him easy shit to do.

This is subjective, but many analysts agree that the Bears' offensive infrastructure has failed several young quarterbacks.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11463
MemesMemes

The Jets' defense does not travel well

Defense doesn't travel... We got smoked by the Cardinals. Graveyard teams.

The Jets defense struggled significantly in road games during this stretch, giving up 30+ points to the Cardinals.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11465
Big CatBig Cat

Doug Pederson will be fired after the Lions game

This is Doug Peterson's firing game. It's a bye-week next week. Trevor Lawrence is hurt. Mac Jones is going again... If you're gonna fire Doug Peterson in season, it's going to be after playing the Lions going on a bye week. That all just kind of tracks, right?

The Jaguars lost 52-6 to the Lions, but Pederson was not fired immediately after the game. He remained the coach through the following week and was eventually fired on November 30th (after the bye).
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11467
HankHank

The Jaguars +14 against the Lions is the NFL makes no sense game of the year

I think so. This is like, this is the 'NFL makes no sense' game of maybe the year... NFL makes no sense. There's not like stats behind it. I am very close. But that, but it happens every year. There's always games where it's like, how the fuck did the Lions lose to the Jaguars when the playoffs come?

The Lions beat the Jaguars 52-6, which is the exact opposite of the NFL not making sense.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11469
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos will beat the Falcons

I think the Broncos are going to get off the mat here and respond very well. And I think the Broncos are gonna win this game.

The Broncos beat the Falcons 38-6 on November 17.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11470
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons are the perfect team to lose in Wild Card weekend

I think the Falcons, they're the perfect team that you would put into the slot of losing a Wild Card weekend playoff game.

This remains to be seen until the playoffs occur.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11474
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers' offense is the second best in the NFL even without Christian McCaffrey

The 49ers are getting better on offense. So their offense without Christian McCaffrey for most of the season, they are plus 1.4 net yards per play, which is the second best offense in the NFL.

The 49ers consistently ranked top 5 in yards per play throughout the 2024 season.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11476
Big CatBig Cat

Harrison Butker being out makes the Bills a favorite over the Chiefs

Harrison Butker's hurt. Harrison Butker is out... Oh that's actually huge. Oh I might be Bills now because that, this does feel like a field goal game here.

The Bills beat the Chiefs 30-21 on November 17.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11478
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' defense is legitimately elite

The Chargers are the fourth team in the last 40 years to hold opponents under 21 points in their first nine games of the season. Only been done four times. Defense is legit. Legit.

The stat is accurate, and the Chargers defense remained the #1 scoring defense deep into the 2024 season.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1108-9172
HankHank

I'm betting big on the Patriots to cover +6 against the Bears

I'm going to bet this will not be in the Hungry Dog. I'm going to place a large... I'm going to bet Big Patriots plus six. Because then I think the Patriots can keep it close. Cover that.

The Patriots didn't just cover; they won the game outright 19-3.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1108-9174
Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting on the Saints because Darren Rizzi's ears make him an interesting interim coach

Darren Rizzi's ears are fucked up. I don't know what the fuck is going on with his ears. No offense to his ears... It looks like he was wearing sunglasses made out of tungsten... I like that he's got bad ears. It makes it more interesting. Yeah, I like him. I'm gonna take the Saints.

The Saints won their first game under Rizzi, defeating the Falcons 20-17.
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