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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Void
Sean McDermottSean McDermott

I could kick Dan Campbell's and Mike Vrabel's asses in a fight

[Do you think you could kick Dan Campbell's ass?] Yes. And Mike Vrabel also, I'd throw Mike Vrabel in there at the same time... I just can tell you, if you pull 10 wrestlers, they're gonna tell you, take the best wrestler over the best boxer. So it's debatable, but us wrestlers stick together.

This is an unprovable claim of fighting prowess.
Win
Sean McDermottSean McDermott

Buffalo will never build an indoor stadium

[Do you think that Buffalo would ever get an indoor stadium or would you want a dome?] No. Ever. This is Buffalo, right? And this is what part of what makes us unique... We love it year round. It makes us who we are.

The new Buffalo Bills stadium currently under construction is an open-air facility, confirming McDermott's stance.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

No quarterback who wears a visor has ever won a Super Bowl

The only concern I have about Josh Allen is every year, it seems like he put, he keeps the visor on later and later and no quarterback that's ever worn a visor has won a Super Bowl.

Jim McMahon wore a visor for Super Bowl XX, making this technically incorrect, though it remains a popular myth.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Josh Rosen is putting up terrible stats on purpose as a bit

Josh Rosen... is on the Browns and in classic Josh Rosen fashion, he got in for, I think an entire half. He went seven for 20, for 88 yards. No TDs, no interceptions. I, he has to be doing this on purpose at this point. His stat lines are just so, so predictably exactly what they are every single time... It's a good bit. It really is.

There is no evidence a professional athlete would deliberately tank their career for a 'bit'.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL gave Deshaun Watson an 11-game suspension specifically so his return would be against the Texans

So you look at the schedule that game that [Deshaun Watson] would be coming back would be against the Houston Texans. So they have to talk about it all the time throughout the entire game, whole team in Houston, homecoming... just so happens [flex scheduling] starts right on week 11. I don't know if they'd flex this... but they're not gonna take the Dallas Cowboys out.

Deshaun Watson did return in Week 13 against the Texans after his 11-game suspension (plus a bye week). The narrative alignment was exactly as PFT predicted.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The move for NFL preseason betting is to bet against every rookie coach that won their first game

I think the move this weekend is to reverse that and bet against money line every rookie coach that won their first preseason game because they got that win under the belt. Now they're like, you know what? I just wanna evaluate now. Now they're gonna swing back in the other direction.

In Week 2 of the 2022 preseason, rookie coaches who won Week 1 (like Matt Eberflus and Kevin O'Connell) had mixed results, making the 'system' unreliable.
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Terry McLaurinTerry McLaurin

Joe Burrow has an uncoachable 'it' factor that makes players want to go to war with him

We all knew what was in Joe Burrow from the person that he was, the leader that he was, and the player that he was. He just has that, that 'it' that you can't coach when it comes to football in general... he's that type of dude where you wanna go to war with him any day, any week. The person is the reason why you see the player.

While subjective, Burrow's success in Cincinnati has largely validated this widely held view of his leadership.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Carson Wentz is the statistically best quarterback ever when the temperature is exactly 73 degrees

In exactly 73 degree weather, Carson Wentz is the number one quarterback of all time in yards per attempt. So you gotta have something like you gotta check your weather app on Sundays. If it's 73 degrees outside, start Terry McLaurin on your fantasy team.

This is a real 'Stat-Hole' fact that was circulating at the time, though obviously meaningless in a predictive sense.
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Terry McLaurinTerry McLaurin

Jahan Dotson has advanced ball skills and tactics that most receivers don't learn until they are veterans

He definitely just has a natural ball skill ability. Like he makes some pretty easy catches that look really easy... he has a good feel of playing the receiver position as a rookie and how to catch the ball, how to position itself to use late hands and some of the tactics that you don't really learn until you're a vet.

Dotson had a productive rookie season with 7 touchdowns, validating McLaurin's early praise for his natural ability.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Hard Knocks has successfully made me believe in the Detroit Lions

I'm hopeful for Detroit. I think hard knocks has successfully made me believe in the Detroit lions. Now I I'm going to be probably very wrong about that as anyone who's ever rooted for Detroit lions knows, but I'm at that point where like, yeah, I can see, I can see the lines making some noise.

The Lions finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs in 2022, though they did finish the season very strong, making the take partially right in spirit.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

A 9-8 record for the Detroit Lions would be the equivalent of a Super Bowl

If they can get you to believe in the Detroit lines, like even if they just go, if they go nine and eight, that's a super bowl for Detroit. Like what a story that would be.

The Lions actually finished exactly 9-8 in the 2022 season.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Zach Wilson will show out in week 15 because Aiden Hutchinson's mother is attractive

Are the jets playing against the lines this year? Because if so, Zach Wilson is absolutely gonna show out in front of his mom... I'm putting the Bon on Zach Wilson on that one. Cuz I know, you know he's at home. He doesn't have anything else to do. He's he's recovering from surgery. He's watching this episode. He's put a big fat circle in week 15.

Zach Wilson started week 15 against the Lions but threw a critical late interception and the Jets lost 20-17. He did not 'show out'.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL purposefully scheduled Christmas Day games to screw over NBA markets

NFL is game, right? They did it so that each market is fucked by the NFL... Celtics, Sixers, Nicks, sons nuggets, Lakers, Mavs... Packers are playing bucks. They just fucked. It's it's so great. They just like, oh, here are your top teams that you're gonna use for Christmas day. We're gonna steal 'em.

The NFL's 2022 Christmas tripleheader obliterated the NBA's ratings, proving the strategy was intentional and effective.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bet on rookie head coaches in the first week of the NFL preseason

Week one, it was pretty strong. You just bet on whatever coach, if it's a matchup between a rookie head coach and a coach that's been in the league before you bet on the rookie head coach to win. Because I think somewhere deep down, they would prefer to win their very first game that they play.

While not a hard rule, rookie coaches often play starters longer or try harder to get their first win in preseason. In 2022, many rookie head coaches (like Kevin O'Connell, Mike McDaniel) performed well in preseason debuts.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens are the best preseason football team ever

Bet on the Ravens because Ravens are the best team to ever play preseason football. They're incredible.

At the time, the Ravens had won 21 consecutive preseason games. The streak eventually reached 24 before ending in 2023.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Lamar Jackson's 18-pound muscle gain will make him slower

You see Lamar Jackson added 18 pounds of muscle... I feel like he's not gonna be as quick... He looks thicker. I just can't imagine gaining 18 pounds of muscle. Like you can't tell me he's going to be as fast. He has to lose at least a little bit of quickness.

Lamar Jackson remained one of the fastest players in the league and won another MVP in 2023. His quickness did not noticeably suffer from the bulk.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers have the best three-deep quarterback room in the NFL

I actually think that if you were like, who's got the best three quarterbacks, I think the Steelers are the answer. Rudolph, Trubisky, and Pickett. Like I think if you had to go three deep, I think the Steelers are the answer.

While they had three 'starters' (all mediocre), Trubisky and Pickett both struggled significantly. Rudolph eventually saved their season in 2023, but collectively this room was considered bottom-tier in terms of winning ability despite the names.
Void
Rich BisacciaRich Bisaccia

Special teams is the ultimate transitional football play

Special teams is some degree gets a bad rap. It's really the ultimate football play. You take the punt play to me it's the most transitional play in all the football. You have the ball, so you have to protect the punter. And then next thing you transition into a defensive player.

This is a strategic observation by a professional coach about the mechanics of the game.
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Big CatBig Cat

Kicking a field goal down 8 points in the NFC Championship was a terrible idea

Kicking a field goal down eight with two minutes left and the best quarterback of all time on the opposing team in the NFC championship game. Yes. That would be a bad idea. Mathematically and spiritually also just bad vibes from that decision. My goal is to never, ever let that go.

Analytics and public opinion largely sided with Big Cat; taking the ball out of Aaron Rodgers' hands while trailing by 8 was widely criticized as a mistake.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Russell Wilson is built like a dump truck

Russell Wilson... guy's built like a dump truck. He is, he's got a fat ass.

Subjective observation of a player's physical build.
Loss
Nathaniel HackettNathaniel Hackett

I would consider signing Blake Bortles to the Broncos

I think I need to have a conversation with him [Bortles] and the general manager and the new owners, you know, we can't get crazy here. [Big Cat: I'm gonna hold you to that, I think that was a guarantee.]

Hackett never signed Blake Bortles to the Broncos during his tenure as head coach.
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Nathaniel HackettNathaniel Hackett

The red zone should be called the 'gold zone'

Why does everybody call it the red zone? Why would I wanna stop? I mean you can call it the green zone, but everybody uses that for third down. And if we're talking about money, I want the it's gold zone. I mean, touchdowns give you gold.

This is a coaching preference/terminology choice.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Detroit Lions will be a better football team this year

I think the [Lions] will be better this year, but [Dan Campbell], the way he talks to his team, like the fact that he's always on the verge of crying football guy tears, he's always on the verge of crying. Holy shit, can that guy fire up a team?

The Lions improved from 3 wins to 9 wins in the 2022 season, making this a correct prediction.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Linebackers have become the running backs of the defense

I think that linebackers have kind of become the running backs of the defense where you don't need to pay a right. You don't need to start. Right. And I, in a way, like I missed the old days where it was, you know, like a linebacker centric league.

This reflects the modern NFL trend of prioritizing pass rushers over off-ball linebackers in salary cap allocation.
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Billy FootballBilly Football

Mekhi Becton's shattered kneecap could be good for his career

I think maybe this time will do him well, mature, and we'll see him this year. The shattered kneecap could be really good for his NFL career is what I'm trying to say, trying to be optimistic.

Becton missed the entire 2022 season and was eventually let go by the Jets after years of injuries; a shattered kneecap is rarely 'good' for a 350lb lineman.
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Aaron RodgersAaron Rodgers

Todd Bowles and Mike Zimmer are two of the toughest defensive coaches to play against

I think Todd Bowles has done a good job at that over the years. I think he's a really good coach. What coach Bowles does with the pressure package. Mike Zimmer for a long time was as hard as it came playing against because they had eight up looks... and they had every variation.

Expert opinion from an elite quarterback.
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Aaron RodgersAaron Rodgers

The West Coast offense is the most beautiful offense ever created

I grew up in the West Coast offense. West Coast offense, I think is the most beautiful offense ever created. It's very, it's about timing and rhythm and balance and everything makes sense protection wise... It started with Bill Walsh and Montana and Paul Hackett.

Subjective opinion on offensive schemes.
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Aaron RodgersAaron Rodgers

Too much pre-snap motion makes it hard for a quarterback to manage tempo

I tell Matt [LaFleur] the same thing. I'm not telling you guys anything I wouldn't tell him. I got after him a day because every freaking play there's God motion. I'm like, can we run one play without a motion so we can get some tempo going? Because I like to switch the tempo... when you have so much motion, it's hard to get tempo going because you always gotta make sure you're set.

Subjective tactical preference for an elite QB.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jordan Davis was the best pick of the 2022 NFL Draft

Jordan Davis, that was the pick of the draft. There were actually, I'm gonna put that in the same category as the Ravens, when they just get great players that fall to them. When the Eagles picked [Jordan Davis], I was like, why is he still on the board?

Davis has been a core piece for the Eagles, though other picks from that draft (Sauce Gardner, Garrett Wilson) had more immediate impact.
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HankHank

Sean McDermott is a sleeper pick for a fight because of his wrestling background

This one I think is also pretty obvious, but might not be to the naked eye. It's Sean McDermott. He was a back to back national prep champion wrestler, like all time. Good wrestler had a 61 and oh record surrendering just one take down. You get in a fight, how many people that you fighting know how to wrestle?

Subjective hypothetical, but based on verifiable wrestling credentials.
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Aaron RodgersAaron Rodgers

I will probably retire in 3 or 4 more years

I do think deep down realize this chapter of my life's coming to a close soon. I'm trying to enjoy it a little bit more than when you're 21... [Retire] in three more years. Maybe four.

Aaron Rodgers said 3-4 more years from 2022. As of Feb 2026, he is contemplating retirement after the 2025 season, roughly on timeline but not yet confirmed.
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Big CatBig Cat

Bill Belichick would be an elite fighter because he knows pressure points

Bill Belichick. He's a little older now, but Dalton and Roadhouse where he sees all the angles and he sees a guy with a knife in his boot before the knife comes out. I also feel like he's a big time pressure point guy. He could just walk up to you and you'd faceplant.

Hypothetical scenario.
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Big CatBig Cat

As soon as the first quarter of the first preseason game is over, I am done with the preseason

Every Hall of Fame game's the exact same... Seeing the field is great. And then you're just like, okay, this kind of sucks. I want the real football. It's very funny. When the first preseason game happens, I'm so excited to watch it. And then as soon as we get through the first quarter, the first preseason game, I'm like just fucking get over with the preseason, I'm done with the preseason.

Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I still believe in Kyle Sloter as the preseason quarterback of all time

Kyle Sloter, who right now is beating the Raiders three to nothing... He stinks? He's preseason quarterback of all time. The fourth quarter too. There's still the fourth quarter Kyle Sloter. I still believe in him. If you've watched him play, you should believe too.

Kyle Sloter did have a legendary preseason career stats-wise, though he never transitioned to regular-season success.
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Stavros HalkiasStavros Halkias

The Cleveland Browns are the 'rapist franchise' for betting on a light Deshaun Watson sentence

Anytime you're like I'm betting on a sex criminal getting a light sentence. That's the good thing that can happen for me. You're fucked. It's also like betting on Hitler to win World War II. Right? It's like you won, but it's like now you're the rapist franchise. Yeah. Congratulations.

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Stavros HalkiasStavros Halkias

Lamar Jackson has a very high ceiling for his sex life because of how weird he is

Lamar is such a fucking weird guy. I can't even fathom how he fucks. Like him being his own agent is weird, but it could be that kind of thing where it's like a weird guy often has either he can't fuck at all. Or he has top shelf Dick. Right? ... I'm kind of thinking Lamar's got, he's so strange. But when he zeros in on pussy, he goes fucking be on it.

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Stavros HalkiasStavros Halkias

Tua Tagovailoa's stock is a sell because he married his college sweetheart in Miami

He just got married to his college sweetheart. Oh. Which is weird, like far outside of college... Miami. Yeah. Like he went to Miami and then he is like, you know what girl I met in Alabama. Sell your fucking Tua stock. He's sick-fuck wise, that's the nail in the coffin. He's done. He'll be in the CFL in two years.

Tua Tagovailoa has since become a Pro Bowl caliber quarterback and led the league in several passing categories, remaining in the NFL.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Doug Peterson fucks with the visor on and is likely a swinger

Doug Peterson, he fucks with the visor on... [Big Cat: He definitely seems like absolutely... leave the garage cracked... come on in, got a hot tub... The whole cul-de-sac is coming to Doug Peterson's house.] He's got like seven different blenders in his room. Like here's my, this is my Thai room here.

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Big CatBig Cat

Russell Wilson probably invites his trainer to help him with dry reps in the bedroom

I actually think that Russell Wilson probably like cares so much about doing a good job that he would like invite his trainer to help him with... dry reps on the practice field. He probably does that in front of the mirror. Just like fully hard, no partner. Just working on his cross.

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Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers will win another Super Bowl because he has something to prove

Rogers... he's fucking for four days straight... And he's got something to prove. He's gonna win another. I know it. Because it just, it's gonna kill me. Because I love just being like, if you have one Super Bowl you have none. No, he's gonna win another.

Aaron Rodgers has not won another Super Bowl since this take was made, and the Packers did not win in 2022.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins wears three condoms and a dental dam for max protection

Kirk Cousins is like vegan adjacent. He wears three condoms and a dental dam or whatever. Max protection... No flavor whatsoever going on in that fuck session... He's getting head with a condom on. We've gotta be safe.

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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Pete Carroll has the best sex of any NFL head coach

Pete Carroll has great... probably the best sex of any NFL head coach. But in my mind he's having sex with like a beautiful female version of exactly Pete Carroll. [Stavros: Watching Pete Carroll chew gum would get my pussy drenched.] They're fucking in the rain. He's still got the raincoat on top.

Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Kansas City Chiefs will be the 2022 Super Bowl Champions

Super Bowl champion, Kansas City Chiefs, from what we've gone through... it's gonna be Chiefs versus who in the NFC dude, do we, who do we decide? Brady?

The Kansas City Chiefs did indeed win Super Bowl LVII at the end of the 2022 season.
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Billy FootballBilly Football

I was the first to report that Trevor Penning is a savage

There's this dude I've been watching since early college... Trevor Penning. I kind of feel like one of those guys, like I was following them when they're small. So now basically he just got kicked out of Saints camp for going too hard. He's an absolute animal... now everyone's on it... I was there when he was doing this. Just make sure the internet knows that Billy had it first.

Billy did tweet/post about Penning's aggressive highlights during the draft cycle prior to the camp fights going viral.
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Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson is a predator

I will go one more than scumbag. I think Deshaun Watson is a predator. And he's a bad guy, but the problem with how this all shook out is he settled with a lot of the women.

This is a moral judgment/opinion based on documented allegations and legal settlements.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL rigged the first six games of the Browns' schedule for Deshaun Watson

Also NFL rigged: the first six games that they have are the easiest schedule in the league. We mentioned that on the schedule release, that the people were saying look at this, they're setting it up.

The Browns' first six opponents were CAR, NYJ, PIT, ATL, LAC, NE. They went 2-4, so if it was rigged, it didn't help much.
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Big CatBig Cat

Every NFL team should be tampering

I'm saying everyone should tamper in the NFL. Why not fucking go for it? If you're not tampering, you're not trying.

This is a philosophy/opinion on team management and cannot be proven correct or incorrect.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The New York Jets are an absolute wagon this year

My hot seat is the AFC East today. I visited Jets camp and I have to say they are all totally on the hot seat because the Jets are an absolute wagon. And their offense looked electric. Seriously.

The Jets started 7-4 but lost their final six games to finish 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Elijah Moore is a step above everybody else in the NFL

I saw [Elijah Moore] today in person and he was making grabs all over the field. It was like, that guy is a different kind of player. Like he's a step above everybody else.

Moore had a disappointing 2022 season (446 yards, 1 TD) and was traded to the Browns the following offseason.
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Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting the Jaguars over their win total because Urban Meyer is gone

I think I might sell myself on the Jaguars this year. Like take their win total over just by Urban Meyer not being there. I think the Jaguars are gonna get a bounce just by not having that fucking asshole around finger of the year... I think I'm gonna buy the Jaguars. I'm calling my shot right now.

The Jaguars won 9 games and the AFC South in 2022, easily clearing their preseason win total (6.5).