Skip to content
PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars will play the game of their season to honor Urban Meyer

I think the Jaguars is going to play the game of their season so far. They're going to go out there and set the world on fire for urban Meyer because they miss their guy... circle the wagons be like, we're rallying in the name of urban Meyer.

The Jaguars lost 30-16 to the Houston Texans in their first game post-Meyer, arguably their worst loss of the season given the opponent.
Loss
HankHank

The Buccaneers will beat the Saints by 100 on Sunday Night Football

The saints have owned Tom Brady, but the saints have taste them hill. Now I don't, I really am not like excited for this game... Tom Brady feels like he's going to break another record. And the bucks are to win by a hundred. My favorite is the Buccaneers minus 10 and a half.

The Saints shut out the Buccaneers 9-0 in one of the most surprising upsets of the season.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Cardinals will take out all their anger from last week and blow out the Lions

I'm going to take Arizona Cardinals minus 13 at Detroit get right game. I just don't. I know Deandre Hopkins out for the rest of the season. I just don't know how the lions secondary can hold up on Kyler. I feel like this will be like the Cardinals will take out all their anger from last week to this week.

In one of the biggest shocks of the 2021 season, the 1-11-1 Lions dominated the Cardinals 30-12.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Allen is the quarterback who gets screwed over most by the referees

Number one quarterback in the entire league [for coverage penalties bailing them out]... It's Aaron Rogers by a long shot. Last place in the entirely... Josh Allen it's Josh Allen gets fucked more than any other quarterback in the NFL. And Aaron Rogers gets bailed out all the time.

The stat itself was accurate for that specific timeframe in the 2021 season.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Kyler Murray's height causes some of his interceptions

Kyler Murray does have interceptions where he's too short... it's not even that he couldn't see over Leonard Floyd. It's like, he didn't understand that Leonard Floyd could easily jump up and catch that because Leonard Floyd's that much taller.

While Murray has had passes batted at the line, attributing specific interceptions solely to height is subjective and debated by analysts.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyler Murray's height helps him duck under sacks

He's able to duck under sacks more easily because he's five, ten or five nine or whatever... sometimes its height works to his advantage in a weird way.

It's a recognized athletic trait of Murray's, but remains an opinion on how much height specifically contributes versus pure agility.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Blatant holds against Aaron Donald should count as sacks

Blatant holds should count as sacks for the defensive lineman... the guy had to wrestle Aaron Donald to the ground. That was the only way that he wasn't going to give up a sack.

Statistical rules do not count holds as sacks, so this remains a subjective suggestion for rule changes.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Matthew Stafford is a Hall of Famer

That was the Hall of Fame, Matt Stafford that I hope gets there. So I can pull up a tweet from five years ago saying you were going to be in this.

Stafford went on to win the Super Bowl later that season, significantly boosting his HOF resume, though he isn't yet retired or inducted.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Refs shouldn't call pass interference on fade routes

You shouldn't even get pass interference calls on fades because it's such a dumb play call.

This is a satirical take on officiating and play-calling strategy.
Void
Joey HarringtonJoey Harrington

I could have been the Chiefs' quarterback until Patrick Mahomes took over

If I had fallen past Detroit, then [the Chiefs] were going to take me... I could have been Chief until Patrick Mahomes took over.

This is a counterfactual historical claim that can never be verified.
Void
Joey HarringtonJoey Harrington

Success as an NFL quarterback is mostly about confidence rather than physical skill

Every quarterback in the league has the skills to be there... the difference is being confident in yourself... Hesitation, lack of confidence, doubt is the killer of all young quarterbacks. That's all it is.

While widely accepted by some coaches, this is a psychological theory of performance that cannot be objectively proven or disproven.
Win
Joey HarringtonJoey Harrington

Tua Tagovailoa will be successful if the Dolphins support him and stop trying to replace him

They need to make sure they're supporting Tua because he's shown that he can do it... Make sure you support that guy, and he could be [successful].

Tua eventually found success once the Dolphins committed to him and hired Mike McDaniel, supporting Harrington's take.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens are the most injured team of 2021

With Marlin Humphreys getting hurt last week and Lamar Jackson getting hurt this week, we don't know how long he's going to be out. You officially are the champions of most injured team of 2021. Like I said, you probably already had that crown, but this was like, this was the final piece of having Lamar Jackson getting hurt.

The 2021 Ravens are statistically cited as one of the most injury-impacted teams in NFL history according to Adjusted Games Lost metrics.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Teams down nine points should go for two early to gain strategic clarity

Harbaugh gave us a new little wrinkle to think about... if you're down nine, you go for two, because you're going to have to go for two anyways, to win. You're going to want to know exactly when you need to get that two points.

This is a common modern analytical takeaway that many coaches have started to adopt to manage late-game clock and possessions.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The AFC North title will be decided by a flexed Sunday Night Football game in Week 18

It feels like the AFC north will probably have that game [Sunday night football week 18] for the division, which will be fun. Like that will be fun. I think the, I think the Browns play the Bengals. Maybe it'd be that.

The Week 18 SNF game was actually Chargers vs. Raiders. The Bengals sat starters in Week 18 having already clinched.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Browns are the most trustworthy team in the AFC North

I think it's the brown thing cause their defense... and because they can run the ball, they didn't run. They chose not to run the ball today, but they can, we know that they can run the ball they're built for December.

The Browns finished 3rd in the division and missed the playoffs, while the Bengals won the division and went to the Super Bowl.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Chase Claypool shouldn't be blamed for the Steelers' loss because a Viking knocked the ball out of his hand

Billy thinks that it wasn't [Chase Claypool's] fault that they lost the game. Billy thinks that it should have been a penalty penalty. They never caused the Vikings for knocking the ball out of his hand. [Billy]: he could have done that little celebration. Then the ref would God there... it also should have been a penalty.

While there was contact, the consensus was that Claypool's lack of urgency and decision to celebrate was the primary error.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys are back to being legitimate contenders because of their defense

The Cowboys like that, I walked away from that game, thinking the Cowboys are back to being for real, for real, because that defense won that game. Not the offense with all the weapons that we all talk about.

The Cowboys defense was elite, leading the league in takeaways, but they lost in the Wild Card round to the 49ers.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Washington will make the playoffs if they win their games against the Eagles and Giants

I'm still I'm bullish on the offs for the, for the Washington football team. We're still in the office right now... if we win our games against the Eagles, and then when it gets to the game... and then win against the giants and still lose the Cowboys, I think chances are still pretty good that we're going to be that [seventh] site.

Washington lost both games to the Eagles and finished 7-10, missing the playoffs.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers vs. Chiefs game on Thursday will go over 49.5 points

Take the chargers and take the over according. Cause I'm not going to bet on it. [Big Cat]: you have six points in your model. [PFT]: Yeah, so my, yeah, the deep numbers are telling me, take the chargers. Take the over on that. Yeah.

The game ended 34-28 (62 total points), easily clearing the over.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Derek Carr is not at fault for the Raiders' struggles given their historically bad defense

Since Derek Carr became the starter of the Raiders, they have given up 26.6 points per game. That's first in the NFL. They've also had 319 defensive penalties resulting in first downs. That's also first in the NFL. So essentially free Derek Carr free Derek, Derek Carr. He is not that bad. He just has played with a historically terrible defense.

While subjective, the stats cited are verifiable facts that support the opinion.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Urban Meyer will leave the Jaguars due to a medically dubious reason

I think he'll probably, well, this is like fake, maybe a health issue... He's going to get [COVID] hanging out in those college bars. [PFT]: I don't think that he [quits]. He doesn't quit jobs. He just, he has medically dubious reasons for leaving them.

Urban Meyer was actually fired 'for cause' on December 16, 2021, following reports of him kicking a player. He did not leave for medical reasons.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Matt Rhule is in over his head as head coach of the Panthers

I am starting to think that maybe Matt rules a little bit in over his head because he did the sacrificial lamb fired his OC, Joe Brady... He then does the switching back and forth for the quarterbacks today. Which made no sense... He was basically running a college, like all offense where it's like, yeah, we'll do this change of pace. Quarterback really fuck them up. No bolt. Those guys stink.

Rhule's tenure was widely considered a failure, and he was fired mid-season in 2022.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills are built solely to win a Super Bowl in a warm environment like Los Angeles

I feel like this Bill's team, they're not built for the city of Buffalo in a weird way, because they can't run the ball... they built this team just to win the super bowl in Los Angeles this year. They're like, if we can just, as long as we get to the super bowl, we can win that game with our [offense]. I actually, I actually think in a weird way there, right? Yeah. I think, I guess if the bills make it to the super bowl, I think they win the super bowl.

The Bills lost in the divisional round in Kansas City. They did not reach the Super Bowl.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Super Bowl will likely be a rematch between the Buccaneers and the Chiefs

Wouldn't it be funny after this entire year that like has chaos and everyone? No, one's good. It's just going to be Buck's chiefs again. Probably like it could, it could very well be bucks chiefs again.

The Super Bowl was Rams vs. Bengals. Neither the Chiefs nor the Bucs made it.
Loss
HankHank

No team in the AFC other than the Chiefs can beat the Patriots in the playoffs

Mack Jones is a rookie, so it wouldn't blow my mind if the chiefs beat the Patriots in the playoffs. But I don't think any other team is.

The Patriots were eliminated in the Wild Card round by the Buffalo Bills, losing 47-17.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Roethlisberger won the game against the Vikings even though the Steelers lost

That was vintage Big Ben in the second half to bring them back. He made the perfect throw to Pat Freiermuth. I say Big Ben won this game. He won this game.

The Steelers lost the game 36-28. Ben played well in the second half, but he literally lost the game.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ben Roethlisberger has at least three more seasons left in him

I don't think that this Big Ben that we saw in the second half is even a year away from... Nope. That was fake news. Big Ben's got minimum three more seasons left.

Ben Roethlisberger retired at the end of this season (January 2022).
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL should have a national bye week for the entire country in December

We should have a bye week for the whole country. This makes too much sense right around now. Have it be regular bye weeks, regular schedule, and then right like either this weekend or next weekend have no football in America. Everyone can go Christmas shopping. They can go see their family. They can sleep.

This is a subjective proposal for a schedule change that hasn't happened.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Super Bowl should always be on President's Day weekend

We have the Super Bowl on President's Day weekend. So the Monday after Super Bowl is a national holiday. And then it's only two more weeks of winter till March Madness. That is the perfect schedule.

The Super Bowl moved to the second Sunday in February starting in 2022, which aligns with President's Day weekend in some years, making the Monday a holiday for many.
Win
HankHank

The Cowboys -4.5 at Washington is a 'rat line' and the Cowboys will cover

This week is a lot of rats. Therefore it's week routine Ratatouille and I'm just going to take them all... My favorite is the Cowboys minus four and a half versus the Washington Football Team.

The Cowboys beat Washington 27-20, covering the -4.5 spread.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lamar Jackson is a limited passer who stinks at throwing short passes

I will say it with my chest. When I criticize his throwing short passes, he does stink at throwing short passes.

Lamar Jackson's accuracy on short, touch passes has been a frequent point of statistical and scout criticism throughout his career.
Loss
HankHank

The Detroit Lions are going to start a winning streak this weekend

I love this game. Moneyline Detroit's... I like them winning last week. I was right. You want a winning streak... Boke his seal, monkeys off their back. They broke the seal. They'd been playing well all year. And now that they got it, they want to keep that taste out [of] their mouth.

The Lions lost to the Broncos 38-10 following this episode.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields will have a magical performance against the Packers at Lambeau

Wouldn't it be nice. If a little passing on the torch, Justin Fields went up to Lambeau his first trip to Lambeau, beat the Packers... I definitely deep down, I won't let myself say it in a serious tone because I don't want to be mocked afterwards, but deep down I'm thinking like this could be magical.

The Packers won 45-30. Justin Fields played well (224 yards passing, 74 yards rushing) but it was not a torch-passing victory.
Win
HankHank

I am finally willing to admit that weather and wind exist in football

I've learned a lot over the years. You know, I know some things, I don't know. Some other things before yesterday, I was steadfast in my belief that weather doesn't matter. Wind is not a factor unless it's a tornado. And I was proven correct, pretty much up until last night, but Bill Belichick... taught me a lesson and I'm okay with that. I'm willing to admit because of what Bill Belichick showed me, that weather does matter. Okay. Wind can be a factor.

The game conditions objectively proved wind and weather altered NFL outcomes significantly.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

If you're going to have bad weather, it's better to have extreme weather than halfway bad weather

If you're going to have bad weather, I think it's better to have really, really bad weather than halfway bad weather. Yeah. It's your you're right? Like the wind, the problem with the wind is the wind got tired out. We needed more wind to keep it crazier.

This is a subjective preference for entertainment value.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bill Belichick will regret not winning the Patriots-Bills game with zero pass attempts

I actually think that Bill Belichick did not want to attempt a single pass last night. He was forced into it at the end and it would have been amazing. I actually that's, that's a regret that Bill Belichick is going to have. He's not going to have many of them at the end of his career, but he's going to regret not winning this game with zero passes, zero passes.

Purely speculative about Belichick's internal motivations.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2021 Buffalo Bills struggle against physical teams and haven't beaten anyone impressive

The bills also in the words of a Paul Finebaum caller 'ain't beat nobody.' They beat the Chiefs, but that's before the Chiefs became the Chiefs... But yeah, the Bills, they, they struggle against good teams. They struggle against more physical teams. And that is embarrassing for defense.

The Bills actually finished strongly, beating the Patriots in the playoffs and losing an all-timer to the Chiefs in the Divisional round, proving they were elite.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

NFL games should not be played in domes because weather variables make sports fun

The reason why playing outside and having to deal with the elements in December is fun. Is that you have games like last night... Being like every game should be played in a dome in perfect environment is like making it's arena football. You're making it completely sterile. You're making it all the same... The variables in sports make it fun.

Subjective debate about the philosophy of the sport.
Void
Kurt WarnerKurt Warner

NFL games should be played in domes to ensure the best version of teams win championships

I want to see the best version of the Bills against the best version of the Patriots. And I want the best team to win, not the best team in those conditions... I just, I don't want that stuff to dictate who wins these games and who ultimately, you know, creates history and wins championships. I don't want that to be the case... I'd rather play in a dome in every, every game that I play than anywhere else.

Subjective argument about competitive fairness vs entertainment.
Loss
Kurt WarnerKurt Warner

Mac Jones is playing mentally as well as anyone in the NFL

I always look at the quarterback position... I look at it mentally and I say, does he know what he's looking at? Does he know how to make different throws? Does he get his eyes in the right place at the right time? And [Mac Jones] is doing that as well as just about anybody in the league.

Mac Jones' performance declined sharply in subsequent seasons, eventually leading to his trade. Warner's praise proved to be based on a temporary peak.
Win
Kurt WarnerKurt Warner

Baker Mayfield and Kirk Cousins have reached their ceilings as 'playoff' guys, not championship guys

Kirk Cousins, another guy you're just like, come on, man. Like at some point we've got to turn this corner... [Baker Mayfield] may not be that guy. I mean, let's be honest, right? How many guys are there that you can build around with their right arm?... Then your next decision is, are we okay with the playoff guy? Are we okay with the guy that's better than what we've had, but we're going to settle for a team that probably won't ever win a championship.

As of late 2024, neither Mayfield nor Cousins has reached a Super Bowl as a starter, supporting Warner's 'playoff guy' tiering.
Loss
Kurt WarnerKurt Warner

Super Bowl Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New England Patriots

Let me go with Tampa Bay in New England. I just think it would be an unbelievable way to finish the season. And Tom got his last year and Bill has his chance with a young quarterback... I think it's possible, you know, and with the way both teams are playing, I think it's definitely possible.

The Super Bowl was Rams vs. Bengals. Neither predicted team made it.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs are playing sustainable, renewable football that will carry through the playoffs

You know what I think the [Chiefs] are doing right now, they're playing sustainable football, Big Cat. Yeah. This type of football can play football. Yeah. It's green. It's renewable football. This shit can be carried through throughout the playoffs. When it gets cold outside, they don't have to score 45 points a game to win all the time.

The Chiefs did make the AFC Championship game that year, proving their defense-heavy mid-season turn was effective for a playoff run.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

It is time for an open and honest dialogue about Teddy Bridgewater not being a franchise starter

Teddy doesn't look great. And he's so easy to root for too because of the injury and all that stuff. And everywhere he goes, people seem to love him. But I think it's time for America to have an open and honest dialogue about Teddy Bridgewater. I don't think that John Elway is going to stick with Teddy going into [next year].

Bridgewater was not the starter in Denver the following year as they traded for Russell Wilson.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are not the worst team in the NFL despite their record

The Lions are not the worst team in the NFL, even though they are, they, it took them this long to get the win. Like if you look at point differential, the fact they've been in every game, all those things like the lines are not the worst team in the NFL. And finally they get a win.

By point differential and DVOA, the Jaguars were generally considered the worst team in the NFL that season, supporting Big Cat's view.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The loss to the Lions is the point of no return for the Mike Zimmer era in Minnesota

It's over probably for the Mike Zimmer era in Minnesota. It's probably, I don't know what they can do with Kirk Cousins, but this did feel like the loss that like the point of no return in terms of losses.

Mike Zimmer was fired on January 10, 2022, shortly after the regular season ended.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

At their peak, nobody in the NFL can beat the Chargers

If they're playing their best game, their best possible game, nobody can beat them. I think at their peak, they're better than any other team in the NFL, but the problem is they, it doesn't show up. It doesn't show up all the time, but when it does fall together, it's a beautiful thing to watch.

This is a subjective peak-power argument, though they missed the playoffs entirely this season, undermining the idea they were the league's 'best'.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Matt Ryan would be a perfect fit for the Eagles next year

Matt Ryan next year, going home to Philadelphia. Kind of perfect... They have a good offensive line, they have some weapons... he's clearly not dead, he's not done, but the Falcons are not in a place where he should be their quarterback next year. So where like similar to Phil Rivers, similar to the end of the career of Brett Favre... Matt Ryan would be such a good fit in Philadelphia.

Matt Ryan was traded to the Indianapolis Colts, not the Eagles, for the 2022 season.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Cardinals are a legitimate Super Bowl contending team

The Cardinals are good. The Cardinals are legitimate Superbowl contending team. I'll say that.

The Cardinals collapsed down the stretch, finishing 11-6 and losing in the Wild Card round, making them less of a 'legitimate contender' than they seemed in early December.

Search

Search takes, episodes, and speakers