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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Trayvon Diggs is one of the best cover guys in the league

Trayvon Diggs is one of the best cover guys in the league.

Diggs led the NFL in interceptions in 2021 with 11 and was First-team All-Pro.
Win
Rex RyanRex Ryan

Washington's defense is the biggest disappointment of the 2021 season

I'm surprised how bad Washington's defense is playing. They're 31st in the league... they're the biggest disappointment to me.

The Washington defense, which was top 5 in 2020, finished 2021 in the bottom third of the league in points and yards.
Void
Rex RyanRex Ryan

The 1985 Bears were a better defense than the 2000 Ravens

I'll say it's the 85 Bears. And the only reason I say that is they beat you before the game was ever played. People were scared, scared to death over that team.

Subjective historical debate.
Win
Rex RyanRex Ryan

You can win in the NFL with a rookie QB if you run the ball 600 times

How come it's so hard to win with these rookie quarterbacks? ... you can [win], if you can run the darn football and play defense... We ran the ball 607 times that rookie year of Mark Sanchez.

Rex's 2009 Jets did exactly this and made the AFC Championship.
Push
Rex RyanRex Ryan

Tom Brady and the Bucs will win big against the Patriots

I think [the Bucks] are gonna win. Tom Brady is ridiculous. ... Damn right [they win big].

The Bucs won, but it was a close 19-17 game, not a 'win big' scenario.
Open
Rex RyanRex Ryan

I would return to coach the Jets for $5 million a year

He goes, you got to go back and coach [the Jets]. I said, fine. Give me 5 million a year I'll go back. I told him I used to.

Rex never returned to coach the Jets.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Tucker is the best kicker in NFL history

Justin Tucker Carlson go super far right on an early kick before lining up from 66 at the buzzer and ending the lions chances... Is he the greatest kicker of all time? I know Adam Vinatieri obviously has the most clutch kicks, but Justin Tucker is insane.

Tucker is widely considered the greatest kicker ever based on accuracy and leg strength stats, though Vinatieri holds longevity and postseason records.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers is still one of the best football players on planet Earth

All the hemming and hawing about Aaron Rodgers possibly not caring, possibly not being still one of the best football players on planet earth. It turns out maybe not true. Turns out he's still pretty fucking good at football.

Rodgers went on to win the MVP award for the 2021 season.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jimmy Garoppolo will be traded mid-season

I do agree with you though. I think that the clock is ticking on Jimmy G. It just feels like Jimmy G gets traded mid season.

Garoppolo remained with the 49ers for the entire 2021 season, eventually leading them to the NFC Championship game.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Matt Nagy purposefully threw the Browns game to prove that Andy Dalton is better than Justin Fields

I think he threw that game to try to prove that he's right. That Andy Dalton's a better quarterback than Justin Fields right now because that's the only explanation for the play calling and the game plan that he put out there.

While the game plan was disastrous, there is no evidence a professional coach intentionally lost a game to prove a point about personnel.
Loss
HankHank

The Buccaneers are going to beat the Patriots by 30 in Tom Brady's return

My gut feeling is like the Bucs are going to beat them by 30... There's no great signs, there's no great throws, there's no good drives. They didn't get a first down until like the second quarter.

The Buccaneers won the game 19-17, a far cry from a 30-point blowout.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers are legitimate Super Bowl contenders

These Chargers can win the Super Bowl. These Chargers are fucking awesome.

The Chargers finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs in 2021.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Keenan Allen has been a top five receiver for the last six years

We should respect Keenan Allen, because nobody ever mentions him in the list of like the top five receivers in the NFL. And he has been a top five guy when healthy. He's been a top five guy for probably the last six years.

While Allen had excellent stats, including five Pro Bowls in that span, many analysts would rank players like Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, DeAndre Hopkins, and Julio Jones consistently above him during that six-year window.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Matthew Stafford will be in the Hall of Fame

I actually feel really good about my take, my long standing take that Matt Stafford is going to be in the Hall of Fame... if he can figure out a way to get to a Super Bowl or even win a Super Bowl ring, then it's like, he's a hall of famer.

Stafford won the Super Bowl later this season, significantly bolstering his HOF case, though he hasn't been inducted yet.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Davis Mills is not an NFL-caliber quarterback.

There's a lot of stuff that I'm sure Davis Mills is really, really good at... but playing NFL quarterback isn't one of them.

Mills proved to be a fringe starter/backup rather than a franchise guy, making this largely correct.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Tyrod Taylor is more valuable than he is generally credited for.

I think that this game actually showed us that Tyrod Taylor is probably more valuable than we gave him credit for because the Texans did not look good.

The Texans went from competitive with Tyrod to non-competitive with Mills in the short term.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Carolina Panthers are a legitimate team and could win the NFC South.

I'm going to say something right now. This is crazy... Panthers plus 500 to win the NFC South. The bucks are old.

The Panthers finished 5-12 and last in the division. The Bucs won the division.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Las Vegas Raiders are the most fraudulent 2-0 team in the NFL.

The Raiders are the most fraudulent 2-0 team... I don't know if they're that good. I think they're okay. They're not that good.

The Raiders finished 10-7 and made the playoffs, which usually disqualifies 'fraudulent 2-0' status.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jalen Ramsey is the only cornerback who can physically cover Rob Gronkowski.

Jalen Ramsey is really the only person who fits Jalen Ramsey's description of a quarterback that can cover Gronk. Cause Jalen is a big dude. He's strong, he's got coverage skills and he can tackle.

Subjective football analysis about player matchups.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

NFL teams should sit their starting quarterback when playing against Aaron Donald to avoid injury.

Anytime a team plays Aaron Donald, they should sit their starting quarterback.

While funny, teams do not actually do this.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson's interceptions were caused by a groin injury.

The groin really impacts your ability to drive your hips into throws. Those last two interceptions were both just short arms, short throws that got picked off.

Wilson was dealing with various ailments, but attributing specific picks to a groin injury is speculative.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Chicago Bears defense will successfully slow down the Browns' running game.

The one thing that I'm at least a little confident about is that the bears do, they will be able to like slow down the run game.

The Browns ran for 215 yards against the Bears in this game (Sept 26, 2021).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Kirk Cousins is statistically the best quarterback of all time.

Statistically, the best quarterback of all time.

Literally incorrect in terms of records/rings, though Cousins does hold high completion percentage rankings.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Big Ben is going to play much better now that he is on the injury report

It's irrelevant to the fact that [Ben Roethlisberger] is going to play way better this week. And now that he's on the injury report... he needs to have some adversity. He needs a doctor to come out and say, any other player would not be playing right now, but big Ben has surreal strength.

Roethlisberger struggled throughout the 2021 season, finishing with a low QBR and showing clear physical decline, regardless of injury report status.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

There is no difference between Jameis Winston and Carson Wentz

What is the difference between Jameis [Winston] and Carson Wentz? There's not a lot at this point. They both are very, very funny when they're trying to make plays... Carson Wentz is like Elmer Fudd where he's kind of the butt of the joke. He's still like out there trying to make things happen, but six times a game, he fires a shotgun and it backfires into his face.

Both players became journeymen quarterbacks defined by high interception rates and inconsistency in the years following this take.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Defensive backs should only be allowed to celebrate incomplete passes if they actually touch the ball

If you're a defensive back and a pass is thrown incomplete, you should not be allowed to celebrate that ever. Unless you touch the past the billboard rule... you're not allowed to do the incomplete sign. You're not allowed to get up in the receiver's face. If he drops a pass or it's overthrown, you're not allowed to celebrate that.

This is a subjective opinion on how NFL rules should be governed.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Matt Nagy is now a full-blown clown car

Matt Nagy, because I think actually now he's full clown car... afterwards he left his press conference. He finished his press conference. He sent someone from Bears PR back out to tell the reporters, Andy Dalton is the team starting quarterback. When he is healthy... so now it's just, now he's a clown car.

Nagy was fired at the end of the 2021 season after a 6-11 campaign, generally regarded by fans and analysts as a failure in leadership during the Justin Fields rookie year.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

Zach Wilson will eventually be out of the NFL and working at Barstool Sports

Zach Wilson is going to be a very funny thing that happens to this podcast. As you attempt to find a way to spin this... he will end up on this podcast when he's out of the league... and then we're like, oh man, like, he's going to get a job at Barstool in a couple of years when he's had a leak, it's going to be Billy and Zach.

Zach Wilson's tenure with the Jets was widely viewed as a failure, leading to his trade to the Broncos in 2024. While not yet 'out of the league' or working at Barstool, the bust prediction was prescient.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

John Harbaugh was right to go for it on fourth down to end the game against the Chiefs

John Harbaugh with his big old balls. I love, love, love that he was like looked at Lamar Jackson was like, do you want to go? You want to go for this on fourth and one to end this game, let's fucking do it the right. Even if they hadn't gotten it, I still think it's the right call because you can't give the ball back to Patrick Mahomes.

The Ravens converted the 4th and 1 and won the game, validating the decision.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Roger Goodell will eventually revoke the new taunting rules and take credit for it

I personally can't wait for Roger Goodell to step in and say, guess what? I'm revoking the new taunting penalties. And then we'll all have to give him a round of applause for doing the right thing and limiting the rule that he brought in that completely screws the game over.

The NFL did not revoke the rule quickly, though enforcement levels fluctuated in subsequent seasons.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I bet my pinky the Indianapolis Colts will not win the Super Bowl

The Indianapolis Colts will not win the Super bowl. And if they do, I'll cut off the tip of my pinky.

The Colts finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs entirely.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Jets will beat the Patriots in the playoffs this year

I have a sick feeling that the Patriots are beaten by the jets in the playoffs... this year.

The Jets finished 4-13 and were nowhere near the playoffs.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers might be a playoff team and I'm putting them in the 'frisky' category

The Panthers... I'll put them under frisky right now, but I got my eye on them because they might be good. We could be sitting here in week eight talking about a six and two Panthers team.

The Panthers started 3-0 but finished the season 5-12, missing the playoffs.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Urban Meyer will leave Jacksonville to take the USC head coaching job in a few weeks

Urban Meyer afterwards released a statement... And it might not be me because I'm going to take the USC job in a few weeks. But the rest of this group, they're going to get this thing flipped.

PredictionFootballHotSarcastic
Meyer was fired by the Jaguars in December but did not take the USC job; Lincoln Riley did.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Trevor Lawrence is officially a bust right now

Not sold on Trevor Lawrence, but I'm still saying bust right now. He's playing like a bus driver. Lawrence is a bust.

Lawrence eventually led the Jaguars to a playoff win the following year, largely shedding the 'bust' label.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Arthur Smith cannot be a successful coach because he has no chin

I don't know if you can win football games with no chin. I would be looking at him if he tried to coach me up, I'd be like, dude, you gotta no chin.

Arthur Smith had three consecutive 7-10 seasons and was eventually fired in 2024.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tony Pollard has 'young legs' and is better than Ezekiel Elliott

Tony Pollard has got young legs. Ezekiel Elliott lost all that weight, looks slower than he did before. Pollard's got young legs. I think that's officially his backfield.

Pollard eventually became the primary back and was franchise tagged while Zeke was released.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taylor Heinicke has 'it'

I think Taylor Heinicke has it. I don't know what it is. He's got something. He's got it. The Heineking is what they're calling him.

Heinicke became a cult hero in DC but eventually settled back into a journeyman/backup role, suggesting he had the moxie but lacked the high-end talent to be a franchise savior.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Standalone primetime NFL games that look bad on paper are almost always guaranteed to be awesome

If anything we've learned with the NFL... when you have a game that you say to yourself, this game stinks, it's a standalone primetime game. It is almost always guaranteed to be fucking awesome. Because that game ruled.

This is a recurring phenomenon in the NFL, though 'awesome' is subjective. Statistically, close games in primetime drive this narrative.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Daniel Jones is the fastest player in the NFL

He's the fastest player in the NFL that's what next gen stats taught us last year he was faster than Lamar Jackson

While Jones did record the fastest top speed in 2020 (21.23 mph), he is not consistently the fastest player compared to Tyreek Hill or Lamar Jackson.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Saquon Barkley might not be good anymore

I just want to shout out real quick because I had a take today that Saquon Barkley... Maybe is he not good? I don't know. But he's been injured... it's also like you watch him play, and there are times you're like, wait, what is he looking at?

Barkley had a major resurgence in 2022 and 2023, proving he was still an elite back once fully recovered from his ACL injury.
Win
HankHank

The Texans +12.5 is way too many points in an NFL game

The Texans... Plus 12 and a half. That's a lot of points in the NFL, especially in week two, especially coming off a win.

The Browns beat the Texans 31-21. The Texans covered the +12.5 spread.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Jets will upset the Patriots in Week 2

Jets are going to win. It's going to be upset. [Zach Wilson] is a guy who can beat the Patriots.

The Patriots beat the Jets 25-6. Zach Wilson threw 4 interceptions.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

The weekly NFL MVP award has tarnished the importance of the actual MVP

The importance of the MVP award has been tarnished. Now they're doing one weekly. I don't like that.

This is a subjective opinion on sports media trends.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lamar Jackson is not secure with the ball when getting hit

There is something about Lamar Jackson... when he's getting hit, he's not the most secure guy with the ball.

Lamar Jackson has historically had high fumble numbers, leading the league in fumbles several times.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The idea of huge halftime adjustments is a media-fabricated myth

The idea that there's this big revelation and we change everything at halftime is just completely media fabricated. [Peyton Manning] is like, yeah, the players, we go in, and by the time we get a drink of water, we're already going back out.

Numerous players and coaches have corroborated that 'halftime adjustments' are more about minor tweaks than wholesale strategy shifts.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Urban Meyer will leave the Jaguars for USC if they start 2-7

If the Jaguars start – I'll even say if they start – 2-7, there's like a 50% chance that Urban Meyer leaves for USC. If it's like 0-6, yeah, I think it's pretty likely.

Urban Meyer was fired from the Jaguars later that season and did not take the USC job (Lincoln Riley did).
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mitch Trubisky is better than Taylor Heinicke

I wouldn't hate Mitch Trubisky on the football team... He's better than Taylor Heinicke... He absolutely is.

Heinicke eventually led Washington to a 7-8 record as a starter that year, while Trubisky was a backup in Buffalo. Career-wise, both have been journeymen.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Matt Nagy has lost credibility with the Bears locker room by benching Justin Fields

I do think that we're getting close to the point where Matt Nagy is going to lose credibility with his team if he doesn't play Justin Fields. He's already lost it.

Nagy was fired at the end of the season, and internal reports later confirmed significant friction within the building regarding QB management.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams look like they could win the Super Bowl

The Rams look like they could win the Super Bowl based off of tonight. Well, Rams look pretty good. It was very refreshing to see Matt Stafford play on a competent team for a change.

The Rams won Super Bowl LVI at the end of this season.

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