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Takes

Void
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady's 'We Will Win' texts are the most confidence-inducing messages in the world

The story that came out that Tom Brady texted his entire team every night the week leading up to the Super Bowl just saying, we will win. And I have to imagine that's got to be – like in terms of text messages you can get, that has to be the single most confidence-inducing text message you can get from anyone at any point in your life.

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The only way to sustain Super Bowl runs in the NFL is to funnel money through a quarterback's side business

The only way you can do that [sustain Super Bowl runs] is if your star quarterback has an alleged money laundering operation that's taking place as his company behind the scenes that you can funnel money to instead of spending cap hits on that.

Hot TakeFootballFireSarcastic
While TB12 did have contracts with the Patriots, there is no proof of illegal money laundering.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

NFL coaches should go for two points every single time

93% of extra points were made... 48% of two-point conversions were completed... realize that they should go for two every single time. But they won't do it... if you have a good offense, you should absolutely go for two points every single time.

The math suggests 2-point conversions are slightly more efficient over time, but situational factors (score, time) make 'every time' impractical.
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Big CatBig Cat

The 90s starter jacket and script hat is the pinnacle of coach fashion

The absolute pinnacle of coach looks will forever be the nineties when it comes to the script hat and the starter jacket. That is the coolest that coaches will ever look in any sport ever... I miss those days. I wish guys would wear starter jackets again.

Win
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady has more Super Bowls than 18 NFL franchises combined

Tom Brady has more Super Bowls than the Bears, Jets, Saints, Rams, Seahawks, Eagles, Bills, Vikings, Bengals, Panthers, Falcons, Chargers, Titans, Cardinals, Browns, Lions, Texans, Jaguars combined. That's 18 teams combined. More than half of the league, and he has more Super Bowls than those 18 teams, 18 franchises combined.

At the time of his 7th win, the cumulative Super Bowl titles of those 18 franchises (many with 0, some with 1) was indeed less than 7.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Patriots were holding Tom Brady back

You do have to ask if the Patriots were holding [Brady] back, Hank. You get him and Gronk into a system that centers itself around making plays between your quarterback and your tight end, and all of a sudden he's blowing teams out, blowing out one of the best quarterbacks of all time, Patrick Mahomes, in the Super Bowl.

While Brady won immediately, calling the franchise that won 6 with him 'holding him back' is satirical in nature.
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Big CatBig Cat

I would not bet the under on Tom Brady winning more than 7.5 career Super Bowls

He's now three years, two years later, and he just won another one. And he could do it again, and he's still going to come back. And I wouldn't bet on it. If you put a line out there right now, Tom Brady over seven and a half Super Bowls in his career, I wouldn't bet the under.

Brady retired with 7 Super Bowls. He did not win another one after this episode (Super Bowl 55 was his last).
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Antonio Brown will be arrested this summer

Antonio Brown is going to get arrested so hard this summer. It's going to be like the summer of Lindsay Lohan for him. Unbelievable. Let's get the narrative, the redemption narrative, going ahead of time for Antonio Brown.

While Antonio Brown had many legal issues, he was not arrested during the summer of 2021. His next major scandal (fake vaccination card) happened in late 2021, and his major legal issues escalated post-2022.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Patrick Mahomes' matrix incompletion was one of the best Super Bowl passes ever

He made the three best passes in this game. He made a matrix pass. Maybe three passes that would be the best passes of all time. ... The hipster reply in 10 years when someone's like, quote tweet this with the best Super Bowl pass you've ever seen. Yeah, I saw it. Didn't count. It was actually a turnover on downs. Hit his receiver in the face.

This pass is indeed still discussed as one of the most athletic and improbable throws in NFL history despite being an incompletion.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Patrick Mahomes will have surgery on his foot

I think [Mahomes] is probably going to have surgery on that foot. ... The turf toe reared its ugly head a little bit. I'm serious. He was not able to scramble as effectively. He looked slower. He looked hobbled. He didn't step into that many throws.

Patrick Mahomes underwent surgery to repair a torn plantar plate in his toe (turf toe) on February 10, 2021, just two days after this episode aired.
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Big CatBig Cat

Bears GM Ryan Pace constantly bids against himself in negotiations

Some of these reports about the Bears treating a fucking first, maybe even two first-round picks for Carson Wentz, no one out-negotiates themselves quite like Ryan Pace. There's nobody else that's bidding that high. Anywhere close to that high. He bids against himself.

Subjective opinion on Pace's management style, though widely shared by analysts during his tenure.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The San Francisco 49ers are a great value bet to win the next Super Bowl

I'll tell you what my pick is. San Francisco 49ers 14-1. ... I'm just looking for a team with a good coach, good defense. There's tons of injuries. [They] should be interesting.

The 49ers did have a great season in 2021, reaching the NFC Championship Game, but they did not win the Super Bowl (the Rams did).
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HankHank

The Vince Lombardi Trophy should be renamed the Tom Brady Trophy

Vince Lombardi only won one. You're so greedy, Hank. It's true. He won one trophy. He won one Vince Lombardi trophy. Tom Brady's won seven. Like, come on. ... It's a crime that the championship trophy isn't named after Tom Brady.

The trophy remains the Vince Lombardi Trophy and there are no current plans to change it.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If Tom Brady wins Super Bowl 55, he is the greatest athlete of all time over Michael Jordan

If Tom Brady wins the Super Bowl, is he then the greatest GOAT of all time? ... they're saying, like, that would put him over Jordan. And I do think that that counts.

Brady did win, and the debate intensified, but it remains a matter of opinion.
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Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting the over on a half-interception for Tom Brady in the Super Bowl

Tom Brady over a half of an interception. So he's got to throw one. I think he's going to throw – I think Tom Brady's going to play well, but I also think he's going to take his shots.

Tom Brady threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in Super Bowl 55.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tails never fails on the Super Bowl coin toss

I usually go with tails never fails. ... It's tails. I'm betting tails. There you go. Tails never fails.

The Super Bowl 55 coin toss was Heads.
Win
HankHank

I am betting the biggest bet of my life on the Buccaneers to win the Super Bowl

You're going biggest bet of your life on the Bucs responsibly? Yep. I packed the vest. That's all you need to know. ... The man of vests is in the building.

The Buccaneers won Super Bowl 55, 31-9.
Loss
Kurt WarnerKurt Warner

The Chiefs defense has the advantage over the Buccaneers in the Super Bowl because of their speed

I'm going to say the Chiefs defense. ... very few defenses are going to be as fast as this Chiefs offense. ... I think the Chiefs defensive backs match up better from an athletic standpoint against these Bucs receivers. ... I give the slight advantage to the Chiefs because of complexity and because of who they're facing.

The Bucs defense was the dominant unit in the game, holding the Chiefs to 9 points and 0 touchdowns. The Chiefs defense allowed 31 points.
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Kurt WarnerKurt Warner

Marshall Faulk was both the best and most important player on the Greatest Show on Turf Rams

If there was one guy that changed the complexion of everything that we did, it was Marshall Faulk. ... he was such a distinct mismatch. ... he was, A, the best player on our team. So he was the best player, but he was also the most important.

This is an expert opinion from the team's quarterback; while subjective, it's a high-authority claim.
Loss
Kurt WarnerKurt Warner

The Chiefs will beat the Buccaneers by double digits in Super Bowl 55

I am going with the Chiefs in this one. ... I will say that it will be a double-digit win for the Chiefs. ... I will put the Chiefs as mid-30s and the Bucs probably kind of mid-20s. ... 60-some, 65-point range.

The Buccaneers won by 22 points (31-9), and the total score was 40, far below the 65 Warner predicted.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I am starting to lean toward betting on the Bucs in Super Bowl LV because Tom Brady is alone and focused

The tweet that I saw, Tom Brady has had the house to himself with his family out of town. It'll be 12 days of preparation alone. He said he's never had that much time to prepare his mind and body before... That got in my head, and I was like, wait, what? He has how much time? He's never had this much time? Uh-oh. I'm starting to like the Bucs.

The Buccaneers won Super Bowl LV 31-9 over the Chiefs.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Brady's family being out of the house is actually bad because it takes him out of his rhythm

I don't like that. It takes him out of his rhythm. Aaron Rodgers hasn't had his family in his house for years, and look where that got him last week.

Brady's preparation resulted in a dominant 31-9 victory, suggesting the isolation was not a negative factor.
Win
HankHank

I am 100% betting on the Buccaneers in the Super Bowl and might put a 'nuclear missile' on it

I'm 1,000% betting the Bucs. I'm betting the Chiefs. Not a doubt in my mind. [Correction] I mean, Bucs, Bucs, Bucs, Bucs. I'm 100% betting the Chiefs. I'm probably going to put a nuclear missile on it.

The Buccaneers won Super Bowl LV.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady will uncover a game-winning play in the fourth quarter because of his extra film study

That means that he's going to uncover something that he never saw and it's going to come out in like the fourth quarter and then Peter King's going to fucking masturbate onto a piece of paper being like Tom Brady found this in our, you know, 746 of sitting in his Tampa Derek Jeter's house by himself.

The Bucs won comfortably (31-9), so there wasn't a desperate 4th quarter breakthrough needed, though Brady was masterful throughout.
Loss
Cousin SalCousin Sal

Kelsey first touchdown in the Super Bowl is a great bet at 7-1 odds

Super Bowl prop, Kelce, first touchdown. That guy's ridiculous. I mean, you go over seven and a half receptions. He has eight with six minutes left in the second quarter. So he's getting shovel passes, bowling ball passes from the two-yard line. I like that at 7-1 or 7-5.

The first touchdown in Super Bowl LV was scored by Rob Gronkowski. Travis Kelce did not score a touchdown in the game.
Loss
Cousin SalCousin Sal

Bet on clear Gatorade for the Super Bowl shower

I go clear. People are showing mercy on their coaches lately, and they're pouring water instead of the sticky stuff. If you can find clear, go for it.

The Gatorade color for Super Bowl LV was blue.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Passively watching the Pro Bowl is the football equivalent of the Masters for napping

The Pro Bowl really was like... The football equivalent of the Masters in terms of a great nap day, like a wonderful nap Sunday was watching neither offense or defensive line really get out of the three-point stances at all.

Subjective comparison of sporting events as nap fuel.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams must win a Super Bowl in the next two years for the Stafford trade to be worth the lack of first-round picks

The Rams' window feels like it's pretty small here, and they have to kind of win a Super Bowl in the next two years before the fact that they haven't had a first-round draft pick in seven years is going to catch up.

The Rams won the Super Bowl in the 2021 season (the first year of the window), making this take prescient.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Matthew Stafford trade lowered the market price for Deshaun Watson

Judging off my newfound expertise in the stock market, they'll look at this as being like, wow, that's one less buyer that we could have. So I guess the price is going down on Deshaun.

The Watson trade market eventually yielded three first-round picks from Cleveland, which was a higher price than Stafford's, suggesting the price did not go down.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Matthew Stafford trade is a home run for the Detroit Lions

The Lions' perspective from this, it was a home run for them in the fact that they are trying to fully rebuild now instead of half rebuild... I think it's a home run for the Lions. I think they did the right thing.

The Lions used these assets to build a powerhouse in the NFC North, and Jared Goff revitalized his career in Detroit.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mitchell Trubisky will be very good as soon as he leaves the Bears

He is going to get really good wherever he goes [next].

Trubisky went to Buffalo (backup) and then Pittsburgh, where he eventually lost his starting job to Kenny Pickett and Mason Rudolph, never becoming 'really good.'
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Leonard FournetteLeonard Fournette

The Patriots cheated the Jaguars in the 2017 AFC Championship game

I'm like, Tom, you a fucking cheater. You a cheater... I said, I know what happened. Y'all cheated us.

While 'cheating' is a strong word, the Miles Jack play is widely considered a blown call by officials that cost the Jaguars the game.
Win
Leonard FournetteLeonard Fournette

Christian McCaffrey is as good as the hype suggested in college

I never seen Christian play a day in my life, right? So I seen him play in the Rose Bowl. I said, you know what? He's nice. He's nice, nice. I thought it was hyping him up, but he has catch, he's fast, he can block. He does it all.

McCaffrey's career as an All-Pro and Offensive Player of the Year confirms he lived up to and exceeded the hype.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

David Cully is just a stopgap hire to get to Josh McCown

My favorite conspiracy is that I'm seeing this report as being a stopgap to get them to Josh McCown as their head coach... They're saying that David Cully is going to be the interim head coach.

Cully was indeed a one-year stopgap. While McCown was interviewed again in 2022, the Texans ultimately hired Lovie Smith, then DeMeco Ryans. McCown never became the HC.
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Big CatBig Cat

David Cully's coaching history is a major red flag

He was a wide receivers coach in the NFL from 1994 to 2010. That feels like a long time to be a wide receivers coach and not get a promotion. So he's an expert.

OpinionFootballMediumSarcastic
David Cully was widely considered a surprising hire and was fired after just one season (4-13 record), essentially confirming the skepticism that he wasn't a long-term solution.
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Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson is ruining the team he wants to be traded to

You're essentially saying, I want to be traded to a team that then will give up a bunch of draft capital and then hurt my ability to play for a winning team. In a way, yeah. He's almost kind of shitting in his own house and then buying the house.

Watson was eventually traded to the Browns for three 1st-round picks. The Browns have struggled to build around him due to lack of assets and his own performance/suspension.
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Big CatBig Cat

No team should trade four first-round picks for Deshaun Watson

I think that you would be screwing yourself so royally over for the future if you give up four first-round picks... I wouldn't do it for four.

Watson went for three 1st-rounders. The team that paid that (Browns) has faced significant criticism and roster building challenges, supporting Big Cat's 'don't overpay' stance.
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Big CatBig Cat

I would never trade Patrick Mahomes for anything

I wouldn't trade Patrick Mahomes for anything. I mean, you're pretty much guaranteeing that you're going to the AFC Championship game for the next, like, 15 years.

Mahomes has continued to make deep playoff runs every year since this take, including multiple Super Bowl wins.
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Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers is staying with the Packers because it is his destiny to torture me for another decade

I knew deep down [Rodgers] wasn't going anywhere because I think it's destiny for Aaron Rodgers to torture my soul for another decade. I think he'll just be there forever. And every time that I start to think he's getting old, he'll be like, oh, here's another MVP.

Rodgers did stay with the Packers for the 2021 and 2022 seasons, winning another MVP in 2021 as predicted, before being traded to the Jets in 2023.
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HankHank

I am considering making the biggest bet of my life on Tom Brady in the Super Bowl

I was thinking about making the biggest bet of my life on Tom Brady before we left Detroit. But I was like, I'm going to wait two weeks and think it out. But I think that's where I'm going to end up.

Tom Brady and the Buccaneers defeated the Chiefs 31-9 in Super Bowl LV.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears should trade for Matthew Stafford

What do you want for your birthday? Let's get you Matt Stafford. I would take that. Absolutely.

Stafford was traded shortly after this episode, but to the Rams, not the Bears.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Matt LaFleur's decision to kick a field goal on 4th and goal was the most cowardly move ever

The most cowardice field goal of all time. Matt LaFleur, I do not understand what you're doing. The decision to kick a field goal with two 10 to 15 left, three timeouts down eight on the seven yard line fourth and goal so that you can seemingly go from down one score to down one score... was so beyond.

This is a subjective tactical opinion, though it is widely regarded as one of the worst late-game decisions in playoff history.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The torch for the worst fourth down field goal decision has passed from Dan Quinn to Matt LaFleur

The Packers are the first team to attempt a field goal when trailing by four to eight points in the final three minutes of a game since Dan Quinn did that on November 8th, 2015. So I think today is the day. It is officially the torch. The torch has been passed. It is now a Matt LaFleur.

Subjective show lore, but based on a verifiable stat that LaFleur was the first to do it since Quinn.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Todd Bowles is a top 8 coach in the NFL

I'm taking out my take that I retired like three years ago. Todd Bowles, great coach. Todd Bowles, top eight coach in the NFL.

Subjective ranking. Bowles went on to win the Super Bowl as DC and eventually became the Bucs head coach, maintaining a respectable career.
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Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers clearly wants out of Green Bay

One last Packers note, Aaron Rodgers clearly wants out of Green Bay. I'm pretty sure Aaron Rodgers is going to be back on the Packers next year. I don't know.

Rodgers did want out, but he stayed with Green Bay for two more full seasons (2021 and 2022) before finally being traded to the Jets in 2023.
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Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady has lost a step of quickness in the pocket

I don't know if it's the arm strength, by the way. I think his arm strength is almost still there. It's weirdly like his quickness in the pocket. I think that has lost a tiny little step that makes it a little harder for the throws.

Subjective observation of physical traits.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs can flip the switch whenever they want

Whoops I fucked up like the Chiefs are so fucking good and yes guess what turns out they can flip the switch they can flip it whenever they want it doesn't really matter... they broke the Switch tonight.

Verification of the 'Switch' narrative after they dominated the Bills.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The only way to beat the Chiefs is to assault them with deadly weapons

The only way to beat the Chiefs is to actually assault them all with deadly weapons. Someone needs to die. And until that happens, I don't see how the Bucs beat them.

The Bucs actually beat the Chiefs in the Super Bowl using a standard defensive game plan (though very effective).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I am betting on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

I'm not going to make the same mistake. I'm going to bet on the Chiefs. My bet is the Chiefs.

The Chiefs lost Super Bowl 55 to the Buccaneers 31-9.
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Big CatBig Cat

Three Super Bowl titles is the threshold for a dynasty

I think dynasty is always three of four or three in a row. You need to win three titles to have official claim of a dynasty or decade. I think that's fair.

Subjective definition of a sports term.