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Day 1 Of The NCAA Tournament, Kentucky's Stunning Loss With Matt Jones, Friday Gambling Picks With Stanford Steve + Fyre Fest Of The Week

Friday, March 22, 202417 takes

Day 1 of March Madness is in the books and Jack Gohlke has stolen the hearts of America. 11 seeds and the Pac 12 had a day (-) and we talk about the weird Shohei Ohtani story (-). Matt Jones from Kentucky Sports Radio joins us to give us the inside scoop of where Kentucky is at as a program and whether or not Coach Cal will survive another March Madness disappointment (-). Stanford Steve then joins the show to break down all of Friday's slate, best bets and tourney storylines (-). We then finish the show with Fyre Fest of the week (-).

Matt Jones on Kentucky's Collapse and Stanford Steve's Friday Picks

Day one of the NCAA Tournament provided the exact kind of chaos that makes March the best month on the sports calendar. Jack Gohlke, a man who looks like he’s been playing in a 35-and-over YMCA league for a decade, came off the bench for Oakland and turned into Steph Curry, raining ten threes on a Kentucky team filled with future NBA lottery picks. Big Cat and PFT are still trying to process how a guy who has only taken eight two-pointers all season managed to dismantle a blue blood program while looking like he was just there to fix the arena's HVAC system.

While the Golden Grizzlies stole the spotlight, the bracket is setting up for a massive second-round clash that could define the first weekend. Big Cat is already eyeing the collision course between the tournament's two biggest darlings.

Win
Mar 22, 2024
#760
Big CatBig Cat

The winner of Oakland vs. NC State will be the story of the tournament heading into the Sweet 16

What the winner of that game [Oakland vs. NC State] is going to be the talk of the week leading up to Sweet 16 because it'll be a great story either way.

The winner was NC State, and DJ Burns/the Wolfpack's run became the dominant story of the tournament as they advanced to the Final Four.

The conversation shifted to the West Coast, where Dana Altman once again proved that he is the master of the first-round exit... for his opponents. Oregon dominated South Carolina, and Big Cat wasn't about to let the performance go unnoticed.

Void
Mar 22, 2024
#761
Big CatBig Cat

Dana Altman is the most underrated coach in America

Dana Altman my most underrated coach in America. I love how he coaches basketball. Dana Altman and the Oregon Ducks... Fun fact, Dana Altman is now 8-0 in first round NCAA tournaments. He is such a good coach and he has them overachieving every single year.

This is subjective, but Altman's consistent success as a double-digit seed supports the claim.

Before diving into the bracket further, the guys addressed the bizarre Shohei Ohtani story. The timeline of Ohtani’s interpreter being a $4.5 million gambling debtor to him being a "thief" changed faster than a pitch clock violation. PFT is skeptical about how Major League Baseball will handle its biggest global icon being adjacent to an illegal bookie.

Void
Mar 22, 2024
#762
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

MLB will avoid banning Shohei Ohtani because he is too valuable to the league's revenue

It seems to me like baseball, given how much money they stand to make from Ohtani, really does not want to have to treat Ohtani like they would anyone. Can you imagine if it was a utility player that paid off four and a half million dollars? How fast would that guy be banned for baseball for life?

Ohtani was ultimately cleared of wrongdoing by MLB and federal investigators, while his interpreter was charged. PFT's cynicism about the 'star treatment' remains subjective.

Matt Jones from Kentucky Sports Radio joined the show in a state of mourning. He described the atmosphere in Lexington as a mix of funeral and riot, with the fan base officially reaching its breaking point with John Calipari. Matt didn't hold back on why the current iteration of the Wildcats feels like a dead man walking.

Win
Mar 22, 2024
#764
Matt JonesMatt Jones

The John Calipari era at Kentucky is likely over after the loss to Oakland

I think this might be worse [than the St. Peters loss]. It's terrible. You know, lose to St. Peters and Oakland, two of the last three years, and I think probably the end of the Calipari era. There's a really good chance. I mean, I don't think it's certain, but I think a lot of the fans want that.

Calipari ultimately left Kentucky for Arkansas a few weeks after this episode, confirming the 'end of the era' prediction.

Matt argued that the very foundation Calipari built his success on—relying on one-and-done freshmen—is no longer a viable strategy in the world of the transfer portal and NIL. Older teams like Oakland, led by 24-year-olds, are physically bullying the talented teenagers Calipari recruits.

Void
Mar 22, 2024
#765
Matt JonesMatt Jones

It is no longer possible to win a National Championship relying primarily on freshmen in the NIL/Portal era

Cal needs to change back because Jay Wright tonight said it the best because of NIL. These dudes are staying in college longer... You're gonna see good players stay in college for three and four years. And I just don't know if you can win with freshmen anymore because these... two of the starters on Oakland were 24 years old. We're starting three guys that are 18. That's a big difference.

The 2024 champion UConn relied on experienced players and multi-year starters, supporting the trend Jones describes.

When the guys suggested coaching alternatives, Matt shot down the idea of a tactical wizard like Dana Altman taking the reins in Lexington. For Big Blue Nation, the X's and O's are secondary to the persona.

Void
Mar 22, 2024
#28510
Matt JonesMatt Jones

Kentucky should not hire a coach like Dana Altman because the program requires a 'rockstar' personality

I think at this job though... you have to be a rockstar to be at this job. Like this is a hard job in the state of Kentucky. This is what we do. ... So you can't be like, Dana Altman looks like an accountant. You can't be an accountant. You have to be a rockstar.

Kentucky eventually hired Mark Pope, a former player with strong ties to the program, who was seen more as a 'basketball fit' than a traditional national 'rockstar' hire like Pitino or Calipari.

Stanford Steve then joined to help the audience navigate a Friday slate that feels particularly treacherous. Steve warned that if your bracket is already in the paper shredder, you aren't alone, and it’s only going to get worse.

Loss
Mar 22, 2024
#28511
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

The 2024 NCAA Tournament will produce the lowest-scoring bracket pools ever

I believe in bracket pools, this will be the lowest score or least amount [of points] ever. ... I think you're better off of getting out a team and riding that thing with a future... I think this bracket pool... it's impossible.

While there were major upsets (Oakland, NC State's run), the 2024 tournament actually saw all four 1-seeds reach the Sweet 16 and two reach the Final Four, meaning many traditional brackets remained quite viable.

Despite the carnage, Steve is incredibly high on one specific Big Ten team making a deep run. He believes the Badgers found themselves during the conference tournament and have the versatility to navigate a tough South region.

Loss
Mar 22, 2024
#766
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Wisconsin will make the Final Four

I have Wisconsin in the final four, Dan. I do, I do. I love what I've seen from them. I think Storr is an absolute difference maker. Chucky healthy is... I genuinely feel this team has the goods.

Wisconsin was upset in the first round by 12-seed James Madison, 72-61.

Steve also broke down several of the mid-major matchups, including a New Mexico team that he thinks is severely undervalued despite being a trendy pick. He’s buying the Lobos' backcourt over Clemson's physicality.

Loss
Mar 22, 2024
#28512
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

New Mexico is a better team than Clemson and will win their first-round matchup

I like New Mexico. ... I think New Mexico's playing as well as anybody. Their ability from the three-point line... they got some young bigs that are good. ... I believe they're a better team [than Clemson]. ... We're gonna go New Mexico, A&M, and UAB.

Clemson dominated New Mexico 77-56 in the first round.

For the late-night degens, Steve is keeping a close eye on Grand Canyon. He thinks the Antelopes have the best player on the floor in their matchup against Saint Mary's, and that usually wins out in March.

Win
Mar 22, 2024
#28513
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Grand Canyon will defeat Saint Mary's because Tyon Grant-Foster is a legitimate pro

Grand Canyon is really interesting. ... St. Mary's, Jefferson injury's been huge for them. ... Tyon [Grant-Foster] on the kid for Grand Canyon is a pro. If you haven't seen him, I think he's gonna be a name that you're gonna know for sure. ... I would pick Grand Canyon in that one.

Grand Canyon defeated Saint Mary's 75-66.

To wrap things up, the show moved into Fyre Fest of the week. PFT is facing the ultimate March dilemma: traveling for a wedding during the tournament. Meanwhile, Hank and Big Cat’s rivalry over who is the better athlete reached a boiling point after a shooting contest on the office’s new machine. Big Cat isn't letting age get in the way of his athletic superiority.

Void
Mar 22, 2024·Fyre Fest
#28515
Big CatBig Cat

I am a better athlete than Hank, despite being nine years older than him

I honestly don't, like no offense to you, but I don't think it's like a washed up thing. I think just PFT and I are better athletes than you. We're nine years older than you and still better athletes than you. ... I beat you in every combine event.

This is a subjective athletic comparison, though Big Cat does cite objective combine results from the past.

Just remember, if your bracket is busted, at least you aren't currently paying John Calipari $33 million to stay away from your building.

march-madnesskentucky-wildcatsshohei-ohtanicollege-basketballgambling

More Takes

Loss
Mar 22, 2024·Picks
#763
HankHank

Purdue will win the National Championship as a redemption story similar to Virginia in 2019

I love love, love love Purdue. Revenge... The UVA formula. And what, what didn't UVA win the next year? Yeah. It's happening again.

Purdue reached the National Championship game but lost to UConn 75-60, falling just short of the 'Virginia redemption' story.
Loss
Mar 22, 2024·Picks
#28509
MaxMax

The Mountain West stinks and the conference's teams will lose every game in the NCAA Tournament

The Mountain West stinks. Mountain West loses every game. UAB plus six and a half. ... UAB is a pretty good program. ... I think UAB's pretty good.

Hot TakeCBBFireSarcastic
The Mountain West went 4-6 in the 2024 tournament, with San Diego State reaching the Sweet 16, though most other teams (Boise State, Colorado State, Nevada, New Mexico) lost early.
Win
Mar 22, 2024
#28514
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Northwestern will defeat FAU because they will make enough outside shots to counter the 'public' pick

I think Northwestern will make enough outside shots and I like being on the other side of the public in that one. ... I do have Northwestern playing UConn [in the next round].

Northwestern defeated FAU 77-65 in overtime.
Win
Mar 22, 2024
#767
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Houston has the toughest second-round matchup of any 1-seed

I think Houston has the toughest matchup when it comes to second round games for the one seeds... Houston just because they're not healthy and, and the way they play... and A&M has guys that can score some buckets and, and so does Nebraska.

Houston was pushed to overtime by Texas A&M in the second round, validating the 'tough matchup' assessment.
Loss
Mar 22, 2024
#768
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

The Boston Celtics will not win the NBA Title

[PFT: Are Hank's Celtics gonna win the NBA title?] No. I want it to be Denver Boston, because that's what I want in the NBA... But I don't see Boston [beating Denver].

The Boston Celtics won the 2024 NBA Championship, defeating the Dallas Mavericks in 5 games.
Push
Mar 22, 2024
#769
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

UConn will defeat Tennessee to win the National Championship

My final four... I have UConn, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Wisconsin. [PFT: Who do you have in your finals?] UConn, Tennessee... And then UConn winning it all.

UConn did win the title, but Tennessee lost in the Elite Eight and the finals was UConn vs Purdue.

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