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Tom Fornelli

Tom Fornelli

Guest
2017 — Present
19W·29L·3P·1 open
college footballfootball51 scored

All Takes

Loss
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Alabama is invincible this year unless Tua Tagovailoa gets seriously injured

I feel like really the only way I see Alabama losing a game this year is if Tua gets hurt seriously and has to miss time. Unless Tua gets hurt and Jalen [Hurts] is hurt, I think Alabama's pretty invincible.

Alabama lost to Clemson in the National Championship game. While Tua Tagovailoa was dealing with minor injuries throughout the season, he played in the loss.
Win
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Ben Mason is the clear number one fullback in college football

Mason's my clear number one. No, Mason, to me, is clearly the best fullback in college right now. He just destroys dudes.

Mason was widely considered one of the best fullbacks of his era and was drafted into the NFL as one.
Void
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Dino Babers would be the ideal hire for USC

If I'm the Trojans, I'd go after [Dino] Babers, honestly. Because I think that he runs an exciting offense. You know, in L.A., you have to sell excitement. I think Babers is a good coach.

USC kept Clay Helton for several more seasons and eventually hired Lincoln Riley. Babers stayed at Syracuse and his stock eventually cooled.
Void
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Fading the public in bowl season is more profitable than in the regular season

I feel like fading the public in bowl season is much more profitable than it would be during the regular season, which means that what you tend to see is a lot of people betting favorites, a lot of people betting over. Personally, I start off looking at an underdog, and then I have to convince myself why that underdog doesn't actually have a chance to cover.

This is a subjective betting strategy, though mathematically verified by many sharp bettors during high-volume periods.
Win
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Josh Rosen is too smart to play for the Cleveland Browns

Between him leaking out that he doesn't want to play for the Browns and between his answer about why he's sitting out and why some players do sit out, I feel like he's way too smart to end up in Cleveland.

The Browns passed on Rosen and took Baker Mayfield. Rosen went to the Cardinals and struggled significantly.
Loss
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

USC will cover the 7.5-point spread against Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl

I definitely like the Trojans to cover. It's a seven-and-a-half point spread right now, which between these two teams is just ridiculously large to me. I don't see how anybody looks at what Ohio State's done this year and what USC's done this year... and says that Ohio State's more than a touchdown better than the Trojans.

Ohio State won 24-7, covering the 7.5-point spread.
Win
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

The under is the best bet for the LSU vs. Notre Dame Citrus Bowl

I like the under in that game more than anything, although I do think Notre Dame's going to win... I like the under more than anything, just because I think it's going to be kind of a rock fight more than most.

The final score was 21-17, staying well under the 51.5 total.
Push
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Alabama will beat Clemson by 10-14 points in the Sugar Bowl

I'm looking at this where I think Alabama's probably going to win this one, and I really don't know if it's going to be close. I think this could be like a 10-14 point win for Alabama. Hot take Fornelli. It's never really in question.

Alabama won 24-6, an 18-point victory.
Loss
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Oklahoma and Baker Mayfield have the edge over Georgia in the Rose Bowl

The closer I look at it, the more I just really think that I can't go against Baker Mayfield in a game like this and against that Oklahoma offense, which has just been absolutely superb all year long... I just feel like when you get to a playoff, if you have a unit like Oklahoma's offense, which is just that much better than everybody else that's there, that gives it something of an edge.

Georgia won a classic in double overtime, 54-48.
Win
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Alabama will win the National Championship

My heart wants to say Oklahoma, but my head says Alabama, just because, like I've said, I think Alabama's the best team in the country... I just don't think anybody's beating Alabama this year... I think they're going to finish as national title champions once again.

Alabama defeated Georgia in the championship game.
Loss
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Josh Rosen is ready for the NFL now, but Sam Darnold should stay in school

I would take Rosen right now. I think Darnold needs to go back. I mean, I never want to tell a kid to go to school again for another year when he can get paid, but I think as far as being a quarterback is concerned, Darnold would be better going back for another year, whereas I think Rosen's ready to play in the NFL now.

Both players struggled significantly in the NFL. Rosen, despite being 'ready', was a major bust and was traded after one season.
Win
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Georgia will beat and cover against Auburn in the SEC Championship

I think that this week in Atlanta, where it's going to be a far friendlier environment for the Bulldogs, they're going to get back to the run game... So I really like Georgia in this one, not just to cover the two and a half, but just to win.

Georgia beat Auburn 28-7 to win the SEC Championship on December 2, 2017.
Win
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

If Ohio State beats Wisconsin, Alabama will get the 4th playoff spot

If Ohio State beats Wisconsin, I think Alabama will get that spot. As long as Clemson beats Miami, Oklahoma beats TCU, and then it probably doesn't really matter what happens in the SEC title game.

Ohio State beat Wisconsin, and the committee chose Alabama over Ohio State for the 4th playoff spot.

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