Geoff Schwartz and Tom Fornelli on NFL Playoff Flaws and Bowl Season Picks
Big Cat and PFT Commenter are currently suffering through the post-Christmas food hangover, fueled by a dangerous mixture of soup, cookies, and crouton-sized pieces of pie. Despite the sugar-induced sluggishness, the football world doesn't stop. Week 16 is in the books, and while Jimmy Garoppolo is busy sizing himself up for a Gold Jacket, Big Cat is preoccupied with the sheer audacity of the NFL's holiday scheduling.
The NFL playing games on Christmas Day was bullshit
I think it was actually bullshit that the NFL played on Christmas Day. No, that's an NBA day. It felt so weird. The Steelers and Texans game, that felt like the first Saturday wild card game that no one really wanted to watch. I just felt like it was a little too much. They should have just kept it to Saturday and Sunday.
As the playoff picture clarifies, the conversation shifts to the teams we actually want to see in January. Big Cat is leading a national movement to protect the integrity of our televisions by keeping a certain AFC South team out of the postseason.
The Titans should not be allowed to make the playoffs because they are boring
I think as a country we need to have a vote and make it so the Titans cannot make the playoffs. Fuck the Titans. I don't want to see the Titans in the playoffs. No one wants to see the Titans. Just think about this. Would you rather see the boring-ass, shitty-ass Titans losing the first round or Bills fans go crazy because they clinched their first playoff berth in like a billion years.
While the Titans are getting the cold shoulder, the Ravens and Panthers are trending up. PFT is all-in on the defense in Carolina, believing they have the juice to actually lift a trophy in February.
The Panthers' defense is good enough to win a championship
It's actually the Panthers that are my make some noise team out of the NFC. I think that the Panthers' defense is good enough to win a championship. I think that they're really fucking good right now.
Flaw and Order with Geoff Schwartz
Former NFL offensive lineman Geoff Schwartz joined the show to break down the specific weaknesses of every Super Bowl contender in a segment called "Flaw and Order." Geoff isn't buying the hype on certain units, specifically pointing out that the Patriots' defensive statistics might be a bit of a mirage.
The Patriots' defense is a problem because they can't rush the passer consistently
I think their defense is still a problem. They're 31st in yards per play on defense. This is not good enough. And they're going to run into a game where they have to stop a team and can they do it? I just think it's not consistent pass rush. It's every now and then, and I think you need to have more of a consistent pass rush to contend in the playoffs.
Geoff also provided a unique perspective on the Seahawks' offensive line struggles, noting that the experiment of turning defensive players into blockers is a relic of the past that simply doesn't work with modern practice limitations.
Converting defensive linemen to offensive linemen does not work in the modern NFL
This idea of drafting guys with a high upside that can grow into your system or drafting a defensive lineman [to convert to OL] doesn't work. You don't have the practice time anymore to mold these offensive linemen. You need to draft guys out of college from, like, the same six schools, Wisconsin, Iowa, USC, Notre Dame, just draft them from these schools that are ready to play.
Beyond the trenches, Big Cat decided to plant his flag on the hill of Case Keenum. While most see a career backup having a nice run, Big Cat sees a future legend in the making.
Case Keenum is the next Kurt Warner and will eventually be a Hall of Famer
Case Keenum is like Kurt Warner in 1999 when everyone was like, come on, Kurt Warner, the backup, this guy, he's no one. Case Keenum is going to end up being a Hall of Famer. I'm squatting on that one. Because I've been saying all year, like, are we really doing this with Case Keenum? And we still are doing it. And he just keeps on rolling and rolling.
Tom Fornelli’s Bowl Season Blueprint
With the College Football Playoff looming, CBS Sports expert Tom Fornelli stopped by to help us navigate the betting board. Tom’s strategy is simple: look for the underdogs when the public gets too loud.
Fading the public in bowl season is more profitable than in the regular season
I feel like fading the public in bowl season is much more profitable than it would be during the regular season, which means that what you tend to see is a lot of people betting favorites, a lot of people betting over. Personally, I start off looking at an underdog, and then I have to convince myself why that underdog doesn't actually have a chance to cover.
When it comes to the actual playoff matchups, Tom is wary of the Georgia Bulldogs' lack of experience on this specific stage. He believes the sheer offensive dominance of Baker Mayfield gives Oklahoma the edge in the Rose Bowl.
Oklahoma and Baker Mayfield have the edge over Georgia in the Rose Bowl
The closer I look at it, the more I just really think that I can't go against Baker Mayfield in a game like this and against that Oklahoma offense, which has just been absolutely superb all year long... I just feel like when you get to a playoff, if you have a unit like Oklahoma's offense, which is just that much better than everybody else that's there, that gives it something of an edge.
However, the ultimate winner usually comes down to the guy wearing the straw hat in Tuscaloosa. Tom warns that a motivated Nick Saban with a chip on his shoulder is the most dangerous entity in the sport.
Alabama will beat Clemson by 10-14 points in the Sugar Bowl
I'm looking at this where I think Alabama's probably going to win this one, and I really don't know if it's going to be close. I think this could be like a 10-14 point win for Alabama. Hot take Fornelli. It's never really in question.
Hot Seat, Cool Throne, and Dr. Guerrero
Hot Seat/Cool Throne covered the essential news, including James Harrison’s move to New England. PFT has a theory that this isn't just a veteran signing, but a calculated tactical strike by Mike Tomlin.
James Harrison is a double agent sent by the Steelers to infiltrate the Patriots
I almost think that he's a double agent, that the Steelers sent him in there... To give fake play calls... James Harrison was saying he was so pissed off at Mike Tomlin... It's like that episode of Homeland where Carrie testified that she hated the CIA and then she went to a mental institution.
Big Cat placed people who want to debate *Die Hard's* status as a Christmas movie on the Hot Seat, mostly because the discourse has become more exhausting than the movie is entertaining.
Debating whether Die Hard is a Christmas movie is the worst argument on Twitter
My other hot seat is people who want to debate Die Hard being a Christmas movie because I do not give a fuck. That actually might be the worst Twitter argument that goes on now. Is Die Hard a Christmas movie? That was like five years ago and it wasn't interesting then and it's still even more uninteresting now.
We also got an update from our new producer Liam, who explained the complex interpersonal dynamics of Cardi B and Offset's Instagram Live reconciliations. It’s a brave new world, and if we can solve NFL replay using pickup basketball logic, we might just survive until 2018.
NFL replay should be fixed using a 'possession arrow' system from pickup basketball
I think they should just go to a straight pick up hoops thing where no one knows who hit the ball out, so it's like we get the next one. But any, like, controversial call, it's like, all right, you get it this time, we'll get it next time. That's good. I like that. Just keep trading it all year long.
If you're staying in this New Year's Eve to make out with your dog, just remember that a dog's mouth is technically cleaner than a human's.

