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Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The smart bet this season is on teams that failed to cover the previous week when playing against teams that did cover

Betting this year, it's smart to bet on teams that didn't cover the previous week when they're playing against teams that did cover the previous week. In 2021, those teams are 39-14-1... I like the Cowboys, minus 9.5.

The Cowboys (who didn't cover vs Denver) blew out the Falcons (who covered vs Saints) 43-3, validating the trend for this specific week.

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Win
Nov 12, 2021
#5466
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins will beat the Ravens outright on Thursday Night Football

I'm telling you right now, the Miami Dolphins are ready to play some football tonight. The Baltimore Ravens are in big trouble. Tua [Tagovailoa] is coming back... They're going to win outright tonight.

The Dolphins upset the Ravens 22-10 on Thursday Night Football.
Void
Nov 12, 2021
#5467
Big CatBig Cat

Lamar Jackson is taking the step to elite quarterbacking

[Lamar Jackson] was the first part of his career, the first three seasons of his career, 0-6, went down double digits in the second half. What is he, 4-0 this year? Coming back from down double digits, he can do it all. He is taking the step to, dare I say it, elite quarterbacking.

This is subjective but grounded in 2021 season stats where Lamar had several comeback wins.
Loss
Nov 12, 2021
#5469
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Russell Wilson is currently the number one quarterback in the NFL

Lamar [Jackson] is number two... My number one's Russell Wilson.

Wilson was returning from injury and the Seahawks struggled; he was not the consensus #1 in 2021.

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Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens' fourth-quarter problems are moving earlier

Historically, the fourth-quarter Ravens have not been a great team. That fourth-quarter Ravens has started to creep its way into the third-quarter Ravens. And I think eventually it's going to keep creeping earlier and earlier in the game. I don't think it's going to get better because the defense does not look good.

This is a season-long assessment that can only be judged against Baltimore's eventual 2026 performance.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield has a real revenge game against Cleveland

This is like a big Baker revenge spot too. This is not a made-up Baker—I have a perceived slight against me because some team didn't trade for me when I was on the market. This is Baker Mayfield against Stefanski, and they haven't talked since he left Cleveland.

Whether the personal history materially affects the game is subjective, though the stated public grievance is part of the episode's context.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should reduce the season to 16 games

I'm going to say it. I think that 17 games is too much. I like the scarcity. I like if you brought it back to 16, because the NFL's also been playing this game for a long time where they have to find safer-looking ways to do a dangerous activity.

The preferred NFL schedule is a policy judgment, though the player-safety rationale is grounded in the discussion's cited study.